Service Plays Friday 9/26/14

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EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Friday

One NCAA football selection for Friday night. Best of luck.

-EZ


Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Old Dominion Monarchs

5* OVER 67.5 TOTAL POINTS SCORED

I expect this to be a good old fashioned shoot out. Middle Tennessee and Old Dominion both are loaded with offensive weapons. ODU quarterback Taylor Heinicke can put points on the board quickly with multiple receiving threats and they lit up the defending Conference USA champion Rice Owls last week. Middle Tennessee State also has a weapon under center in quarterback Austin Grammar. Grammar is completing over 68% of his passes and is also a threat to run. The defensive side of the ball is where there is a lot left to be desired for both teams. Middle Tennessee is allowing 31.3 points per game and that includes factoring in a 61-7 win against Savannah State. Against the big boys the Blue Raiders are allowing just under 40 points per game. Old Dominion is not much better at just under 30 points per game allowed. The Monarch defense did hold Eastern Michigan to just three points, but the Eagles have one of the worst offenses in college football as they average just 12 points per game. On the flip side, ODU's defense allowed Hampton to put up 28 points on them. I'm not much of a totals player, but I'm playing the OVER big in this one.

 

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | LA ANGELS at SEATTLE
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts
81-47 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.3% | 36.4 units )
6-10 this year. ( 37.5% | -4.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at TORONTO
BALTIMORE is 144-119 (+64.3 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.3)

 

[sponge3000]

Burns Baseball: 8* Cincinnati Reds (r) GOY 10* San Francisco Giants

 

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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Kansas City at Chicago White Sox[/h] The White Sox look to bounce back from last night's 6-3 loss to Kansas City as they face a Royals team that is 2-7 in its last 9 games following a win. Chicago is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+125). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 26 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Miami at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Cosart) 14.521; Washington (Fister) 17.113 Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Washington (-210); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-210); Under

Game 953-954: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Heaney) 15.109; Washington (Hill) 14.281 Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Washington (-165); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+145); Over

Game 955-956: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 14.512; Philadelphia (Williams) 16.113 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+105); Under

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 15.766; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.439 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 7 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); Over

Game 959-960: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jokisch) 15.319; Milwaukee (Nelson) 14.442 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 10 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 961-962: St. Louis at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wacha) 15.416; Arizona (Cahill) 13.809 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-155); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155); Under

Game 963-964: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 15.543; LA Dodgers (Hernandez) 16.939 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-180); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-180); Over

Game 965-966: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 16.312; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.421 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 5 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 6 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+130); Under

Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 14.302; Cleveland (Kluber) 16.779 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-165); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-165); Over

Game 969-970: Baltimore at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 16.116; Toronto (Hutchison) 14.576 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Under

Game 971-972: Minnesota at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Swarzak) 15.109; Detroit (Porcello) 14.212 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Detroit (-210); 8 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+180); Over

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Capuano) 15.879; Boston (Wright) 14.492 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Kazmir) 14.673; Texas (Tepesch) 16.833 Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 8 Dunkel Pick: Texas (+150); Under

Game 977-978: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.982; White Sox (Noesi) 15.887 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-145); 8 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+125); Over

Game 979-980: LA Angels at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 16.302; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.886 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 981-982: Houston at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 14.302; NY Mets (Niese) 16.779 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-160); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-160); Over

 

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OMEGA SPORTS PICKS

1* A's/Rangers - Under 8 -110

1* Rockies/Dodgers - Over 7.5 +100

 

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PAUL LEINER

100* Old Dominion -3.5
100* Orioles -105
50* Braves -120

 

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Cappers Access

Old Dominion -3
New Mexico +4.5

 

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MLB Final Weekend betting cheat sheet: Kazmir looks to end struggles

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the final weekend of the regular season:

Washington Whitewash

The Washington Nationals (-170, U 6.5) continued their sizzling Under streak Thursday, blanking the visiting New York Mets 3-0 behind seven innings of one-hit ball from Gio Gonzalez. The Nationals are 2-9 O/U in their last 11 games, allowing more than two runs just twice in that span.

Putting the K in Kluber

Cleveland ace Corey Kluber looks to rack up more strikeouts in his final start of the season as the Indians (-164, 6.5) host Tampa Bay. Kluber has 28 strikeouts in his last two starts; the Indians are 8-2 SU and 1-9 O/U in starts where Kluber records double-digit whiffs.

Rockies’ Road Woes

Colorado will try to avoid going out with a whimper as it resumes its season-ending series Saturday against the host Los Angeles Dodgers. The Rockies are an astounding 6-36 SU in their last 42 games away from Coors Field, scoring more than four runs just four times over that stretch.

Favorites Finish Strong

Expect the usual suspects to prevail as the regular season draws to a close Sunday. Favorites are 33-13 SU over the previous three years, winning at a 71.7-percent clip that far exceeds the 2014 regular-season average of 57 percent.

Pitching Notes

* Oakland lefty Scott Kazmir will look to end his recent struggles Friday as he leads the Athletics (-167, 8) against the host Texas Rangers. Kazmir has allowed six or more runs in four of his previous six starts to see his season ERA balloon to 3.63.

* Masahiro Tanaka ends his rookie season against a familiar foe as his New York Yankees take on the host Boston Red Sox. Tanaka faced the Red Sox twice in his first major-league campaign and recorded a pair of wins, including a complete-game seven-hitter on June 28.

* A fantastic season comes to an end Sunday for St. Louis Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright. The veteran right-hander (20-9, 2.38 ERA) enters the weekend 13th in starter value ($1,015) and hasn’t allowed a run in back-to-back starts; he’ll face visiting San Diego on Sunday.

Hitting Notes

* Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Edwin Encarnacion is ending the season on a high as he prepares to face the visiting Baltimore Orioles (-105, 8) on Friday. Encarnacion is batting .391 with two homers, 11 RBIs and a 1.160 OPS over the last seven days.

* Expect a big game from Chase Utley on Saturday as his Philadelphia Phillies tangle with Aaron Harang and the Atlanta Braves. Utley is a .406 career hitter against Harang, with four doubles, a home run and six RBIs over 32 at-bats.

* It could be a long day for Los Angeles Angels hitters on Sunday as they wrap up their regular season against Seattle ace Felix Hernandez and the host Mariners. Members of the Angels roster are hitting a combined .208 with 115 strikeouts in 432 combined at-bats versus Hernandez.

Totals Streak

Los Angeles Dodgers (14-2-2 O/U): The Dodgers are ending the season with a bang, having either scored or allowed seven or more runs in 10 of their last 13 games. The season-ending Over surge has moved Los Angeles to 80-70-9 entering the final weekend of the 2014 campaign.

Prop of the Day

Bettors may want to consider a lower line for Friday’s matchup between the Rays and Indians, with Under 5 paying +200. Kluber has been one of the stingiest pitchers in baseball since the All-Star Break, while counterpart Chris Archer has allowed just four runs over his last three starts.

Injury Notes

* Washington Nationals outfielder Denard Span (knee) will return to the lineup for Friday’s doubleheader against the visiting Miami Marlins. It isn’t clear whether Span, who suffered the injury Tuesday night, will play one or both ends of the twin bill.

* White Sox outfielder Avisail Garcia left Thursday’s game against Kansas City with lower back stiffness and will sit out Friday. Garcia missed a whopping 113 games from early-April to mid-August with a shoulder injury; Chicago was 54-59 SU, 56-54-3 O/U and +651 units in that span.

Weather Watch

* Fans at AT&T Park should expect winds blowing out to right-center field at 11 mph for Friday’s game between the host Giants (-147, 6.5) and San Diego. Teams averaged 1.43 home runs while batting .262 in 23 games under similar conditions in 2013, slightly above stadium averages.

* Dodger Stadium will see wind blowing out to center field at 7 mph Saturday when Los Angeles welcomes Colorado to town. Teams averaged nearly two home runs per game with the wind blowing out to center a season ago, well above the park average of 1.65.

 

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PERRY’S SOCCER CLUB season record (-4.14)

(GERMANY 2ND BUNDESLIGA) – SV SANDHAUSEN @ EINTRACHT BRAUNSCHWEIG – UNDER 2.5 -140 (1230PM)

(FRANCE LIGUE 2) – US ORLEANS @ VALENCIENNES FC – OVER 2 -120 (2PM)

 

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VIP-PICKS

Exclusive VIP Tips
Braunschweig – Sandhausen
Tip: Braunschweig -0.5, 1
Super VIP Tips
Innsbruck – Kapfenberg
Tip: Innsbruck -0.5

 

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Vegas hotsheet

#109 mtsu +3.5

 

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HALL OF FAME / William Holloway

Pirates(-137)

The Pirates have a lot to play for while going for their first division title since 1992.
Sending Vance Worley to the mound (3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last four starts), will help their chances. While opposing pitcher Mike Leake is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA over his last 4.

 

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PREDICTION MACHINE

CFB Side
112 8:00 PM @ NM vs FRES 5.5 • 6.1 ♦ 57.8%

 

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JEFF CLEMENT

7* Royals vs White Sox - Over 8

 

[BuzzKill]

FYI - Up to date newsletters are available in the Newsletter Thread in the Rubber Room

 

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Totals4U
2014 Mountain West Conference on ESPN Total of the Year!!!!!
Fresno State/New Mexico under 71 1/2

NCAA Best Bets
Middle Tennessee/Old Dominion over 68 1/2

September's Major League Rivalry Total of the Month!!!!!
New York/Boston under 8 1/2

MLB Best Bets
Atlanta/Philadelphia over 7 1/2
St Louis/Arizona over 7 1/2
Colorado/Los Angeles over 7 1/2
Kansas City/Chicago over 8

 

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DENVER MONEY

2* New Mexico +5
If you wait you may be able to get a better number but I grabbed this line already. New Mexico has comes to play the next game after playing against New Mexico State where they have gone 7-1 ATS after playing the LOBOS. Fresno St has gone 4-7-1 in conference openers in recent history and have not performed as well as road dogs either. I will gladly take the home dog in this spot and cash us a winner on Friday.

 

[Mosi]

Also placed in Sunday Service Plays

Colin Coherd's Blazing Five
9-2 last two weeks

NY Jets +1- (NYJ 27-24)
Miami -3- (Miami 27-17)
Green Bay -1- (Green Bay 31-27)
Dallas +3 (Dallas 28-27)
Kansas City +3- (New England 24-23)

Bonus Info, but does not count:
Liked Indianapolis -6 early in the week but wise guys hit it and it is now up to -8

 

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The Wager Wire / Joey Buckets

1* Fresno St. vs NM – Under 72.5 (-110)

 

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Power Play Wins

Power Play Of The Day

MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates -135 (Worley)