SPORTS ADVISORS
Houston (26-22, 23-25 ATS) at Memphis (26-22, 27-20-1 ATS)
The Rockets and Grizzlies, who are tied for third place in the competitive Southwest Division, look to snap out of their respective slumps when they meet up for just the second time this season, this time at the FedEx Forum.
Houston has been idle since crushing the Warriors 119-97 on Tuesday, covering easily as a seven-point home favorite to snap an 0-5 ATS drought. The Rockets are still just 6-9 in their last 15 games, going 3-12 ATS. They’ve also lost five of their last six road games and failed to cash in seven of their last eight on the highway.
Memphis is coming off Tuesday’s 105-89 loss at Cleveland as a 10-point road underdog, and it has now followed up a 15-4 run (14-4-1 ATS) by losing three of its last four SU and ATS. On the bright side, the one victory was a 95-93 triumph over the defending-champion Lakers on Monday, and the Grizzlies have now won 12 of their last 13 at the FedEx Forum, and they’re 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 home contests.
These division rivals squared off way back on Nov. 11, and Houston cruised to a 104-79 victory as a nine-point home favorite. The Rockets have won six of the last eight meetings, but Memphis is 4-1 ATS in the last five (all as an underdog), including 2-0 SU and ATS at home. In fact, the host has taken six in a row and eight of the last nine in this series (6-3 ATS).
Other than cashing in four of their last five games against divisional opponents, Houston is mired in a slew of negative ATS slumps, including 1-5 overall, 1-7 on the road, 1-4 as an underdog, 1-6 as a road pup, 1-5 after a SU win, 1-4 after a spread-cover, 0-4 against winning teams and 2-7 against the Western Conference. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are on ATS tears of 14-6-1 overall, 20-8-1 at home, 9-4 within the Southwest Division, 7-2-1 as a favorite of five to 10½ points (all at home), 4-1 when playing on two days’ rest and 4-1 after a non-cover.
The under is on a 19-8 roll in this rivalry, with seven of the last 10 clashes in Memphis staying low. Additionally, the under is on streaks of 5-2 for the Grizzlies overall, 5-2 for the Grizzlies on Friday, 11-5 for the Rockets on the road, 11-5 for the Rockets against divisional rivals and 7-3 for the Rockets against winning teams.
On the flip side, Houston is on “over” runs of 8-3 overall, 4-0 on Friday and 5-0 after a SU victory, while Memphis carries “over” trends of 11-4 against Western Conference teams, 4-1 against Southwest Division foes, 4-1 when coming off two days’ rest and 5-0 when favored by five to 10½ points.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MEMPHIS
Denver (33-16, 22-25-2 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (38-12, 22-26-2 ATS)
Two Western Conference powers whose best players are hobbled by left ankle injuries meet up at the Staples Center, as the Nuggets look to beat the Lakers for the second time this season.
Denver’s Carmelo Anthony has missed six straight games with a sprained ankle, and without him, his team has gone 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. That includes Wednesday’s 109-97 loss to the Suns as a 5½-point home favorite. The Nuggets are still 13-4 in their last 17 games, including 4-2 on the road. However, George Karl’s club is in a 9-17-2 ATS funk overall, going 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 as a visitor.
The Lakers returned home Wednesday from an eight-game Eastern Conference road trip – their longest of the season – and survived a scare against Charlotte, holding on for a 99-97 victory but falling way short as a 10½-point favorite. Five players scored in double figures for Los Angeles, but Kobe Bryant wasn’t one of them, as he was held to just five points on 2-for-12 shooting in the victory. Bryant played a team-high 37 minutes but missed a portion of the game after tweaking his ankle in the first half.
The Lakers have won nine of their last 12 overall, going 6-4-2 ATS, and since a Christmas Day loss to the Cavaliers, they’re on an eight-game home winning streak (4-3-1 ATS).
Both Anthony and Bryant are listed as questionable for this game.
The Lakers beat Denver in six games in last year’s Western Conference finals, with the teams splitting the cash along the way. The Nuggets exacted a little revenge on Nov. 13 in the Mile High City, cruising 105-79 as a four-point home favorite, outscoring L.A. 47-23 in the second half. Still, Denver is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games in this rivalry and 3-12 ATS in its last 15 trips to Hollywood.
Going back to Game 2 of last year’s playoff series, the visitor is on a 4-2 SU and ATS run when these teams meet, and the winner cashed in all six of those battles and has covered in nine of the last 10 clashes.
In addition to their aforementioned pointspread slumps of 7-19-1 overall and 3-8-1 on the road, the Nuggets are also in ATS nosedives of 4-12-2 against the Western Conference, 1-6-1 against Pacific Division squads, 1-5 on Friday, 5-12 after one day of rest and 3-7 after a SU loss. However, they have cashed in five of six after a non-cover.
Los Angeles is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games and 4-1 ATS in its last five after a non-cover, but it has failed to cash in four straight games against Northwest Division squads.
Denver is on several “under” streaks, including 4-1 overall, 6-1 on the highway, 11-3 against winning teams, 6-2 on Friday, 5-1 after a SU loss and 4-0 after one day of rest. Similarly, the Lakers have stayed low in five of seven against the Western Conference, five of seven versus the Northwest Division and 10 of 13 against winning teams. Finally, the under has cashed in 11 of their last 14 clashes between these teams, including five of the last six head-to-head matchups at Staples Center.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS and UNDER