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Inside the Paint- Friday
NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes
Jamal Crawford got emotional in accepting his National Basketball Association Sixth Man award and, like Kevin Durant this week, it may have buoyed the Los Angeles Clippers in what has been a turbulent playoffs so far. Crawford didn't cry or talk as long as Durant did when the Oklahoma City star picked up the league's MVP award.
But he thanked everyone he could think of on Thursday, especially his teammates and Clippers coach Doc Rivers for keeping them together in the wake of owner Donald Sterling's racist comments that led to his lifetime ban from the NBA. Crawford's award was some of the best news the Clippers have had in the last 1 1/2 weeks, and the feel-good atmosphere during his acceptance speech could provide some necessary fuel heading into Game #3 against the Thunder (10:30 PM EST) on Friday night at Staples Center.
•Heat Toy With Nets In Game #2, Win 94-82: LeBron James scored 22 points, Chris Bosh added 18 and the Miami Heat took a 2-0 lead in their Eastern Conference semifinal series by beating the Brooklyn Nets 94-82 on Thursday night. Dwyane Wade had 14 and Ray Allen scored 13 for the Heat, who tied a franchise record with their eighth straight playoff victory. Mirza Teletovic set a Nets playoff record with six 3-pointers, on his way to a 20-point night off the bench. Shaun Livingston scored 15, Paul Pierce had 13 and Joe Johnson added 13 more for the Nets. Game #3 is Saturday night in Brooklyn.
•Spurs Roll To 2-0 Lead Over Trail Blazers: Kawhi Leonard scored 20 points, Tony Parker had 16 points and 10 assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rolled to a 114-97 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday night for a 2-0 lead in the Western Conference semifinals. Manu Ginobili added 16 points, Marco Belinelli scored 13, and Tiago Splitter had 10 points and 10 rebounds in the Spurs' second convincing victory to open the best-of-seven series. Nicolas Batum scored 21 points for Portland. Damian Lillard had 19 points and LaMarcus Aldridge added 16 points and 10 rebounds, but Portland again struggled to score against San Antonio's suffocating defense. The Trail Blazers host Game #3 on Saturday night.
Betting Notes - Friday
•Washington won five of seven playoff games; home team won six of last seven Wizard-Pacer contests- Indiana is 5-4 in playoffs so far; they've lost last two visits to Verizon Center, by 19-13 points. Under is 22-19-3 in Pacers' away games this season. Seven of last nine Wizard games went over the total- four of five series games this season stayed under the total. Hibbert had 28 points in last game, after going scoreless in three of previous four.
•Clippers were 9-27 from arc last game, after going 15-29 in Game #1 win; Thunder won three of last four visits to Staples Center. Oklahoma City's starters were -76 in Game #1, +69 in Game #2. Clippers are 2-4 versus OKC this season. Over is 9-4 in last 13 series meetings, 25-19 in Clipper home tilts. Six of last eight Thunder games went over total- their bench was still just 6-17 last game, but Westbrook had 32, Durant 31. Ibaka's ten shots were 3rd-most for the Thunder in Game #1- they need a third scorer to step up.
Hoop Trends - Friday
•INDIANA is 0-13 ATS (-14.3 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was INDIANA 89.5, OPPONENT 96.1.
•LA CLIPPERS are 18-2 OVER (+15.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 109.0, OPPONENT 105.8.
•INDIANA is 1-15 (-15.5 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.
The average score was INDIANA 41.3, OPPONENT 49.0.
•LA CLIPPERS are 20-6 OVER (+13.4 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 56.7, OPPONENT 56.4.
•RANDY WITTMAN is 22-6 (+15.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON.
The average score was WITTMAN 50.1, OPPONENT 48.3.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(47-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.8%, +30.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 206.7
The average score in these games was: Team 102.1, Opponent 97.8 (Total points scored = 199.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 37 (59.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (9-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (91-61).
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Inside the Paint- Friday
NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes
Jamal Crawford got emotional in accepting his National Basketball Association Sixth Man award and, like Kevin Durant this week, it may have buoyed the Los Angeles Clippers in what has been a turbulent playoffs so far. Crawford didn't cry or talk as long as Durant did when the Oklahoma City star picked up the league's MVP award.
But he thanked everyone he could think of on Thursday, especially his teammates and Clippers coach Doc Rivers for keeping them together in the wake of owner Donald Sterling's racist comments that led to his lifetime ban from the NBA. Crawford's award was some of the best news the Clippers have had in the last 1 1/2 weeks, and the feel-good atmosphere during his acceptance speech could provide some necessary fuel heading into Game #3 against the Thunder (10:30 PM EST) on Friday night at Staples Center.
•Heat Toy With Nets In Game #2, Win 94-82: LeBron James scored 22 points, Chris Bosh added 18 and the Miami Heat took a 2-0 lead in their Eastern Conference semifinal series by beating the Brooklyn Nets 94-82 on Thursday night. Dwyane Wade had 14 and Ray Allen scored 13 for the Heat, who tied a franchise record with their eighth straight playoff victory. Mirza Teletovic set a Nets playoff record with six 3-pointers, on his way to a 20-point night off the bench. Shaun Livingston scored 15, Paul Pierce had 13 and Joe Johnson added 13 more for the Nets. Game #3 is Saturday night in Brooklyn.
•Spurs Roll To 2-0 Lead Over Trail Blazers: Kawhi Leonard scored 20 points, Tony Parker had 16 points and 10 assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rolled to a 114-97 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday night for a 2-0 lead in the Western Conference semifinals. Manu Ginobili added 16 points, Marco Belinelli scored 13, and Tiago Splitter had 10 points and 10 rebounds in the Spurs' second convincing victory to open the best-of-seven series. Nicolas Batum scored 21 points for Portland. Damian Lillard had 19 points and LaMarcus Aldridge added 16 points and 10 rebounds, but Portland again struggled to score against San Antonio's suffocating defense. The Trail Blazers host Game #3 on Saturday night.
Betting Notes - Friday
•Washington won five of seven playoff games; home team won six of last seven Wizard-Pacer contests- Indiana is 5-4 in playoffs so far; they've lost last two visits to Verizon Center, by 19-13 points. Under is 22-19-3 in Pacers' away games this season. Seven of last nine Wizard games went over the total- four of five series games this season stayed under the total. Hibbert had 28 points in last game, after going scoreless in three of previous four.
•Clippers were 9-27 from arc last game, after going 15-29 in Game #1 win; Thunder won three of last four visits to Staples Center. Oklahoma City's starters were -76 in Game #1, +69 in Game #2. Clippers are 2-4 versus OKC this season. Over is 9-4 in last 13 series meetings, 25-19 in Clipper home tilts. Six of last eight Thunder games went over total- their bench was still just 6-17 last game, but Westbrook had 32, Durant 31. Ibaka's ten shots were 3rd-most for the Thunder in Game #1- they need a third scorer to step up.
Hoop Trends - Friday
•INDIANA is 0-13 ATS (-14.3 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was INDIANA 89.5, OPPONENT 96.1.
•LA CLIPPERS are 18-2 OVER (+15.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 109.0, OPPONENT 105.8.
•INDIANA is 1-15 (-15.5 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.
The average score was INDIANA 41.3, OPPONENT 49.0.
•LA CLIPPERS are 20-6 OVER (+13.4 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 56.7, OPPONENT 56.4.
•RANDY WITTMAN is 22-6 (+15.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON.
The average score was WITTMAN 50.1, OPPONENT 48.3.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(47-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.8%, +30.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 206.7
The average score in these games was: Team 102.1, Opponent 97.8 (Total points scored = 199.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 37 (59.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (9-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (91-61).
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NBA
Friday, May 9
Washington won five of seven playoff games; home team won six of last seven Wizard-Pacer games- Indiana is 5-4 in playoffs so far; they've lost last two visits here, by 19-13 points. Under is 22-19-3 in Pacers' away games this season. Seven of last nine Wizard games went over the total- four of five series games this season stayed under the total. Hibbert had 28 points in last game, after going scoreless in three of previous four.
Clippers were 9-27 from arc last game, after going 15-29 in Game 1 win; Thunder won three of last four visits to Staples. OC's starters were -76 in Game 1, +69 in Game 2. Clippers are 2-4 vs OC this season. Over is 9-4 in last 13 series games, 25-19 in Clipper home tilts. Six of last eight Thunder games went over total- their bench was still just 6-17 last game, but Westbrook had 32, Durant 31. Ibaka's ten shots were 3rd-most on OC in Game 1- they need a third scorer to step up.
Over is 35-21 in playoffs this season, 5-3 in this round.
Friday, May 9
Washington won five of seven playoff games; home team won six of last seven Wizard-Pacer games- Indiana is 5-4 in playoffs so far; they've lost last two visits here, by 19-13 points. Under is 22-19-3 in Pacers' away games this season. Seven of last nine Wizard games went over the total- four of five series games this season stayed under the total. Hibbert had 28 points in last game, after going scoreless in three of previous four.
Clippers were 9-27 from arc last game, after going 15-29 in Game 1 win; Thunder won three of last four visits to Staples. OC's starters were -76 in Game 1, +69 in Game 2. Clippers are 2-4 vs OC this season. Over is 9-4 in last 13 series games, 25-19 in Clipper home tilts. Six of last eight Thunder games went over total- their bench was still just 6-17 last game, but Westbrook had 32, Durant 31. Ibaka's ten shots were 3rd-most on OC in Game 1- they need a third scorer to step up.
Over is 35-21 in playoffs this season, 5-3 in this round.
NHL
Friday, May 9
Rangers are 0-36 on power play in last nine games, allowed a shorthanded goal Wednesday in Game 4; they've been outscored 9-2 in last three games, mustered only 15 shots in last game, losing 31 of 49 faceoffs. Rangers are 3-5 vs Penguins this year, 4-13 in last 17 meetings, 2-6 in last eight visits here. Over is 5-2-1 in series games this season. Pittsburgh is 31-13 at home, 1 of 11 on power play in series. Rangers are 28-18 on road, 2-3 in playoffs- they need win to stay alive here. Penguins get lot of rest if they win this game.
Minnesota was down 2-0 in last round, rallied to upset Colorado; they broke scoreless tie in third period of last game to win 4-0, but they haven't scored yet in periods 1-2 in this series- they've got total of 37 shots in last two games. Wild is 6-3 in last nine series games here, but Chicago won six of last seven games overall, allowing total of 13 goals; they're 2-7 on power play in series. Over is 5-2-2 in last nine series games. Blackhawks are 25-20 on the road this season; in last ten games, over is 6-2-2. Minnesota is 1-8 on power play in series.
League-wide, over is 34-16-12 in the playoffs, 5-4-5 in this round.
Friday, May 9
Rangers are 0-36 on power play in last nine games, allowed a shorthanded goal Wednesday in Game 4; they've been outscored 9-2 in last three games, mustered only 15 shots in last game, losing 31 of 49 faceoffs. Rangers are 3-5 vs Penguins this year, 4-13 in last 17 meetings, 2-6 in last eight visits here. Over is 5-2-1 in series games this season. Pittsburgh is 31-13 at home, 1 of 11 on power play in series. Rangers are 28-18 on road, 2-3 in playoffs- they need win to stay alive here. Penguins get lot of rest if they win this game.
Minnesota was down 2-0 in last round, rallied to upset Colorado; they broke scoreless tie in third period of last game to win 4-0, but they haven't scored yet in periods 1-2 in this series- they've got total of 37 shots in last two games. Wild is 6-3 in last nine series games here, but Chicago won six of last seven games overall, allowing total of 13 goals; they're 2-7 on power play in series. Over is 5-2-2 in last nine series games. Blackhawks are 25-20 on the road this season; in last ten games, over is 6-2-2. Minnesota is 1-8 on power play in series.
League-wide, over is 34-16-12 in the playoffs, 5-4-5 in this round.
NHL
Short Sheet
Friday, May 9
NY Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins, 7:05 PM
NY: NY RANGERS are 16-8 ATS in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season.
Pittsburgh: PITTSBURGH is 17-3 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.
Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild, 9:35 PM
Chicago: Chicago is 8-11 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season.
Minnesota: Minnesota is 9-0 ATS off a home win where they shut out their opponent
Short Sheet
Friday, May 9
NY Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins, 7:05 PM
NY: NY RANGERS are 16-8 ATS in road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days this season.
Pittsburgh: PITTSBURGH is 17-3 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.
Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild, 9:35 PM
Chicago: Chicago is 8-11 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season.
Minnesota: Minnesota is 9-0 ATS off a home win where they shut out their opponent
NBA
Short Sheet
Friday, May 9
Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards, 8:05 PM
Indiana: Indiana is 30-11 UNDER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season.
Washington: Washington is 61-44 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers, 10:35 PM
Oklahoma City: LA Clippers are 20-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.
LA Clippers: LA Clippers are 17-2 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points
Short Sheet
Friday, May 9
Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards, 8:05 PM
Indiana: Indiana is 30-11 UNDER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season.
Washington: Washington is 61-44 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers, 10:35 PM
Oklahoma City: LA Clippers are 20-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.
LA Clippers: LA Clippers are 17-2 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, MAY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#951 ST LOUIS @ #952 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM
•Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (2-3, 2.55 ERA, WHIP: 1.158) - Wacha is facing the Pirates for the first time since Game 4 of last year’s NL Division Series, when he threw 7 1/3 no-hit innings before allowing Pedro Alvarez’s solo homer. The 22-year-old has been a victim of poor run support in recent starts, including last Saturday’s 3-0 loss to the Chicago Cubs. Wacha, who is seeking his first win since April 13, ranks near the top of the league in strikeouts with 50 in 42 1/3 innings covering seven games.
•Pirates LH Francisco Liriano (0-3, 4.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.407) - Liriano has gone 10 consecutive regular-season starts without a win and failed to pitch into the fourth inning in each of his last two outings. Jhonny Peralta is 13-for-40 with two home runs against the 30-year-old, who is 4-1 with a 1.85 ERA in six career starts against the Cardinals. Liriano, who has been battling a groin injury suffered late in spring training, owns an 8-2 record and 2.24 ERA in 15 starts at PNC Park since the beginning of last season.
--KEY STAT: LIRIANO is 16-5 UNDER (+10.9 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LIRIANO 4.0, OPPONENT 3.1.
#953 PHILADELPHIA @ #954 NY METS - 7:10 PM
•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (2-1, 4.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.412) - Hernandez allowed only four hits over 7 1/3 scoreless innings his last time out against Washington. Prior to that outing, the 33-year-old had not worked more than six frames in a start all season. Only two members of the Mets have extensive experience against Hernandez, including Curtis Granderson (.415 average and three homers in 41 at-bats with a .500 on-base percentage).
--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 23-38 (-17.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.8, OPPONENT 4.6.
--HERNANDEZ is 4-13 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.9, OPPONENT 5.4.
--HERNANDEZ is 38-19 UNDER (+16.3 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.8, OPPONENT 4.0.
•Mets RH Jenrry Mejia (3-0, 5.23 ERA, WHIP: 1.530) - Following back-to-back starts in which he did not allow a run, Mejia has struggled over his last two outings. He was charged with season highs of eight runs and nine hits in a season-low 4 1/3 innings Saturday against Colorado and has given up more hits in his last two starts (17) than he did in his first four outings (16). Philadelphia's hitters may look to attack early, as opponents are 10-for-24 (.417) with two homers and 10 RBIs when facing an 0-0 count against Mejia.
#955 COLORADO @ #956 CINCINNATI - 7:10 PM
•Rockies RH Jhoulys Chacin (0-1, 7.20 ERA, WHIP: 2.600) - Chacin, who is 37-41 with a 3.60 ERA while allowing 549 hits in 594 2/3 innings as a starter, yielded four runs, eight hits and five walks in five innings of Colorado's 5-1 loss to the New York Mets on Sunday. "The first three innings, I wasn't throwing strikes, and when you don't throw strikes, you aren't going to win,'' Chacin told the Denver Post. "I have some things to fix on my mechanics too. I was throwing the ball up too much in the beginning." The 26-year-old Venezuelan, who won a career-high 14 games and posted a 3.47 ERA last season, is 1-2 with a 3.13 ERA in five contests (three starts) against Cincinnati.
--KEY STAT: CHACIN is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHACIN 2.2, OPPONENT 3.5.
--CHACIN is 23-8 UNDER (+13.9 Units) in road games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHACIN 3.3, OPPONENT 3.3.
--CHACIN is 20-6 UNDER (+12.8 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHACIN 3.1, OPPONENT 3.3.
•Reds RH Johnny Cueto (3-2, 1.31 ERA, WHIP: 0.727) - Cueto, who is trying to become the first Cincinnati pitcher to throw eight or more innings in four consecutive starts since Jose Rijo in 1990, has struck out 60 in 55 frames - 21 in his last two starts - and has a 0.73 WHIP and .132 batting average against this season. "Right now, he's very, very locked in," Reds manager Bryan Price told reporters about the 28-year-old Dominican. "He's got a good working relationship with (catcher) Brayan Pena. I can't imagine him throwing the ball any better than he is right now." Cueto is 2-2 with a 4.05 ERA in five starts against the Rockies but hasn't faced them since 2012.
--KEY STAT: CUETO is 28-12 UNDER (+14.3 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 4.1, OPPONENT 2.7.
--CUETO is 36-15 UNDER (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.6, OPPONENT 2.8.
--CUETO is 29-10 UNDER (+17.5 Units) when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.7, OPPONENT 2.6.
--CUETO is 36-15 UNDER (+18.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.6, OPPONENT 2.8.
#957 CHICAGO CUBS @ #958 ATLANTA - 7:35 PM
•Cubs RH Jason Hammel (4-1, 2.43 ERA, WHIP: 0.811) - Hammel has recorded quality starts in each of his first six outings with the Cubs, but his last turn was his shakiest thus far. He allowed three runs on seven hits over six innings in a no-decision against the St. Louis Cardinals. Hammel is 1-3 with a 6.39 ERA in six starts against the Braves, but the win was a one-hitter in the most recent meeting in 2012.
--KEY STAT: HAMMEL is 14-7 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMMEL 5.0, OPPONENT 3.5.
•Braves RH Julio Teheran (2-2, 1.80 ERA, WHIP: 0.880) - Teheran has posted quality starts in all seven of his outings but is winless in his last three. The 23-year-old Colombian was a tough-luck loser last time out, allowing three runs - all on solo homers - over seven innings in a 3-1 loss to San Francisco. Teheran has faced the Cubs twice and is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA.
--KEY STAT: TEHERAN is 15-4 UNDER (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.6, OPPONENT 2.6.
--TEHERAN is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.4, OPPONENT 2.5.
--TEHERAN is 18-6 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.3, OPPONENT 3.2.
--TEHERAN is 15-5 UNDER (+9.1 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.5, OPPONENT 3.1.
#959 SAN FRANCISCO @ #960 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (3-3, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.563) - Bumgarner took a step forward in his last start, when he snapped a three-game losing streak by allowing one unearned run over six innings in a 4-1 victory at Atlanta. The 24-year-old walked one and struck out nine while improving to 2-1 with a 1.48 ERA in four road starts this season. Ethier has just three hits in 24 at-bats against Bumgarner, who is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA in two starts this season against the Dodgers.
--KEY STAT: BUMGARNER is 12-2 UNDER (+9.7 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 3.0, OPPONENT 3.6.
--BUMGARNER is 15-5 UNDER (+9.1 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 2.8, OPPONENT 3.0.
--BUMGARNER is 19-6 UNDER (+12.0 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 3.1, OPPONENT 2.7.
•Dodgers LH Paul Maholm (1-2, 4.70 ERA, WHIP: 1.564) - Maholm has been a valuable cog in the Dodgers’ rotation while replacing injured starters Clayton Kershaw and Hyun-Jin Ryu, but he’s likely headed back to the bullpen when Ryu returns later this month. The 31-year-old is 2-4 with a 4.23 ERA in 12 career starts against San Francisco, including 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA in two starts this season. Sandoval is 7-for-19 with two homers against Maholm, who allowed three runs in six innings against Miami last Saturday.
--KEY STAT: MAHOLM is 28-49 (-23.4 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MAHOLM 3.6, OPPONENT 4.0.
--MAHOLM is 22-38 (-19.3 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MAHOLM 3.8, OPPONENT 4.3.
#961 MIAMI @ #962 SAN DIEGO - 10:10 PM
•Marlins RH Jose Fernandez (4-1, 1.74 ERA, WHIP: 0.900) - Fernandez allowed two or fewer earned runs and struck out at least eight in six of his seven starts this season. The 21-year-old from Cuba has not allowed a run in two starts against San Diego, totaling 14 2/3 innings. Fernandez boasts 65 strikeouts in 46 2/3 innings overall and gave up three runs (two earned) in seven innings last time out against the Los Angeles Dodgers without getting a decision.
--KEY STAT: FERNANDEZ is 19-6 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FERNANDEZ 4.1, OPPONENT 2.4.
•RH Tyson Ross (3-3, 3.30 ERA, WHIP: 1.374) - Ross has given the Padres at least five innings in all seven starts, winning three of his last four decisions. The 27-year-old has yielded 44 hits over 43 2/3 innings overall in 2014 and did not get a decision in his last outing, permitting three runs (one earned) over seven innings against Arizona last Sunday. Jeff Mathis belted a grand slam against Ross in a short relief outing versus Miami last season.
--KEY STAT: ROSS is 4-14 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ROSS 3.0, OPPONENT 5.3.
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FRIDAY, MAY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#951 ST LOUIS @ #952 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM
•Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (2-3, 2.55 ERA, WHIP: 1.158) - Wacha is facing the Pirates for the first time since Game 4 of last year’s NL Division Series, when he threw 7 1/3 no-hit innings before allowing Pedro Alvarez’s solo homer. The 22-year-old has been a victim of poor run support in recent starts, including last Saturday’s 3-0 loss to the Chicago Cubs. Wacha, who is seeking his first win since April 13, ranks near the top of the league in strikeouts with 50 in 42 1/3 innings covering seven games.
•Pirates LH Francisco Liriano (0-3, 4.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.407) - Liriano has gone 10 consecutive regular-season starts without a win and failed to pitch into the fourth inning in each of his last two outings. Jhonny Peralta is 13-for-40 with two home runs against the 30-year-old, who is 4-1 with a 1.85 ERA in six career starts against the Cardinals. Liriano, who has been battling a groin injury suffered late in spring training, owns an 8-2 record and 2.24 ERA in 15 starts at PNC Park since the beginning of last season.
--KEY STAT: LIRIANO is 16-5 UNDER (+10.9 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LIRIANO 4.0, OPPONENT 3.1.
#953 PHILADELPHIA @ #954 NY METS - 7:10 PM
•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (2-1, 4.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.412) - Hernandez allowed only four hits over 7 1/3 scoreless innings his last time out against Washington. Prior to that outing, the 33-year-old had not worked more than six frames in a start all season. Only two members of the Mets have extensive experience against Hernandez, including Curtis Granderson (.415 average and three homers in 41 at-bats with a .500 on-base percentage).
--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 23-38 (-17.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.8, OPPONENT 4.6.
--HERNANDEZ is 4-13 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.9, OPPONENT 5.4.
--HERNANDEZ is 38-19 UNDER (+16.3 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.8, OPPONENT 4.0.
•Mets RH Jenrry Mejia (3-0, 5.23 ERA, WHIP: 1.530) - Following back-to-back starts in which he did not allow a run, Mejia has struggled over his last two outings. He was charged with season highs of eight runs and nine hits in a season-low 4 1/3 innings Saturday against Colorado and has given up more hits in his last two starts (17) than he did in his first four outings (16). Philadelphia's hitters may look to attack early, as opponents are 10-for-24 (.417) with two homers and 10 RBIs when facing an 0-0 count against Mejia.
#955 COLORADO @ #956 CINCINNATI - 7:10 PM
•Rockies RH Jhoulys Chacin (0-1, 7.20 ERA, WHIP: 2.600) - Chacin, who is 37-41 with a 3.60 ERA while allowing 549 hits in 594 2/3 innings as a starter, yielded four runs, eight hits and five walks in five innings of Colorado's 5-1 loss to the New York Mets on Sunday. "The first three innings, I wasn't throwing strikes, and when you don't throw strikes, you aren't going to win,'' Chacin told the Denver Post. "I have some things to fix on my mechanics too. I was throwing the ball up too much in the beginning." The 26-year-old Venezuelan, who won a career-high 14 games and posted a 3.47 ERA last season, is 1-2 with a 3.13 ERA in five contests (three starts) against Cincinnati.
--KEY STAT: CHACIN is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHACIN 2.2, OPPONENT 3.5.
--CHACIN is 23-8 UNDER (+13.9 Units) in road games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHACIN 3.3, OPPONENT 3.3.
--CHACIN is 20-6 UNDER (+12.8 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHACIN 3.1, OPPONENT 3.3.
•Reds RH Johnny Cueto (3-2, 1.31 ERA, WHIP: 0.727) - Cueto, who is trying to become the first Cincinnati pitcher to throw eight or more innings in four consecutive starts since Jose Rijo in 1990, has struck out 60 in 55 frames - 21 in his last two starts - and has a 0.73 WHIP and .132 batting average against this season. "Right now, he's very, very locked in," Reds manager Bryan Price told reporters about the 28-year-old Dominican. "He's got a good working relationship with (catcher) Brayan Pena. I can't imagine him throwing the ball any better than he is right now." Cueto is 2-2 with a 4.05 ERA in five starts against the Rockies but hasn't faced them since 2012.
--KEY STAT: CUETO is 28-12 UNDER (+14.3 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 4.1, OPPONENT 2.7.
--CUETO is 36-15 UNDER (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.6, OPPONENT 2.8.
--CUETO is 29-10 UNDER (+17.5 Units) when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.7, OPPONENT 2.6.
--CUETO is 36-15 UNDER (+18.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.6, OPPONENT 2.8.
#957 CHICAGO CUBS @ #958 ATLANTA - 7:35 PM
•Cubs RH Jason Hammel (4-1, 2.43 ERA, WHIP: 0.811) - Hammel has recorded quality starts in each of his first six outings with the Cubs, but his last turn was his shakiest thus far. He allowed three runs on seven hits over six innings in a no-decision against the St. Louis Cardinals. Hammel is 1-3 with a 6.39 ERA in six starts against the Braves, but the win was a one-hitter in the most recent meeting in 2012.
--KEY STAT: HAMMEL is 14-7 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMMEL 5.0, OPPONENT 3.5.
•Braves RH Julio Teheran (2-2, 1.80 ERA, WHIP: 0.880) - Teheran has posted quality starts in all seven of his outings but is winless in his last three. The 23-year-old Colombian was a tough-luck loser last time out, allowing three runs - all on solo homers - over seven innings in a 3-1 loss to San Francisco. Teheran has faced the Cubs twice and is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA.
--KEY STAT: TEHERAN is 15-4 UNDER (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.6, OPPONENT 2.6.
--TEHERAN is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.4, OPPONENT 2.5.
--TEHERAN is 18-6 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.3, OPPONENT 3.2.
--TEHERAN is 15-5 UNDER (+9.1 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.5, OPPONENT 3.1.
#959 SAN FRANCISCO @ #960 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (3-3, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.563) - Bumgarner took a step forward in his last start, when he snapped a three-game losing streak by allowing one unearned run over six innings in a 4-1 victory at Atlanta. The 24-year-old walked one and struck out nine while improving to 2-1 with a 1.48 ERA in four road starts this season. Ethier has just three hits in 24 at-bats against Bumgarner, who is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA in two starts this season against the Dodgers.
--KEY STAT: BUMGARNER is 12-2 UNDER (+9.7 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 3.0, OPPONENT 3.6.
--BUMGARNER is 15-5 UNDER (+9.1 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 2.8, OPPONENT 3.0.
--BUMGARNER is 19-6 UNDER (+12.0 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 3.1, OPPONENT 2.7.
•Dodgers LH Paul Maholm (1-2, 4.70 ERA, WHIP: 1.564) - Maholm has been a valuable cog in the Dodgers’ rotation while replacing injured starters Clayton Kershaw and Hyun-Jin Ryu, but he’s likely headed back to the bullpen when Ryu returns later this month. The 31-year-old is 2-4 with a 4.23 ERA in 12 career starts against San Francisco, including 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA in two starts this season. Sandoval is 7-for-19 with two homers against Maholm, who allowed three runs in six innings against Miami last Saturday.
--KEY STAT: MAHOLM is 28-49 (-23.4 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MAHOLM 3.6, OPPONENT 4.0.
--MAHOLM is 22-38 (-19.3 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MAHOLM 3.8, OPPONENT 4.3.
#961 MIAMI @ #962 SAN DIEGO - 10:10 PM
•Marlins RH Jose Fernandez (4-1, 1.74 ERA, WHIP: 0.900) - Fernandez allowed two or fewer earned runs and struck out at least eight in six of his seven starts this season. The 21-year-old from Cuba has not allowed a run in two starts against San Diego, totaling 14 2/3 innings. Fernandez boasts 65 strikeouts in 46 2/3 innings overall and gave up three runs (two earned) in seven innings last time out against the Los Angeles Dodgers without getting a decision.
--KEY STAT: FERNANDEZ is 19-6 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FERNANDEZ 4.1, OPPONENT 2.4.
•RH Tyson Ross (3-3, 3.30 ERA, WHIP: 1.374) - Ross has given the Padres at least five innings in all seven starts, winning three of his last four decisions. The 27-year-old has yielded 44 hits over 43 2/3 innings overall in 2014 and did not get a decision in his last outing, permitting three runs (one earned) over seven innings against Arizona last Sunday. Jeff Mathis belted a grand slam against Ross in a short relief outing versus Miami last season.
--KEY STAT: ROSS is 4-14 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ROSS 3.0, OPPONENT 5.3.
________________________________________________
BeatYourBookie
FRIDAY
MLB BASEBALL
10* Play Boston +150 over Texas (MLB TOP PLAY)
Clay Buchholz is 6-1 when pitching on a Friday the last three seasons
Clay Buchholz is 13-3 after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing
Clay Buchholz is 21-10 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs
10* Play San Francisco +100 over LA Dodgers (MLB TOP PLAY)
Madison Bumgarner is 39-24 vs. division opponents
Madison Bumgarner is 45-34 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Madison Bumgarner has an ERA of 1.48 in road games this season
=============================================
5* Play Cleveland +110 over Tampa Bay (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
5* Play Arizona +115 over Chicago White Sox (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
FRIDAY
MLB BASEBALL
10* Play Boston +150 over Texas (MLB TOP PLAY)
Clay Buchholz is 6-1 when pitching on a Friday the last three seasons
Clay Buchholz is 13-3 after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing
Clay Buchholz is 21-10 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs
10* Play San Francisco +100 over LA Dodgers (MLB TOP PLAY)
Madison Bumgarner is 39-24 vs. division opponents
Madison Bumgarner is 45-34 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Madison Bumgarner has an ERA of 1.48 in road games this season
=============================================
5* Play Cleveland +110 over Tampa Bay (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
5* Play Arizona +115 over Chicago White Sox (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball
1000* Play Cincinnati -175 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Jhoulys Chacin has lost 13 of the last 21 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and he has lost 25 of the last 42 road games.Jhoulys Chacin has lost 23 of the last 33 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has an ERA of 7.20 in all starts this season.
=====================================================
50* Play Detroit -190 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Atlanta -160 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)
MLB Baseball
1000* Play Cincinnati -175 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Jhoulys Chacin has lost 13 of the last 21 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and he has lost 25 of the last 42 road games.Jhoulys Chacin has lost 23 of the last 33 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has an ERA of 7.20 in all starts this season.
=====================================================
50* Play Detroit -190 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Atlanta -160 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)
FantasySportsGametime
FRIDAY
NBA BASKETBALL
1000* Play Oklahoma City +4 over LA Clippers (NBA TOP PLAY)
10:30 PM EST
Oklahoma City has won 33 of the last 46 games when the total posted is greater than 210 points and they have won 38 of the last 48 games when playing on a Friday.Oklahoma City has won 45 of the last 60 games vs. Pacific Division Opponents and they have won 58 of the last 81 games after scoring 110 points or more in their last game.
50* Play Washington -4 over Indiana (NBA BONUS PLAY)
=========================================
NHL HOCKEY
50* Play NY Rangers +170 over Pittsburgh (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Minnesota +120 over Chicago (NHL BONUS PLAY)
FRIDAY
NBA BASKETBALL
1000* Play Oklahoma City +4 over LA Clippers (NBA TOP PLAY)
10:30 PM EST
Oklahoma City has won 33 of the last 46 games when the total posted is greater than 210 points and they have won 38 of the last 48 games when playing on a Friday.Oklahoma City has won 45 of the last 60 games vs. Pacific Division Opponents and they have won 58 of the last 81 games after scoring 110 points or more in their last game.
50* Play Washington -4 over Indiana (NBA BONUS PLAY)
=========================================
NHL HOCKEY
50* Play NY Rangers +170 over Pittsburgh (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Minnesota +120 over Chicago (NHL BONUS PLAY)
XpertPicks
FRIDAY
Los Angeles has lost 7 consecutive games against the spread when playing in the 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] game of a playoff series and they have lost 11 of the last 14 games against the spread coming off two games when playing as a road underdog.Los Angeles has lost 7 of the last 9 games against the spread when tied in a playoff series and they are allowing an average of 108 points in their last five games.
NHL HOCKEY
FRIDAY
- Play Oklahoma City +4 over Los Angeles (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
10:30 PM EST
Los Angeles has lost 7 consecutive games against the spread when playing in the 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] game of a playoff series and they have lost 11 of the last 14 games against the spread coming off two games when playing as a road underdog.Los Angeles has lost 7 of the last 9 games against the spread when tied in a playoff series and they are allowing an average of 108 points in their last five games.
- Play Washington -4 over Indiana (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
NHL HOCKEY
- Play New York Rangers +175 over Pittsburgh (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
- Play Minnesota +120 over Chicago (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
XpertPicks
FRIDAY BASEBALL
Clay Buchholz has won 16 of the last 22 games when pitching on a Friday and he has won 28 of the last 40 night games. Clay Buchholz has won 37 of the last 56 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 18 of the last 27 road games.
New York has won 92 of the last 151 games coming off two or more road games and they have won 92 of the last 162 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game. New York has won 37 of the last 58 games when playing on a Friday and they have won 24 of the last 40 inter-league games.
Tyson Ross has lost 14 of the last 17 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +150 and he has lost 9 of the last 13 games when pitching in the month of May. Tyson Ross has lost 12 of the last 19 home games and he has lost two consecutive games vs. NL East Division Opponents.
FRIDAY BASEBALL
- Play Boston +150 over Texas----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST
Clay Buchholz has won 16 of the last 22 games when pitching on a Friday and he has won 28 of the last 40 night games. Clay Buchholz has won 37 of the last 56 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 18 of the last 27 road games.
- Play New York Yankees -110 over Milwaukee----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST
New York has won 92 of the last 151 games coming off two or more road games and they have won 92 of the last 162 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game. New York has won 37 of the last 58 games when playing on a Friday and they have won 24 of the last 40 inter-league games.
- Play Miami -130 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
10:00 PM EST
Tyson Ross has lost 14 of the last 17 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +150 and he has lost 9 of the last 13 games when pitching in the month of May. Tyson Ross has lost 12 of the last 19 home games and he has lost two consecutive games vs. NL East Division Opponents.
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, MAY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
#963 HOUSTON @ #964 BALTIMORE - 7:05 PM
•Astros RH Scott Feldman (2-1, 1.69 ERA, WHIP: 0.937) - Feldman takes the mound for the first time since April 17 after suffering right biceps tendinitis and faces the team he made 15 starts (5-6) with last season. The 31-year-old Hawaii native gave up one run over 20 2/3 innings in the first three of his four starts in 2014. Markakis (6-for-21, three doubles) has hit well against Feldman, who is 4-1 in 12 career appearances (six starts) versus Baltimore with a 3.86 ERA.
--KEY STAT: FELDMAN is 6-18 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 3.5, OPPONENT 4.7.
--FELDMAN is 9-17 (-14.6 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.2, OPPONENT 4.6.
--FELDMAN is 27-42 (-23.7 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.4, OPPONENT 4.9.
--FELDMAN is 19-5 UNDER (+13.1 Units) against American League East opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.8, OPPONENT 4.5.
•Orioles LH Wei-Yin Chen (3-2, 4.24 ERA, WHIP: 1.559) - Chen has yielded three or fewer runs in four consecutive turns, but lost Saturday 6-1 to Minnesota after giving up three runs (two earned) in only five innings. The Taiwan native struck out 28 and walked eight while surrendering 45 hits in 34 innings overall this season. Chen allowed three runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out nine over 7 1/3 innings to beat Houston last July.
--KEY STAT: CHEN is 25-11 UNDER (+12.7 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHEN 4.2, OPPONENT 3.4.
#965 LA ANGELS @ #966 TORONTO - 7:05 PM
•Angels RH Garrett Richards (3-0, 2.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.132) - Richards gave up three runs in six innings against Texas on Saturday to get back in the win column following three straight no-decisions. He has appeared in five career games against the Angels, going 2-2 with a 5.12 ERA. One thing to keep an eye on with Richards is that he has walked multiple batters in every start this season, although he has limited the damage by yielding a total of one homer in 38 innings.
--KEY STAT: RICHARDS is 9-1 UNDER (+7.8 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 2.0, OPPONENT 3.2.
•Blue Jays RH Dustin McGowan (2-1, 4.80 ERA, WHIP: 1.433) - McGowan twirled a season-high seven innings, giving up one run and three hits in Sunday's 7-2 win against Pittsburgh. He is looking to improve upon his 2014 struggles at Rogers Centre (0-1, 13.50 ERA) compared to his 2-0 mark with a 2.31 ERA on the road. McGowan's career numbers against the Angels are strong - a 3.44 ERA and a .227 opponents' batting average - although he is just 1-4 lifetime against Los Angeles.
--KEY STAT: MCGOWAN is 12-31 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCGOWAN 3.5, OPPONENT 4.9.
#967 MINNESOTA @ #968 DETROIT - 7:05 PM
•Twins RH Phil Hughes (3-1, 4.72 ERA, WHIP: 1.311) - In his first season with Minnesota, Hughes has won his last three outings and turned in a quality start in each, yielding a combined six earned runs in 19 1/3 innings. Hughes, who has received 28 runs of support in his four wins, beat Detroit with a season-high seven innings of two-run ball on April 26. He has no answers for two-time MVP Miguel Cabrera, who has a .536 average and five homers in 28 at-bats against Hughes.
•Tigers RH Justin Verlander (4-1, 2.68 ERA, WHIP: 1.319) - Verlander has not been as overpowering as in years past, but is still 4-0 over his last five starts and has yet to permit more than three runs in a game. He took a no-hitter into the sixth inning against Kansas City last time out and wound up allowing three runs on four hits and four walks in seven innings. Verlander is 14-7 with a 3.12 ERA and a pair of complete games in 27 career starts against the Twins.
--KEY STAT: VERLANDER is 8-17 (-21.3 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 3.8, OPPONENT 4.0.
--VERLANDER is 13-21 (-23.7 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 4.4, OPPONENT 4.4.
#969 CLEVELAND @ #970 TAMPA BAY - 7:10 PM
•Indians RH Corey Kluber (2-3, 3.60 ERA, WHIP: 1.356) - Kluber has been outstanding in two of his last three starts, shutting out Kansas City and allowing one run over eight innings Sunday against the Chicago White Sox. The Birmingham, Ala., native boasts 48 strikeouts in 45 innings, but has been much better at home (2-1, 2.43 ERA) than on the road (0-2, 5.87). Kluber did not give up a hit in two innings of relief against Tampa Bay last May.
--KEY STAT: KLUBER is 10-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.7, OPPONENT 3.0.
•Rays RH Jake Odorizzi (1-3, 6.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.808) - The Rays have lost all five of Odorizzi’s starts since he blanked Texas on three hits over six innings in his season debut. The 24-year-old has not gone past five innings since his first outing and gave up three runs over four-plus frames in his last turn against the New York Yankees. Odorizzi faced Cleveland twice in 2012, allowing four runs in 7 1/3 innings and Carlos Santana homered off him.
#971 BOSTON @ #972 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (2-2, 5.63 ERA, WHIP: 1.594) - Buchholz yielded one run and three hits in 6 1/3 innings of Boston's 7-1 victory over Oakland on May 2 and works on two extra days' rest because the Red Sox were off Monday and Thursday. The 29-year-old Nederland, Texas, native is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA in three starts in his home state - 1-3, 3.30 in five outings overall against the Rangers. Players on Texas' active roster are hitting .116 against Buchholz in 69 at-bats, with J.P. Arencibia 0-for-20 and Shin-Soo Choo 1-for-10.
--KEY STAT: BUCHHOLZ is 10-1 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 5.6, OPPONENT 2.5.
•Rangers RH Yu Darvish (2-1, 2.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.248) - Darvish struck out nine while allowing three runs and seven hits in 6 1/3 innings of Texas' 14-3 victory at Anaheim on Sunday. The 27-year-old Osaka, Japan, native has pitched well at home - 0-1 with a 2.95 ERA - and the Rangers are 2-1 in his starts at Global Life Park after he allowed all four runs in a 4-0 loss to Oakland on April 28. Dustin Pedroia is 4-for-7 with three doubles versus Darvish, who is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA in two outings against Boston but holding today's roster to a .222 average.
--KEY STAT: DARVISH is 12-3 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in home games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.1, OPPONENT 2.8.
--DARVISH is 14-4 UNDER (+10.0 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.5, OPPONENT 2.6.
#973 KANSAS CITY @ #974 SEATTLE - 10:10 PM
•Royals LH Jason Vargas (2-1, 3.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.252) - Vargas is 2-1 with a 2.11 ERA in three career starts against his former club. He has a 22-21 lifetime record and 3.33 ERA when pitching at Safeco Field. Vargas allowed two or fewer unearned runs in each of his first five starts before the recent troubles.
--KEY STAT: VARGAS is 19-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 4.0, OPPONENT 3.3.
--VARGAS is 21-9 UNDER (+11.0 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 3.2, OPPONENT 3.4.
•Mariners RH Brandon Maurer (1-0, 6.92 ERA, WHIP: 1.538) - Maurer picked up his first victory of the season in his last turn when he gave up four runs and six hits in five innings against Houston. He experienced a rough outing against Texas on April 27 when he gave up five runs and seven hits in 3 2/3 innings. Maurer had a 4.32 ERA in two appearances (one start) against Kansas City last season.
____________________________________________________
FRIDAY, MAY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
#963 HOUSTON @ #964 BALTIMORE - 7:05 PM
•Astros RH Scott Feldman (2-1, 1.69 ERA, WHIP: 0.937) - Feldman takes the mound for the first time since April 17 after suffering right biceps tendinitis and faces the team he made 15 starts (5-6) with last season. The 31-year-old Hawaii native gave up one run over 20 2/3 innings in the first three of his four starts in 2014. Markakis (6-for-21, three doubles) has hit well against Feldman, who is 4-1 in 12 career appearances (six starts) versus Baltimore with a 3.86 ERA.
--KEY STAT: FELDMAN is 6-18 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 3.5, OPPONENT 4.7.
--FELDMAN is 9-17 (-14.6 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.2, OPPONENT 4.6.
--FELDMAN is 27-42 (-23.7 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.4, OPPONENT 4.9.
--FELDMAN is 19-5 UNDER (+13.1 Units) against American League East opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 4.8, OPPONENT 4.5.
•Orioles LH Wei-Yin Chen (3-2, 4.24 ERA, WHIP: 1.559) - Chen has yielded three or fewer runs in four consecutive turns, but lost Saturday 6-1 to Minnesota after giving up three runs (two earned) in only five innings. The Taiwan native struck out 28 and walked eight while surrendering 45 hits in 34 innings overall this season. Chen allowed three runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out nine over 7 1/3 innings to beat Houston last July.
--KEY STAT: CHEN is 25-11 UNDER (+12.7 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CHEN 4.2, OPPONENT 3.4.
#965 LA ANGELS @ #966 TORONTO - 7:05 PM
•Angels RH Garrett Richards (3-0, 2.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.132) - Richards gave up three runs in six innings against Texas on Saturday to get back in the win column following three straight no-decisions. He has appeared in five career games against the Angels, going 2-2 with a 5.12 ERA. One thing to keep an eye on with Richards is that he has walked multiple batters in every start this season, although he has limited the damage by yielding a total of one homer in 38 innings.
--KEY STAT: RICHARDS is 9-1 UNDER (+7.8 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 2.0, OPPONENT 3.2.
•Blue Jays RH Dustin McGowan (2-1, 4.80 ERA, WHIP: 1.433) - McGowan twirled a season-high seven innings, giving up one run and three hits in Sunday's 7-2 win against Pittsburgh. He is looking to improve upon his 2014 struggles at Rogers Centre (0-1, 13.50 ERA) compared to his 2-0 mark with a 2.31 ERA on the road. McGowan's career numbers against the Angels are strong - a 3.44 ERA and a .227 opponents' batting average - although he is just 1-4 lifetime against Los Angeles.
--KEY STAT: MCGOWAN is 12-31 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCGOWAN 3.5, OPPONENT 4.9.
#967 MINNESOTA @ #968 DETROIT - 7:05 PM
•Twins RH Phil Hughes (3-1, 4.72 ERA, WHIP: 1.311) - In his first season with Minnesota, Hughes has won his last three outings and turned in a quality start in each, yielding a combined six earned runs in 19 1/3 innings. Hughes, who has received 28 runs of support in his four wins, beat Detroit with a season-high seven innings of two-run ball on April 26. He has no answers for two-time MVP Miguel Cabrera, who has a .536 average and five homers in 28 at-bats against Hughes.
•Tigers RH Justin Verlander (4-1, 2.68 ERA, WHIP: 1.319) - Verlander has not been as overpowering as in years past, but is still 4-0 over his last five starts and has yet to permit more than three runs in a game. He took a no-hitter into the sixth inning against Kansas City last time out and wound up allowing three runs on four hits and four walks in seven innings. Verlander is 14-7 with a 3.12 ERA and a pair of complete games in 27 career starts against the Twins.
--KEY STAT: VERLANDER is 8-17 (-21.3 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 3.8, OPPONENT 4.0.
--VERLANDER is 13-21 (-23.7 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 4.4, OPPONENT 4.4.
#969 CLEVELAND @ #970 TAMPA BAY - 7:10 PM
•Indians RH Corey Kluber (2-3, 3.60 ERA, WHIP: 1.356) - Kluber has been outstanding in two of his last three starts, shutting out Kansas City and allowing one run over eight innings Sunday against the Chicago White Sox. The Birmingham, Ala., native boasts 48 strikeouts in 45 innings, but has been much better at home (2-1, 2.43 ERA) than on the road (0-2, 5.87). Kluber did not give up a hit in two innings of relief against Tampa Bay last May.
--KEY STAT: KLUBER is 10-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.7, OPPONENT 3.0.
•Rays RH Jake Odorizzi (1-3, 6.83 ERA, WHIP: 1.808) - The Rays have lost all five of Odorizzi’s starts since he blanked Texas on three hits over six innings in his season debut. The 24-year-old has not gone past five innings since his first outing and gave up three runs over four-plus frames in his last turn against the New York Yankees. Odorizzi faced Cleveland twice in 2012, allowing four runs in 7 1/3 innings and Carlos Santana homered off him.
#971 BOSTON @ #972 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (2-2, 5.63 ERA, WHIP: 1.594) - Buchholz yielded one run and three hits in 6 1/3 innings of Boston's 7-1 victory over Oakland on May 2 and works on two extra days' rest because the Red Sox were off Monday and Thursday. The 29-year-old Nederland, Texas, native is 0-2 with a 4.15 ERA in three starts in his home state - 1-3, 3.30 in five outings overall against the Rangers. Players on Texas' active roster are hitting .116 against Buchholz in 69 at-bats, with J.P. Arencibia 0-for-20 and Shin-Soo Choo 1-for-10.
--KEY STAT: BUCHHOLZ is 10-1 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 5.6, OPPONENT 2.5.
•Rangers RH Yu Darvish (2-1, 2.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.248) - Darvish struck out nine while allowing three runs and seven hits in 6 1/3 innings of Texas' 14-3 victory at Anaheim on Sunday. The 27-year-old Osaka, Japan, native has pitched well at home - 0-1 with a 2.95 ERA - and the Rangers are 2-1 in his starts at Global Life Park after he allowed all four runs in a 4-0 loss to Oakland on April 28. Dustin Pedroia is 4-for-7 with three doubles versus Darvish, who is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA in two outings against Boston but holding today's roster to a .222 average.
--KEY STAT: DARVISH is 12-3 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in home games versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.1, OPPONENT 2.8.
--DARVISH is 14-4 UNDER (+10.0 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.5, OPPONENT 2.6.
#973 KANSAS CITY @ #974 SEATTLE - 10:10 PM
•Royals LH Jason Vargas (2-1, 3.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.252) - Vargas is 2-1 with a 2.11 ERA in three career starts against his former club. He has a 22-21 lifetime record and 3.33 ERA when pitching at Safeco Field. Vargas allowed two or fewer unearned runs in each of his first five starts before the recent troubles.
--KEY STAT: VARGAS is 19-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 4.0, OPPONENT 3.3.
--VARGAS is 21-9 UNDER (+11.0 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VARGAS 3.2, OPPONENT 3.4.
•Mariners RH Brandon Maurer (1-0, 6.92 ERA, WHIP: 1.538) - Maurer picked up his first victory of the season in his last turn when he gave up four runs and six hits in five innings against Houston. He experienced a rough outing against Texas on April 27 when he gave up five runs and seven hits in 3 2/3 innings. Maurer had a 4.32 ERA in two appearances (one start) against Kansas City last season.
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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS INTERLEAGUE PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, MAY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#975 NY YANKEES @ #976 MILWAUKEE - 8:10 PM
•Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (4-0, 2.53 ERA, WHIP: 0.961) - Tanaka's one issue so far has been his inability to keep the ball in the park on a consistent basis. The Rays clubbed two home runs against him on Saturday, which gives opponents five blasts in Tanaka's last three starts and seven overall, tied for the fourth-highest total in the American League entering Thursday. He has 15 strikeouts with zero walks in his two road starts.
•Brewers RH Yovani Gallardo (2-1, 2.47 ERA, WHIP: 1.191) - Following a phenomenal April, Gallardo opened May with his first loss and first non-quality start of the year, giving up four runs and nine hits in six frames at Cincinnati on Saturday. He has allowed only three runs on 15 hits (no home runs) in 19 innings at home and has lasted at least six innings in each of his seven outings overall. Gallardo, who is 5-5 with a 3.30 ERA in interleague action, has never faced the Yankees.
--KEY STAT: GALLARDO is 10-2 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 4.8, OPPONENT 4.8.
--GALLARDO is 15-3 OVER (+11.8 Units) in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.0, OPPONENT 5.2.
#977 ARIZONA @ #978 CHI WHITE SOX - 8:10 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Brandon McCarthy (1-5, 4.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.286) - McCarthy snapped a streak of five straight losses his last time out, tossing seven scoreless innings to win at San Diego. It was his second straight quality start, and he has allowed just two runs and 10 hits over 14 frames in his last two outings. McCarthy is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA in three starts against the White Sox, the team for which he pitched in his first two major league seasons.
--KEY STAT: MCCARTHY is 5-16 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 3.7, OPPONENT 5.3.
--MCCARTHY is 1-12 (-12.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 3.5, OPPONENT 5.5.
•White Sox RH Andre Rienzo (2-0, 4.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.556) - Rienzo was inefficient in his last start, leaving in the fifth inning after allowing three runs on seven hits and four walks. The 25-year-old Brazilian kept the White Sox in the game, though, and they held on for a 4-3 win at Cleveland. Rienzo is making his first start against a National League team.
#979 WASHINGTON @ #980 OAKLAND - 10:05 PM
•Nationals RH Doug Fister (2013: 14-9, 3.67 ERA, WHIP: N/A) - Fister is set to make his season debut with his new team after missing all of last month with a strained lat muscle. He has reached double figures in wins in each of the last three seasons and should be a nice boost for a pitching staff that entered Wednesday tied with the Athletics for the third-lowest ERA in the majors at 3.06. Fister has some experience pitching at Oakland Coliseum from his years with the Seattle Mariners, owning a 2-3 mark with a 2.41 ERA in six career starts.
--KEY STAT: FISTER is 16-4 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FISTER 3.9, OPPONENT 3.1.
--FISTER is 13-31 (-19.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FISTER 3.0, OPPONENT 4.2.
•Athletics LH Tommy Milone (0-3, 5.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.554) - The Athletics haven’t won in Milone’s five starts this season, leaving his spot in the rotation in jeopardy if he continues to struggle. He took another step back Saturday against the Boston Red Sox, surrendering three home runs in four innings of a 6-3 loss, but in his defense Oakland has scored only 16 runs in his five appearances this season. Milone is 6-4 in his career in interleague play, posting one of his two complete games against the Los Angeles Dodgers in June 2012 in Oakland.
--KEY STAT: MILONE is 27-15 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILONE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.8.
--MILONE is 14-4 OVER (+10.3 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILONE 6.0, OPPONENT 4.6.
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FRIDAY, MAY 9TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#975 NY YANKEES @ #976 MILWAUKEE - 8:10 PM
•Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (4-0, 2.53 ERA, WHIP: 0.961) - Tanaka's one issue so far has been his inability to keep the ball in the park on a consistent basis. The Rays clubbed two home runs against him on Saturday, which gives opponents five blasts in Tanaka's last three starts and seven overall, tied for the fourth-highest total in the American League entering Thursday. He has 15 strikeouts with zero walks in his two road starts.
•Brewers RH Yovani Gallardo (2-1, 2.47 ERA, WHIP: 1.191) - Following a phenomenal April, Gallardo opened May with his first loss and first non-quality start of the year, giving up four runs and nine hits in six frames at Cincinnati on Saturday. He has allowed only three runs on 15 hits (no home runs) in 19 innings at home and has lasted at least six innings in each of his seven outings overall. Gallardo, who is 5-5 with a 3.30 ERA in interleague action, has never faced the Yankees.
--KEY STAT: GALLARDO is 10-2 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 4.8, OPPONENT 4.8.
--GALLARDO is 15-3 OVER (+11.8 Units) in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.0, OPPONENT 5.2.
#977 ARIZONA @ #978 CHI WHITE SOX - 8:10 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Brandon McCarthy (1-5, 4.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.286) - McCarthy snapped a streak of five straight losses his last time out, tossing seven scoreless innings to win at San Diego. It was his second straight quality start, and he has allowed just two runs and 10 hits over 14 frames in his last two outings. McCarthy is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA in three starts against the White Sox, the team for which he pitched in his first two major league seasons.
--KEY STAT: MCCARTHY is 5-16 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 3.7, OPPONENT 5.3.
--MCCARTHY is 1-12 (-12.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 3.5, OPPONENT 5.5.
•White Sox RH Andre Rienzo (2-0, 4.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.556) - Rienzo was inefficient in his last start, leaving in the fifth inning after allowing three runs on seven hits and four walks. The 25-year-old Brazilian kept the White Sox in the game, though, and they held on for a 4-3 win at Cleveland. Rienzo is making his first start against a National League team.
#979 WASHINGTON @ #980 OAKLAND - 10:05 PM
•Nationals RH Doug Fister (2013: 14-9, 3.67 ERA, WHIP: N/A) - Fister is set to make his season debut with his new team after missing all of last month with a strained lat muscle. He has reached double figures in wins in each of the last three seasons and should be a nice boost for a pitching staff that entered Wednesday tied with the Athletics for the third-lowest ERA in the majors at 3.06. Fister has some experience pitching at Oakland Coliseum from his years with the Seattle Mariners, owning a 2-3 mark with a 2.41 ERA in six career starts.
--KEY STAT: FISTER is 16-4 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FISTER 3.9, OPPONENT 3.1.
--FISTER is 13-31 (-19.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FISTER 3.0, OPPONENT 4.2.
•Athletics LH Tommy Milone (0-3, 5.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.554) - The Athletics haven’t won in Milone’s five starts this season, leaving his spot in the rotation in jeopardy if he continues to struggle. He took another step back Saturday against the Boston Red Sox, surrendering three home runs in four innings of a 6-3 loss, but in his defense Oakland has scored only 16 runs in his five appearances this season. Milone is 6-4 in his career in interleague play, posting one of his two complete games against the Los Angeles Dodgers in June 2012 in Oakland.
--KEY STAT: MILONE is 27-15 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILONE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.8.
--MILONE is 14-4 OVER (+10.3 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILONE 6.0, OPPONENT 4.6.
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DAVE ESSLER Friday MLB Thoughts and free pick
Cardinals-Pirates: Pittsburgh a respectable 10-10 at home, and lost two of three to St. Louis not long ago. Interesting thing there is the one they WON was a gem by Liriano, and Wacha didn’t pitch in that series. The Cards are actually 0-4 in Wacha’s four road starts, but his (Wacha’s) stats are tremendous, just getting zero run support. Since the Pirates haven’t seen much of him, I like the F5 under here.
Phillies-Mets: Mets with a day off and the Phillies obviously playing North of the Border on Thursday. Fausto is a huge grounball pitcher and as poorly as the Phillies have been hitting I’d have to lean to the under. Mejia has been hammered his last two starts, but against the Rockies and hot-hitting Marlins, so he’s perhaps due for SOME regression. However, with that in mind, if this goes to 8 we’ll look at the under, and we’ll take Granderson in our fantasy leagues. IMO Mets win this late.
Rockies-Reds: Pretty much disrespecting the Rockies and simply loving Cueto at -175, IMO. No chance in hell of laying -175 even w/Chacin pitching. I do know the Reds have a day off and the Rockies don’t, so if Colorado doesn’t need a ton of bullpen we’ll look at the Rockies RL, without even looking at pitcher/batter stats.
Cubs-Braves: I am simply not touching a Braves game for a while, or at least not touching the Braves, especially at -175 with Cubs having no rest. Teheran can be great, but we backed him last time and he got hammered. Hammel is at least servicable at times, so PERHAPS I could consider the over at 6.5.
Giants-Dodgers: Interesting that Bumgarner is only -120 or so, and I say only because Vogelsong was “only” +130 against Beckett. So, thrown in Maholm and there’ s .50 difference. Not so sure that the value here isn’t with the Dodgers in the second game back, and Maholm is exactly the type of junk pitcher that gives the Giants trouble. Obviously the Dodgers have seen plenty of Bumgarner, already twice this season alone. Dodgers or nothing.
Miami-San Diego: Interesting the the Fish go from +125 with Turner to -150 with Jose, and on the road. With Miami’s road record and a low total, as you’d expect, I might consider the Padres RL. Jose typically doesn’t pitch deep into games, and the Padres have a better bullpen, IMO.
Houston-Baltimore: I actually like the Astros MUCH better against a LHP and seriously considered them against the Tigers, and with the Orioles coming back from a division series against the Rays, I will consider the Astros again, at the very least the RL.
Angels-Blue Jays: Angels opened as favorites and already the Jays and McGowan are -115 most places. With the Jays playing Thursday and the Angels having the night off. I’d like to think they’re not quite that easy, and if the Jays have to use much of that bullpen against the Phillies, I can’t take them against the Angels.
Twins-Tigers: So, do the Tigers take it out on Hughes like many do, or do the Twins who know Verlander so well put up a fight. That total sitting at only 7.5 might be the tell-tale sign for me. Hughes been much better lately and the wind in blowing in so perhaps some of his flyballs get knocked down. If the total stays or drops, I will play the Twins RL, but cautiously, since they (the Twins) are very streaky and perhaps have started the downturn.
Cleveland-Rays: Cleveland an early game in probably in their hotel in Tampa by the time the Rays started with the Orioles. Kluber hasn’t been that great on the road, and threw 100+ pitches in three of the last four games, so IF the Rays don’t need much bullpen, I could make a case for the home dog. Cleveland is just NOT a road favorite in Tampa, IMO. Maybe they are, but I can’t go there unless the Rays/Price use pen.
Boston-Texas: Obviously the Red Sox rested and have won four of five against decent teams, while the Rangers played that home and home against the Rockies, including Wednesday night. As much as Buccholz has been either great or horrible, Boston is one of the best teams at working pitch counts and getting to pens, so I lean Boston.
Royals-Mariners: Vargas has been pretty solid this season, and Maurer has not. I could only take the Royals here, and would look at the total after Thursday’s game.
Yankees-Brewers: Well, no DH for the Yankees. I wonder what Tanaka is like at the plate. I DO know Gallardo is very good at the plate. Tanaka has thrown an ass load of pitches and given up SOME runs lately, and Gallardo CAN keep the ball on the park and on the ground. This will be interesting, if they’re hearty and leave the roof open, I might look at the over here.
D-Backs-Chicago: Obvously Chicago not rested but home and Arizona rested with arguably their best pitcher going. Yes, I know McCarthy is 1-6, but his stats are as good as anyone on the staff, really. Rienzo might be 3-0, but his stats are horrible, however the White Sox pen has been terrific. Almost this this is a F5 over here and lean D-Backs for the game if Chicago needs much bullpen against the Cubs.
Washington-Oakland: The “obvious” play here is the A’s, but let’s not forget the Nationals get the DH and they’ve been hammering LHP.
free pick – 980 OAK / 979 WAS – OVER 7.5
Analysis: I’ll throw this out there now at this price. I suppose it COULD go to 7, but that’s why I do what I do. If you want to or have the time to wait, or, bet it now, your choice.
Cardinals-Pirates: Pittsburgh a respectable 10-10 at home, and lost two of three to St. Louis not long ago. Interesting thing there is the one they WON was a gem by Liriano, and Wacha didn’t pitch in that series. The Cards are actually 0-4 in Wacha’s four road starts, but his (Wacha’s) stats are tremendous, just getting zero run support. Since the Pirates haven’t seen much of him, I like the F5 under here.
Phillies-Mets: Mets with a day off and the Phillies obviously playing North of the Border on Thursday. Fausto is a huge grounball pitcher and as poorly as the Phillies have been hitting I’d have to lean to the under. Mejia has been hammered his last two starts, but against the Rockies and hot-hitting Marlins, so he’s perhaps due for SOME regression. However, with that in mind, if this goes to 8 we’ll look at the under, and we’ll take Granderson in our fantasy leagues. IMO Mets win this late.
Rockies-Reds: Pretty much disrespecting the Rockies and simply loving Cueto at -175, IMO. No chance in hell of laying -175 even w/Chacin pitching. I do know the Reds have a day off and the Rockies don’t, so if Colorado doesn’t need a ton of bullpen we’ll look at the Rockies RL, without even looking at pitcher/batter stats.
Cubs-Braves: I am simply not touching a Braves game for a while, or at least not touching the Braves, especially at -175 with Cubs having no rest. Teheran can be great, but we backed him last time and he got hammered. Hammel is at least servicable at times, so PERHAPS I could consider the over at 6.5.
Giants-Dodgers: Interesting that Bumgarner is only -120 or so, and I say only because Vogelsong was “only” +130 against Beckett. So, thrown in Maholm and there’ s .50 difference. Not so sure that the value here isn’t with the Dodgers in the second game back, and Maholm is exactly the type of junk pitcher that gives the Giants trouble. Obviously the Dodgers have seen plenty of Bumgarner, already twice this season alone. Dodgers or nothing.
Miami-San Diego: Interesting the the Fish go from +125 with Turner to -150 with Jose, and on the road. With Miami’s road record and a low total, as you’d expect, I might consider the Padres RL. Jose typically doesn’t pitch deep into games, and the Padres have a better bullpen, IMO.
Houston-Baltimore: I actually like the Astros MUCH better against a LHP and seriously considered them against the Tigers, and with the Orioles coming back from a division series against the Rays, I will consider the Astros again, at the very least the RL.
Angels-Blue Jays: Angels opened as favorites and already the Jays and McGowan are -115 most places. With the Jays playing Thursday and the Angels having the night off. I’d like to think they’re not quite that easy, and if the Jays have to use much of that bullpen against the Phillies, I can’t take them against the Angels.
Twins-Tigers: So, do the Tigers take it out on Hughes like many do, or do the Twins who know Verlander so well put up a fight. That total sitting at only 7.5 might be the tell-tale sign for me. Hughes been much better lately and the wind in blowing in so perhaps some of his flyballs get knocked down. If the total stays or drops, I will play the Twins RL, but cautiously, since they (the Twins) are very streaky and perhaps have started the downturn.
Cleveland-Rays: Cleveland an early game in probably in their hotel in Tampa by the time the Rays started with the Orioles. Kluber hasn’t been that great on the road, and threw 100+ pitches in three of the last four games, so IF the Rays don’t need much bullpen, I could make a case for the home dog. Cleveland is just NOT a road favorite in Tampa, IMO. Maybe they are, but I can’t go there unless the Rays/Price use pen.
Boston-Texas: Obviously the Red Sox rested and have won four of five against decent teams, while the Rangers played that home and home against the Rockies, including Wednesday night. As much as Buccholz has been either great or horrible, Boston is one of the best teams at working pitch counts and getting to pens, so I lean Boston.
Royals-Mariners: Vargas has been pretty solid this season, and Maurer has not. I could only take the Royals here, and would look at the total after Thursday’s game.
Yankees-Brewers: Well, no DH for the Yankees. I wonder what Tanaka is like at the plate. I DO know Gallardo is very good at the plate. Tanaka has thrown an ass load of pitches and given up SOME runs lately, and Gallardo CAN keep the ball on the park and on the ground. This will be interesting, if they’re hearty and leave the roof open, I might look at the over here.
D-Backs-Chicago: Obvously Chicago not rested but home and Arizona rested with arguably their best pitcher going. Yes, I know McCarthy is 1-6, but his stats are as good as anyone on the staff, really. Rienzo might be 3-0, but his stats are horrible, however the White Sox pen has been terrific. Almost this this is a F5 over here and lean D-Backs for the game if Chicago needs much bullpen against the Cubs.
Washington-Oakland: The “obvious” play here is the A’s, but let’s not forget the Nationals get the DH and they’ve been hammering LHP.
free pick – 980 OAK / 979 WAS – OVER 7.5
Analysis: I’ll throw this out there now at this price. I suppose it COULD go to 7, but that’s why I do what I do. If you want to or have the time to wait, or, bet it now, your choice.
