Service Plays Friday 7/30/10

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GINA

Atlanta Braves (58-43) at Cincinnati Reds (57-46)
(R) Kris Medlen (6-2) vs. (R) Johnny Cueto (10-2)


Two division leaders and two first-rate pitchers square off tonight at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds returns home to battle the Atlanta Braves. Cincinnati is 4-2 in their last 6 games and has won six of its last nine contests versus the Braves. Atlanta is 2-4 in their last 6 games and 2-5 in its last 7 on the road.

Go with the Reds at home. Cincinnati has won nine of their last 12 games at home against Atlanta and Johnny Cueto has been terrific, 4-0 with a 0.88 ERA in his last six starts.

Atlanta's right-hander Kris Medlen (6-2, 3.57 ERA), is 1-0 with a 4.74 ERA in his last three starts. Medlen has never faced Cincinnati. The Braves are 11-1 in Medlen's last 12 starts, 5-0 in his last 5 on the road.

Cincinnati's right-hander Johnny Cueto (10-2, 3.18 ERA), is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last three starts. Cueto is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two career starts against the Braves. The Reds are 12-4 in Cueto’s last 16 starts, 6-1 in his last 7 at home.

Cincinnati Reds -140

 

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SR COMPUTER PICKS

Cincinnati Reds -140
New York Mets -140
St. Louis Cardinals -300 ***(best bet)

 

[1drmain]

jeff benton friday

0-1 yesterday MINUS 15 dimes OR minus $195. overall, 82-104-3 MINUS 455.

Friday's Winners ...

20 DIME selection on DBacks-Mets game OVER the total in the opener of a weekand series in New York. The consensus total in this contest is 8½ both here in Vegas and offshore. Starting pitchers are automatically listed with baseball totals, so Mike Pelfrey (Mets) and Ian Kennedy (DBacks) must go toenight or this play is VOID!





10 DIME selection on the Braves-Reds game UNDER the total in the opener of a weekend series in Cincinnati. The conrensus total in this contest is 8 ½ both here in Vegas and offshore. Starting pitchers are automatically listed with baseball totals, so Kevin Medlen (Braves) and Johnny Cueto (Reds) must go tonight or this play is VOID!








DBacks-Mets OVER the total There’s a lot about this game that screams 7-5 final score. First and foramost, because of its horrific bullpen and an offense that relies heavily on the long ball, Arizona is the most prolific “over” team in baseball, with a 61-39-2 over/under record, including 29-18-2 on the road. Coming into this one, eight of the DBacks’ last 13 contests have topped the total, with seven of those games reaching double digits.





Meanwhile, the Mets are a compleetely different offensive ballclub at Citi Field, where they hit .270 as a team and average nearly 5 runs per game. New York came home this week and put up 19 runs in its three games against the Cardinals, this immediately after scoring just 23 runs during an 11-game road trip (including four shutouts).





Of course, whenever you play a baseball total you first look to the starting pitchers. In this one, Arizona’s Ian Kennedy matches up against Mike Pelfrey for the second time in 11 days. Back on July 19 in the desert, Kennedy was dominant, allowing a run on four hits in five innings. Pelfrey was the complete opposite of dominant, surrendering six runs on seven hits in just 1 1/3 innings. Final score: Arizona 13, New York 2.





Although Kennedy has a decent 4.10 ERA on the season, he’s just 2-5 with a 4.70 ERA in 10 road starts, and he averages less than six innings when he’s on the road (which leaves at least three and somrtimes four innings for the worst bullpen in baseball to come in and light the mound on fire). And over his last five starts, the right-hander has gone 5 1/3 , 5 2/3, 5 1/3, 5 and 6 2/3 innings. Over those 28 innings, Kennedy has surrendered 18 earned runs for a 5.79 ERA.





As for Pelfrey, he is coming off his best start in a month, holding the Dodgers to two runs on six hits in five innings. That’s the positive. Here’s the negative: Even including that outing, he’s got a 10.53 ERA in his last five starts, allowing 23 runs, 36 hits and 12 walks in 19 2/3 innings. And with that disastrous outing at Arizona on July 19, Pelfrey is now 0-5 with a 6.75 ERA in six career starts against the DBacks, with the “over” going 3-1-1 in the last five.





Finally, there have been 29 runs scored in the first three games of the Mets’ homestand, while Arizona has topped the total in four of six overall, five of six as a visitor, seven of eight in series openers and 12 of 17 on Friday.








Braves-Reds UNDER Love these two starting pitchers in this one. Despite little fanfare, the Braves’ Kris Medlen has been outstanding this year, going 6-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 29 games (12 starts). In his dozen starts, he’s held nine opponents to three earned runs or fewer.





As good as Medlen has been, Reds right-hander Johnny Cueto has been even better. He’s 10-2 with a 3.18 ERA, and going back to June 18, Cueto has made seven starts and given up a total of six runs (five earned) in 46 2/3 innings (0.64 ERA). And while Medlen is facing the Reds for the first time ever, Cueto has dominated Atlanta twice in his career, giving up a total of three runs, seven this and three walks with 12 strikeouts in 13 innings (2.08 ERA).





Cincinnati won both games by scores of 6-2 and 4-2, both staying “under” the total. The Braves just stayed under the total in all three games of their series at Washington (scoring just six runs) and they're also on “under” streaks of 7-1-1 when opening a series, 10-4 against right-handed starters and 11-5 against winning teams, while the Reds are on “under” stretches of 4-1 against winning teams, 3-1-1 in series openers, 4-1 when Cueto pitches on Friday and 16-6-1 when Cueto is coming off five days of rest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben lee lost (2 in a row) on Thursday with the Giants -$140/Marlins

For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Reds -$140/Braves.

"Mr Chalk" is 67-45 -$720 for the 2010 MLB season.

 

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HOT SHOT SPORTS
3* KC Royals
FROM THE NC LINE
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Lance's Lock


Pick: The Angels -115

Overall: 995-885-35

Current streak: 1 win

 

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Sports Book Edge
3-0 This week
Sea.Mariners/Minn.Twins Over 8½

 

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Scott Rickenbach’s


National League *GAME OF THE MONTH* Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Washington vs Philadelphia @ 7:05 ET: Stammen vs Oswalt – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


Play OVER the total in Washington as a *10* Top Play selection.



Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees @ 7:10 ET: Davis vs Hughes – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


Play OVER the total in Tampa Bay as an *8* Regular Play selection.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Billy Irish
4-0 This week
Boston Red Sox -275

 

[Hap]

WARNING:
LENNY DEL GENIO PLAY:
Pick on ANA is based on Feldman going for Texas per the writeup, while Hunter is listed. I guess there must have been a pitching change after he made the posting.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Duke's Sports

LA Angels (-120) for 2 Units

The Angels, 9 games behind TX in the AL West, are in dire need of winning this series to gain some ground. We'll look for Ervin Santana to deliver the goods again. He was sharp Saturday holding the Rangers to just 2 ER over 8 innings, and he sports an impressive 1.57 ERA over his last 3 starts. We'll look for his mates to give him the needed run support. The Angels lit up tonight's starter - Tommy Hunter- to the tune of 7 ER in 2 1/3 innings September 28th -- the last time he was in Anaheim. Los Angeles is 5-0 following a day off and 5-0 in Santana's last 5 at home vs a winning team. And Santana is a strong 31-15 vs the ALW. With TX just 2-5 at Anaheim, we'll grab the desperate Angels.

 

[HotPot]

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Thank you for your purchase [/FONT]
The information you paid for is below:​

Youngstown Connection
Date: Friday July 30, 2010
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:​

MLB Play #1​

Cincinnati -129 7:10PM Eastern​

Line from 5 Dimes​

Line as of 4:30PM Eastern 7/30/10​

 

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FIVE STAR SPORTS
MLB

3 Star Philadelphia - 169

3 Star Atlanta + 123

4 Star NY Mets - 139

3 Star Cleveland + 170

 

[ugk]

WIN OR LOSE SPORTS BETTING
ADDED

CFL
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
414 ED -1.5 -110 $12 (5 pm)

MLB
PLAY OF THE DAY
Kansas City Royals

 

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MARC LAWRENCE

NY Yankees -110

We recommend a 3-unit play in the Yankees.

 

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Red Dog Sports

Seattle at Minnesota (Friday Total)

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5-2 in baseball.

Seattle at Minnesota
over 8

Plenty of over 8's out there tonight. Both starters have given up runs lately as Fister has allowed 15 runs in his last 15 innings on the road while Scott Baker has an ERA of 6.62 in his last 3 starts. Fister's ERA on the road is 5.74.

After a road trip and going back to Minnesota, the Twins have 5 overs and one under. They have scored 5, 10, 15, 7, 5 and 7 runs in those contests. The Twins are hitting .390 in their last 7 games and I hope to see them score early and often.

Maybe the Mariners can add to the total and score a few as they did in Chicago.

10* Mariners/Twins over 8

 

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LT Profits

Brewers/Astros UNDER 8 +109

Phillies/Nationals UNDER 8 -109
Rockies -122

 

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Gino Moretti's Winning Ticket

Arizona Diamondbacks listing both Kennedy/Pelfrey +130

 

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Primetime Sports Advisors
Rocky Sheridan

10* Cincinnati Reds

 

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BP PICKS SOURCE

PLAY OF THE DAY
Minnesota/Seattle o8 -115