Service Plays Friday 5/21/10

[bigtime3]

Tom Freese

Play: San Francisco (ML -105)

San Francisco starter Barry Zito has allowed 3 or less runs in all 8 of his starts this year. Zito has been on the winning side in 6 of those 8 starts this year. The Giants are 5-1 their last 6 Interleague games and they are 7-1 their last 8 games with Oakland. The A's pitcher Trevor Cahill has pitched past the sixth inning in just one start this year. The Athletics are 14-42 their last vs. a starter with WHIP of less than 1.15 and they are 0-5 their last 5 Interleague home games. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO (Zito vs. Cahill)

 

[1drmain]

jeff benton friday

0-1 yesterday...a 15 dime loser on the bluejays..overall, 39-46-3 MINUS 95 dimes.

Friday's Winner ... 20 Dime: KANSAS CITY ROYALS ... NOTE: Specify Brian Bannister (Royals) and Jason Hammel (Rockies) as the starting pitchers. If either does NOT start, this play is VOID!


Royals

I’m not sure how long it’s going to last, but the managerial change the Royals made last week seems to be working. Since the day Trey Hillman got canned and Ned Yost took over, Kansas City has won six of its last eight games, and believe it or not a big reason has been pitching. The Royals have given up just 27 runs during this eight-game span (or 3.4 runs per game), and they’ve held eight of their last nine opponents to four runs or fewer, with a team ERA less than 3.70 during this stretch.

Granted, the schedule hasn’t been all that daunting over this span (Indians, White Sox and Orioles), but it’s not like the Rockies are anything special. Colorado has been the very definition of mediocre (20-20 overall this season; 9-11 last 20 games; 9-13 on the road). And if you take away stud pitcher Ubaldo Jimenez – who dominated the Astros in a 4-0 victory last night to improve to 8-1 in nine starts and end Colorado’s four-game road losing streak – the Rockies’ record drops to 12-19.

As for this pitching matchup, I’ll take Brian Bannister over Jason Hammel in a heartbeat. Bannister has been pretty inconsistent this season (5.09 ERA), but Hammel has been downright dreadful (7.71 ERA). And while Bannister has been solid at home (2-1, 3.70 ERA, including a 5-3 victory over the White Sox on Sunday), Hammel got destroyed in his two road starts (11 runs allowed in 8 2/3 innings at the Braves and Nationals).

Also, Bannister faced the Rockies twice in interleague play in 2007 and 2008 and gave up a combined three earned runs and eight hits in 12 innings, winning 10-5 in Denver and 8-4 at home. In fact, the Royals won five of six contests in those two series, including a three-game home sweep in ‘08.

Kansas City has the better offense right now (.282 batting average last 10 games vs. .243 for Colorado) and the better pitching staff (3.79 overall ERA, 3.24 bullpen ERA last 10 games vs. 3.92 overall ERA, 5.88 bullpen ERA for Colorado). So to get the Royals at a slight underdog is great value.

 

[dacooler]

DALLAS DAVE SPORTS
MLB Daily Package:

Cincinnati(+1.5) -156 1 Unit
Florida(+1.5) -114 1 Unit

Hey CPAW, these were yesterday's plays. They changed the title of the thread from yesterday to today's date for some reason.

 

[bigtime3]

Chris jordan 100 dime triple play


Rays run line

twins run line

nationals run line

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hey CPAW, these were yesterday's plays. They changed the title of the thread from yesterday to today's date for some reason.

Thanks! hno:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 21th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[926] Oakland |8*|+110|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST
[909] New York |5*|-150|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[920] Minnesota |5*|-160|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
[906] Bos/Phi Under 9 |5*|+105|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
[901] Atlanta |5*|-140|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DENVER MONEY

NHL Total Fri 05/21/10 - 8:05 PM
double-dime bet 61 SJS / 62 CHI Over 5.5 BetUS
Analysis: 2* San Jose Shark / Chicago Blackhawks OVER 5.5 -120

MLB Friday
1* Cincinnati Reds -110
1* Toronto Blue Jays +135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PITTVIPER

Cincinnati Reds -110
Florida Marlins +100

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Win or Lose Sports Betting


MLB
ATL ML -155 $29
ATL/PIT UN 8.5 -110 $9
CIN ML -111 $11
PHL ML -132 $21
PHL -1.5 +140 $5
NYY ML -157 $26
NYY -1.5 +100 $11
NYM/NYY UN 9 -108 $16
TB ML -176 $16
TEX ML -143 $21
MINN ML -164 $11
STL ML -138 $22
TOR/ARI OV 9.5 +102 $9
OAK ML +105 $16
LAD ML -169 $11
SEA -1.5 +130 $5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

TRACE ADAMS
Friday's Selections

1500♦ Highest-Rated MLB RUN LINE Game of the Year is to go with the Yankees -1 1/2 Runs over the Mets at Citi Field this Friday night. I have Vazquez and Takahashi as the listed starters. Both must start, or there is NO action on the relose.

500♦ Bonus Best Bet is Florida over the White Sox. Nolasco and Buehrle are schedoled to go, and again, both must start, or no action on the release.

The Yankees are plenty banged-up right now, with Posada, Johnson, and Granderson all sidelened with injuries, but this game tonight is ALL about Javier Vazquez showing the New York faithful that he belongs in pinstripes.

Even though he lost, Vazquez turned in a fine start on the 12th against the Tigers, working 7 innings of 2 run ball. He then earned a save on Monday against the Red Sox. Since that time, the Yankees have lost 3 in a row, and I just don't see the streak ballooning to 4 in a row against the Mets.

Yeah, New York got the win last night in Washington, but are still just 2-7 their last 9 games overall. The Mets will also give Hisanori Takahashi his first start of the season, as Takahashi has been used exclusively out of the bullpen up until tonight.

The Yanks went 5-1 against the Mets last season in IL ball, winning all 3 at Citi Field, I see no reoson not to think they can't roll in this game, as Vazquez comes to deal this evening, and the Yankees get their licks in against Takahashi in a big way, snapping their losing streak at 3.

RUN LINE play for 1500♦s on the Yankees with Vazquez over the Mets with Takahashi.

Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or NO action on the release.

Your bonus 500♦ play is to go with the Marlins over the White Sox.

I have a feeling the Ozzie Guillen era is nearing its final days on the South Side, as the White Sox just continue to play middling at best baseball this season.

Starter Mark Buehrle was pushed back a day, and both of his wins this season have come at home, but the southpaw is just 2-5 for the year with an ERA over 5. Can't back him with the utmost confidence these days.

Florida has put the Hanley Ramirez flap behind them now, and they have been getting some solid results of late, winning 6 of their last 8 games.

Marlins starter Ricky Nolasco is a blistering 3-0 with a 1.76 ERA on the road this season, and he is also coming into this start off a home win to improve to 4-2 on the campaign.

I will side with the senior circuit on the road in this interleague contest on Friday.

Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or NO action on the release.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AL DeMARCO
Friday's Plays

15 Dime play on the Dodgers and Billingsley -1 1 /2 Runs over the Detroit Tigers and Willis. Specify both starting pitchers in this contest, otherwise the play is null and void. As this play is released at around 10:00 AM Pacific, I see the Dodgers are between +110 and +115 on the run line here in Vegas and offshore.

5 Dime play on the Yankees and Vazquez - 1 1/2 Runs over the Mets and Takahashi. Again, specify pitchers. As I release this selection, the Yankees are around -120 on the run line.

5 Dime play on the Nationals and Olsen - 1 1/2 Runs over the Orioles and Hernandez. Again, specify the starters. Here the price is around Washington +130.

ANALYSIS

The Dodgers are on a 12-2 overall run and enter tonight's game against Detroit on a 9-4 tear at home. They've also won three of Billingsley's last four starts. His last two have been among his best - if not his best - of the season as he's allowed just two runs on seven hits while fanning 12 in 12.2 innings of work.

More importantly, this is a play AGAINST Dontrelle Willis, whose control problems have resurfaced again as he's walked 17 in his last three starts, a span covering 14.2 innings pitched. His last two outings he's lasted just 8.2 frames, allowing seven runs.

Willis never fared well against the Dodgers while pitching for the Marlins, going 1-5 with a 6.93 ERA in seven starts.



Javier Vazquez's second go-round with the Yankees has been just as rocky as his first, but I'm looking for him to put together a strong effort tonight against the Mets as he makes his first start in 10 days. His last was one of his best of the season, a seven-inning, five-hit, two-run effort against Detroit.

Vazquez's last start against the Mets, pitching for the Braves at the time, came last July and it was a gem as he worked seven innings and allowed just one run on six hits.

Both of these teams are struggling as the Yankees have dropped three straight and 8 of 12 while the Mets have lost eight of nine. But the differences between these two is huge in terms of talent and I've got to take the Yankees in this one. Plus, they're the proven Interleague performer going 133-95 versus the National League, the best record of any A.L. squad. By comparison the Mets were 5-10 verus the American League last season.



Scott Olsen has pitched well for the Nationals of late, going 2-0 in his last five starts with a 1.11 ERA, allowing just four earned runs in 32.1 innings, a stretch in which he's fanned 32 while walking only four.

Olsen's mound opponent tonight, David Hernandez, missed his last scheduled turn in the rotation because of a sore shoulder. The O's have dropped five of his seven outings this season and he's personally dropped 11 straight decisions dating back to last year. Hernandez is also 0-3 in four road starts with a 7.20 ERA. In seven starts overall this season his earned run average is 5.84 and he's allowed 61 baserunners in 37 innings worked.

The Orioles have been hitting the ball well, but they've still dropped five of their last six and I'll go against them tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STUMPTHESPREAD
NBA: LA Lakers +135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee lost with the Indians -$130/Royals and won with the Dodgers -$160/Padres on Thursday.

For interleague Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Nationals -$160/Orioles.

"Mr Chalk" is 27-19 -$410 for the 2010 MLB season.

 

[Slickwitdadick]

Just a newsletter I received, don't use these guys anymore but has decent interleague info...

This weekend will feature the first set of Interleague play in the MLB. This can be a confusing time for casual bettors, so DivesHandicapping will try to provide some insight into some of the marquee matchups for this weekend.

The American League has had the edge in interleague play over the National League during the last three seasons with a record of 424-331 for a .562 winning percentage.

Here is a look at the 3 best teams in Interleague play during that same span:

3 best teams:

Los Angeles Angels 38-16
Minnesota Twins: 37-17
Detroit Tigers: 37-17

3 worst teams:

San Diego Padres: 14-34
Philadelphia Phillies: 18-30
Los Angeles Dodgers: 19-29

It is no coincidence that the 3 best teams are from the AL, while the 3 worst teams are from the NL. Look to play and fade these 6 teams and you should end up in the green come Sunday night!


***Matchups***


Angels vs. Cardinals. Cardinals are 22-23 in interleague play over the last 3 seasons. We will have some great value with the Angels in this series, although it might be wise to tread lightly considering the Angels poor road record so far this season.

Twins vs Brewers. Much like the Angels, the Twins have become a virtual auto play in interleague ball. The Brewers were 5-10 in interleague play last year. Twins team total plays should be worth a look here as well.

Red Sox vs Phillies. The Red Sox have the 4th best interleague record with a 34 wins and 20 losses.

Padres vs. Mariners. Despite the Padres poor interleague record over the years, we should see some solid value with the Mariners because of the two teams play so far this year. Lee is worth a very strong look on Friday night, although this might come at a hefty line.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Sprietzer

5* Angels

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ATS LOCK CLUB

12 units Phillies -140 over Red Sox
4 units White Sox pk over Marlins
4 units Indians +105 over Reds

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

KIKI SPORTS

Friday May 21st

1 unit Cincinnati -125
1 unit NY Mets +155
1 unit Texas/ Cubs OVER 9

 

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

Bonus Play from MLB card
3* Cincinnati -120 (Arroyo)

 

[bigtime3]

Micahel cannon 5-21-10

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25 DIME RANGERS
10 DIME PHILLES

 

[bigtime3]

O brien 05-21-10 30 units



30 UNITS TWINS - 1 1/2
10 DIME RAYS - 1 1/2
10 DIME ANGELS