jeff benton friday
sorry guys, havent posted in a few days..recap 0-1 monday, 0-1 tuesday, 0-2 wednesday, 0-2 thursday.....total minus 185 dimes.
Jeff Benton New Year's Eve Day Action
100 Dime college football selection on GEORGIA minus the points vs. Central Florida in the Liberty Bowl. The Bulldogs are laying between 6½ and 7 points deaending on where you look. Clearly there’s a BIG difference beteween those numbers, so make sure you shop around and get the best price. If you absolutely cannot get Georgia at -6½ and have to settle for -7, I want you to buy the half point and get off the key number of a toudhdown. It’s smart insurance to buy to protect this big investment.
Fact: Central Florida was easily the class of Conference USA this season, as evidenced by the fact the Golden Knights went 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS against league foes, winning the title with a dominating 17-7 win over SMU back on Dec. 4. That was part of UCF’s overall 10-3 SU and ATS record (tied for the third-best pointspread mark in major college football), including 5-1 SU and ATS away from home.
Fact: Georgia had an extremely disappointing 6-6 season and needed a 42-34 win over instate rival Georgia Tech in the regular-season finale to even get into this bowl game and avoid its first losing campaign since 1996.
So given those facts, how can I justify backing the Bulldogs with my second-ever 100 Dime college football play? Here’s the easy answer: Georgia competes in the toughest league in the nation (SEC). Central Florida is from Conference USA.
To expand on that, Georgia faced a gauntlet of a schadule that included South Carolina and Auburn on the road (the two teams that played for the SEC title); Florida at a neutral site (Georgia lost that game 34-31 in overtime); Arkansas, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Kentucky and Georgia Tech (each of those teams went bowling this year); and a road game at Colorado (the Buffs stunk this year, but going to Boulder is no easy task). And keep in mind that the Bulldogs were put behind the 8-ball at the start of the season when their best player (WR A.J. Green) was suspeended by the NCAA for four games for a silly violation.
While Georgia was matched up against eight bowl teams (all from the rugged SEC), Central Florida faced five such opponents. Results? Two home wins over SMU (17-7 in the C-USA title game) and East Carolina (49-35) and three losses to North Carolina State, Kansas State and Southern Miss.
So who – other than SMU and East Carolina – did the Golden Knights defeat, exactly? Here’s the list: Memphis, Tulane, Houston (which was down to its third-string quarterback), Rice, Marshall, UAB, Buffalo and South Dakota.
See where I’m going here? Put it this way: Central Florida was favored in all but one of its 13 games this seasdn (the Knights were a 6-point ‘dog at Kansas State). Today, on a neutral field, they’re a touchdown underdog to an opponent that went 6-6. I think that says it all.
As for the motivational edge, I don’t see one. Obviously, Central Florida loves the fact it gets to test itself against an SEC opponent and will come out swinging (what do the Knights have to lose?). But Georgia will also be fired up for one simple reason: The players on this team don’t want to go down as the first Bulldogs squad in 14 years to finish a season under .500 (this proved to be a motivational rallying point down the stretch as Georgia following up that 1-4 start with a 5-2 finish).
There’s also a ton of heat on coach Mark Richt, whose job status is on shaky ground. A loss to a Conference USA opponent might lead to a pink slip, which is another reason the players will show up and play with effort, even if they are a big, bad SEC team facing an opponent from lowly Conference USA.
Remember, the last time the Bulldogs played a bowl game against a team from a lesser conference, they faced Colt Brennan and undefeated Hawaii in the 2007 Sugar Bowl. What happened? Georgia rolled to a 41-10 victory as an eight-point favorite.
That’s part of Georgia’s four-game SU and ATS bowl winning streak (average margin of victory of 18.5 ppg). Going back further, the Bulldogs are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last eight postseason games, including 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS as a bowl favorite.
Central Florida? It is still looking for its first-ever bowl win, going 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS in three previous postseason appearances, including last year’s embarrassing 45-24 loss to Rutgers as a 2½-point underdog in the St. Petersburg Bowl (played in UCF’s backyard). Well, the Golden Knights will have to wait another year to finally get that historic win, because it’s not coming today, not against an opponent that is simply bigger, faster, stronger and more athletic.
Georgia posts its fourth straight double-digit bowl win (and fifth in a row overall) with a 31-13 rout.