Service Plays Friday 4/30/10

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John Morrison's pick(s) for April 30 2010

<MLB Baseball> New York Mets +140 This game is against Philadelphia at 7:05 PM EDT
 

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FYI...

From a member who resides in Chicago:
Just wanted everyone to know the wind is blowing straight out at Wrigley today. No total has been posted my guess is it will be around the same as yesterday. also feel the same result in terms of # of runs will be scored. I will be pounding the over once it's released. Sorry for the clutter here, but wanted everyone to know as soon as possible. Gl today.

So he wants some of that 14.5 huh? I just spoke to a buddy of mine who is a ticket writer at the hilton and he says every square in the sportsbook is taking the over due to the wind. I will take the under here....
 
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LT Profits

NBA

Lakers +105 ML
Lakers/Thunder UNDER 194.5 -105

MLB

Padres -124

NHL

Penguins/Canadiens UNDER 5.5 +100
 
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Rudy NYC Sports

Friday's Plays:

979 Friday, 4/30/2010 Texas Rangers (+142) 3 units
10:10pm EST @ Seattle Mariners


978 Friday, 4/30/2010 Tampa Bay Rays (RL -1.5 -115) 2 units
7:10pm EST @ Tampa Bay Rays
 
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JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-April 30th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[952] Chicago |8*|-155|B+0|MLB Network|2:20 pm EST
[964] LA Dodgers |8*|-250|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST
[958] Atlanta |5*|-200|B+0|Network N/A|7:35 pm EST
[959] Cincinnati |5*|+185|B+0|Network N/A|8:15 pm EST
[962] MIL/SD |5*|-105U 7.5|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST
note: SYSTEM PLAYS

HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-April 30th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[553] Atlanta |8*|-2|B+0|ESPN|7:00 pm EST
note: SYSTEM PLAY

HRC PREMIUM NHL ACTION-April 30th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

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2* Action
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10* Diamond (Rated)
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[55] Montreal |5*|-135|B+1.5|Versus|7:00 pm EST
note: SYSTEM PLAY
 
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WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Denver at Utah (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Utah -5 (-110)
The Utah Jazz have had no problems scoring in this series as they have averaged over 110 points per game. That is a key marker for game six as the Utah Jazz have been virtually unstoppable when they reach that 110 mark at home, as they are 20-0 straight-up and a sizzling 18-1-1 ATS. The Nuggets were covering everything in sight last season, but are just 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21. Jazz 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 as a favorite. Denver is a horrible 2-10 ATS this season on the road when playing a very good team (.600 to .700). The Nuggets desperately miss George Karl and that will catch up with them here. Utah is 17-4 ATS this season off a road loss including 9-1 if that loss was by double-digits.
Utah is the better team right now and they close out this series tonight with a win and cover.
 

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It always seems to jinx me when I post his plays, but I am trying to add to the forum, as I often read up on others plays. It just seems as though when I post he does poor, as do I. SO I am going to try again...BOL everyone

Jimmy Boyd...
NBA Apr 30 '10
9:35p Lakers Gm6 vs Okl City Gm6
Take: Lakers Gm6 +1-110 in 8h
3* SMASH on Lakers +1
The Lakers don't want this series to go any further. It's been a great showing by this young Thunder team, but I expect the Lakers to flex their muscles and end this series tonight. In fact, plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3, after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game, against an opponent that scored 35 points or less in the first half last game (same team in this case since it is a series), are 26-6 ATS the last 14 seasons, 10-3 ATS the last 5 seasons and 1-0 ATS this season. Under Phil Jackson, dominant play has been contagious. In fact, the Lakers are 12-2 ATS in road games after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half under coach Jackson, winning by an average of 5 ppg in this situation. No Laker played more than 32 minutes in Game 5 so they should be fresh and hungry tonight. Kobe and the boys no this game is a big test in determining if they are ready to win another title. I just don't see them not showing up tonight.

-= TOP PLAY =- Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NBA Apr 30 '10
7:05p Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks
Take: Atlanta Hawks -2-105 in 5h
5* NBA Playoffs Game of the Week on Hawks -2
I think you'll all agree with me that Atlanta is the more talented team. Milwaukee has played harder and smarter the last 3 games and it has won them all as a result, but I can't see the more talented side losing 4 straight times. This is one of the most motivated spots I've seen the Hawks in all season. They are playing with triple revenge and facing elimination after completely blowing Game 5 in the closing minutes. If the Hawks have any heart at all, and I think they do, they'll win this game comfortably tonight. Road favorites that are out to revenge an upset loss as a home favorite are 77-37 ATS the last 14 seasons, including 4-1 ATS this season. The favorite is 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings between these two teams. The Bucks are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as an underdog. The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a small favorite of 4.5 or less points. The Hawks have the better players and the motivation, and this should result in a big win tonight.

Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
MLB Apr 30 '10
7:05p Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Indians
Take: Minnesota Twins -105 in 5h
4* Major Friday Bases *BEST BET* on Twins -105



Off back-to-back losses, look for the Twins to get back in the win column tonight whether or not Justin Morneau, who is listed as questionable, is able to go. Even with Morneau not in the lineup, I still think the Twins have the better offense. One that is averaging 5.0 runs per game compared to the 3.5 runs per game that the Tribe are averaging. But where I really see the advatage for the Twins tonight is on the hill. I know Carmona is off to a nice start this season, but the Twins are a team that knows him well and have punished him. In fact, Carmona has lost 4 straight decisions to the Twins with an earned run average of 5.20 in those starts. Meanwhile, Slowey has been downright nasty in 3 straight wins over the Indians, posting a 1.33 ERA in those starts. The Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss. Take them to get back in the win column tonight.

His free pick is Tampa Bay Rays -1.5

Wunderdog Parlay king picks...OkL and Utah ML on both... 4*
He has not been so stellar in these picks, but does solid in other areas.
 
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WIN OR LOSE SPORTS BETTING

Major League Baseball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
954 PHIL ML -151 $5
956 FL ML -225 $6
960 STL ML -200 $13
966 SF ML -133 $14
964 LAD ML -255 $17
968 NYY ML -240 $6
973 BOS ML -160 $6
975 LAA ML -117 $7
980 SEA ML -150 $7

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
56 PITT ML -250 $10
56 PITT -1.5 +120 $5
56 Pit / Mon UN 5.5 -103 $5

SERIES BETS
3102 CHI WIN SERIES -135 $10
NJ to WIN Eastern Conference +650 $4
Chi to WIN Western Conference +215 $5

National Basketball Association
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
553 ATL -2 -101 $10
558 UTAH -4.5 -104 $7
 
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Stan Lisowski

4* Denver / Utah Under 217

Utah has a strong 66% tendency towards going under in post season home games. In this series this year, the games played in Utah have averaged 14 points less than in Denver in the regular season and 16 points less during the playoffs. Denver is on a 4-16 run to the under on the road in the post-season.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Knockout, 1-1 yesterday with Knockouts
Date: Friday, April 30, 2010

I'm playing the Lakers on Friday night. All of the talk about Kobe "taking the night off" in game four went out the window when the Lakers rocked OKC in game-five. The biggest adjustment from the two losing games in Oklahoma City to the game-five easy win was not necessarily Kobe's offensive game, but instead, what he did on the defensive end. The Lakers were being bothered by Russell Westbrook's play on OKC's offensive end. So, before game-five, Kobe told Phil Jackson to let him cover Westbrook. The rest is history. While solid teams counter their opponents adjustments next time out, I just don't believe the Thunder have the experience to make it happen. The Lakers regained their swagger, and I doubt they'll let up now. Derek Fisher said it's all about emotion at this point. Fisher said, "...we'll have to be the team that keeps our emotions and our poise in check the most." In a situation like this, I'd much rather side with the veteran-laden, defending NBA champs, than a bunch of talented, but very young upstarts. Los Angeles knows a thing or two about closing teams out on the road. They're shooting for their third straight tonight, going back to last season. The Lakers are an outstanding 18-4 SU when playing on at least two days rest, winning by an average of 102-94. The Lakers are 33-19 ATS as a dog this season, albeit a small one at the time of this release. I believe the Lakers hit their rock-bottom in game-four, and finally flipped on the playoff switch in game-five. Kobe took over by limiting Westbrook and I don't believe OKC will have the answer. I'm playing the L.A. Lakers, my Friday night Knockout. Thanks! GL! Scott.
 

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