Sportswagers
Milwaukee @ PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH -1½ +173 over Milwaukee
Frankly, we could not care less about who is on the mound for the Pirates here because this one is all about fading the reeling Brewers and the garbage pitcher that they’re sending out today.
The Brewers gave up five hits over the first 16 innings in St. Louis the past two games and lost them both. Prior to taking two of three from the reeling Reds and defeating Miami in a series, Milwaukee had dropped 18 of its past 21 games. These Brewers are in big trouble and it sure can’t help their state of mind when they see the Pirates winning every night. Pittsburgh is the hottest team in baseball with four wins in a row and 11 victories over its past 13 games. The Bucs are scoring six a night with regularity and they figure to put up another crooked number here against Yovani Gallardo. It's clear that Gallardo isn't the same pitcher he used to be due to his inability to generate K’s. That becomes frustrating after a while and now Gallardo has lost his control because he’s afraid to come at hitter’s. Over his last 26 innings, Gallardo has an awful BB/K split of 12/13. Over that same span his swing and miss rate was 4%, which is another indicator of a “dead” arm. Gallardo has surrendered four jacks over his last three games, not to mention 21 hits, 15 runs and six walks over 14 innings. The Brewers have lost each of Gallardo’s last five starts and now this stiff is out of gas. The Pirates can put the Brewers out of their misery with a three-game sweep and it would be a complete shock to us if they didn’t do exactly that starting with this one. Hell, we’d even lay 2½ runs in this one but the +173 at -1½ runs is pretty juicy on its own.
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH -1½ +173 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.46)
Milwaukee @ PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH -1½ +173 over Milwaukee
Frankly, we could not care less about who is on the mound for the Pirates here because this one is all about fading the reeling Brewers and the garbage pitcher that they’re sending out today.
The Brewers gave up five hits over the first 16 innings in St. Louis the past two games and lost them both. Prior to taking two of three from the reeling Reds and defeating Miami in a series, Milwaukee had dropped 18 of its past 21 games. These Brewers are in big trouble and it sure can’t help their state of mind when they see the Pirates winning every night. Pittsburgh is the hottest team in baseball with four wins in a row and 11 victories over its past 13 games. The Bucs are scoring six a night with regularity and they figure to put up another crooked number here against Yovani Gallardo. It's clear that Gallardo isn't the same pitcher he used to be due to his inability to generate K’s. That becomes frustrating after a while and now Gallardo has lost his control because he’s afraid to come at hitter’s. Over his last 26 innings, Gallardo has an awful BB/K split of 12/13. Over that same span his swing and miss rate was 4%, which is another indicator of a “dead” arm. Gallardo has surrendered four jacks over his last three games, not to mention 21 hits, 15 runs and six walks over 14 innings. The Brewers have lost each of Gallardo’s last five starts and now this stiff is out of gas. The Pirates can put the Brewers out of their misery with a three-game sweep and it would be a complete shock to us if they didn’t do exactly that starting with this one. Hell, we’d even lay 2½ runs in this one but the +173 at -1½ runs is pretty juicy on its own.
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH -1½ +173 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.46)
