Friday MLB play+ big Game info -GC
Friday MLB 7 UNIT GOY with 2 Power systems one of which wins by 4 rpg and is Perfect. The other play is from a 96% Dominator system and also has 3 Power angles.
On Friday the free MLB play is on the LA. Angels. Game 980 at 10:05 eastern. Texas fits a negative system which has cashed 14 of 19 times playing against road teams from -110 to +110 off a home favored win, vs an opponent off a home loss. The Rangers are scoring just under 3 runs per game over the past week and they have lost 2 of 3 times here this season. LA has E. Santana on the mound as they try to cut in to the Rangers division lead. Santana has allowed just 2 runs over his last 2 outings vs Texas. Santana should improve on his 1.57 era over his last 3 starts and lead the Angles to a game one win. On Friday I have the 2010 MLB Game of the year rated at 7 units. The game is backed with 2 high end systems one of which is perfect. The other which wins by 4 runs per game. Our team has all the edges and a pitcher who will be ready to dominate. The other game is a 96% dominator system side with 3 big Power angles. MLB is 34 games over .500. For the Bonus Play take the LA. Angels. BOL GC
Friday MLB 7 UNIT GOY with 2 Power systems one of which wins by 4 rpg and is Perfect. The other play is from a 96% Dominator system and also has 3 Power angles.
On Friday the free MLB play is on the LA. Angels. Game 980 at 10:05 eastern. Texas fits a negative system which has cashed 14 of 19 times playing against road teams from -110 to +110 off a home favored win, vs an opponent off a home loss. The Rangers are scoring just under 3 runs per game over the past week and they have lost 2 of 3 times here this season. LA has E. Santana on the mound as they try to cut in to the Rangers division lead. Santana has allowed just 2 runs over his last 2 outings vs Texas. Santana should improve on his 1.57 era over his last 3 starts and lead the Angles to a game one win. On Friday I have the 2010 MLB Game of the year rated at 7 units. The game is backed with 2 high end systems one of which is perfect. The other which wins by 4 runs per game. Our team has all the edges and a pitcher who will be ready to dominate. The other game is a 96% dominator system side with 3 big Power angles. MLB is 34 games over .500. For the Bonus Play take the LA. Angels. BOL GC
SPORTS WAGERS
HOUSTON +1.02 over Milwaukee
The Brewers favored in Houston with Manny Parra going up against recently acquired J.A. Happ is ludicrous to say the least. Of course the Brewers can win but one has to like the Astros chances more. Houston is coming off back-to-back wins over the Cubbies in which they outscored them 14-2. The Astros are 16-14 over its last 30 games and remain a very undervalued team almost daily. Last year Happ went 12-4 with a 2.93 and that record comes after pitching most of his games at Citizens Bank Park. Happ is not as good as those numbers suggest and that’s something to get into a little later but he’ll definitely be juiced up for his new team and his teammates will want to get him a win too. Also note that Houston is a .500 team vs lefties. Manny Parra appears to be running on fumes right now. This is a guy that’s been absolutely smoked in four of his last five starts. He’s coming off a decent game against the Nats but prior to that he allowed 25 ER over 21 IP. In 22 July innings, Parra has an ERA of 8.59 and a BAA of .364. Furthermore, the Astros have seen him plenty and in fact, current Astro hitters have 96 AB’s against Parra and they have a combined 34 hits for a BA of .364. Play: Houston +1.02 (Risking 2 units).
NY Yankees/TAMPA BAY over 9
Phil Hughes is 12-3 with a 4.04 ERA and while those numbers look decent on paper but the fact is, Hughes is a tired pitcher. This is a guy that’s never pitched more than 86 frames in a season and now he’s up to 111 innings. He’s in unchartered territory and the toll it’s taking is apparent. Throw out one game in Seattle in July and in his other four starts, Hughes has allowed 20 ER in 24 innings. Since May 28, Hughes has seen his ERA balloon from 2.70 to the current 4.04. Over his last 11 games he’s also faced Seattle twice, Baltimore twice, Houston, the Mets twice, Toronto, KC, the Angels and Cleveland. The only teams over .500 in that group are the Jays and Mets and they got to Hughes for 12 ER in a combined 18 IP. Hughes has had perhaps the easiest schedule in the majors over the past three months and his numbers are no better than guys like Kyle Davies, Jeremy Guthrie or Doug Fister. It goes even further than that. Hughes has a very low GB rate of 34% and a high strand rate of 74%. Hughes has relied on control most of the year to get him through, however, his K’s are way down because of fatigue (5 K’s in his last 10 IP) and frankly, a fatigued Hughes is simply not that good. Wade Davis isn’t much better despite his numbers. Davis has an unsustainable LOB% of 79.7% and that’s a number that should not be ignored. Is groundball rate is below the league average and this guy has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this season. Based on the numbers, both these teams should have plenty of runners and plenty of scoring opportunities. Both know how to cash them in and it wouldn’t surprise to see one of these teams or maybe both score seven or more. Play: NY Yankees/TB over 9 +1.01 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +1.15 over COLORDO
Very nice that the Rockies managed to squeeze out a victory last night over the Pirates to salvage one game in the series. The Rockies were a 3-1 favorite. This is a team that has lost to Joe Blanton, Sean Gallagher, Kyle Kendrick, Zach Duke and J.A. Happ among others during a stretch in which they’ve lost eight of 10. The two pitchers they beat over that stretch were Nate Robertson and Paul Maholm. Now they’ll face a quality pitcher in the ever-reliable Ryan Dempster. Dempster has a BAA of .240. He has 134 k’s in 140 innings and is always a threat to throw a strong game. Current Rockies have just 40 AB’s against Dempster and all they have to show for it is six hits for a BA of .150. The Cubbies are more dangerous against southpaws and will face one here in Jeff Francis. Francis is going good but he’s also been limited to under 100 pitches in seven straight starts and in 11 of 12 since coming off the DL. He has yet to throw over 100 pitches all year. By contrast, current Cubs hitter have 23 hits in 68 AB’s against Francis for a BA of .338. In no way do the Rocks have any advantage in this game, other than home field and it’s for that reason there’s great value on the visitor. Play: Chicago +1.15 (Risking 2 units).
EDMONTON -1½ over B.C. Lions
For the second consecutive week, many folks are on the Eskies to snap its losing streak and unlike last week, this week we have to agree. The Eskies were seriously instructed to take a gut-check this week and it says here they respond. They already lost to the Lions, in BC, in week one and losing twice to this pedestrian squad in five weeks is not an option. Fact is, the Eskies are much more talented than the Lions in every way, they just haven’t show it yet. Edmonton features a great RB in Arlee Whitlock and a proven QB in Ricky way while the Lions feature none of the aforementioned. Instead, they will once again be forced to turn to QB Travis Lulay for his second start. Lulay was adequate last week in Toronto but once the Argos caught on it was a different story. The Lions offense mustered a mere three points (a safety and a single) in the second half and things will not get easier this week against a team that is in a foul mood. The Lions are a one-dimensional squad and even its passing game is average. The Eskies will be so prepared and so ready to go for this one after the team lost its first four games for the first time in 45 years. Remember, just two weeks ago at home the Esks were taking it to the Als and one play changed the course of that game. This is a talented team at home playing a much-less talented team and there’s just no way the Eskies aren’t focused big time and treat this one like a playoff game, that’s how important it is. Play: Edmonton –1½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
HOUSTON +1.02 over Milwaukee
The Brewers favored in Houston with Manny Parra going up against recently acquired J.A. Happ is ludicrous to say the least. Of course the Brewers can win but one has to like the Astros chances more. Houston is coming off back-to-back wins over the Cubbies in which they outscored them 14-2. The Astros are 16-14 over its last 30 games and remain a very undervalued team almost daily. Last year Happ went 12-4 with a 2.93 and that record comes after pitching most of his games at Citizens Bank Park. Happ is not as good as those numbers suggest and that’s something to get into a little later but he’ll definitely be juiced up for his new team and his teammates will want to get him a win too. Also note that Houston is a .500 team vs lefties. Manny Parra appears to be running on fumes right now. This is a guy that’s been absolutely smoked in four of his last five starts. He’s coming off a decent game against the Nats but prior to that he allowed 25 ER over 21 IP. In 22 July innings, Parra has an ERA of 8.59 and a BAA of .364. Furthermore, the Astros have seen him plenty and in fact, current Astro hitters have 96 AB’s against Parra and they have a combined 34 hits for a BA of .364. Play: Houston +1.02 (Risking 2 units).
NY Yankees/TAMPA BAY over 9
Phil Hughes is 12-3 with a 4.04 ERA and while those numbers look decent on paper but the fact is, Hughes is a tired pitcher. This is a guy that’s never pitched more than 86 frames in a season and now he’s up to 111 innings. He’s in unchartered territory and the toll it’s taking is apparent. Throw out one game in Seattle in July and in his other four starts, Hughes has allowed 20 ER in 24 innings. Since May 28, Hughes has seen his ERA balloon from 2.70 to the current 4.04. Over his last 11 games he’s also faced Seattle twice, Baltimore twice, Houston, the Mets twice, Toronto, KC, the Angels and Cleveland. The only teams over .500 in that group are the Jays and Mets and they got to Hughes for 12 ER in a combined 18 IP. Hughes has had perhaps the easiest schedule in the majors over the past three months and his numbers are no better than guys like Kyle Davies, Jeremy Guthrie or Doug Fister. It goes even further than that. Hughes has a very low GB rate of 34% and a high strand rate of 74%. Hughes has relied on control most of the year to get him through, however, his K’s are way down because of fatigue (5 K’s in his last 10 IP) and frankly, a fatigued Hughes is simply not that good. Wade Davis isn’t much better despite his numbers. Davis has an unsustainable LOB% of 79.7% and that’s a number that should not be ignored. Is groundball rate is below the league average and this guy has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this season. Based on the numbers, both these teams should have plenty of runners and plenty of scoring opportunities. Both know how to cash them in and it wouldn’t surprise to see one of these teams or maybe both score seven or more. Play: NY Yankees/TB over 9 +1.01 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +1.15 over COLORDO
Very nice that the Rockies managed to squeeze out a victory last night over the Pirates to salvage one game in the series. The Rockies were a 3-1 favorite. This is a team that has lost to Joe Blanton, Sean Gallagher, Kyle Kendrick, Zach Duke and J.A. Happ among others during a stretch in which they’ve lost eight of 10. The two pitchers they beat over that stretch were Nate Robertson and Paul Maholm. Now they’ll face a quality pitcher in the ever-reliable Ryan Dempster. Dempster has a BAA of .240. He has 134 k’s in 140 innings and is always a threat to throw a strong game. Current Rockies have just 40 AB’s against Dempster and all they have to show for it is six hits for a BA of .150. The Cubbies are more dangerous against southpaws and will face one here in Jeff Francis. Francis is going good but he’s also been limited to under 100 pitches in seven straight starts and in 11 of 12 since coming off the DL. He has yet to throw over 100 pitches all year. By contrast, current Cubs hitter have 23 hits in 68 AB’s against Francis for a BA of .338. In no way do the Rocks have any advantage in this game, other than home field and it’s for that reason there’s great value on the visitor. Play: Chicago +1.15 (Risking 2 units).
EDMONTON -1½ over B.C. Lions
For the second consecutive week, many folks are on the Eskies to snap its losing streak and unlike last week, this week we have to agree. The Eskies were seriously instructed to take a gut-check this week and it says here they respond. They already lost to the Lions, in BC, in week one and losing twice to this pedestrian squad in five weeks is not an option. Fact is, the Eskies are much more talented than the Lions in every way, they just haven’t show it yet. Edmonton features a great RB in Arlee Whitlock and a proven QB in Ricky way while the Lions feature none of the aforementioned. Instead, they will once again be forced to turn to QB Travis Lulay for his second start. Lulay was adequate last week in Toronto but once the Argos caught on it was a different story. The Lions offense mustered a mere three points (a safety and a single) in the second half and things will not get easier this week against a team that is in a foul mood. The Lions are a one-dimensional squad and even its passing game is average. The Eskies will be so prepared and so ready to go for this one after the team lost its first four games for the first time in 45 years. Remember, just two weeks ago at home the Esks were taking it to the Als and one play changed the course of that game. This is a talented team at home playing a much-less talented team and there’s just no way the Eskies aren’t focused big time and treat this one like a playoff game, that’s how important it is. Play: Edmonton –1½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
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