JIM FEIST
20-Star Baseball High Roller Diamond Total - Friday
League: MLB
Event: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals on 06/04/2010 at 4:05PM
Condition: Under
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: High Roller Total: Reds/Nationals Under the total.
Washington is a very large park, friendly to pitchers. The Nationals are 6-3 under the total their last nine home games. A pair of veteran aces take the mound here, ones who are pitching very well. Aaron Harang of the Reds has turned things around after a poor start, with a 2-0 record his last three starts, just 5 walks in 19 innings. He doesn't allow free passes, with a strong 52-15 strikeout to walk ratio. Veteran righty Livan Hernandez is having one of his best seasons, with a 2.15 ERA. He doesn't walk anyone, either. IN his 10 starts he has allowed 4 runs once, 3 runs once, and less than that in the other 8 starts. The team is 9-1 under the total in his 10 starts. Hernandez struck out four without walking a batter his last start, which is eight quality starts in 10 trips to the hill. Opponents are hitting .222 off him, meaning this total is too high. Play the Reds/Nationals Under the total
20-Star Baseball High Roller Diamond Total - Friday
League: MLB
Event: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals on 06/04/2010 at 4:05PM
Condition: Under
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: High Roller Total: Reds/Nationals Under the total.
Washington is a very large park, friendly to pitchers. The Nationals are 6-3 under the total their last nine home games. A pair of veteran aces take the mound here, ones who are pitching very well. Aaron Harang of the Reds has turned things around after a poor start, with a 2-0 record his last three starts, just 5 walks in 19 innings. He doesn't allow free passes, with a strong 52-15 strikeout to walk ratio. Veteran righty Livan Hernandez is having one of his best seasons, with a 2.15 ERA. He doesn't walk anyone, either. IN his 10 starts he has allowed 4 runs once, 3 runs once, and less than that in the other 8 starts. The team is 9-1 under the total in his 10 starts. Hernandez struck out four without walking a batter his last start, which is eight quality starts in 10 trips to the hill. Opponents are hitting .222 off him, meaning this total is too high. Play the Reds/Nationals Under the total
HOLLYWOOD SPORTS
25* MLB DIVISIONAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (91%* 10-1 MLB run!) -- Friday
Handicapper: Hollywood Sports
League: MLB
Event: Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks on 06/04/2010 at 6:40PM
Condition: Over
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: At 9:40 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks listing both pitchers Aaron Cook and Ian Kennedy. Arizona (20-34) sends out Ian Kennedy who is 3-3 with a 3.38 ERA for the season. Yet despite these solid numbers, the deeper sabermetrics for Kennedy are troublesome. Kennedy has a BABIP (Batting Average for Balls In Play) for the groundballs that he is allowing of .216 -- as compared to the .261 groundball BABIP for all Diamondbacks' pitchers overall. When taking into account the Arizona defense, Kennedy's low GB BABIP suggests he has been lucky regarding where the groundballs he is allowing are actually going. Sabermetric theory argues that this figure should regress to the mean average -- which means Kennedy should see more groundball base-hits in his future. Additionally, Kennedy is allowing line-drive base-hits at a .781 clip as opposed to the MLB average of .724. We argue that allowing line-drive base-hits is attributable to the pitcher losing the battle with a hitter who successfully accomplished their goal of producing line-drive contact. This concern is consistent with Kennedy's high ISO (ISOlated power) of .195 for the season which indicates he is giving up a disproportionate amount of extra-base hits. This is a dangerous combination with that low GB BABIP as it suggests more groundball base-hits will soon accompany these extra-base hits.
Colorado (28-25) sends out Aaron Cook who is 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA and a high 1.59 WHIP for the season. In Arizona's last 7 games against a pitcher with a WHIP over 1.35, all 7 of these games went Over the Total. Like Kennedy, Cook has a low GB BABIP of .200 for the season which is about 10% lower then the Rockies' overall .219 GB BABIP this season. This is evidence that Cook's ERA and WHIP should actually be worse then what it is so far this year. Cook's split stats worry us as well. On the road this year, Cook has a sky-high 7.04 ERA with a 1.96 WHIP and an opponent's batting average of .336 -- as opposed to his significantly better 2.63 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .228 opponent's batting average at home in Coors Field. Cook also struggles against the Diamondbacks. In three starts in '09, Cook had a 7.09 ERA, 1.90 WHIP and allowed Arizona batters to hit him at a .393 clip. In the last 26 games Colorado has faced a team with a losing record with Cook on the mound, 19 of these games went Over the Total. The Over is 11-5-1 in Arizona's last 17 games against a right-handed starter. And the Over is 12-3-1 in the Diamondbacks last 16 home games against a team with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 49-15-2 combined winning angle for this game. In Arizona's last 5 games at home, they scored 41 runs while batting a collective .318. The linesmakers knew what they were doing in this situation as both pitchers are very vulnerable in this game. 25* NL West Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks listing both pitchers Aaron Cook and Ian Kennedy. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
25* MLB DIVISIONAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (91%* 10-1 MLB run!) -- Friday
Handicapper: Hollywood Sports
League: MLB
Event: Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks on 06/04/2010 at 6:40PM
Condition: Over
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: At 9:40 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks listing both pitchers Aaron Cook and Ian Kennedy. Arizona (20-34) sends out Ian Kennedy who is 3-3 with a 3.38 ERA for the season. Yet despite these solid numbers, the deeper sabermetrics for Kennedy are troublesome. Kennedy has a BABIP (Batting Average for Balls In Play) for the groundballs that he is allowing of .216 -- as compared to the .261 groundball BABIP for all Diamondbacks' pitchers overall. When taking into account the Arizona defense, Kennedy's low GB BABIP suggests he has been lucky regarding where the groundballs he is allowing are actually going. Sabermetric theory argues that this figure should regress to the mean average -- which means Kennedy should see more groundball base-hits in his future. Additionally, Kennedy is allowing line-drive base-hits at a .781 clip as opposed to the MLB average of .724. We argue that allowing line-drive base-hits is attributable to the pitcher losing the battle with a hitter who successfully accomplished their goal of producing line-drive contact. This concern is consistent with Kennedy's high ISO (ISOlated power) of .195 for the season which indicates he is giving up a disproportionate amount of extra-base hits. This is a dangerous combination with that low GB BABIP as it suggests more groundball base-hits will soon accompany these extra-base hits.
Colorado (28-25) sends out Aaron Cook who is 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA and a high 1.59 WHIP for the season. In Arizona's last 7 games against a pitcher with a WHIP over 1.35, all 7 of these games went Over the Total. Like Kennedy, Cook has a low GB BABIP of .200 for the season which is about 10% lower then the Rockies' overall .219 GB BABIP this season. This is evidence that Cook's ERA and WHIP should actually be worse then what it is so far this year. Cook's split stats worry us as well. On the road this year, Cook has a sky-high 7.04 ERA with a 1.96 WHIP and an opponent's batting average of .336 -- as opposed to his significantly better 2.63 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .228 opponent's batting average at home in Coors Field. Cook also struggles against the Diamondbacks. In three starts in '09, Cook had a 7.09 ERA, 1.90 WHIP and allowed Arizona batters to hit him at a .393 clip. In the last 26 games Colorado has faced a team with a losing record with Cook on the mound, 19 of these games went Over the Total. The Over is 11-5-1 in Arizona's last 17 games against a right-handed starter. And the Over is 12-3-1 in the Diamondbacks last 16 home games against a team with a winning record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 49-15-2 combined winning angle for this game. In Arizona's last 5 games at home, they scored 41 runs while batting a collective .318. The linesmakers knew what they were doing in this situation as both pitchers are very vulnerable in this game. 25* NL West Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks listing both pitchers Aaron Cook and Ian Kennedy. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
HOLLYWOOD SPORTS
20* MLB TOTAL SABERMETRICS SPECIAL (DYNAMITE 26-5 winning angles) -- Friday
Handicapper: Hollywood Sports
League: MLB
Event: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals on 06/04/2010 at 4:05PM
Condition: Over
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Washington Nationals listing both pitchers Aaron Harang and Livan Hernandez. We don't trust Hernandez -- especially with a Total that has dropped to 8.5 in many locations. After compiling a 5.47 ERA in 135 innings midway through last season for the Mets, the journeyman right-hander was traded to the Nationals where he produced a 2-4 record with a 5.36 ERA in 48 2/3 innings. Not much was expected of the 35-year old this season except the hope that he would gobble up innings. Instead, Hernandez seems to have visited the fountain of youth in the offseason as he has produced a 4-3 record with a 2.15 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP so far in this campaign. But below the surface of these strong frontline numbers are some very troubling peripheral numbers that suggest bad times are soon to come. Hernandez's BABIP (Batting Average for Balls In Play) for the groundballs that he is allowing is an extremely low .102 -- as compared to the .227 groundball BABIP major league average. Granted, one of the reasons that the Nationals (26-29) are overachieving is their improved defense that is limiting groundball base-hits to just a .194 clip. Yet it is simply not sustainable for Hernandez to see only 1 of 10 groundballs he allows go for base-hits. Sabermetric theory argues that this figure should regress to the mean average -- Hernandez's GB BABIP number should double (at least) which will spell trouble for him. And the tide may already be turning for Hernandez as he is 0-1 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over his last three starts. Furthermore, Hernandez is 0-5 with a 6.51 ERA in his last five starts against the Reds. The Reds will likely continue to stymie Hernandez as 6 of their last 7 games against right-handed starters have gone Over the Total. Cincinnati (31-23) has a strong offense this season. They average 5.15 runs-per-game with a .275 batting average and 70 homeruns -- ranking 4th, 3rd and 3rd in the National League respectively. 6 of the Nationals' last 7 home games have gone Over the Total with Hernandez on the hill against a team with a winning record.
Cincinnati sends out Aaron Harang who is struggling with a 4-5 record with a 5.48 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Harang typically struggles when on the road. Last year, Harang had a 5.18 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and .324 opponent's batting average on the road versus his solid 3.43 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .254 opponent's batting average when at home. These trends are continuing this season as Harang has an ugly 6.95 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and .355 opponent's batting average away from home while improving a bit at home with his 4.74 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and .269 opponent's batting average in the Great American Ballpark. In the last 4 games the Reds have played a team with a losing Over is 5-1 and 5-2 for the Reds and Nationals respectively when coming off a loss. Together, these team trends produce our specific 26-5 combined winning angle. At 8.5 (or even 9), we are getting a very attractive Over/Under number given the vulnerabilities of both these pitchers. 20* MLB Total Sabermetrics Special with Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Washington Nationals listing both pitchers Aaron Harang and Livan Hernandez. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
20* MLB TOTAL SABERMETRICS SPECIAL (DYNAMITE 26-5 winning angles) -- Friday
Handicapper: Hollywood Sports
League: MLB
Event: Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals on 06/04/2010 at 4:05PM
Condition: Over
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Washington Nationals listing both pitchers Aaron Harang and Livan Hernandez. We don't trust Hernandez -- especially with a Total that has dropped to 8.5 in many locations. After compiling a 5.47 ERA in 135 innings midway through last season for the Mets, the journeyman right-hander was traded to the Nationals where he produced a 2-4 record with a 5.36 ERA in 48 2/3 innings. Not much was expected of the 35-year old this season except the hope that he would gobble up innings. Instead, Hernandez seems to have visited the fountain of youth in the offseason as he has produced a 4-3 record with a 2.15 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP so far in this campaign. But below the surface of these strong frontline numbers are some very troubling peripheral numbers that suggest bad times are soon to come. Hernandez's BABIP (Batting Average for Balls In Play) for the groundballs that he is allowing is an extremely low .102 -- as compared to the .227 groundball BABIP major league average. Granted, one of the reasons that the Nationals (26-29) are overachieving is their improved defense that is limiting groundball base-hits to just a .194 clip. Yet it is simply not sustainable for Hernandez to see only 1 of 10 groundballs he allows go for base-hits. Sabermetric theory argues that this figure should regress to the mean average -- Hernandez's GB BABIP number should double (at least) which will spell trouble for him. And the tide may already be turning for Hernandez as he is 0-1 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over his last three starts. Furthermore, Hernandez is 0-5 with a 6.51 ERA in his last five starts against the Reds. The Reds will likely continue to stymie Hernandez as 6 of their last 7 games against right-handed starters have gone Over the Total. Cincinnati (31-23) has a strong offense this season. They average 5.15 runs-per-game with a .275 batting average and 70 homeruns -- ranking 4th, 3rd and 3rd in the National League respectively. 6 of the Nationals' last 7 home games have gone Over the Total with Hernandez on the hill against a team with a winning record.
Cincinnati sends out Aaron Harang who is struggling with a 4-5 record with a 5.48 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Harang typically struggles when on the road. Last year, Harang had a 5.18 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and .324 opponent's batting average on the road versus his solid 3.43 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .254 opponent's batting average when at home. These trends are continuing this season as Harang has an ugly 6.95 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and .355 opponent's batting average away from home while improving a bit at home with his 4.74 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and .269 opponent's batting average in the Great American Ballpark. In the last 4 games the Reds have played a team with a losing Over is 5-1 and 5-2 for the Reds and Nationals respectively when coming off a loss. Together, these team trends produce our specific 26-5 combined winning angle. At 8.5 (or even 9), we are getting a very attractive Over/Under number given the vulnerabilities of both these pitchers. 20* MLB Total Sabermetrics Special with Over the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Washington Nationals listing both pitchers Aaron Harang and Livan Hernandez. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
SPORTS WAGERS
San Francisco –1½ +1.27 over PITTSBURGH
The Giants are very likely thrilled to be going on the road after a nine-game home stand in which they went 6-3. That’s a tough park for hitter’s and yet the Giants bats have come to life and that’s why they’ll enjoy playing at PNC Park against this ugly pitching staff. The Giants are hitting .279 over its last nine games and Zack Duke isn’t likely to slow them down. Duke has a BAA this year of .322 after allowing 85 hits in 63 IP. His BABIP is an eye-opening .359 and he’s been fortunate that his numbers aren’t worse because he has a 70% strand rate. Duke is almost always pitching every single inning with two men on. Jonathan Sanchez faced the Pirates back on April 14th and threw eight innings of shutout ball, with 3 walks and a career-high 11 strikeouts. Sanchez has a 2.90 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 63:29 K:BB ratio through 62 innings this season. He's given up four or fewer runs in each of his starts, and three of his losses have come from games that he allowed two or fewer runs. His BAA is .181 after allowing just 39 hits in 62 innings. Fact is, Sanchez has been one of the most dominant pitchers in the league this year but a 3-4 record has kept him way under the radar, thus making him very undervalued. Lastly the Pirates feature one of the weakest hitting line-ups in the business. In fact, the Pirates have scored three runs or less in eight straight games and in 12 of its last 13 games. This has to be considered the biggest pitching mismatch on today’s menu. Play: San Francisco –1½ +1.27 (Risking 2 units).
HOUSTON +1.21 over Chicago
The Astros have won three in a row and four of its last five games and they’re bats have suddenly come to life. That picks up everybody including the pitching staff, knowing they don’t have to be perfect to win. Felipe Paulino is a quality pitcher with all the upside in the world but is learning as he goes and that has resulted in some tough outings. However, he’s also thrown some gems and the line-up he’ll face here is one that can be dominated. The Cubbies were swept in Pittsburgh and has not lost five of its last seven games. During that stretch they scored one runs or less four times. Over its last three games, the Cubbies have scored five runs and that includes three runs in Pittsburgh against Russ Ohlendorf and Jeff Karstens. Both those pitchers had ERA’s of over five before they faced the Cubs and a combined record of 1-5. Carlos Zambrano is back in the starting rotation and all we can say is big deal. This guy has been getting progressively worse for three years now and it hasn’t been gradual. He went from being an ace to being a donkey pretty much overnight and he’s not looked back. Ok, perhaps that’s a bit exaggerated because Zambrano still has good stuff. However, he hasn’t started in six weeks and now he’s going to be asked to pitch much longer and that’s not easy. He’ll also pitch under pressure knowing that a bad outing could send him right back where he does not like to be. Mentally, this is a tough spot for Zambrano and the Astros have some pep back in their steps. Wrong side favored. Play: Houston +1.21 (Risking 2 units).
Detroit –1½ +1.19 over KANSAS CITY
Ironic, isn’t it that the two teams involved in the biggest umpire blown calls in history will meet right after the last one. Anyway, Bruce Chen made his first start of 2010 last week after spending the season in the bullpen. His 2.70 ERA might give the impression that there is still some potential in his arm but his 5.28 xERA and lousy command (10 walks in 13 IP) should clear that up. The Royals are turning to him out of desperation and that’s all there is to it. Over the past three seasons prior to this one, Chen had ERA’s of 5.78, 7.20 and 6.93 respectively. He’s pitched for 12 teams over the past 10 years and each team couldn’t wait to dump him faster than the last. The Royals will be next on that list. Meanwhile, Max Scherzer seemed to benefit from his time in Triple-A, as he threw 5.2 scoreless IP with 14 strikeouts in his first start back in the majors. And for the season, his 4.62 xERA suggests he hasn't pitched as badly as his 6.42 ERA indicates. He faced the Royals in his first two starts of the season and posted a 1.64 ERA and chances are great he’ll get lots of run support here. Play Detroit –1½ +1.19 (Risking 2 units).
Florida +1.02 over NY METS
Given a choice, the Marlins would play the Mets 162 times a year if they could. The Fish have beaten up on the Mets this season by winning six of seven games and in the last three they scored 10, 7 and 7 runs respectively in a three-game set. Anibal Sanchez (60 BPV, 0-5-5-4-5 PQS) has come on strong lately, going 4-0 with a 1.33 ERA over his last four starts. He faced the Mets in one of those outings on May 14th, posting a PQS-5 over 7 IP, allowing 2 ER with 2 walks and 7 strikeouts. In 62 IP this season, Sanchez has allowed just one jack and has struck out 49 batters. The Marlins have also won four of five and catch the Mets returning home from a six game trip that took them to Milwaukee and then San Diego. R.A. Dickey has been rock solid but with a knuckleballer, you’re always taking a risk. There’s a reason Dickey has been up and down from the minors for 14 years and it’s not because he’s great. He’s a fill in guy until some healthy bodies come back and while the Mets will gladly ride him for all he’s worth, chances are an implosion is forthcoming very soon. Marlins are warming up again with four wins in five games and they offer up some more good value here. Play: Florida +1.02 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +1.07 over PHILADELPHIA
Give the Broad Street Bullies all the credit in the world for making this a series and with a few bounces their way Philly could easily be up 2-1 or even 3-0. Now the Flyers stock has increased dramatically after that latest 4-3 OT win and it’s usually not a good idea to play on a team when its stock is high. Let’s face it, the Blackhawks have yet to show up in this series. They’ve had a few good shifts and they’ve had some decent periods but this isn’t the same team we saw against San Jose, Nashville or Vancouver. Now the Blackhawks are hearing it from the media and everywhere else. One cannot argue that Chicago has not played up to its potential and that will all get pushed aside tonight. The Blackhawks will come out and play their hearts out for a full 60 minutes. They will leave nothing on the table tonight. They’re simply the much-better team that has not played so good in the first three games, yet they won two of them and lost in OT in the third. Furthermore, and I don’t care what anyone says, Michael Leighton has been extremely lucky thus far w9th saves that have hit him square in the chest, arm or stick. He’s slow and he’s out of position too often to keep getting lucky. These Blackhawks sharpshooters will expose this guy soon enough. Aside from Pronger, the Flyers defense is vulnerable to so many bad plays and Chicago has yet to pressure them enough. Lukas Krajicek couldn’t be the seventh defenseman on 99% of the teams in this league and this is the game that Chicago pulls it together and shows the world whom they really are. Play: Chicago +1.07 (Risking 2 units).
San Francisco –1½ +1.27 over PITTSBURGH
The Giants are very likely thrilled to be going on the road after a nine-game home stand in which they went 6-3. That’s a tough park for hitter’s and yet the Giants bats have come to life and that’s why they’ll enjoy playing at PNC Park against this ugly pitching staff. The Giants are hitting .279 over its last nine games and Zack Duke isn’t likely to slow them down. Duke has a BAA this year of .322 after allowing 85 hits in 63 IP. His BABIP is an eye-opening .359 and he’s been fortunate that his numbers aren’t worse because he has a 70% strand rate. Duke is almost always pitching every single inning with two men on. Jonathan Sanchez faced the Pirates back on April 14th and threw eight innings of shutout ball, with 3 walks and a career-high 11 strikeouts. Sanchez has a 2.90 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 63:29 K:BB ratio through 62 innings this season. He's given up four or fewer runs in each of his starts, and three of his losses have come from games that he allowed two or fewer runs. His BAA is .181 after allowing just 39 hits in 62 innings. Fact is, Sanchez has been one of the most dominant pitchers in the league this year but a 3-4 record has kept him way under the radar, thus making him very undervalued. Lastly the Pirates feature one of the weakest hitting line-ups in the business. In fact, the Pirates have scored three runs or less in eight straight games and in 12 of its last 13 games. This has to be considered the biggest pitching mismatch on today’s menu. Play: San Francisco –1½ +1.27 (Risking 2 units).
HOUSTON +1.21 over Chicago
The Astros have won three in a row and four of its last five games and they’re bats have suddenly come to life. That picks up everybody including the pitching staff, knowing they don’t have to be perfect to win. Felipe Paulino is a quality pitcher with all the upside in the world but is learning as he goes and that has resulted in some tough outings. However, he’s also thrown some gems and the line-up he’ll face here is one that can be dominated. The Cubbies were swept in Pittsburgh and has not lost five of its last seven games. During that stretch they scored one runs or less four times. Over its last three games, the Cubbies have scored five runs and that includes three runs in Pittsburgh against Russ Ohlendorf and Jeff Karstens. Both those pitchers had ERA’s of over five before they faced the Cubs and a combined record of 1-5. Carlos Zambrano is back in the starting rotation and all we can say is big deal. This guy has been getting progressively worse for three years now and it hasn’t been gradual. He went from being an ace to being a donkey pretty much overnight and he’s not looked back. Ok, perhaps that’s a bit exaggerated because Zambrano still has good stuff. However, he hasn’t started in six weeks and now he’s going to be asked to pitch much longer and that’s not easy. He’ll also pitch under pressure knowing that a bad outing could send him right back where he does not like to be. Mentally, this is a tough spot for Zambrano and the Astros have some pep back in their steps. Wrong side favored. Play: Houston +1.21 (Risking 2 units).
Detroit –1½ +1.19 over KANSAS CITY
Ironic, isn’t it that the two teams involved in the biggest umpire blown calls in history will meet right after the last one. Anyway, Bruce Chen made his first start of 2010 last week after spending the season in the bullpen. His 2.70 ERA might give the impression that there is still some potential in his arm but his 5.28 xERA and lousy command (10 walks in 13 IP) should clear that up. The Royals are turning to him out of desperation and that’s all there is to it. Over the past three seasons prior to this one, Chen had ERA’s of 5.78, 7.20 and 6.93 respectively. He’s pitched for 12 teams over the past 10 years and each team couldn’t wait to dump him faster than the last. The Royals will be next on that list. Meanwhile, Max Scherzer seemed to benefit from his time in Triple-A, as he threw 5.2 scoreless IP with 14 strikeouts in his first start back in the majors. And for the season, his 4.62 xERA suggests he hasn't pitched as badly as his 6.42 ERA indicates. He faced the Royals in his first two starts of the season and posted a 1.64 ERA and chances are great he’ll get lots of run support here. Play Detroit –1½ +1.19 (Risking 2 units).
Florida +1.02 over NY METS
Given a choice, the Marlins would play the Mets 162 times a year if they could. The Fish have beaten up on the Mets this season by winning six of seven games and in the last three they scored 10, 7 and 7 runs respectively in a three-game set. Anibal Sanchez (60 BPV, 0-5-5-4-5 PQS) has come on strong lately, going 4-0 with a 1.33 ERA over his last four starts. He faced the Mets in one of those outings on May 14th, posting a PQS-5 over 7 IP, allowing 2 ER with 2 walks and 7 strikeouts. In 62 IP this season, Sanchez has allowed just one jack and has struck out 49 batters. The Marlins have also won four of five and catch the Mets returning home from a six game trip that took them to Milwaukee and then San Diego. R.A. Dickey has been rock solid but with a knuckleballer, you’re always taking a risk. There’s a reason Dickey has been up and down from the minors for 14 years and it’s not because he’s great. He’s a fill in guy until some healthy bodies come back and while the Mets will gladly ride him for all he’s worth, chances are an implosion is forthcoming very soon. Marlins are warming up again with four wins in five games and they offer up some more good value here. Play: Florida +1.02 (Risking 2 units).
Chicago +1.07 over PHILADELPHIA
Give the Broad Street Bullies all the credit in the world for making this a series and with a few bounces their way Philly could easily be up 2-1 or even 3-0. Now the Flyers stock has increased dramatically after that latest 4-3 OT win and it’s usually not a good idea to play on a team when its stock is high. Let’s face it, the Blackhawks have yet to show up in this series. They’ve had a few good shifts and they’ve had some decent periods but this isn’t the same team we saw against San Jose, Nashville or Vancouver. Now the Blackhawks are hearing it from the media and everywhere else. One cannot argue that Chicago has not played up to its potential and that will all get pushed aside tonight. The Blackhawks will come out and play their hearts out for a full 60 minutes. They will leave nothing on the table tonight. They’re simply the much-better team that has not played so good in the first three games, yet they won two of them and lost in OT in the third. Furthermore, and I don’t care what anyone says, Michael Leighton has been extremely lucky thus far w9th saves that have hit him square in the chest, arm or stick. He’s slow and he’s out of position too often to keep getting lucky. These Blackhawks sharpshooters will expose this guy soon enough. Aside from Pronger, the Flyers defense is vulnerable to so many bad plays and Chicago has yet to pressure them enough. Lukas Krajicek couldn’t be the seventh defenseman on 99% of the teams in this league and this is the game that Chicago pulls it together and shows the world whom they really are. Play: Chicago +1.07 (Risking 2 units).
Blowout Game of the Month - Friday!
Handicapper: Roz Juarbe
League: MLB
Event: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays on 06/04/2010 at 4:05PM
Condition: New York Yankees
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: Toronto lefty Brett Cecil has some great overall numbers and the team has won his last 4 starts. However, he has faced some lousy offenses: Orioles, Angels, Marines and White Sox. And the last good offense he faces, Texas, blasted him him for 8 runs in 2 innings. Now he faces the top offense in the AL in runs scored, and tops in on base percentage. He has pitched 8 innings against the Bronx Bombers....and has an ERA of 11.25, giving up 16 hits. A.J. Burnett (6-2, 3.28 ERA) faces his old team and has been sharp all year, fanning 17 in his last three starts (19 innings), just 6 walks an a 3.20 ERA. Play the NY Yankees.
Handicapper: Roz Juarbe
League: MLB
Event: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays on 06/04/2010 at 4:05PM
Condition: New York Yankees
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: Toronto lefty Brett Cecil has some great overall numbers and the team has won his last 4 starts. However, he has faced some lousy offenses: Orioles, Angels, Marines and White Sox. And the last good offense he faces, Texas, blasted him him for 8 runs in 2 innings. Now he faces the top offense in the AL in runs scored, and tops in on base percentage. He has pitched 8 innings against the Bronx Bombers....and has an ERA of 11.25, giving up 16 hits. A.J. Burnett (6-2, 3.28 ERA) faces his old team and has been sharp all year, fanning 17 in his last three starts (19 innings), just 6 walks an a 3.20 ERA. Play the NY Yankees.
** SuperSportsGroup **MLB** 6/4
Cincinnati v. Washington 7:05pm
PICK: Nationals ML +102 Game (7*)
PICK: UNDER 8.5 +105 Game (8*)
NY v. Toronto 7:05pm
PICK: Jays ML +120 (8*)
Tampa Bay v. Texas 8:05pm
PICK: Rays ML +116 Game (9*) Best bet of the day #1
Cleveland v. Chicago 8:10pm
PICK: OVER 8.5 -105 Game (9*) Best bet of the day #2
Colorado v. Arizona 9:40pm
PICK: Rockies ML +106 Game (7*)
Cincinnati v. Washington 7:05pm
PICK: Nationals ML +102 Game (7*)
PICK: UNDER 8.5 +105 Game (8*)
NY v. Toronto 7:05pm
PICK: Jays ML +120 (8*)
Tampa Bay v. Texas 8:05pm
PICK: Rays ML +116 Game (9*) Best bet of the day #1
Cleveland v. Chicago 8:10pm
PICK: OVER 8.5 -105 Game (9*) Best bet of the day #2
Colorado v. Arizona 9:40pm
PICK: Rockies ML +106 Game (7*)
"World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems" 6-4
Today's Selections
MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)
Oakland Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#1 (Game#1) San Diego +1.5/-115 7:05 PM
Run Line Bet!
Series in Progress!
Selection#2 (Game#2) Chicago Cubs -125 8:05 PM
Series Idle
Selection#3 (Game#1) NONE
Series Idle
Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE
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Today's Selections
MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)
Oakland Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#1 (Game#1) San Diego +1.5/-115 7:05 PM
Run Line Bet!
Series in Progress!
Selection#2 (Game#2) Chicago Cubs -125 8:05 PM
Series Idle
Selection#3 (Game#1) NONE
Series Idle
Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE
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Indian Cowboy
4-Unit Play. Take #904. Take Washington Nationals -110 over Cincinnati Reds (Friday @ 7:05pm est)
13 of 15 Winning Days in MLB, Last 28 days: 29-10 (74%), (21 of 28 winning days)
MLB: June: 3-0 (100%), May: 20-10-1 (66%, +$3000),
WNBA: 4 of 5 Winning Days (3-0 in 5* GOTWs)
NBA: +$4500 over the last 2 months (7 of 10 winning nba playoff selections)
3-0 Thursday Sweep! (5* Silverstars/Indiana Under (W), 4* Rangers/Chisox Under (W), 4* Celtics/Lakers Under (W)
We have taken Livan on several occasions and today is another such occasion. Livan is a 35 year old wily veteran that still has it out for the Mets and is doing everything he can to be a thorn on their side. See, the Mets didn't re-sign Livan and he took it personally offensive and many teams in the league did not shw any interest in him. This is despite the fact he was once a World Series MVP and champ. But, many felt htat he was getting older and was coming off of several injuries. So, what does he do, he puts up a 2.15era for the year so far and the Nationals are a competitive bunch in the league because of Livan right now. I like the fact he has not picked up a win over his last two starts and he seeks a win here and he faces a very good pitcher in Aaron Harang. But, Aaron has put together only one quality start over his last four. See. Aaron dominated in his last effort against the Astros but prior to that he was giving up eight hits per six innings. I like Livan as the better pitcher today and the Nationals offense is very oppurtunistic. Plus, the public favors the Reds here to a decent degree and I think they likely get burned. Let's roll with Livan today as the Nats are 4-1 in his last five home starts and Reds are 1-7 in Harang's last 8 road starts as a favorite.
4-Unit Play. Take #604. Take Connecticut Sun -5 over New York Liberty (Friday @ 7:30pm est)
The Connecticut Sun have been dominant at home. This team is coached by one of the greatest coaching legends of all time and I like the fact they come off a loss in their last ballgame on the road. The Sun come off a loss to a very good Washington team 65-69. Note, the Sun are 3-2 this year but 3-0 at home. They crushed Minnesota by 26 a home earlier this year and beat Chicago by 13. I like how New York took care of San Antonio on the road in their last ballgame winning by six points as an outright dog of 5.5 points. But, I can see them having a let down here today against the Suns who are irritated and come off a loss of their own. Heck, I would make this a 5* selection, but we already won a 5* selection yesterday. Having said that, this is as good as play as any on the board today in my opinion as the Sun are typically very solid coming off a loss. Let's roll with Connecticut here to get it done at home as they are 3-0 ATS at home this year and the Liberty are 1-5-1 ATS when they face a team with a winning record of late.
4-Unit Play. Take #904. Take Washington Nationals -110 over Cincinnati Reds (Friday @ 7:05pm est)
13 of 15 Winning Days in MLB, Last 28 days: 29-10 (74%), (21 of 28 winning days)
MLB: June: 3-0 (100%), May: 20-10-1 (66%, +$3000),
WNBA: 4 of 5 Winning Days (3-0 in 5* GOTWs)
NBA: +$4500 over the last 2 months (7 of 10 winning nba playoff selections)
3-0 Thursday Sweep! (5* Silverstars/Indiana Under (W), 4* Rangers/Chisox Under (W), 4* Celtics/Lakers Under (W)
We have taken Livan on several occasions and today is another such occasion. Livan is a 35 year old wily veteran that still has it out for the Mets and is doing everything he can to be a thorn on their side. See, the Mets didn't re-sign Livan and he took it personally offensive and many teams in the league did not shw any interest in him. This is despite the fact he was once a World Series MVP and champ. But, many felt htat he was getting older and was coming off of several injuries. So, what does he do, he puts up a 2.15era for the year so far and the Nationals are a competitive bunch in the league because of Livan right now. I like the fact he has not picked up a win over his last two starts and he seeks a win here and he faces a very good pitcher in Aaron Harang. But, Aaron has put together only one quality start over his last four. See. Aaron dominated in his last effort against the Astros but prior to that he was giving up eight hits per six innings. I like Livan as the better pitcher today and the Nationals offense is very oppurtunistic. Plus, the public favors the Reds here to a decent degree and I think they likely get burned. Let's roll with Livan today as the Nats are 4-1 in his last five home starts and Reds are 1-7 in Harang's last 8 road starts as a favorite.
4-Unit Play. Take #604. Take Connecticut Sun -5 over New York Liberty (Friday @ 7:30pm est)
The Connecticut Sun have been dominant at home. This team is coached by one of the greatest coaching legends of all time and I like the fact they come off a loss in their last ballgame on the road. The Sun come off a loss to a very good Washington team 65-69. Note, the Sun are 3-2 this year but 3-0 at home. They crushed Minnesota by 26 a home earlier this year and beat Chicago by 13. I like how New York took care of San Antonio on the road in their last ballgame winning by six points as an outright dog of 5.5 points. But, I can see them having a let down here today against the Suns who are irritated and come off a loss of their own. Heck, I would make this a 5* selection, but we already won a 5* selection yesterday. Having said that, this is as good as play as any on the board today in my opinion as the Sun are typically very solid coming off a loss. Let's roll with Connecticut here to get it done at home as they are 3-0 ATS at home this year and the Liberty are 1-5-1 ATS when they face a team with a winning record of late.
