Sportswagers
Washington @ MIAMI
MIAMI +140 over Washington
Washington clinched the NL East on Wednesday and came in here last night and took the opener, 6-2. What usually follows a game clinching win is a bit of a letdown for a game or two and since that didn’t happen yesterday, this is a pretty good spot for that to occur with Doug Fister on the hill. Fister is beginning to labor. His swing and miss rate is low at 6% and he’s throwing less strikes the past month. He’s only walked 35 batters all year but he’s walked eight over his last five starts in 30 frames. He’s also hit 22 batters since the second half of last season, which has inflated his ERA. OK, maybe not, but they left plenty of bruises. Fister has stopped hitting people but he’s suddenly having trouble with LH batters. Despite his decent skills, Fister’s pitch-to-contact profile is a risky way to roll and he’s had trouble in the past against current Marlins with an oppBA of .325.
Tom Koehler has what might appear on paper to be a tough matchup against the NL East Champion Nationals. Koehler has been at his best at home, with a 2.68 ERA, compared to 4.63 on the road. In two starts against Washington, he has a 1.38 ERA in 13 IP. The Nationals will probably give their regulars some rest down the stretch, so Koehler may not face a fully-loaded Nationals lineup. Koehler’s recent profile is trending the right way and we also like the price in this one.
Our Pick
MIAMI +140 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.80)