Service Plays Friday 3/11/11

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Gold Sheet

MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT
All teams compete. Top 4 seeds get a bye. First round March 8 with #5 vs.
#12, #6 vs. #11, #7 vs. #10, and #8 vs. #9. First round at home of higher seed.
All other games at Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, Ohio (neutral site; home of
NBA’s Cavaliers). Quarterfinals March 10 with #1 vs. #8-#9 winner, #2 vs. #7-
#10 winner, #3 vs. #6-#11 winner, and #4 vs. #5-#12 winner. Semifinals March
11. Final March 12. Allow Kent State & Akron 2 points for playing at Cleveland.
LY’s WINNER: Ohio +1 beat AKRON 81-75 in OT.
Friday’s first semifinal matchup:
AKRON 78 - Western Michigan 72—After dodging the proverbial bullet in
Thursday’s double-OT quarterfinal survival test vs. Miami-Ohio (which was held
to a mere 10 points in the first half!), Akron (8-2 SU and vs. the line its last 10)
is likely to be emboldened at its new-found postseason life. The Zips will not
blink at the sight of a WMU side they handled without too much trouble by 12 at
Rhodes Arena back on Feb. 9, when the Broncs took their best shots with high
scorers G Demetrius Ward (scored 26) and PF Flenard Whitfield (added 23),
but were completely flummoxed by the sticky Akron perimeter defense that
blanked WMU (nil for 12!) beyond the arc. That, however, is standard operating
procedure for the MAC’s best 3-point defense, with the emergence of Zips’ 7-0
soph C Zeke Marshall now also providing a defensive presence in the paint
that’s unique to this conference. Well-balanced Akron (7 scorers between 7-13
ppg) capable of replicating its reg.-season success vs. WMU. 10-AKR -6' 83-
71; 09-Akr -1 79-70, AKR -3' 66-64 (CT)

PACIFIC 10 CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT
All teams compete. Opening round March 9 with #8 vs. #9 and #7 vs. #10.
Quarterfinals March 10 with #1 vs. #8-#9 winner, #2 vs. #7-#10 winner, #3 vs.
#6, and #4 vs. #5. Semifinals March 11. Final March 12. All games at the
Staples Center, Los Angeles. Allow Southern Cal and UCLA 2 points for playing
at the Staples Center. LY’s WINNER: Washington +2 beat California 79-75.
Friday’s first semifinal matchup:

SOUTHERN CAL 68 - Arizona 61—As long as SC doesn’t have to face
nemesis Oregon, which has curiously won and covered its last four meetings
vs. Kevin O’Neill’s Trojans, the local favorite Trojans (playing just a few miles
north on the Harbor Freeway from their home base) will like their chances
against almost anybody. And we mean anybody, with Southern Cal road wins
at Texas, Tennessee, and Washington, a 2-point loss at Kansas, and
dominating home wins over UCLA and Arizona suggesting that when they bring
their “A” game, the Trojans can certainly take care of business. The extra
dimension to consider is SC’s iffy NCAA at-large status, which requires the
Trojans (unlike the Wildcats) to win this event in order to secure their Big Dance
invitation. O’Neill’s defensive schemes, featuring plenty of size with 6-10
frontliners Nicola Vucevic and Alex Stephenson, completely took UA star F
Derrick Williams (18.8 ppg) out of the offensive flow when the Wildcat star made
only 3 of 11 from floor in SC’s Feb. 24 win at the Galen Center. A repeat
performance would be no surprise. 10-ARI -6' 82-73, USC +1 65-57; 09-USC


Gold Sheet

Utah State 75 - San Jose State 67—San Jose and personable HC George
Nessman is literally playing with house money at the Orleans Hotel Arena after
its pair of unexpected wins over Hawaii and Idaho have the sent the Spartans
deeper than they have ever progressed in the WAC Tourney. And, if the
oddsmakers are in a generous mood, gritty San Jose might be able to stay
within earshot of Stew Morrill’s USU, as the Spartans did on New Year’s Eve at
Logan, losing by only 9. Keep in mind that the Utags (with their NCAA bid in
hand) won the rematch by 19 on Jan. 27 at the Event Center in Silicon Valley,
although the Spartans were minus valuable sr. G Justin Graham (14.7 ppg) in
that clash. The SJSU combo of Graham, emerging frosh Keith Shamburger
(11.5 ppg), and WAC top scorer Adrian Oliver (24.3 ppg; scored 29 in second
meeting vs. USU) compensates for its lack of production in the paint with great
ball movement and the ability to penetrate while executing Nessman’s shrewd
gameplan. That might make it difficult for Morrill’s array of defensive schemes
(which are designed to clog the passing lanes and take the first option away
from opponents) to succeed as usual. Utags win and advance, but maybe not
without a fight. 10-USU -17' 80-71, Usu -9' 84-65; 09-USU -17 77-58, Usu -8 81-
65

Boise State 77 - New Mexico State 69—NMSU knows the March drill,
having come from nowhere to win last year’s WAC event in Reno and recovering
from a very slow start to finally overtake Nevada in yesterday’s quarterfinal
round. But this isn’t the same Aggie team as a year ago that relied on potent
backcourt firepower; NMSU is a bit slower-paced this season, as it revolves its
offense around 6-8 PF Troy Gillenwater (19.2 ppg). Without the dimensions of
last season, the Ags might be in trouble vs. an ascending Boise squad that hits
the postseason hot (winning last 7 SU) and that finally seems to be
understanding some of the defensive schemes first-year HC Leon Rice has
imported from Gonzaga. The senior-laden Broncos have been getting a big
boost lately from sr. G La’Shard Anderson, who scored 21.4 ppg in the final four
games of the regular season. 10-BSU -9' 81-78, NMS -1 96-87 (OT); 09-Nm

★★★New Mexico 81 - Byu 72—Here’s the battle everyone in the MWC has
been anticipating ever since New Mexico whipped Brandon Davies-less BYU by
18 at Provo last Wednesday. Considering that the matchups didn’t work for the
Cougars against the Lobos even when Davies was available (remember, UNM
also beat BYU at The Pit on Jan. 29), the evidence suggests that Steve Alford’s
troops are very capable of scoring a hat trick. The absence of the suspended
Davies has removed a unique component (a mobile big who can play with his
back to the bucket) that otherwise doesn’t exist on the Cougar roster, and that
shortcoming was evident again in Thursday’s close quarterfinal escape vs.
lowly TCU. Without Davies on the floor, UNM’s Drew Gordon dominated the
glass with 16 rebounds at Provo, when even Jimmer Fredette’s 33 points
couldn’t get BYU close. The Lobos seem to have a better chance than most
MWC foes to slow Fredette, who was forced to hoist 52 contested shots in the
two meetings and was noticeably flustered by some of the length Alford could
use to impede him, especially long-armed 6-7 frosh Tony Snell. Can the Lobos
make the Mountain West a 4-bid league? 10-UNM +2 86-77, Unm +10' 82-64
 

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WIN OR LOSE SPORTS BETTING

NCAA Basketball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
820 Ohio St -12.5 -105 $14
822 MICH +3 -103 $40
822 MICH ML +135 $10
828 NC -10 -104 $14
836 Xavier -7 -102 $15

Pick of the Day #1
Rot # 822Michigan +3 CBB -103 $56
 

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KEITH GLANTZ
25* Michigan
25* Florida
25* Georgia
100* Duke
100* Wisconsin
 

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LT Profits

NHL

Hurricanes/Capitals UNDER 5,5 -120
Bruins/Islanders UNDER 5.5 -120
 
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On a morning like this with the sun coming back out we have to realize how lucky we are....our thoughts and prayers go out to the people of japan..and our own west coast. We all to often focus on the negatives in our lives (especially in these forums)..then mother nature strikes and shows us how small our issues are..and how truly blessed we are...god bless everyone this has affected and will affect.

Please don't joke about tragedies.
 
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Don Wallace

NBA
3 UNIT* NEW JERSEY +2.5 (7:05 EST) - BODOG.COM
3 UNIT* ORLANDO -4.5 (10:35 EST) - SPORTSBETTING.COM
 

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Johnnydsports

Bonus Play on Boston Celtics

Huge 100 dime winner yesterday boys coming back with a 50 dime play.... im at work and he hasn't released game yet....will do my best again to post for yu all...

GL
 

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jeff benton

5-4 for the week, down money...

biggest release of college season. underdog GOY


Jeff Benton
Jeff Benton Friday's Action
60 Dime college basketball seleation on New Mexico plus the points over BYU in the quarterfinals of the Mountain West Confercence tournament. As of 1 a.m. Eastern time, the projected pointsprhad for this contest is New Mexico +6.









ANALYSIS




If you’ve been a regular client lately, this play shouldn’t surprise you in the least. After all, I scored a 15 Dime winner with New Mexico just yesterday. More importantly, it was just eight days ago that I nailed a 30 Dime winner on New Mexico over BYU, with the Lobos rolling to an 18-point win as an 11-point underdog. And my reasons for backing the Lobos tonight are the same as they were last Thursday: New Mexico simply has BYU’s number. Not only are the Lobos responsible for both of the Cougars’ losses this season – they preceded last week’s 82-64 win in Provo with an 86-77 home victory as a 2½-point underdog on Jan. 29 – but New Mexico has won four straight and five of the last six meetings, including four outright upsets!





The Lobos’ success against BYU can be traced to one particular matchup: New Mexico’s offense vs. BYU’s defense. In their last five victories in this series, the Lobos have scored 82, 86, 83, 76 and 81 points, while shooting a combined 45% from the field. New Mexico has also dominated the Cougars in the rebounding department in the five wins, with a +24 advantage. That includes a 36-25 edge in last week’s meeting, which just so happened to coincide with the first game BYU played without Brandon Davies, the team’s leading rebounder (and third-leading scorer) who was suspended for violating the school’s honor code.





While New Mexico advanced to the Mountain West semifinals with yesterday’s 67-61 victory over a talented Colorado State team as a 3½-point favorite, BYU struggled to get past TCU, winning 64-58 as a 16-point chalk (and TCU was the lowest seed in the Mountain West tournament). The Lobos have now won four in a row, and they haven’t lost a game by more than six points since Jan. 22 (a stretch of 12 contests).





At the same time, BYU’s non-cover against TCU on Thursday puts their pointspread record at 5-6 in their last 11 games (4-6 ATS as a favorite). The Cougars have also now failed to cash in six of their last seven neutral-site contests.





Bottom line: The oddsmakers were put in a pickle here, because they had to make BYU the favorite. But the reality is the Cougars cannot handle New Mexico. It’s been proven a handful of times over the last three years, including twice in the last two months. And it’ll be proven again tonight as the Lobos not only get to the window, but win this game outright!





 
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SPORTS WAGERS

St. Joseph’s +10 over Duquesne

Not interested in a Duquesne squad that lost four of five and six of its last eight games in the A-10. Definitely not interested in them spotting the Hawks 10 points. The Dukes beat the St. Joe’s, 75-63, at Hagan Arena on Jan. 5., but they led 56-30 with 14 1/2 minutes left. By contrast, the Hawks went 5-4 over its last nine games, including consecutive wins in games where losses would have ended their season so what happened in early January really does not matter much. The Hawks had been a factor in the A-10 for a long time before falling back the past two years but suddenly they’re coming on a bit when it counts. This is a team that is coached by a guy that’s used to winning 20 games a year and not losing 20. The Dukes are in a real serious shooting funk and have been for over a month. Can they win this game? Well, it’s going to be tough but given the current form and state on mind of the Dukes, one cannot count the Hawks out and at the very least they should be able to stay well within this range. If the Hawks get off to a good start, the fragile Dukes will in serious trouble. Play: St. Joseph’s +10 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).


Connecticut +150 over Syracuse

Why not the Huskies? All they’ve done is knock off DePaul by 26, Georgetown by 17 and powerhouse Pitt yesterday. The argument for betting against them here is that they can’t possibly win four games in four days but it’s been done before, many times and it can happen again. Besides, after playing at noon yesterday, this one will feel like they had a full day off, as it tips off at 7:00 PM. In any event, UConn is thriving at the moment and surely they’re not taking a step down from Pittsburgh when they face the Orange. The Huskies are shooting lights out and you simply can’t play against a team that’s going this good and that’s playing with this much confidence. Syracuse is also hot with wins in their final five regular season games and a win yesterday against the Johnny’s. However, the Red Storm pushed them to the limit and the Orange didn’t exactly have the toughest schedule down the stretch. Three of Syracuse’s last five wins came against Rutgers, West Virginia and DePaul. Its other two wins were against Villanova and a sinking Hoya’s. Let’s also not ignore that prior to those five wins the Orange had dropped six of eight. You really can make an argument for either side here. Thing is, we’re talking about value and no matter how you break it down, in no way can make an argument that the Huskies can’t win this game. With a tag of 7½-5 and with momentum and confidence soaring, the Huskies definitely have a great shot to finish the deal. Play: Connecticut +150 (Risking 2 units).
 

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Johnnydsports

urghh i hate working this time of year when all these games r on and i can't watch.. anyways here is the play, sorry for the chatter

50 Dime 5 pt. teaser

Xavier -2
Utep -0.5

GL and lets keep cashing... also here i go with the chatter again,lol, i c people keeping track of other cappers record, if someone has the time keep a track record of this guy, yu will be impressed!!
 

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