Service Plays Friday 8/22/14

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Friday's Preseason Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider

Week 2 Recap: The home teams started strong last week by winning the first five games, but the road clubs rebounded by going 6-5 in the final 11 contests. The 'over' went 10-6 last week, while the 'over' cashed in last night's Eagles/Steelers contest to kick off Week 3 of the preseason.

Jaguars at Lions (-3, 44½)

2014 Preseason Records:
JAX: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS
DET: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS

Preseason review: The Jaguars have played a pair of low-scoring affairs, while squandering a 19-7 lead in the fourth quarter of a 20-19 setback at Chicago last Thursday. Jacksonville managed to cover as three-point underdogs, but the Jags have scored just 35 points in its first two exhibition games. The Lions are coming off consecutive one-point decisions, as Detroit lost in the final seconds at Oakland last Friday, 27-26 as three-point ‘dogs.

Last preseason meeting: First preseason meeting ever

Panthers at Patriots (-5½, 45½)

2014 Preseason Records:
CAR: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
NE: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Preseason review: New England outlasted Philadelphia, 42-35 as two-point favorites last week in Tom Brady’s preseason debut, as all six quarterbacks that played each threw at least one touchdown pass. The Panthers cruised past the Chiefs, 28-16 in their second preseason contest at home, one week after falling to the Bills. Carolina has cashed the ‘over’ in five of its past six home exhibition contests.

Last preseason meeting: Patriots beat Panthers, 24-7 as one-point road underdogs in 2007.

Expert Analysis: Pat Hawkins - The Panthers under head coach Ron Rivera have proven over the last two seasons that they take the "dress rehearsal" preseason game very seriously going 2-0 last two seasons. Meanwhile, the Pats under Bill Belichick have gone 0-6 in the last six dress rehearsal games. Look for the Carolina defense to be strong limiting Brady and Company as the Pats treat this game as just a warm-up.

Giants at Jets (PK, 42½)

2014 Preseason Records:
NYG: 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS
NYJ: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS

Preseason review: The Giants have won their three exhibition games by a combined nine points, while erasing a 26-0 deficit in a 27-26 victory over the Colts. The Jets are also unbeaten in the preseason, as New York rallied from 14 points down in the third quarter to stun Cincinnati, 25-17 as three-point underdogs.

Last preseason meeting: Jets beat Giants, 24-21 in overtime as one-point road favorites in 2013.

Expert Analysis: The Gold Sheet - The Giants, despite their 27-26 fluke win last week at Indianapoils last week, continue to struggle with their new offense, which was scoreless for the first three quarters until Indy played its deep reserves. This is a Jets "home" game tonight in East Rutherford, and they should have the majority of the fans. These preseason Giants-Jets games have always been more meaningful to the Jets against the more established Giants. This year, the Jets are deeper at RB and sounder on defense than the Giants.

Raiders at Packers (-7, 44)

2014 Preseason Records:
OAK: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
GB: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Preseason review: The Raiders have looked clunky through two preseason games, losing at Minnesota in the opener, 10-7, while rallying to top Detroit at home, 27-26 last Friday, but failed to cover each time. The Packers put together a solid effort in a 21-7 triumph at St. Louis last Saturday, racking up 386 yards on offense, while cashing as 2½-point road underdogs.

Last preseason meeting: Raiders beat Packers, 24-13 as five-point home favorites in 2001.

Bears at Seahawks (-7, 45)

2014 Preseason Records:
CHI: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
SEA: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Preseason review: The Bears hit the road for the first time this preseason after coming off a pair of close home wins over the Eagles and Jaguars. Chicago erased deficits in each win, including coming back from a 28-17 hole against Philadelphia in a 34-28 victory in the opener. The Seahawks saw their eight-game preseason winning streak come to an end in the opener at Denver, but Seattle rebounded in a huge way by dominating San Diego, 41-14 last week as six-point home favorites.

Last preseason meeting: Seahawks beat Bears in overtime, 29-26 as one-point home underdogs in 2006.

Expert Analysis: Bruce Marshall - Pete Carroll's team looks to have rebounded quickly from its opening loss at Denver with a characteristic solid exhibition romp past San Diego last Friday. That marked the 10th SU win in 11 preseason games and 11th cover in 12 exhibitions for Carroll. Moreover, only one of those ten Seahawks wins was by a single-digit margin, and even that was by seven points and a spread cover last August at Green Bay. We'll stick with recent preseason history and ride with Seattle once more.
 
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Advanced sports investments

perry’s soccer club (-1.15)

germany – 2nd bundesliga
1230pm- tsv 1860 munchen @ 1. Fc heidenheim – over 2.5 -105

france – ligue 2
2pm- tours fc @ ac ajaccio – over 2 -140
2pm- ajaccio gfco @ clermont foot – under 2 -107

brazil – serie b
845pm- vasco da gama rj @ icasa ce – under 2.5 -130
 
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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PJ’ TENNIS CORNER (+3.85)
ATP – WINSTON-SALEM OPEN @ WINSTON SALEM, NC
3PM- Y LU -190 vs L ROSOL
 
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MLB betting cheat sheet: Diamondbacks limp home

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend’s major-league action:

Unders Galore

Thursday was the most profitable Under day of the season, with teams combining to go 0-8-1 O/U. Only two teams – Atlanta and San Francisco – scored more than four runs, while the Braves, New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays, Los Angeles Angels and Washington Nationals all recorded shutouts.

Diamondbacks Limp Home

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-121, 8.5) return home Friday for their series-opening tilt with the San Diego Padres. The Diamondbacks went 2-8 on their 10-game road trip through Cleveland, Miami and Washington, scoring just 21 runs on the entire trip en route to a 4-6 O/U mark.

Lester’s Home-Field Advantage

Jon Lester should have a decided upper hand Saturday as he and the Oakland Athletics face fellow lefty C.J. Wilson and the visiting Angels. Lester is 7-4 with a 1.88 ERA and a 3-10 O/U mark in home starts this season, while Wilson is 3-6 with a 5.22 ERA on the road.

Sale Owns Yankees

Best of luck to the Bronx Bombers on Sunday, as they tangle with Chris Sale and the Chicago White Sox. Sale is 3-0 with a 0.85 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 31 2/3 career innings versus the Yankees, and tossed six innings of one-hit, 10-strikeout ball against them earlier this season.

Pitching Notes

* Felix Hernandez will look to start a new streak of impressive starts Friday as he and the Seattle Mariners (-180, 7) face the host Boston Red Sox. Hernandez went just five innings in his last start, ending his streak of outings with seven or more innings and two or fewer runs allowed at 16.

* Jordan Lyles has an impressive string on the line Saturday as he leads the host Colorado Rockies into a showdown with the Miami Marlins. Lyles has racked up five consecutive overs – going 1-0 with four no-decisions over that span – and is 11-4 O/U for the year.

* Stephen Strasburg has had plenty of success against San Francisco as he and the Washington Nationals entertain the Giants on Sunday. Strasburg is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA in four career starts versus the Giants, including an impressive win as a -127 favorite back in June.

Hitting Notes

* The Mariners may have some trouble containing David Ortiz. The Boston Red Sox slugger has been red-hot over the past seven days, going 12-for-21 with four home runs and eight RBIs – and he’s the only one hitting well for Boston, which has dropped five straight.

* It could be a long Saturday for Rays outfielder David DeJesus. He’s hitting just .179 with two doubles and a homer in 78 career at-bats versus Toronto Blue Jays left-hander Mark Buehrle, who gets the call in the second game of the series.

* John Jaso will look to end his struggles versus Jered Weaver when the Athletics and Angels do battle Sunday. Jaso has just one hit in 17 career at-bats against Weaver, though he has drawn five walks – the most of any Oakland hitter versus Weaver.

Totals Streak

Baltimore Orioles (1-5-1 O/U): Solid pitching has been the catalyst for the Orioles’ four-game winning streak; they’ve allowed just seven runs during that stretch, which was capped by a sweep of the host Chicago White Sox. Baltimore is 54-68-3 O/U for the year.

Prop of the Day

Bettors may want to take a chance on the Miami Marlins prevailing by exactly one run Friday night in Colorado (+600). The Marlins have played one-run games in nine of right-hander Henderson Alvarez’s last 14 starts – and won all nine.

Injury Notes

* The Angels have lost starter Garrett Richards for the rest of the season with a torn patellar tendon. Richards was one of the best value plays in the majors this season, racking up $1,060 as the Angels went 19-7 in his 26 starts.

* The Dodgers are expected to have shortstop Hanley Ramirez (oblique) back in the lineup Sunday afternoon against the Mets. Ramirez has missed the last 12 games with the injury; Los Angeles is 6-6 SU, 5-7 O/U and -131 units in his absence.

Weather Watch

* Wind at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington will blow in from right field at 9 mph for Friday’s game between host Texas (+134, 9) and Kansas City. Teams averaged 8.19 runs and 1.85 homers in 27 games under similar conditions in 2013, slightly below stadium averages.

* A 9 mph wind will blow in from center field Saturday when the Red Sox host the Mariners. Teams averaged just 1.57 homers while batting a paltry .227 in seven games with the wind blowing in from center a year ago – well below Fenway Park averages.

** Odds, stats, weather forecasts and probable pitchers as of 9:45 a.m. ET Friday.
 
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RIVER CITY SHARPS

While the Pirates are trying to stay in touch with the NL wildcard, they find themselves travelling to an unfriendly place as they open up a series with the Milwaukee Brewers this weekend. The big problem for the Pirates is that the Brewers have absolutely owned the Pirates in Milwaukee and really overall. This season, the Brewers are 5-1 at Miller Park vs. Pittsburgh and since 2007, the Brewers are 53-13 at home vs. the Pirates! Tonight the Pirates give the ball to lefty Jeff Locke, who has struggled on the road and vs. the Brewers over his career. He will be opposed by Yovani Gallardo, who was absolutely brilliant in his last win over Clayton Kershaw and the LA Dodgers. While the Pirates did get a win Wednesday over the Braves, they have been struggling mightily over the last couple of weeks. They are 1-7 in their last eight games vs. teams with a winning record and 0-4 in Locke’s last four road starts. Milwaukee is playing good baseball as they lead the NL Central, going 10-4 in their last 14 games as a home favorite and a perfect 6-0 in the last six series openers. Gallardo is going to give the Brew Crew another solid effort and the Milwaukee domination of the Bucs continues tonight. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – MILWAUKEE BREWERS (-130)
 
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NFLPredictions

Kevin
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks – SEAHAWKS -7 (-105)


Kyle's pick
Jaguars vs. Lions Pick
PICK = OVER 44.5
 
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Orioles cashing for bettors in Gausman's road starts

The Baltimore Orioles are 5-1 in starting pitcher Kevin Gausman's previous six starts away from Oriole Park.

That's the spot he'll be in as the O's visit the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field as +100 road dogs Friday afternoon.

Orioles' wins at Tampa Bay (+136), Boston (+119), Oakland (+136), Seattle (+174), Washington (+127) and Cleveland (+116) have supplied bettors with plenty value in the right-hander's road starts.
 
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WNBA

Friday, August 22

Over tickets cash in first day of playoffs

The WNBA postseason began with the Over posting a perfect 2-0 record Thursday evening.

In the East, the Indiana Fever defeated the Washington Mystics 78-73 to eclipse the closing total of 141 by 10 points. Meanwhile in the West, the closing total of 155.5 didn't stand a chance as the Minnesota Lynx and San Antonio Stars combined for 172 points with the Lynx winning 88-84.

The other semifinals begin Friday as the Chicago Sky visit the Atlanta Dream with a total of 155, while the Phoenix Mercury host the Los Angeles Sparks with a total of 157.
 
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Thunderstorms in the forecast for these parks Friday
Andrew Avery

Thunderstorms could be on tap at a few stadiums which could impact your Major League Baseball bets Friday.

According to Daily Baseball Data, there is a 50 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms hitting Nationals Park in Washington as the Nationals host the San Francisco Giants.

There looks to be a good chance of rain leading up to gametime in Phiadelphia. Forecasts predict a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms in the hours prior to the start time, but that should subside shortly thereafter as the Phillies host the St. Louis Cardinals.

Forecasts are also calling for a 60 percent possibility of thunderstorms in Denver as the Rockies host the Miami Marlins.

Finally, Cincinnati could be hit some rain as well as forecasts are calling for a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms by the start of the game between the Reds and the visiting Atlanta Braves.
 
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Flags continue to fly in Week 3 opener
By ANDREW AVERY

Referees continued to toss flags at a fast and furious pace in the Thursday night matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Philadelphia Eagles. There were 27 more penalties accepted in the game, which is still greater than the 23.7 penalties per game rate that games have seen through the first two weeks of the preseason.

As we featured yesterday, the incredible amount of penalty flags littering fields league-wide forced oddsmakers to adapt when setting totals for Week 3 of the preseason schedule. For the first time in recent memory, all the NFL action this week is working off a total that is 40.0 or higher.

The Steelers-Eagles opened with a total of 50, but closed at most shops at 48.5. Regardless the number, the two teams combined for 52 points, aided by the 202 yards that came from the 27 penalties.

Friday sees five games on the board, including the Jaguars at Lions (44.5), Panthers at Patriots (45.5), Giants at Jets (42.5), Raiders at Packers (43.5) and Bears at Seahawks (45).
 
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Daily wager with Weekend Warrior - 8.22.14 August 22, 2014 6:49 AM by Mark Mayer

NFL Football Preseason Week 3


262 Seattle Seahawks -7½: Second game at home for Seahawks since NFC championship. Look for a heavy dose of the 12th Man against Chicago. Seattle covers at home whether it counts or not.
 

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Daily wager with Weekend Warrior - 8.22.14 August 22, 2014 6:49 AM by Mark Mayer

NFL Football Preseason Week 3

262 Seattle Seahawks -7½: First game at home for Seahawks since NFC championship. Look for a heavy dose of the 12th Man against Chicago. Seattle covers at home whether it counts or not.

They won last Friday night at home 41-14 :think2:
 

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Ben Burns

Houston vs. Cleveland - August 22, 2014 - 7:05 PM
Pick: Your pick will be graded at bookmaker @ Over 8.5 -120
Expert: Ben Burns
Evaluation: Aug 22 - 7:05 PM
Reason For Pick:
9* Best Bet OVER Astros/Indians

Any more BURNS?? The Oakland A's have to be his American Leauge Pf?? and the reds his nlPf?? thx. NFL ME
 

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A question of protocol for CPAW, other mods and semi-gods: As I get back into the saddle for football I've noticed that the

recent service play threads are 80% CPAW doing all the work. Has something changed over the summer? Are posters like

myself not supposed to contribute the plays from a service that they actually subscibe to? Has the service that most of the

old timers/long timers on this website are used to seeing me post been moved to the "NO POST" zone? More than happy to

RAZZLE things up a bit if that's allowed/desired/helpful. Maybe that's the reason that I'm having trouble sending P.M.s Just

let me know and I will cease and desist. And thanks again to you CPAW for all your time and hard work. CHEERS
 

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Cappers Finest:

CoverzNuggz: Jax +4 (bought 1)

CFPrez: [907] Pirates @ Brewers OVER 8 -109 *5.45u to win 5u*

CFPrez: [913] Mets ML +127 *3u to win 3.8u*

CFPrez: [922] Red Sox RL +1.5 -115 *2u*

CFPrez: [922] Red Sox ML +160 *2u to win 3.2u*

CFPrez: [905] Braves ML +100 *2u*

CFPrez: Parlay (
2 units to win 12.76), : 1st 5, RedSox, 1st 5, Mets, 1st 5, Atl/Reds Over 4


 

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A question of protocol for CPAW, other mods and semi-gods: As I get back into the saddle for football I've noticed that the

recent service play threads are 80% CPAW doing all the work. Has something changed over the summer? Are posters like

myself not supposed to contribute the plays from a service that they actually subscibe to? Has the service that most of the

old timers/long timers on this website are used to seeing me post been moved to the "NO POST" zone? More than happy to

RAZZLE things up a bit if that's allowed/desired/helpful. Maybe that's the reason that I'm having trouble sending P.M.s Just

let me know and I will cease and desist. And thanks again to you CPAW for all your time and hard work. CHEERS

Don't think anything has changed with the exception it is summer, which is a time of year some degenerates (present company excluded) take off a few weeks. I believe all contributions are most welcome and CPAW would love assistance.

One thing I have noticed lately is CPAW is running so frantic that many times he posts info already posted. Not his fault, simply a product of busting ass trying to get things done.

Welcome back HB.
 

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