Service Plays Friday 6/4/10

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GoodFella | MLB Money Line Fri, 06/04/10 - 8:05 PM

double-dime bet 922 TEX (-126) Sportbet vs 921 TAM
Analysis:
Listed Pitchers (Wilso—n vs Davis)

MLB (2*) Double Star Play
 
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Indian Cowboy's



4-Unit Play. Take #904. Take Washington Nationals +100 over Cincinnati Reds (Friday @ 7:05pm est)

We have taken Livan on several occasions and today is another such occasion. Livan is a 35 year old wily veteran that still has it out for the Mets and is doing everything he can to be a thorn on their side. See, the Mets didn't re-sign Livan and he took it personally offensive and many teams in the league did not shw any interest in him. This is despite the fact he was once a World Series MVP and champ. But, many felt htat he was getting older and was coming off of several injuries. So, what does he do, he puts up a 2.15era for the year so far and the Nationals are a competitive bunch in the league because of Livan right now. I like the fact he has not picked up a win over his last two starts and he seeks a win here and he faces a very good pitcher in Aaron Harang. But, Aaron has put together only one quality start over his last four. See. Aaron dominated in his last effort against the Astros but prior to that he was giving up eight hits per six innings. I like Livan as the better pitcher today and the Nationals offense is very oppurtunistic. Plus, the public favors the Reds here to a decent degree and I think they likely get burned. Let's roll with Livan today as the Nats are 4-1 in his last five home starts and Reds are 1-7 in Harang's last 8 road starts as a favorite.



4-Unit Play. Take #604. Take Connecticut Sun -5 over New York Liberty (Friday @ 7:30pm est)

The Connecticut Sun have been dominant at home. This team is coached by one of the greatest coaching Legends of all time and I like the fact they come off a loss in their last ballgame on the road. The Sun come off a loss to a very good Washington team 65-69. Note, the Sun are 3-2 this year but 3-0 at home. They crushed Minnesota by 26 a home earlier this year and beat Chicago by 13. I like how New York took care of San Antonio on the road in their last ballgame winning by six points as an outright dog of 5.5 points. But, I can see them having a let down here today against the Suns who are irritated and come off a loss of their own. Heck, I would make this a 5* selection, but we already won a 5* selection yesterday. Having said that, this is as good as play as any on the board today in my opinion as the Sun are typically very solid coming off a loss. Let's roll with Connecticut here to get it done at home as they are 3-0 ATS at home this year and the Liberty are 1-5-1 ATS when they face a team with a winning record of late.
 
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Vegas Sports Informer's



MLB BASEBALL PLAYS

3 Unit Play. #966 Take Over 8 ½ -110 Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m., Friday June. 4)

The last 4 meetings between these two teams all 4 of tem have gone over tonight. Cleveland is a PERFECT 4-0 when facing a left-handed starter and Danks for the White Sox has struggled at times. The White Sox are 6-2-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.




WNBA PLAYS

4 Unit Play. #604 Take Connecticut -5 over New York (Friday 6/4 7:35 PM)
Connecticut is a perfect 3-0 at home and all three of their games they have won by double-digits. Tonight will be no different! The Sun is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 hmoe games and New York is 1-5-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record.
 
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Allen Eastman


2-Unit Play. Take Under 7.5 San Diego at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Friday, June 4)
Philadelphia has been having a lot of problems scoring lately and I dont see that changing tonight against Mat Latos. He has a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts and has been sharp all year. Roy Halladays production speaks for itself. I look for another low scoring affair in a tight game.

6-Unit Play. Take #926 Kansas City (+125) over Detroit (8 p.m., Friday, June 4)
This is my Underdog Game of the Year. After a controverSIAl series with Cleveland this week I think that its going to be hard for the Tigers to get up for this game. Detroit has really struggled on the road recently and the Royals are 9-4 in this series recently. The Royals have already beaten Max Scherzer twice this year and Scherzer has a heavy 6.42 ERA so far this season. The Royals are going with lefty Bruce Chen who has seemed to find a nice groove. He doesnt have any wins in his last three starts but he has just a 2.25 ERA in those games and has thrown well. I think that this is a great price on this situation and I think that our underdog is going to bite!
 
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PHIL MAXWELL FRIDAY

TOP PLAY
PHILADELPHIA UNDER 7.5

OPINIONS
seattle over8.5
white sox over 8.5
texas over 9.5
 
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Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: WNBA Basketball
Game: New York Liberty @ Connecticut Sun - Friday June 4, 2010 7:30 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) ATS: New York Liberty +5.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)

7* graded play on New York as they take on Connecticut in WNBA action set to start at 7:30 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that NY will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a reasonable probability to win the game SU. The model shows that both teams will shoot between 40 and 44% from the field and this puts NY in strong positions for an ATS win. NY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a money line system that has produced a record of 171-136 and has made 78.3 units since 2004. Play on any team versus the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games facing an opponent after having won 2 of their last 3 games. Last, but not least, NY is a near perfect 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Take New York.
 

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Last Week: 4-2 (+1.3 units)

Friday, June 4th

Yankees vs Blue Jays. The Jays are leading the majors in homeruns this year and should be worth a look here as underdogs. They are coming off a series against the Rays in which they won 1 of 3 games but blew 2 leads in the top of the 9th. Despite that fact, their confidence is not shattered and they should be rather motivated to face their old friend Burnett who has given up 17 hits and 8 earned runs in 13.2 innings against the Jays since leaving Toronto.

Rays vs. Rangers. We should have a very low price available to back an 18-9 home team. Yes, the Rays have been outstanding on the road so far but this is a good spot to fade them. They are coming off two nice comeback wins vs the Jays and are only hitting .233 this season against lefties. The Rangers, on the other hand, are hitting .275 against righties and .295 when they are at home.

Saturday, June 5th

Brewers vs. Cardinals. We like the over in this contest as we have two pitchers that might have problems with the power in both lineups. Narveson has been terribly inconsistent all year and posts a 6.89 ERA in his last 15.2 innings pitched. Ottavino was rocked in his last start and should have some problems against a Brewers lineup that is hitting .269 against righties this season.

Sunday, June 6th

Braves vs. Dodgers. We will have two strong pitchers in this matchup when Tim Hudson squares off against John Ely. Hudson has an ERA of 2.47 on the road and faces an offense that has had a very tough time scoring lately. Ely has only allowed hitters to bat .198 against him at home posting an ERA of 1.69. Considering both pitchers have only allowed more than 2 earned runs against them a combined 2 times so far this season, the under is worth a strong look.

Courtesy: DivesHandicapping
____________________________________________________________________________________________________

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When: June 7- July 5
What: Contestants are permitted to make 1 selection per day (only MLB picks). Each pick is 1 Unit. 1 selection each week is the “MONEY BALL” worth 2 units.
How: Simply email contest@diveshandicapping with your selection as the email title. (Money Ball pick must have three stars (***) placed before the selection. ALL SELECTIONS MUST BE SUBMITTED BY 12pm EST regardless of game time.

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Dives Handicapping




 
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Handicapper: Wunderdog Sports
Sport: WNBA Basketball
Game: Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream - Friday June 4, 2010 7:00 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) ATS: Atlanta Dream -6.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)

The Atlanta Dream have come a long way in a short time. The Dream took forever to win their first WNBA game, but are out of the gate a strong 6-1 to start 2010. The Sky have yet to turn the corner especially on the road where they are just 6-16 over their last 22. The inconsistency has also led them to a 3-12 ATS mark following a win. Atlanta is in a prime WNBA spot, one that shows teams losing their last game by 10+ points then facing an opponent that has scored 70+ in at least their last two games have gone 71-21 ATS! I'll go with Atlanta in this one.
 

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jeff benton friday MLB game of the year

1-1 yesterday MINUS 10 dimes...overall, 49-57-3 MINUS 190....his awful ways continue.



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♦♦♦ RED ALERT ♦♦♦

BIGGEST BASEBALL RELEASE OF
MY ENTIRE CAREER GOES TONIGHT!

50 DIME
A.L. East Game of the Year

Yankees vs. Blue Jays

I have NEVER issued a bigger MLB play in my career!

Friday's Winner ... 50 DIME: TORONTO BLUE JAYS ... NOTE: List Brett Cecil as Toronto's starting pitcher. If Cecil does NOT start, this play is VOID!


Blue Jays

Yes, the Yankees have won five in a row and six of their last seven. Howevar, all seven of those wins were in the Bronx, and all seven of those wins came against two teams – Baltimore and Cleveland – that are in dead last in their respective divisions and a combined 38 games under .500. Those points need to be made for three reasons: 1) Toronto (31-24) is seven games over .500 and just 3½ games behind New York in the standings; 2) Toronto, despite suffering back-to-back heartbreaking losses to the Rays in its last two games, has won nine of its last 12 at home; and 3) the Yankees are a mediocre baseball team on the road (15-13, including 4-7 in the last 11).

Now, you could overlook those three facts and justify the Yankees being favored in this game if they had a huge adevantage on the mound tonight. They don’t – not even close. While New York’s A.J. Burnett has been solid this year (6-2, 3.28 ERA), Toronto lefty Brett Cecil has been just as good (5-2, 3.81 ERA). And when you look at recent form, here’s what you see: Burnett has allowed 17 earned runs in his last five starts covering 30 2/3 innings (4.99 ERA), with New York going 3-2, while Cecil is 3-0 with a 1.66 ERA over his last three starts. And going back to April 28, Cecil has been strong in six of his last seven outings, allowing just nine earned runs in 41 innings (1.98 ERA) in those six specific contests.

Back to Burnett: He hasn’t been as good on the road (4.29 ERA) as he has been at Yankee Stadium (2.27 ERA); he hasn’t been as good at night (3-2, 4.20 ERA in eight games) as he has been in day games (3-0, 1.23 ERA); and last year, the former Blue Jay pitched once in his former stadium and got rocked (five runs allowed in 7 2/3 innings of a 5-1 loss).

Finaloy, the Blue Jays continue to be disrespected by the oddsmakers, as evidence by the fact that they rank second in all of baseball in terms of the betting money list (only the Padres have been more profitable than Toronto).

Throw in the fact that the Blue Jays are on the following impressive runs – 5-2 versus A.L. East foes, 11-2 against right-handed starters at home, 4-0 after a day off, 5-1 on Friday, 6-2 behind Cecil this season, 6-0 when Cecil opens a series, 4-0 when Cecil pitches on Friday and 5-2 when Cecil pitches as an underdog – and I’ll cast my lot with the home pup in this one with my BIGGEST baseball play ever!

 
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VR's Morning Moves | MLB ML - Friday, Jun 4 2010 8:05PM
ML 922 TEX (-125) Bodog vs 921 TAM double-dime bet
Analysis:
** MLB MORNING MOVES 2* BOOKIE BET **
RANGERS -125....(2*)....WILSON over Davis
 
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Bankroll Sports

Today's Member Releases

10* Detroit Tigers -140 (MLB)

5* New York Mets +110 (MLB)
5* Philadelphia Flyers -115 (NHL)
4* Toronto Blue Jays +120 (MLB)
3* San Diego Padres +1½ -115 (MLB)
1* Braves @ Dodgers Under 8 (MLB)
 
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Comppicks plays for 6/4

MLB
Pirates +115
Mets -105
Red Sox -1.5 (-105)
Athletics -110

Staff Select
Cardinals -1.5 (-110)

Comppick (free pick)
Rangers -115
 
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Bob Balfe

Pirates / Giants Under 7.5

Neither team puts up many runs and both pitchers in this game are capable of pitching 7 or 8 innings of low-scoring baseball. Zach Duke's last start was rained out so he has had extra rest. Look for a low-scoring game this evening. Take the Under.
 

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Mike Lineback

Braves/Dodgers Under 8 POD
Tigers
Tigers/Royals Over 9
Phillies/Dodgers (Parlay)
 

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