SPORTS WAGERS
BOSTON –1½ +1.41 over Los Angeles
Ironic, isn’t it, that the Dodgers come in here the day after the Lakers beat the Celtics? Anyway, the Red Sox are on fire with five wins in six games and the best news is that they’re seeing beach balls at the moment. Boston has scored 52 runs over its last eight games and over that stretch they’ve gone yard nine times and they’re hitting a combined .336. Carlos Monasterios (13 BPV, 0-2-4-2-0 PQS) has a 3-1 record and 2.98 ERA, but they are not to be believed. Instead, keep your focus on his poor command, very average stuff, low durability and 5.00 xERA. He gave up four earned runs over 2.2 IP in his last start against the Angels and there's probably plenty more where that came from. Felix Doubront makes his major league debut. Doubront had an impressive showing with Double A Portland (4-0, 2.51 ERA) before being promoted to Pawtucket (2-1, 1.08 ERA). He’s a power lefty with outstanding stuff and opened some eyes in the spring with his poise and 92+MPH fastball that he throws for strikes. The Dodgers have struggled miserably all year against southpaws with a .240 BA and aside from a 12-run outburst over the Reds on Wednesday, its offense has been in neutral for about three weeks now. Play: Boston –1½ +1.41 (Risking 2 units).
Cleveland –1.03 over PITTSBURGH
Scalpers should have a field day for this series. The Pirates are going for 12 straight losses and there’s no reason whatsoever to believe they won’t get it. They’re good for two or three runs just about every game and even that could be a stretch against Fausto Carmona. Carmona has some good trends developing recently that include a 3.02 ERA over his last six starts. Those six starts came against Tampa, Cinci, the Yanks, Detroit, Boston and Washington and only once did he allow more than three runs against that strong group. He’ll now take a huge step down in class against a team that is seeing BB’s. Paul Maholm has been lowering his ERA despite a lack of skill improvement, mostly thanks to an 82% strand rate. The Indians are actually scoring plenty of runs these days and in fact, they’ve scored 51 times over its last eight games, which ranks second in the league just behind Boston over that stretch. Frankly, this is a pitching mismatch and the Indians are way undervalued in this game. Play: Cleveland –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
Tampa Bay –1½ +1.06 over FLORIDA
Two things to note here with the first being that Nate Robertson is a complete stiff with very little skills. His groundball rate is one of the lowest in the league, he’s almost always pitching from behind in the count and he’s been rocked in both of his last two starts. The other thing to note is that the Rays absolutely thrive in this park. Last season they scored 29 runs in a three-game set here, in ’08 they scored 27 times in a three-game set and in ’07 they scored 24 times. That’s 80 runs over nine games at this park and it’s not likely to stop against Robertson. Matt Garza has struggled a bit recently but there’s no reason for concern. He’s 4-2 on the road with a 2.79 ERA with a BAA of .235. Garza is a quality pitcher with nothing but fire in his desire to compete and to dominate. The Rays are 11-3 on the road vs southpaws and will face one of the most hittable one’s in the business. Play: Florida –1½ +1.06 (Risking 2 units).
BOSTON –1½ +1.41 over Los Angeles
Ironic, isn’t it, that the Dodgers come in here the day after the Lakers beat the Celtics? Anyway, the Red Sox are on fire with five wins in six games and the best news is that they’re seeing beach balls at the moment. Boston has scored 52 runs over its last eight games and over that stretch they’ve gone yard nine times and they’re hitting a combined .336. Carlos Monasterios (13 BPV, 0-2-4-2-0 PQS) has a 3-1 record and 2.98 ERA, but they are not to be believed. Instead, keep your focus on his poor command, very average stuff, low durability and 5.00 xERA. He gave up four earned runs over 2.2 IP in his last start against the Angels and there's probably plenty more where that came from. Felix Doubront makes his major league debut. Doubront had an impressive showing with Double A Portland (4-0, 2.51 ERA) before being promoted to Pawtucket (2-1, 1.08 ERA). He’s a power lefty with outstanding stuff and opened some eyes in the spring with his poise and 92+MPH fastball that he throws for strikes. The Dodgers have struggled miserably all year against southpaws with a .240 BA and aside from a 12-run outburst over the Reds on Wednesday, its offense has been in neutral for about three weeks now. Play: Boston –1½ +1.41 (Risking 2 units).
Cleveland –1.03 over PITTSBURGH
Scalpers should have a field day for this series. The Pirates are going for 12 straight losses and there’s no reason whatsoever to believe they won’t get it. They’re good for two or three runs just about every game and even that could be a stretch against Fausto Carmona. Carmona has some good trends developing recently that include a 3.02 ERA over his last six starts. Those six starts came against Tampa, Cinci, the Yanks, Detroit, Boston and Washington and only once did he allow more than three runs against that strong group. He’ll now take a huge step down in class against a team that is seeing BB’s. Paul Maholm has been lowering his ERA despite a lack of skill improvement, mostly thanks to an 82% strand rate. The Indians are actually scoring plenty of runs these days and in fact, they’ve scored 51 times over its last eight games, which ranks second in the league just behind Boston over that stretch. Frankly, this is a pitching mismatch and the Indians are way undervalued in this game. Play: Cleveland –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
Tampa Bay –1½ +1.06 over FLORIDA
Two things to note here with the first being that Nate Robertson is a complete stiff with very little skills. His groundball rate is one of the lowest in the league, he’s almost always pitching from behind in the count and he’s been rocked in both of his last two starts. The other thing to note is that the Rays absolutely thrive in this park. Last season they scored 29 runs in a three-game set here, in ’08 they scored 27 times in a three-game set and in ’07 they scored 24 times. That’s 80 runs over nine games at this park and it’s not likely to stop against Robertson. Matt Garza has struggled a bit recently but there’s no reason for concern. He’s 4-2 on the road with a 2.79 ERA with a BAA of .235. Garza is a quality pitcher with nothing but fire in his desire to compete and to dominate. The Rays are 11-3 on the road vs southpaws and will face one of the most hittable one’s in the business. Play: Florida –1½ +1.06 (Risking 2 units).
Tony George | MLB Money Line Fri, 06/18/10 - 8:05 PM
dime bet 923 TEX (-128) Bookmaker.com vs 924 HOU
Analysis:
Texas -128
Houston off a losing series to the Royals of which I was personally at all 3 games the past 3 days as I live in Kansas City. Backed by a decent pitcher Houston can win a game or two, but their starter tonight has an ERA in exces of 6 his last 3 games, and the bullpen their last 3 games has an ERA of 5.68, and they let KC back into the back last night big time which is a downer. We have a better team, better starter in Feldman, and a bullpen who backs him up with a 2.15 ERA in the last 3 games, not to mention Texas has a far better offense at a cheap number here considering all the stats.
Play 1 Unit on the Rangers
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dime bet 923 TEX (-128) Bookmaker.com vs 924 HOU
Analysis:
Texas -128
Houston off a losing series to the Royals of which I was personally at all 3 games the past 3 days as I live in Kansas City. Backed by a decent pitcher Houston can win a game or two, but their starter tonight has an ERA in exces of 6 his last 3 games, and the bullpen their last 3 games has an ERA of 5.68, and they let KC back into the back last night big time which is a downer. We have a better team, better starter in Feldman, and a bullpen who backs him up with a 2.15 ERA in the last 3 games, not to mention Texas has a far better offense at a cheap number here considering all the stats.
Play 1 Unit on the Rangers
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jeff benton friday
1-0 yesterday a 30 dime winner on the Celtics for $300 profit. overall, 61-65-3 for MINUS 40 dimes. he is on fire this week and has been pretty much the entire NBA playoffs. Today he comes with the largest selection in BASEBALL.
Friday's Winner ... 50 DIME release on the DETROIT TIGERS -1½ runs over the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks in their series opener on Friday. As I pubaish this play, this run-line number his hovering around a pick-em, with the Tigers at +105 to -105 whereveer you shop. NOTE: Run-line plays require both starting pitcoers to begin the game, so Dontrelle Willis (Arizona) and Armando Galarraga (Detroit) must start or this play is VOID!
Tigers (-1½ runs)
Lots of factors working in Detroit’s favor in this one. First and foremost, the Tigers are smoking hot, having ripped off six straight wins, including four by multiple runs. During this six-game run – all at home, by the way – Detroit has outscared the opposition 37-18. The Tigers are now 23-10 at Comerica Park, where they’re getting it done both at the plate (.281 team average) and on the bound (3.38 ERA, including 3.12 bullpen ERA).
Now juxteapose Detroit’s home numbers with Arizona’s road numbers. The DBacks are a putrid 9-24 away from the desert (only Baltimore has a worse road record), and they hit just .230 on the highway with a 5.73 team ERA and a disastrous 8.07 bullpen ERA. Just look at the relief pitching alone: Arizona’s relievers give up more than eight earned runs every nine innings on the road; Detroit’s relievers give up barely three earned runs every nine innings at home.
Speaking of pitching, Dontrelle Willis is scheduled to make his return to Detroit tonight. Willis was traded from the Tigers to Arizona two weeks ago after a lackluster two-plus seasons in Motown, where he went 2-8 with a 6.86 ERA in 24 games (22 starts), including 3-3 with a 5.72 ERA at Comerica. Now Willis faces his former teamoates who not only know his tendencies, but they know how to hit left-handed pitching. Detroit is batting .298 at home against lefties, and .302 against southpaws over the past 10 games.
Meanwhile, pitching opposite Willis today is Armando Galarraga, who has followed up his should-have-been perfect game with two strong outings, allowing a combined four runs on 13 hits in 12 2/3 innings against the White Sox and Pirates. The Tigers won both games, meaning they’re now 4-1 in his five starts this season, including 3-0 at home.
Some final numbers to chew on: Not only are the Tigers 23-10 at home this season, but they’ve won 59 of their last 88 contests at Comerica Park. They’re on further runs of 17-8 against lefty starters overall, 43-21 against lefty starters at home and 18-4 when facing N.L. lefties at home. And speaking of interleague play, Detroit has won 37-15 overall, 42 of 52 at home and 23-3 when hosting N.L. opponents that have a losing record.
On the flip side, the DBacks are on in ruts of 6-17 overall, 17-46 on the road, 6-14 against right-handed starters, 6-15 against winning teams, 2-9 in interleague play, 0-6 in interleague road games and 2-6 when facing the A.L. Central. Throw in the fact that Arizona’s last six losses have been by more than one run, and this has massive blowout written all over it!
1-0 yesterday a 30 dime winner on the Celtics for $300 profit. overall, 61-65-3 for MINUS 40 dimes. he is on fire this week and has been pretty much the entire NBA playoffs. Today he comes with the largest selection in BASEBALL.
Biggest Baseball Play of my Career
50 DIME
Interleague Blowout of the Year
Stronger than my Game 6 and Game 7 NBA Final Winners!
Only previous 50 Dime MLB release:
Blue Jays (+120) over Yankees 6-1 two Fridays ago
50 DIME
Interleague Blowout of the Year
Stronger than my Game 6 and Game 7 NBA Final Winners!
Only previous 50 Dime MLB release:
Blue Jays (+120) over Yankees 6-1 two Fridays ago
Friday's Winner ... 50 DIME release on the DETROIT TIGERS -1½ runs over the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks in their series opener on Friday. As I pubaish this play, this run-line number his hovering around a pick-em, with the Tigers at +105 to -105 whereveer you shop. NOTE: Run-line plays require both starting pitcoers to begin the game, so Dontrelle Willis (Arizona) and Armando Galarraga (Detroit) must start or this play is VOID!
Tigers (-1½ runs)
Lots of factors working in Detroit’s favor in this one. First and foremost, the Tigers are smoking hot, having ripped off six straight wins, including four by multiple runs. During this six-game run – all at home, by the way – Detroit has outscared the opposition 37-18. The Tigers are now 23-10 at Comerica Park, where they’re getting it done both at the plate (.281 team average) and on the bound (3.38 ERA, including 3.12 bullpen ERA).
Now juxteapose Detroit’s home numbers with Arizona’s road numbers. The DBacks are a putrid 9-24 away from the desert (only Baltimore has a worse road record), and they hit just .230 on the highway with a 5.73 team ERA and a disastrous 8.07 bullpen ERA. Just look at the relief pitching alone: Arizona’s relievers give up more than eight earned runs every nine innings on the road; Detroit’s relievers give up barely three earned runs every nine innings at home.
Speaking of pitching, Dontrelle Willis is scheduled to make his return to Detroit tonight. Willis was traded from the Tigers to Arizona two weeks ago after a lackluster two-plus seasons in Motown, where he went 2-8 with a 6.86 ERA in 24 games (22 starts), including 3-3 with a 5.72 ERA at Comerica. Now Willis faces his former teamoates who not only know his tendencies, but they know how to hit left-handed pitching. Detroit is batting .298 at home against lefties, and .302 against southpaws over the past 10 games.
Meanwhile, pitching opposite Willis today is Armando Galarraga, who has followed up his should-have-been perfect game with two strong outings, allowing a combined four runs on 13 hits in 12 2/3 innings against the White Sox and Pirates. The Tigers won both games, meaning they’re now 4-1 in his five starts this season, including 3-0 at home.
Some final numbers to chew on: Not only are the Tigers 23-10 at home this season, but they’ve won 59 of their last 88 contests at Comerica Park. They’re on further runs of 17-8 against lefty starters overall, 43-21 against lefty starters at home and 18-4 when facing N.L. lefties at home. And speaking of interleague play, Detroit has won 37-15 overall, 42 of 52 at home and 23-3 when hosting N.L. opponents that have a losing record.
On the flip side, the DBacks are on in ruts of 6-17 overall, 17-46 on the road, 6-14 against right-handed starters, 6-15 against winning teams, 2-9 in interleague play, 0-6 in interleague road games and 2-6 when facing the A.L. Central. Throw in the fact that Arizona’s last six losses have been by more than one run, and this has massive blowout written all over it!
