Service Plays Friday 5/7/10

[JVu81]

Rocketman

FLORIDA MARLINS -115

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Florida is 50-29 last 3 years on the road when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Florida is scoring 5.4 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Washington is scoring 3.9 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Craig Stammen has a whopping 6.75 ERA overall this year. Florida is 28-10 overall vs Washington the past 3 years. Stammen is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East. Marlins are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Marlins are 7-2 in their last 9 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Marlins are 10-4 in their last 14 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Marlins are 13-6 in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Marlins are 5-1 in Volstads last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Nationals are 21-43 in their last 64 Friday games. Nationals are 18-45 in their last 63 during game 1 of a series. Nationals are 15-43 in their last 58 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games following a win. Nationals are 5-2 in Stammens last 7 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Nationals are 5-2 in Stammens last 7 home starts. Nationals are 0-8 in Stammens last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. Marlins are 30-10 in the last 40 meetings. We'll play Florida for 4 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.[/FONT]

 

[JVu81]

Lenny Del Genio

SAN ANTONIO SPURS -6.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Spurs are in trouble after dropping the first two games in this series. Tonight they’re back home in a must win game. Can they find a way to slow down the Suns? On Wednesday the Spurs played pretty well. They hit 50% of their shots to the Suns 42% and only made two less 3-pointers than Phoenix. However, the Spurs were homered by the refs as they were outscored from the free throw line by 14 points. Phoenix shot 37 free throws making 29, while the Spurs attempted only 22 freebies hitting just 15. We look for the refs to be a bit more neutral here in San Antonio. If the Spurs can keep the Suns off the free throw line they should have a chance to get this one tonight. The Spurs need to get a good game out of Ginobili tonight. In Game 2 he was only 2-8 shooting and scored 11 points. Look for him to have a big game tonight. They also need to shut down Frye who hit the Spurs for 5 of 6 three point shots Wednesday night. Look for Pop to have his team ready to go tonight. Good Luck. Play on San Antonio.[/FONT]

 

[sdf]

We need to get David Banks' "Banks NBA Best Bet" he has released 15 of these plays in the NBA over the last 2 years and is 14-1 on these plays. He is releasing his 16th play tonight...

i'm sure it's properly documented and correct. he wouldnt lie about it would he?

 

[arsenalgunnerfan]

Eddie Roman

9 of his last 10

Cleveland -1

 

[JVu81]

Evan Altemus

SAN ANTONIO SPURS -6.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Anyone who watched Game 2 of the series between the Spurs and Suns noticed that Phoenix’s role and bench players were the key to that win. Phoenix was able to pull away from San Antonio in the 4th quarter with Steve Nash on the bench. Those players were able to step up because of the home crowd back-up. In Game 3 the Spurs will be very fired up and are in a must win situation. In addition, those other players for Phoenix will have a harder time stepping up without the motivation of the home crowd. San Antonio shows that they have the ability to beat Phoenix by this margin with the leads they had in Game 2. The Suns aren’t vastly better than the Spurs either, and this situation screams the Spurs. I also think it’s interesting that Suns player, Jared Dudley, said in his post game interview that Phoenix will go and try to steal a game in San Antonio. I don’t like that attitude in a team I’m looking to back. That means most of the team has a similar attitude that they will just try and win a game in San Antonio, but if they don’t oh well because they still have home court advantage. This spread is high, but it should be noted that sharp money bet it up a full point from 5.5 to 6.5. I think San Antonio will win this game by double digits and get the cover.

3 UNIT SELECTION SPURS.[/FONT]

 

[JVu81]

Mike Lineback

Angels/Mariners UNDER 7

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Low total but this game has pitchers duel written all over it. Both Weaver & Hernandez are coming off sub-standard starts. As a result, I'm expecting both to bounce back strong, especially Hernandez, who really needs his no-hit stuff to give his team a chance to win. Seattle, last or near last in all offensive categories, have only scored 2.2 rpg and only more than 3 runs once their last nine games. Both starters have great career numbers vs. their respective opponents. Weaver, 13.1 innings, 13 strikeouts, only 2 runs allowed his L2 starts vs. Seattle. Hernandez, only 1 run allowed his L3 starts vs. LAA, spanning 21.2 innings of work. Take the Under.[/FONT]

 

[JVu81]

Bob Balfe

CHICAGO WHITE SOX -112

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Buehrle/Marcum

Mark Buehrle has yet to get his stuff going this season, while Marcum has, in my opinion, overachieved. This is a great value with the White Sox being at home with the better and more experienced pitcher on the mound. Take Chicago.[/FONT]

 

[arsenalgunnerfan]

Trace Adams

San Antonio 1000*
Boston 500*
Philadelphia Phillies 500*

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE DUKE SPORTS

Cleveland Over (192') for 2.5 Units

Boston is getting great scoring balance on account of Rondo finding the open man as a matter of fact, Rondo's 19 assists in Game 2 spearheaded 6 double digit scorers, including Rasheed Wallace off the bench. And no matter how good of defense the Cavaliers play, it is difficult to contain that kind of offensive balance when Boston is in nice rhythm. Tonight, we'll look for more of the same offensive firepower from Boston, but we'll also look for a better offensive game from Cleveland. In Game 2, the Cavaliers' backcourt (Parker, Williams, West) was held to 4 of 20. We'll look for better production out of them tonight; moreover, Shaq and Varejao (back) should overcome their sluggishness to be better offensive contributors. The Cavaliers are 5-1 O/U after allowing 100+, 5-1 O/U in their last 6 on the road, and 6-2 O/U with 3+ days rest. Boston is on an 11-5 O/U run and 5-0 O/U when their opponent allows 100+. This series has gone 5-1 O/U in its last 6 in Boston. "Over" the call.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* NY METS/SAN FRANCISCO OVER

6’s are very rare in Major League Baseball; so much so that we can not even remember the last one. So what does that have to do with this game? If Jonathan Sanchez and Mike Pelphrey are at a “7” on a night in which the San Francisco bullpen brings major fatigue ratings, just where the hell would a Tim Lincecum/Johan Santana hook-up be? So on a pleasant evening near Flushing Bay with a mild wind favoring the hitters, we are in play here.

Sanchez is who he is, a guy with fantastic stuff that is difficult to read and hit, which creates a major sex appeal factor in the marketplace. But command is another matter entirely, and he is off of back-to-back games in which his PPI charts got into the 20’s. Prior to this season his career tallies on the road were a 12-19/4.97, and with the only appearance as a visitor so far coming from the favorable mound in Petco, those past confidence issues are absolutely in play. His high pitch counts are a particular problem from the visitors locker room, and that is an issue for the Giant bullpen, which has Brian Wilson off of three straight games, and Guillermo Mota, Jeremy Affeldt, Sergio Romo and Don Runzler all working two of three in the Florida series.

Like Sanchez, we also see good early numbers in the 4-1/2.40 of Michael Pelfrey, but there has been a lot of baseball geometry involved. There is nothing in his peripherals to suggest that those base numbers are a break-out from the 28-32/4.58 for his career coming in, but when you strand 80 percent of your base-runners in the early going it can create a misleading impression. Like Sanchez he also has back-to-back games of more than 20 PPI, and the Phillies rocked him for six runs on eight hits over only four innings on Saturday, with complaints of a shoulder problem being issued since then. We do not see anything more than just average stuff from him, and average does not bring you into this price range.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOSEPH D'AMICO

St Louis Cardinals -202

Despite dropping 3 straight, St. Louis is still clearly the cream of the crop in the N.L. Central. The Card’s won 6 of their L7 before losing 3 to the Phillie’s. Talking about streaks, the Pirate’s won 3 in a row over the deplorable Cub’s. If you check out the Central Division, you will see that outside of St. Louis, not a single team has more wins than losses. Make no mistake of it, but beating Chicago 3-0 in the series isn’t anything for Pitt to celebrate over. St. Louis has Chris Carpenter throwing today. He is 4-0 with a 2.84 ERA on the season. In his career, the right-hander is an astounding 11-1 with a 2.27 ERA when starting against Pittsburgh. On top of his success over the Pirate’s, Carpenter can rest easy behind one of baseball’s most dangerous lineups. St. Louis has six slugger’s with between 11-25 RBI’s. Leading the way is Albert Pujols with a .327 B.A., 7 HR’s, and 25 RBI’s. They face a Pittsburgh squad that is averaging just 3.7 RPG and don’t have a consistent batter in the bunch. The Pirate’s send Zach Duke to the bump. Duke is 2-3 with a 6.09 ERA TY and 4-5 when starting against St. Louis in his career. The Card’s are 11-0 in Carpenter’s L11 starts vs. the Pirate’s, 55-25 their L80 games played in Pittsburgh, and 29-8 their L37 in Game 1 of a series. The Pirate’s are 2-7 in Duke’s L9 starts vs. the Card’s and 0-5 their L5 as a home ‘dog of +201 or higher. Take St. Louis.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JAMES PATRICK SPORTS

Play: San Antonio (-6 -110)

Suns vs. Spurs 9:30 p.m. est. ESPN (Phoenix leads series 2-0)
The Spurs return home off a pair of losses at Phoenix to open this series and San Antonio is 21-7-1 ATS at home off a SU and ATS playoff loss, including 5-0 SU and ATS In Game Three of a series. San Antonio is a solid (26-16) ATS on their home court this season, (5-1) ATS in Friday contests and the home team is (5-1) ATS in the series. Home Teams with triple revenge, (three straight losses to an opponent), are (95-51) ATS for a solid (65.1 %) in winners and HC Greg Popovich is (222-185) ATS after (1) or more consecutive losses as HC of the San Antonio Spurs. Spurs get back into this series with home win here.

3* #720 San Antonio Spurs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHIP CHIRIMBES

Play: N.Y. Yankees (ML +100)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE GOLD SHEET

Play: Boston (+1 -110)

Boston has not been kind to Cleveland over the past few years. The Cavs are just 1-10 straight-up in last 11 visits to TD Garden. The injury to LeBron James' elbow has definitely affected his game, and although we expect him to play through it, it's another factor favoring the Celtics. Boston has turned its big three into a big four thus far in the postseason, with the arrival of point guard Rajon Rondo as a force. TAKE BOSTON

 

[arsenalgunnerfan]

Mike Lineback

Angels and Seattle under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS
Boston Celtics +1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHERRY PICKING SERVICE PLAYS

PLAY OF THE DAY
3 TEAM PARLAY
Philadelphia Phillies ML
Tampa Bay Rays ML
Minnesota Twins ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MVPLOCKS
SL Cardinals -1 1/2 run line -130 (lock of the day)
KC Royals/Texas Rangers under 8
Minnesota Twins -1 1/2 -115
Phoenix Suns +6.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

TIM TRUSHEL

20* NY Mets Under

REGULAR Seattle Mariners

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WESTCOASTCAPPERS

The Blue Jays continue their stay in Chicago Friday night against the Chicago White Sox. This White Sox team is in a bad way right now. They are not playing good baseball, they are frustrated, and the fans are getting on them. Shaun Marcum has been pitching extremely well this season. He doesn't walk batters very often and his strikeout totals are up. Buehrle, on the other hand, has a .297 BAA. Since his perfect game last year he has just not been the same. Furthermore, he has given up 3 homers in his last 2 games. (He only gave up 1 in the rest of the season) Of his 4 homers this season 3 have been to lefties. A good point for the Blue Jays. A good reason for the value in this game is Toronto's inability to hit the left hander. Buehrle, though, is not the typical left hander. Look for Toronto's dynamic offense to outscore the struggling Sox offense and get another win vs. another left hander. (They beat one last night) westcoastcappers has

Toronto +105