The kind of overwhelming trends in the favor of Oakland and against Minnesota in this game in many instances means that the team which is supposed to lose (Minnesota in this case) is the team which actually wins as strange as it seems-I am not saying it will happen tonight but it wouldn't surprise me one bit if it does.
The kind of overwhelming trends in the favor of Oakland and against Minnesota in this game in many instances means that the team which is supposed to lose (Minnesota in this case) is the team which actually wins as strange as it seems-I am not saying it will happen tonight but it wouldn't surprise me one bit if it does.
These trends seem more like statistical coincidence. Like if you flipped a coin 100 times, usually the flips will be close to 50-50. But occasionally, it would get skewed to 80-20 or 70-30. As the earlier post by savage1 said, the odds will even out, when there is no correlation between these trends and why a team wins or loses, over time.
I agree, some of them at least sound logic based, but others sound like the kind of trends that MTI, an NBA handicapper sometimes seen in this thread, posts, like: "Teams that had 16 turnovers, shot less than 37% and had to travel more than one time zone to a game next day are 1-16 SU and 3-14 ATS," that kind of stuff.
O.C. DOOLEY
“2 UNIT” UNDERDOG INTANGIBLE (Astros +165 at Brewers in an 8:10 et start------Lyles versus Wolf): Considering that he is only 20 years old it is obvious that Jordan Lyles is Houston’s top pitching prospect since he has been given an extended look at the major league level. Tonight Lyles will attempt to avoid becoming the first pitcher in Astros history to go 11 consecutive starts to begin a major league career without garnering a victory. The last time Lyles was on the mound was this past Sunday when his team succumbed to a loss in “extra innings” which tells me this talented rookie is ready to get over the hump so to speak. Tonight is the perfect spot for Lyles to finally get a much deserved triumph since Houston as a team is riding a 2-game WINNING streak where the upset the Cardinals in St. Louis on consecutive nights. The Houston offense is hitting on all cylinders this week led by veteran Carlos Lee who in the past ten games has 3 homers and 12 runs driven in. Lee just happens to be a former Milwaukee Brewer which gives him a bit of extra motivation during the weekend. In 13 starts since the All Star break speedster Michael Bourn has posted an unconscious batting average (.424) while stealing 12 bases. Fellow Astros outfielder Hunter Pence has been one of the most sought after bats in the trade market but he has actually come out in the press wishing to stay with the last place organization that apparently has treated him well. With Pence in the starting lineup Houston has a .300 hitter for at least one more game that has both power and speed. The Astros system produced the leading minor league hitter this campaign and infielder Jose Altuve has not disappointed by reaching base safely in each of his initial 7 major league starts. I am aware that Milwaukee just swept a lowly divisional opponent (Cubs) at home but veteran Randy Wolf (4.86 ERA past five starts) has struggled recently while All Star infielder Rickie Weeks has just been lost to an ankle injury. Brewers slugger Ryan Braun is also nursing a calf injury while Prince Fielder has hit just one homer since the mid-summer classic. In the past two years Houston has produced a winning record on the ROAD (12-8) after a victory that was decided by a margin of 2-or-less runs
“2 UNIT” UNDERDOG INTANGIBLE (Astros +165 at Brewers in an 8:10 et start------Lyles versus Wolf): Considering that he is only 20 years old it is obvious that Jordan Lyles is Houston’s top pitching prospect since he has been given an extended look at the major league level. Tonight Lyles will attempt to avoid becoming the first pitcher in Astros history to go 11 consecutive starts to begin a major league career without garnering a victory. The last time Lyles was on the mound was this past Sunday when his team succumbed to a loss in “extra innings” which tells me this talented rookie is ready to get over the hump so to speak. Tonight is the perfect spot for Lyles to finally get a much deserved triumph since Houston as a team is riding a 2-game WINNING streak where the upset the Cardinals in St. Louis on consecutive nights. The Houston offense is hitting on all cylinders this week led by veteran Carlos Lee who in the past ten games has 3 homers and 12 runs driven in. Lee just happens to be a former Milwaukee Brewer which gives him a bit of extra motivation during the weekend. In 13 starts since the All Star break speedster Michael Bourn has posted an unconscious batting average (.424) while stealing 12 bases. Fellow Astros outfielder Hunter Pence has been one of the most sought after bats in the trade market but he has actually come out in the press wishing to stay with the last place organization that apparently has treated him well. With Pence in the starting lineup Houston has a .300 hitter for at least one more game that has both power and speed. The Astros system produced the leading minor league hitter this campaign and infielder Jose Altuve has not disappointed by reaching base safely in each of his initial 7 major league starts. I am aware that Milwaukee just swept a lowly divisional opponent (Cubs) at home but veteran Randy Wolf (4.86 ERA past five starts) has struggled recently while All Star infielder Rickie Weeks has just been lost to an ankle injury. Brewers slugger Ryan Braun is also nursing a calf injury while Prince Fielder has hit just one homer since the mid-summer classic. In the past two years Houston has produced a winning record on the ROAD (12-8) after a victory that was decided by a margin of 2-or-less runs
BOB BALFE
Red Sox / White Sox Over 9
These teams put up a ton of runs when they get together and, until Tim Wakefield shows he has control again, I believe he is going to continue to get rocked. Wakefield is an aging pitcher who never had much speed and players are now able to hit his fading knuckleball. Boston has a great offensive team and I really think we are going to know in the first three innings if this game goes over the total or not. Take the Over.
Red Sox / White Sox Over 9
These teams put up a ton of runs when they get together and, until Tim Wakefield shows he has control again, I believe he is going to continue to get rocked. Wakefield is an aging pitcher who never had much speed and players are now able to hit his fading knuckleball. Boston has a great offensive team and I really think we are going to know in the first three innings if this game goes over the total or not. Take the Over.
