Service Plays Friday 9/26/14

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HARRY BONDI

College Football Free Pick

NEW MEXICO (+5) over Fresno State
8:00 p.m.
No team has fallen farther this year than Fresno State. A bowl team last year, the bulldogs have been blown out in their 3 games against FBS teams allowing 52, 59 and 55 point s Nebraska, USC and Utah. New Mexico is not in the class of any of those teams but the Lobos triple option rushing attack is averaging 330 yards per game and requires great defensive discipline to shutdown, something Fresno’s sieve like defense does not have. Let’s back the home dog to get the money tonight.
 
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VEGAS RUNNER

NFAC MLB Move = 959) OVER 8 (-115) – CHC/MIL

NFAC MLB Move = 974) UNDER 8.5 (-120) – NYY/BOS
 
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SportsCashSystem

extra bonus system for today:

New York Yankees / Boston Red Sox OVER 8½ (Bet Level 2) (Total Runs Scored Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:10 PM EST
 
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Diamond Dog

#975/976: A’s/Rangers: Under 8.0 (-110) (4*)
Listed Pitchers: Kazmir/Tepesch


#977/978: Royals/White Sox: Under 8.0 (-110) (2*)
Listed Pitchers: Guthrie/Noesi
 
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PORT PORT SPORTS / Jeff Porter

TONIGHT’S ACTION –

(MLB)

WASHINGTON NATIONALS (-140) AND
WASHINGTON NATIONALS RUN LINE -1.5 (+155)
There are several reasons to like this play, perhaps none more important than the way the Nationals have been winning on the Run Line lately, or the fact that the Marlins are mired in a slump and couldn’t hit their way out of a wet paper bag – whatever that famous line even means. Washington is just plain hot overall, posting a 7-1 mark in their L8 and going 11-2 mark in their L13 overall. The Nationals have now posted an 11-3 mark against the RL in their L14 wins and 16 of their L21 wins have also come by at least 2 R or more. Washington has won 6 straight games against the Marlins, although only 2 of those wins have come by 2 R or more. However, they are also 4-2 on their home turf against the Marlins in 2014, with all 4 of their wins coming by multiple runs. If you go back to last season, they have now put together a 13-3 ML mark against the Marlins at home, with 10 of those wins coming by 2 R or more. The Marlins offense clicked yesterday, but it still only marked just the 4th time over their L13 games they have scored more than 2 R. The Nationals clinched home field advantage in game one of the double-header, with the 4-0 win, and we expect them to come out with a fired up lineup that will be ready to score some more runs. Go with the WASHINGTON NATIONALS on the MONEY LINE and RUN LINE in this one…
 

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[h=2]Larry Ness' Weekly Wipeout Winner-CFB (BLOWOUT alert!)-Friday[/h]My 9* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on Fresno St at 8:00 ET.
Fresno St opened the 2013 season by winning its first 10 games and threatening to become last year’s “BCS Buster.” However, a 62-52 loss at San Jose St ended the ‘dream’ and after a tight 24-17 win over Utah St in the MWC championship game, the Bulldogs were embarrassed 45-20 by USC in The Las Vegas Bowl. To say the Bulldogs got off to a rough start in 2014 would be a HUGE understatement. Up first was a rematch with USC in LA, one in which FSU got trashed again, 52-13. That was followed by a 59-27 loss at Utah and a 55-19 home loss to Nebraska.
Fresno State turned the corner last weekend, dominating Southern Utah in front of the hometown fans in a 56-16 rout. The Bulldogs open MWC play and look for their first win over an FBS program tonight in Albuquerque vs New Mexico (pardon me referring to New Mexico as an FBS school). The Lobos opened 2014 with home losses to UTEP (31-24) and Arizona State (58-23). Not many teams lose at home to UTEP these days at home, as the Miners lone road win in 2013 was at New Mexico St (1-11 & 2-10 the L2 years). Speaking of the Aggies, New Mexico won its annual battle with New Mexico State last Saturday but just barely, squeezing by with a 38-35 victory (but a non-cover) in Las Cruces.
I’m not a big fan of playing road favorites but as a home dog last year, New Mexico lost 56-42 to UNLV (ending UNLV’s 23-game road losing streak), 45-10 to Utah St and 66-42 to Colorado St. In its first try as a home dog here in 2014, the Lobos lost 58-23 to Arizona St (as a 24-point dog), giving them EIGHT straight losses as a home dog (2-6 ATS). New Mexico has allowed an average of 45.6 PPG in those eight straight losses and considering FSU scored 69 points while gaining 822 yards in Fresno against the Lobos last year plus had 49 points on 600 yards in the team's last visit to Albuquerque (in 2012), laying this modest number hardly seems like a “bridge too far!” BLOWOUT alert!
 

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