956 PHI (+105) Bodog vs 955 NYY
Analysis:
*** MLB GM 3 WORLD SERIES 3* GAME OF THE WEEK ***
HAMELS over Pettitte
This reminds me of the exact situation last year, when the Phillies returned home tied 1-1...and were installed as the GM3 dog...Because as soon as the Yankees Won Gm2...just like with TB in '08...the "Public Perception" changed again...and the Phillies were discarded as having a chance to win this whole thing...
Only problem is, that nobody told the Phillies because they came out and won Gm3 last year...and that's exactly what I expect them to do this year...
Last game„, I touched on stats...and historical probability, so rather than cover those factors again for this Game...I'll instead get right to the Bottom Line...Because the handicapp I did, along with my "Projection"...also supports a Phils win...
Bottom Line..."Value"...And we are getting plenty of it based on how invincible the Yanks have become again, after winning Gm2...That was a Game I expected the NYY to win, and that's why it was our biggest bet so far in this Series...
But, I just can't pass up the Phillies as a Home Dog...And they don't deserve to be one based on my model and just as importanly, based on historical probability which shows us that Teams in the Phillies position have Won "68%" of Gm3's in the MLB Finals and "59%" in MLB Playoffs overall...
This team has not lost 2 straight in any Playoff Series the L/2 Years...and they have the experience to know just how big GM 3 is...The Yankees have not played in this ballpark this season or last, so that's even another advantage...
I look for the Phillies and Hamels to come out with a chip on their shoulders and a lot of confidence getting to play in front of their home crowd...
Let's go ahead and grab the +105 or better, and back the Home Team Phillies to Win Game 3 of the World Series...and get us our "13th" Straight World Series Winners...dating all the way back to the '07 Series...VR
Analysis:
*** MLB GM 3 WORLD SERIES 3* GAME OF THE WEEK ***
HAMELS over Pettitte
This reminds me of the exact situation last year, when the Phillies returned home tied 1-1...and were installed as the GM3 dog...Because as soon as the Yankees Won Gm2...just like with TB in '08...the "Public Perception" changed again...and the Phillies were discarded as having a chance to win this whole thing...
Only problem is, that nobody told the Phillies because they came out and won Gm3 last year...and that's exactly what I expect them to do this year...
Last game„, I touched on stats...and historical probability, so rather than cover those factors again for this Game...I'll instead get right to the Bottom Line...Because the handicapp I did, along with my "Projection"...also supports a Phils win...
Bottom Line..."Value"...And we are getting plenty of it based on how invincible the Yanks have become again, after winning Gm2...That was a Game I expected the NYY to win, and that's why it was our biggest bet so far in this Series...
But, I just can't pass up the Phillies as a Home Dog...And they don't deserve to be one based on my model and just as importanly, based on historical probability which shows us that Teams in the Phillies position have Won "68%" of Gm3's in the MLB Finals and "59%" in MLB Playoffs overall...
This team has not lost 2 straight in any Playoff Series the L/2 Years...and they have the experience to know just how big GM 3 is...The Yankees have not played in this ballpark this season or last, so that's even another advantage...
I look for the Phillies and Hamels to come out with a chip on their shoulders and a lot of confidence getting to play in front of their home crowd...
Let's go ahead and grab the +105 or better, and back the Home Team Phillies to Win Game 3 of the World Series...and get us our "13th" Straight World Series Winners...dating all the way back to the '07 Series...VR
