Service Plays Friday 5/21/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Heavy Hitter Team

MLB "'TOTAL'"CRUSHER
- 5 Star Hit -

LA ANGELS VS. ST. LOUIS 8:15 EST
UNDER TOTAL 8
Don't look for many runs in St. Louis. Angels have had offensive problems all season. St. Louis has an excellent control pitcher with B. Penny. J. Pineiro returns to face his old team, and the beteran has an 0.84 ERA in his last 3 starts.

 

[bigtime3]

James Patrick Sports 5/21


5* Rays
3* Twins

 

[Typhoon]

Burns

10* Reds Under 9
6* Sea -
6* Arizona -

7* Atl

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHAMPION SPORTS
MLB 2 POWER PACKED PLAYS
$$$ HIGH STATS & INTERLEAGUE TUSSLE $$$
***High Rated***

Chicago Cubs @ Texas 8:00 EST
Texas -140
Rangers red hot at home winning 10 of their last 11. Cubs are underachieving at 19-23, and have a terrible history of being on the road vs. AL clubs, 11-12. They aren't getting enough hitting and power at the corners, and they don't have enough speed to manufacture runs. Respectable pitcher C. Lewis not going to make it easy for the Cubs tonight.

Florida @ Chicago White Sox 8:00 EST
Florida -105.
M. Buehrle won't cut it against a Florida team with wins in 6 of their last 8 games. This is a Florida team that is now playing on a mission. R. Nolasco is a perfect 3-0 away from home.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SHARK
Baseball

We Have them hot for you today!
It' the AL vs the NL and we've got a BIG DOG winner straight up!
PLUS two other winner's to keep it company.

Toronto +155 what a price to get with this guy pitching for us

Texas -141 easy money

Tampa bay -1 1/2 runs -110 wins this in a laughter

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DEREK MANCINI

Today's Winner... First-ever

100 Dime career release on the Oakland Athletics with Cahill over the Giants and Zito. You must specnfy both pitchers or this play is null and void. As this play is releasedd at 2:30 AM Eastern. the A's are about a +105 to +110 home underdog depending on where you look in Las Vegas or offshore.

Analysis

Don't believe the hype. While Barry Zito has finally started to earn some of that mega-deal he signed back in late 2006, he's still got a ways to go, and oddsmakers are telling you that much with this line. Despite his numbers this season (6-1, 2.15 ERA) the Giants are only a small favorite here - and with good reason - this is a much tougher match up than most people are anticipating.

You can't deny his history against his former club, going 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA in 3 career starts. And you also can't deny the tremendous difference in home/road play we've seen from the Athletics, who are now 15-9 at the Coliseum this year. Back-to-back losses to Detroit only adds more significance to this game for the home team. They've also hit lefties well at home this season, batting .280 driving in a decent 4.4 runs per game.

But the real equalizer is Trevor Cahill (1-2, 4.37 ERA) who's been just as good (if not better) than Zto over his last 3 starts. He's 1-1 with a 2.55 ERA (WHIP of 1.08) over that span, and more importantly, it came against one of the better offenses in baseball (Texas twice, and the Angels are no slouch either). He's seen the Giants only once, but was great in the win (1 run on 4 hits over 7 innings June 22nd). If there's one place you can trust Cahill its at the Coliseum, and he'll delivder again Friday.

Price is right for the A's, who come into this game looking to bounce back, and facing a pitcher they've dominated in the past. Zito's been great (thus far), but this contist takes on a life of it own for him, and clearly its thrown him off his game in the past. Athletics (Cahill) over Giants (Zito).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

tim trushel

under whitesox/ regular

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GREG SHAKER

MLB Money Line Fri, 05/21/10 - 8:10 PM

dime bet 915 FLA (+100) BetUS vs 916 CWS
Analysis: MLB: Florida Marlins at Chicago White Sox - Marlins (Nolasco/Buehrle) 100 | Unit Value: 1
Game Date: 5/21/2010

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LV INVESTORS

SF Giants ml -115

 

[yoders]

5/21 nsa

Tonight:

Nsa

20 sf-115
20 tb -165
20 blackhawks-145

10 philly-140
10 yanks-155
10 twins -165

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

ADDED PLAY

7* Atlanta Braves

 

[bigtime3]

Mike Hook 4/21


Mike Hook | MLB ML - Friday, May 21 2010 8:10PM
ML 915 FLA (+106) Bodog vs 916 CWS single-dime bet

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DAVE COKIN

Matchup: Baltimore at Washington
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) HERNANDEZ, D vs. (L) OLSEN, S

Play: Washington (ML -155)

Note that I am recommending a two-team parlay on my two member plays this evening. I feel this is a better strategy when utilizing multiple high-priced chalk in baseball.

I very rarely play any big chalk, but every once in awhile it's simply the right move. Tonight, I'm willing to lay the lumber as the Nationals play host to the Orioles. Baltimore continues to be horrible on the road, and their shaky bullpen was forced to work major innings the last couple nights in losses to Texas. Don't expect David Hernandez to provide a respite. Hernandez is on a 1-13 run dating back to last season, and the O's 3-16 in his last 19 appearances. Hernandez is basically just taking up a spot at the back of the Baltimore rotation until one of their two top prospects are ready, and he should be meat against the surprisingly dangerous Nationals attack. Scott Olsen is on a great run for the Nats, and is absolutely deserving of being the big favorite tonight. I'm on the Nationals to roll to the win this evening.
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Matchup: Milwaukee at Minnesota
Time: 8:10 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BUSH, D vs. (R) BLACKBURN, N

Play: Minnesota (ML -152)

Here's the second half on my parlay tonight. The Twins are laying a substantial price tonight, but it's justified. Milwaukee finally won a game on Thursday, but this team is not good right now and they're sending out a guy in Dave Bush who's had little success against the Twins. Bush, in fact, hasn't had much success against anyone lately and I expect him to have lots of trouble against the lefty-loaded Minnesota lineup. The Twins are happy to be back home following a tough road trip, and they usually give Nick Blackburn loads of run support. The Twins are 23-9 at home when Blackburn starts. Minnesota has also been incredibly successful in Interleague play, winning 54 of their 73 vs. the NL. The Brewers have the bats to turn this into a shootout, but I like the bullpen edge on the Twins side if it's a barnburner and the home field edge puts me over the top. Go with the Twins to come out on top.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SCOTT PRITCHARD

Matchup: Atlanta at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) HUDSON, T vs. (R) OHLENDORF, R

Play: Pittsburgh (ML +148)

Major league baseball Friday, the Pittsburgh Pirates are in Atlanta taking on the Braves. I like Pittsburgh as a very respectable dog. This price is simply too high as the Pirates will give Atlanta all they want and then some. The value is with Pittsburgh. Play the Pirates and see the cashier.
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Matchup: Tampa Bay at Houston
Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) GARZA, M vs. (R) MYERS, B

Play: Houston (ML +170)

Major league baseball Friday, the Houston Astros are at home vs. the Tampa Bay Rays. I like the home team Astros to pull off the upset. I love what the Rays have done on the road up to this point. This is an overlay as the Rays are simply getting too much respect. Play the Astros and see the cashier.
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Matchup: L.A. Angels at St Louis
Time: 8:15 PM EDT (Fri)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) PINEIRO, J vs. (R) PENNY, B

Play: L.A. Angels (ML +145)

Major league baseball Friday, the Los Angeles Angels are in St. Louis taking on the Cardinals in interleague play. I like the Angels on the money-line. This will be a good game between these two teams and there is real value on the money-line with Los Angeles. Play the Angels and see the cashier.

 

[bigtime3]

Bryan Leonard

Blue Jays at Diamondbacks
Pick: Blue Jays +155

Dan Haren continues to be priced as an elite starter even though his numbers clearly show he's off to a slow start. In his last seven starts he owns a less than impressive 5.09 ERA. At home this year he has a 5.88 ERA with a .290 opponent batting average against. His last five starts against Toronto haven't been any better, as witnessed by his 6.19 ERA against the Jays.

Toronto is a free swinging team that has had great success on the road this year. The Blue Jays are 14-7 away from home and 22-12 on the season against right-handed starters. After facing the pitching of Texas, Minnesota and Seattle the Jays won't be intimidated by Haren tonight.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-11 at home and 14-18 this season vs righty starters. Brandon Morrow has permitted three earned runs or less in 5 of his last 6 starts. He should find success against this young Arizona lineup.

PLAY TORONTO

 

[ugk]

JOHN RYAN SPORTS
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies - Friday May 21, 2010 7:05 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 9 (110) (Game of the Month)

25* graded play Under Boston/Philadelphia set to start at 7:05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that 8 or fewer runs will be scored in this game. Let’s take a look at some of the game situations that reinforce the model grading for this play. Remember too, that the systems, game situations, and fundamentals MUST support/confirm the grading otherwise their is no play made. Boston is 17-5 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in road games versus a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons; 20-7 UNDER (+11.6 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 since 1997. Boston starter Lackey is a solid 19-5 UNDER (+13.2 Units) in an inter-league game since 1997. Philies are 19-6 UNDER (+12.4 Units) as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Boston offense is batting just 258 and have not had a stolen base over the past 7 games. The ability of speed teams - like TB for example - to get on base puts significantly more pressure on the pitcher and defense. In this case, the lack of that speed and a LH starter in Hamels on the hill will make it near impossible for Boston to steel a base. That keeps the force and DP available for a very strong Phillies infield. Both bullpens are very strong with Philadelphia posting a season ERA of 3.78 and 2.84 over the past 7 games. Boston bullpen has posted a 3.20 ERA over the past 7 games and have one of the best closers in the game available tonight. The model projects that the starters (Lackey and Hamels) will complete a minimum of 12 or more innings. Should 12 innings be attained then there is a near certainty that the UNDER will win based on the model projections. Lackey has done well against LH batters this season and is expected to contain Utley/Howard/Ibanez tonight. Hamels will certainly have a lot of confidence entering this game knowing that the current members of the Red Sox have his just 213 spanning 61 AB. LH batters are hitting just 143 against Hamels. Take the UNDER.

 

[ugk]

INDIAN COWBOY

5-Unit Play. Take #604. Take Washington Mystics -3.5 over the New York Liberty (Friday @ 7pm est)

Washington is good this year folks. Think about it, this team went on the road in the home opener and defeated the Indiana Fever 72-65 as a 6.5 dog. Heck, the fact that Vegas made them a 6.5 dog on the road was indicative that they believed this team has improved from last year. This team is not the step child of years' past, but very good and their young players have developed well. With Monique Currie, Crystal Langhorne, Katie Smith and Lindsay Harding, this team is rock solid. And, now they start their home opener against the New York Liberty as they come off back to back victories over not only the Indiana on the road but also over Minnesota by double-digits. These are quality wins and I think the city of Washington is excited about this ballclub as they face a very good New York team who just recently defeated Chicago at home. But, my power rankings have a strong liking to the Mystics after two big quality wins and playing home against a team who they got beat by twice last year. I look for Washington to be the surprise and to be one of the most improved team of 2010. The Liberty are 0-3-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record and are one of the most closely watched teams in Vegas as per their ATS spread covers and Washington 5-1 ATS when playing on more than three days rest

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ROBERT FERRINGO
1.5-Unit Play. Take #914 Texas (-140) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m., Friday, May 21)
1-Unit Play. Take #921 L.A. Angels (+130) over St. Louis (8 p.m., Friday, May 21)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #909 N.Y. Yankees (-165) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, May 2
0.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Minnesota (-1.5, +115) over Milwaukee (8 p.m., Friday, May
0.5-Unit Play. Take #923 Toronto (+140) over Arizona (9:40 p.m., Friday, May 21)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #930 Seattle (-160) over San Diego (10 p.m., Friday, May 21)

TOTALS
1.5-Unit Play. Take Under 8.0 Florida at Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Friday, May 21)
1-Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 Atlanta at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, May 21)
1-Unit Play. Take Under 9.0 N.Y. Yankees at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, May 21)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 9.0 Chicago Cubs at Texas (8 p.m., Friday, May 21)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 8.0 Angels at Cardinals (8 p.m.)

 

[ugk]

BILLY COLEMAN
3* SF/Oak under 7'

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

B&S PICKS

2 DIME Boston Celtics -3 buy hook