Service Plays Friday 12/23/16

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Steve Merril

(3% play) OVER 63.5 (Eastern Michigan/Old Dominion) - 1:00 pm ET (ESPN) #221

Eastern Michigan was a much improved team this season, especially on the offensive side of the football. The Eagles averaged 30.4 points per game on 6.0 yards per play versus defenses that allowed 31.8 points per game on 6.0 yards per play. The Eagles were well-balanced as they ran for 158 yards and threw for 296 yards per game this year. Eastern Michigan will now be facing a poor Old Dominion defense that allowed 33.5 points per game on 6.0 yards per play away from home. Against the five bowl teams they faced, the Monarchs gave up 39 points per game on 6.5 yards per play.

Old Dominion has an explosive offense that averaged 36 points per game on 6.4 yards per play versus defenses that allowed 32.7 points per game on 6.0 yards per play. The Monarchs were also a well-balanced offense as they ran for 199 yards and threw for 238 yards per game this season. Old Dominion’s offense will score at will on a terrible Eastern Michigan defense that got shredded all season long. The Eagles gave up 30.3 points per game on 5.7 yards per play versus offenses that averaged only 28.9 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. On the road, Eastern Michigan allowed 35.2 points per game on 6.2 yards per play. Look for a high-scoring Bahamas Bowl between Eastern Michigan and Old Dominion on Friday afternoon.

Play OVER (Eastern Michigan/Old Dominion) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) OVER 67.5 (Louisiana Tech/Navy) - 4:30 pm ET (ESPN) #223

Louisiana Tech and Navy are all offense and no defense, so we expect a high-scoring shootout on Friday afternoon. Louisiana Tech has a potent offense that averaged 44.0 points per game on a whopping 7.6 yards per play this season (versus opponents that allowed just 33.8 ppg and 6.1 yppl). The Bulldogs were well-balanced as they ran for 156 yards and threw for 360 yards per game this year. Louisiana Tech will now be facing a poor Navy defense that allowed 29.7 points per game on 6.3 yards per play this season. Against the seven bowl teams they faced this season, Navy allowed 35 points on 470 yards of offense while giving up 6.6 yards per play.

Navy’s offense averaged 37.4 points per game on 6.8 yards per play versus defenses that gave up only 29.5 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. Navy is a running team that averaged 311 yards per game on 5.8 yards per rush this season (versus opponents that allowed just 4.6 ypr). Louisiana Tech’s defense played below average football as the Bulldogs gave up 32.7 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Against the seven bowl teams they faced this season, Louisiana Tech allowed 38 points on 431 yards of offense per game. In all road games this season, the Bulldogs permitted 36.4 points per game on 6.2 yards per play. Navy did lose their starting quarterback prior to their last game against Army, but with extra time to prepare, we expect minimal drop off in this game. Look for a high-scoring Armed Forces Bowl between Louisiana Tech and Navy on Friday afternoon.

Play OVER (Louisiana Tech/Navy) as a 3% play.
 
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GC: NBA PLay

Friday card has 2 big bowl plays a side and a total both on ESPN. In the NBA Another powerful totals system that is undefeated since 1995. NBA Comp play below.

The NBA play is on Cleveland at 7:35 eastern. The schedule maker didnt do the Nets any favors here with a road trip to Cleveland after hosting Golden St last night. The Nets hung with the Warrior for awhile but were take out in the 4th quarter. the Nets have failed to cover 4 of 5 on the road with no rest off a home game. The Cavs have covered 5 of 6 on Fridays and 4 of 5 off a division game. Road dogs with no rest that were home dogs of 10 or more 0-6 ats since 1995 vs a team like the Cavs that were home favorites of 5 or more and won and covered. Play on Cleveland tonight. On Friday there are 2 more big bowl winners up after we easily cashed out on Idaho last night. One is a 16-1 totals system. In the NBA The lead play is an undefeated totals system with a perfect angle. Jump on now as we storm into the holidays on a big run. For the NBA Free pick. Play on Cleveland. GC
 
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NSA The Legend
FRIDAY PICKS(NSA "THE LEGEND")
25* CFB Navy +7.5
25* CFB Old Dominion -5.5
25* CFB Ohio +4.5
20* CFB Old Dominion over 63.5
20* CFB Navy over 67
10* CFB Ohio over 49
10*
5* NBA Golden St -15
 

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FadeDirtyBear on twitter


Cbb
Texas st +1
Rutgers over 138.5
Tulsa +3.5
UConn ML

FADE THESE

his locks of the day have been 0-3, hasn't posted the one for today yet

solid fade
 

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Kelso / NCAAF

[FONT=&quot]Navy Over
[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Old Dominion[/FONT]
 

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Paul Leiner:2000* CFB Over 67.5 La Tech/Navy
500* CBB Rutgers +10
100* CFB Troy -4
100* NBA Over 203 Bulls/Hornets
 
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Sony Parley 2-2 yesterday

Best Lock
NBA
Bulls under 204.5

Best Bet
NHL Rangers -140
NHL Toronto Over 5.5
CollegeB Harvard +11.5

any Maddux? Tia
 

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