Service Plays Friday 2/5/10

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ugk

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SPORTS WAGERS

SACRAMENTO +1.29 over Phoenix

The courts are the same size everywhere, the baskets are the same height, the basketballs are the same weight and size, yet almost every team struggles on the road and some, like the Kings, are two completely different teams home and away. The Kings are 13-11 at home and that record could easily be about 18-6 after OT losses at home to Cleveland and the Lakers, and a two-point loss to the Spurs among others. On the road the Kings are 3-21 and overall they’ve dropped four in a row and 11 of 12. Meanwhile, the Suns, after a prolonged funk appear to be back on track. They’ve won four straight with the last three coming on the road. As a result of all this the Suns stock is once again on the rise while the Kings stock has plummeted and that’s about the best time to step in. Phoenix will wrap up its four-game trip here and will be off for four full days before playing again on February 10. This is certainly a spot where they’re vulnerable and besides that, this Suns team is not one to be trusted laying road points anywhere. At home the Kings are energetic, sharp and play 1000 times better than they do on the road and absolutely have a great shot to get back on the winning track here against this extremely soft defense. Play: Sacramento +1.29 (Risking 2 units).


Detroit +3/+1.31 over INDIANA

This scenario has played out too often to ignore, whereas a team opens up as a small favorite, the public starts hammering that favorite, yet the line comes down. The Pacers opened as a four-point choice and have taken a ton of money but this line has since dropped and that’s a strong sign that the Pistons are very live. It’s not easy to make a case for the Pistons, as their record is horrible and they’ve dropped five of six with only win over that span being a four-point victory over the putrid Nets. Meanwhile, the Pacers are coming off a 15-point win over the red-hot Raps in a game that lots of folks watched and subsequently ripped up their tickets when it was over. After seeing them lead from start to finish and putting away the Raps, how can they not hammer these Pistons? The NBA is loaded with games that look easy and those games seldom turn out well and this one has all the signs of falling into that trap. Play: Detroit +1.31 (Risking 1 unit) Play Detroit +3 (Risking 1.04 units to win 1).
 

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Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon Today's Game... 1. 300,000♦ Kings

1. Kings- Oh are Suns-backers going to get slaughtered here! Phoenix wins four games in a row, and all of a sudden the public is ready to forget about the last 3 months of incredibly inconsistent play?! Quite frankly, the Suns may be the most overrated team in the pros this season, and if you need any proof, notice 90% of the public is on them in this contest! That should immediately be sending up red flags, because as I've said before: "If it looks to good to be true, it probably is!"

Why back the Suns now? They're in the midst of a winning streak, so you know there's going to be little value, AND despite the public being ALL OVER Phoenix, the line is actually shrinking (opened at -3', now at 2')! That reverse line movement is one of the best indicators of where the smart money is going, and in this case, its clearly going on Sacramento! Also of note, the home team is 9-3 ATS in their L12 games in this series!

So why Sacramento, and how do they do it? Well, first off, the return of a healthy Kevin Martin gives the Kings one of the most explosive backcourts in the NBA. Stud rookie, Tyreke Evans is coming off a 32-point, 8 assist, 7 board effort vs the Spurs. While we all know how good Martin can be when healthy, having 33 and 31 point games earlier this week! Nash and Richardson may be talented, but the veterans simply cannot keep up with the quicker Kings guards. Make no mistake, the Kings backcourt will do anything they want against this piss-poor Suns road defense (allowing 109 ppg on 46% shooting away this season).

In the frontcourt, we give the edge to the Suns, but not by as much as you'd think. Yes, Thompson is out, but Donte Green has stepped up nicely in his stead, and I like 6'9 sharpshooter Omri Casspi, making for a good 1-2 punch. Hawes is no juggernaut, but he's big, averaging 20.5 ppg over his L2 games, and is a better player at this point than the Suns' Robin Lopez. Amare will get his points, but after that, I like the Kings frontline match ups better.

Finally, motivation is a big factor here, or should I say lack of motivation on the Suns part. Why? This is the final game of a winnig road trip that saw them beat the Rockets, Hornets, and Nuggets... Do you really think the Suns care what happens tonight at Arco? They've already secured a winning road trip, and beat Sacramento twice this season... So, if any team is going to come in unfocused and overconfident, it'll be Phoenix. In the end, I'm not about perception, I'm about reality, and the reality is the Suns are overrated and VERY vulnerable in this spot. A healthy Kings team is NO bottom-dweller, and they'll prove it tonight. I'm going to advocate taking the points, but don't be surprised to see the Kings win outright in this spot.

Take the Kings plus the points over the Suns as your top-rated play of the day.








BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS:103631605
 

ugk

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pluslinesports

NHL FRIDAY FEBRUARY 5

CALGARY/FLORIDA UNDER 5.5 GOALS(-140)
PHOENIX/CHICAGO UNDER 5.5 GOALS(-135)
 

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BEATYOURBOOKIE

NBA Hoops for Friday

100* Play New Orleans (-2.5) over Philadelphia (Top Play)

NCAA Hoops for Friday

100* Play Cornell (-21) over Yale (Top Play)
 

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VEGAS SPORTS EXPERTS

The VSE NHL Plays are:
10* Take New Jersey (-200) over Toronto

The VSE NBA Plays are:
10* Take Minnesota (+10.5) over Dallas

The VSE NCAA Plays are:
10* Take Brown (+4.5) over Columbia
 

ugk

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WAYNE ROOT

3* VL - Sacramento Kings +2.5

4* Mill - Hornets -1.5
 

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ALL COMPS!!!!!!!

Big Al McMordie
* Minnesota Timberwolves,

Black Widow
1* Phoenix Suns, Over 221

Bobby Maxwell
4* Boston Celtics, -13

Brad Diamond
* Minnesota Timberwolves,

Brett Atkins
5* Milwaukee Bucks,

Chuck O'Brien
5* Atlanta Hawks,

Dan Bebe
.50* Memphis Grizzlies, -5
.75* Minnesota Timberwolves, +10

Dave Cokin
* Rider Broncs,

Dominic Fazzini
4* Atlanta Hawks, -6

EZ Winners
* Memphis Grizzlies, -5

Glenn McGrew
* Detroit Pistons,

GoodFella
* Minnesota Timberwolves, +10.5

InfoPlays
3* Loyola Greyhounds, +5

Jack Clayton
* Los Angeles Lakers, Under

Jack Jones
* Sacramento Kings, +3

James Patrick Sports
* Atlanta Hawks,

Jay McNeil
4* Phoenix Suns,

Jim Feist
* Boston Celtics, Under

Jimmy Boyd
1* Phoenix Suns, -2.5

Jimmy The Moose
* Memphis Grizzlies,

John Martin
1* New York Knicks, Over 200.5

Karl Garrett
2* Minnesota Timberwolves,

King Creole
1* Minnesota Timberwolves, +10

Larry Ness
* Atlanta Hawks, -7

LT Profits
* Marist Red Foxes, +14.5

Maddux Sports
* New York Knicks, -3

Marc Lawrence (Preferred Picks)
* University of Pennsylvania Quakers (Penn Quakers),

Matt Fargo
3* Atlanta Hawks,

Scott Rickenbach
* New Jersey Nets, +13

Scott Spreitzer
* Weber State Wildcats,

Teddy Covers
* Rider Broncs, -5

Tom Freese
* Philadelphia 76ers,

Vegas Experts
* New York Knicks, Over
 

ugk

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FRANK PATRON

20000 Unit Nba Lock

Philadelphia 76ers +3
 

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FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

NBA Basketball

1000* Play Boston (-12.5) over New Jersey (TOP NBA WINNER)
Game starts at 7:30 PM EST
 

ugk

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

New Jersey +13.5

For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on the Nets in this situation:

The Celtics are heavily favored to hand the Nets a 13th straight road loss. Boston is 2-0 against New Jersey this season, and led 71-35 at halftime of the last meeting - a 111-87 win Jan. 13 in which no Celtics player logged 30 minutes; but New Jersey has shown signs of life lately and will have the "double revenge factor" working for it tonight.

The Nets (4-44) lost their fourth in a row Wednesday, 108-99 at Toronto. New Jersey trailed 57-56 at halftime before dropping to 1-9 against Atlantic Division foes and 1-24 on the road.

Despite its horrible season, remember, New Jersey is in fact 4-1 ATS its last five overall.

Point guard Devin Harris has averaged 19.5 points and 11.0 assists in two games after missing the previous four with a wrist injury.

On the other side of the court: Paul Pierce is not expected to play for the Celtics on Friday night when they try to defeat the Nets for the 12th consecutive time.

Boston (31-16) played without Pierce in 107-102 victory over Miami on Wednesday. The All-Star forward sprained his left foot Monday night in a win at Washington, and is listed as day to day.

Not only is Boston 2-7-1 ATS its last 10 overall, its also just 0-4-1 ATS its last five at home.

Bottom line: I expect Boston to "look past" the steadily improving Nets in this one to its game on Sunday vs. Orlando; look for NEW JERSEY to do just enough to move to 7-4 ATS this season vs. division opponents and for Boston to slide to 14-25 ATS this year as a favorite!

9* NETS
 

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Ron Raymond

Calgary +100

Panthers are relying way too much on their goaltending of late and you can’t win hockey games when you average 1.17 goals for per game L10. When FLORIDA team played as a home team - Before a conference game - After a non conference game - Coming off a 1 game loss; the Panthers are 4-9-1 SU in this role. Take Calgary.
 

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Anyone seen Rocketmans picks?

Rocketman

Yale +21

Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Bulldogs are 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater. Bulldogs are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. My power ratings has Cornell winning this game by only 13.58 points tonight. We'll play Yale for 3 units tonight!
 

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Marc Lawrence

Sacramento +2.5

We recommend a 3-unit play on Sacramento.
 
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Lenny Del Genio

15* Detroit +4

Look for a big game from Pistons PG Rodney Stuckey here. He is averaging 16 PPG and 6.6 assists over his last five games and will be facing a rookie point guard here in A.J. Price for the Pacers. Prior to last month, Price was not playing much, averaging only four points per game. Even averaging more minutes per game in January, he saw his numbers only rise to 9.9 PPG and 2.4 APG. He has yet to play more than 25 minutes in any game this season. Detroit has revenge from a 12-point home loss to their division rivals two weeks ago, which was just their third SU loss in the last nine games in this head to head series. Both teams are off a rare SU win and are now seperated by just one game at the bottom of the Central Division. Indiana has won back-to-back games just three times since November 17th (one 2-game win streak, one 3-game win streak), making them impossible to back as a favorite in this role.

15* Detroit +4 NBA Game of the Week.
 

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The Duke's Sports

Milwaukee (+2) for 2 Units

The Bucks have had success in this series (4-1 ATS) and have covered 5 of their last 7 at MSG. The Bucks dispatched the Knicks back on November 7th in a 102-87 route. The Bucks are on a nice 8-1 ATS run but coming off a road loss at Orlando where they were playing unrested. Brandon Jennings, who was horrible that night,had a few days rest to regain his stroke. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS on 2 days rest and 5-0 ATS off a SU loss. The Knicks, on the other hand, are just 1-5 ATS off a SU win of 10+ points and 3-8 ATS as a small home favorite. Bucks the call.
 

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