Service Plays Friday 12/04/09

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National Sports Service Picks

3* C. Michigan -13 over Ohio (NCAAF)

3* Washington -4 over Toronto (NBA)

3* L.A. Lakers -11 over Miami (NBA)
 
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win or lose

NCAA Football
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
308 C. Mich -13.5 -108 $7

National Football League
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
** No Games

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
3 Bos ML -132 $9
6 Minn ML -142 $10

7 - 2 yesterday

National Basketball Association (Buying 2 Points ONLY when Posted)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
501 Tor / Wash OV 215 -105 $8
505 BOS -4 -105 $14
507 CHI +12.5 +100 $6
517 IND +8 -108 $12
520 LA Laker -11.5 -105 $5
Let's get our 5th winning day in a row today

NCAA Basketball ( buying 2 points on each game ONLY WHEN POSTED)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
528 Ore St ML -140 $5
531 Wofford +20.5 -105 $8
 

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Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #527 Colorado (+7.5) over Oregon State (11 p.m.) AND Take St. Peters (+12.5) over Iona (7:30 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #542 Montana (-3) over Northern Arizona (9 p.m.) AND Take #525 Troy (+14) over Auburn (8 p.m.)
 

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Wunderdog

Game: Ohio vs. C. Michigan (Friday 12/04 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 53 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Dan LeFevour is the MAC's all-0time leader in passing yards and he is the main reason the Chippewas are double-digit favorites here. His team scored 34.2 points per game this season and Ohio scored 26.7, so this total is set in the 50s. But, the fact is, Central Michigan did most of their offensive damage at home this year. At home they put up 476 yards and over 50 points per game. But away from the cozy home field, those numbers drop precipitously to 381 yards and 22.6 points per game. Their defense however remained stout, giving up 18 ppg on average, home and away. I like this one to go UNDER.

Game: Houston at E. Carolina (Saturday 12/05 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on E. Carolina +3 (-115) (risk 3 to win 2.6)

E. Carolina defends their CUSA championship in this game against the high-flying Cougars. While Houston's offense can certainly get it done, their defense is among the worst in the nation. When they are playing bad teams, it doesn't matter. But, when facing a legitimate team, they can struggle. In the second half of the season, Houston played two solid programs in Tulsa and UCF, both on the road as they are here. They lost one of those outright and were 0-2 ATS. So, while they have shown the ability to absolutely crush mediocre competition, and play well at home, there are questions when they head to the road vs. a formidable opponent. On the road this Cougars teams is allowing a ridiculous 36 points per game, so expect E. Carolina to have success when they have the ball. And, given that the Pirates defense has allowed just 18 points per game at home, they should also have success slowing down Case Keenum and the Houston offense. Houston is 0-6 ATS since last season when coming off back-to-back wins. Over the past three seasons they are 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of a TD or less. Meanwhile, E. Carolina is 21-10 ATS as an underdog under Skip Holtz. I like the Pirates at home plus the points.

Game: W. Virginia at Rutgers (Saturday 12/05 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on W. Virginia +1.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

West Virginia opened as a 2.5 point favorite but now find themselves getting points in this game. I think the oddsmakers had it right the first time. The Mountaineers aren't playing for the Big East championship, but they are going Bowling. And, a win here will likely earn them a spot in a prestigious New Year's day game instead of something much less exciting. A 3-point loss to Cincinnati on November 13 is what kept them out of the Championship game, but we can look for positives in that game. The Mountaineers were double-digit dogs to a very powerful Bearcats team and it was a fight as they lost by just a field goal. West Virginia also lost to South Florida two games prior and Auburn earlier in the year. The only loss that was a bad one was vs. S. Florida. Otherwise they have won every game they were supposed to win this season and they aren't being asked to cover a big number here. They are 2-1 ATS this season as a dog and they are coming off a confidence-building win over Pittsburgh. West Virginia has won 15 straight vs. Rutgers and are 30-4-2 all-time in the series. I like the Mountaineers to get it done here.

Game: Florida vs. Alabama (Saturday 12/05 4:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 41 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The most anticipated game of the year is here with #1 Florida taking on #2 Alabama. This game may make the National Championship game pale in comparison. The winner gets to play in that game and the loser's hopes of a national title are gone. With the stakes so high, expect high-intensity and high nerves - both helping a play on the UNDER. Mark Ingram, Alabama's Heisman-hopeful running back injured his hip and was limited to just 30 yards and 1.9 yards per carry in Friday's game vs. Auburn. Oh, and these defenses are pretty good. Florida owns the #1 defense in the country and it's the reason they are here. This team has allowed a ridiculous 9.8 points per game! No opponent has scored more than 20 points on the Gators all season. Bama's defense is right there, ranked 3rd in the nation. They are 2nd in the country in points allowed, behind Florida at 10.8 points per game. The most this team gave up this season was 24 - and that was all the way back in early September in their opener. So, we have the top two defenses in the land, giving up a combined 20.6 points per game, and this total is set twice that high. Yes, these are good offenses, but not elite offenses. The defenses should dictate. The Tide are 17-5 UNDER in their last 22 games vs. teams that rush for 200+ yards per game. High intensity and low-scoring is what I expect in this game.

Game: California at Washington (Saturday 12/05 6:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 58 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The fact that Cal is just a TD favorite over Washington here says a lot about both teams. California was ranked 12th in the nation to start the season and was supposed to challenge for the Pac-10 championship. But, after blowout losses to Oregon and USC, that was over. They come into this game however off strong performances vs. Arizona and Stanford, holding those teams to 44 combined points. Washington is 3-1 at home vs. conference foes, holding USC, Stanford, Arizona and Washington state to an average of just 20 points per game. Cal's offense has averaged just 23.8 points per game over their last four. Their last game vs. Stanford saw 62 points scored and under head coach Jeff Tedford, this team is 14-5 UNDER on the road coming off an OVER and 19-10 UNDER after a game in which 60+ points were scored. I expect this one to go UNDER the total.
 

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This is the Maximus Report for 12-04-09

LOCKS:
TAKE NORTHERN COLORADO BEARS PK vs Montana St Bobcats. This game is being played in the Worthington Arena on the Campus of the Montana State Bobcats and is scheduled to begin at 9:00 P.M EST.
EVALUATION: The Montana State Bobcats come into this game with a 2-3 SU record, and have only been able to beat San Francisco and Colorado Christian, two schools who are really not top caliber this year. They are averaging about 65.4 points a game while allowing their opponents over 70 points. Out of their five games, four have been rated and they are 1-3 ATS. The Bobcats were blown out in their last game out last Saturday at the Oregon Ducks 66-89, and they are only scoring 65 points a game at home. The BEARS on the other hand come in with a perfect 7-0 mark and have been averaging 75.86 points a game. They have an avg. margin of difference of 14 and their numbers equal up to the Bobcats in turnovers and assists. They are road tested so far, winning all 4 games and have averaged 73.5 points on the road. Their 3-1 ATS record looks solid, and they are shooting a really good 48.6% per game average. This is a Big Sky conference game for the 2 teams, where N. Colorado won both contests last year by 10 on the road, and by 27 at home. Looks like early season predictions are not living up to its salt. Montana St was expected to finish at the top of the conference and Northern Colorado was expected to be at the bottom.
PROJECTION: NORTHERN COLORADO 71 MONTANA ST. 64

TAKE COLORADO BUFFALOES +2.5 vs Oregon St. Beavers. This game is being played at Gill Coliseum on the campus of the Oregon St. Beavers, and is scheduled to start at 11:00 P.M. EST.
EVALUATION: Oregon St was expected to be a middle of the Pack team in the PAC-10, but their 2-3 SU record looks like they will be more near the bottom than the middle. They have dropped 2 of their 3 home games and have only been putting up about 62 points a game. What we really don’t like the Beavers are not very good at protecting the ball and have been averaging 19.2 turnovers a game, and only have about 4 3-pointers a game. The Colorado Buffaloes come in with a 5-2 SU mark, and those two losses came to Arizona 87-91 in OT at the Maui Invitational, and Gonzaga 72-76 in the same tournament. They are scoring an average of 81.14 points a game and have an average win difference of 11.71 points a game. Their 77.3 points a game on the road is a respectable number and we look for the BUFFS to beat up on the Beavers tonight
PROJECTION: COLORADO 78 OREGON St. 63
SOLIDS:__________________________________PROJE CTION
CANISIUS -1 vs Loyola-Md___________________CANISIUS 70-65
AUBURN TIGERS -9 vs Troy Trojans__________Auburn 80-64
CAL RIVERSIDE +2 VS San Diego_____________Cal Riverside 80-66

OVER/UNDERS
Colorado/Oregon St. OVER 132 ½ ______________141
San Diego/ UC Riverside OVER 123 ½ ____________146

MONEYLINE
MANHATTAN +700______________________Manhattan 67-63
 
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Scott Rickenbach

FRIDAY NIGHT UPSET SPECIAL!

Troy Trojans(+10) over AUBURN TIGERS

Play Troy plus the big points as an 8* Regular Play selection.
 
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John Morrison's pick(s) for December 4 2009
Central Michigan -13.5 This game is against Ohio at 8:00 PM ET

John Morrison's pick(s) for December 4 2009
Miami & Los Anngeles Over 199 This game is at 10:30 PM ET
Xavier -14.5 This game is against Kent State at 7:30 PM ET
 

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Randall the Handle

Boston -½ +1.22 over MONTREAL Pinnacle
The Canadiens good fortune has finally run out. Montreal’s .500 record last week was this year’s most misleading mark, as the Habs were getting badly outplayed almost every time they stepped on the ice. They won half their games because of great goaltending and some good fortune in OT but things even out over time. Now the reeling Habs, coming off four straight losses and back-to-back defeats to Toronto and Buffalo will play its third game in four nights and the tail end of back-to-backs against the surging Bruins. Montreal does not create enough offense to pose much of a threat to anyone. In fact, they’ve been held to 23 shots or fewer in five of its last seven games. The Habs have one win in its last six and that came against an exhausted Blue Jackets team, playing its third game in four nights and fifth game in seven nights. The Habs are the second least talented team in the NHL and again, its luck has run out. Ask the Bruins which team they enjoy beating most and the collective answer in harmony would be the Montreal Canadiens. That’s all you need to know. Play: Boston -½ +1.22 (Risking 2 units).

OKLAHOMA CITY +1.52 over Boston Pinnacle
The Celtics are now a very impressive 8-1 on the road and 15-4 overall after its win last night in San Antonio. The C’s have reeled off six in a row and that, combined with its strong record, has masked a lot of its shortcomings. Boston is a damn tough team to beat because of its experience and defense but this team is flawed and it starts with rebounding. Boston is ranked near the bottom of the league in allowing second chance opportunities. They’re near the bottom in every rebounding category and in this league you just can’t keep winning at that pace when you get murdered on the boards every night. They played a high-intensity defensive game last night and now they’ll play its third road game in four nights and the tail end of back-to-backs. It’s also worth noting the C’s have played a rather easy schedule thus far and that, too, has contributed to its fine record to date. In fact, the Celtics have played just six of its 20 games against teams over .500 and in those half dozen games the Celtics are just 3-3. The Thunder should be jacked up and so should the faithful, as the famous Celtics make a rare appearance in Oklahoma City. The Thunder have won three of its last four and have had a much more difficult schedule than the C’s. In fact, of the Thunders 18 games, half of them have been against teams over .500 and that includes two against the Lakers in which they lost one of them in OT. Despite its record the Celtics are not playing so great and after a big win in San An last night we can definitely catch them uninspired, tired and way off their game here. Play Oklahoma City +1.52 (Risking 2 units).
 
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DON BEST STEAM

11:09:53am 2009-12-04 512 Detroit Over 186
10:28:11am 2009-12-04 526 Auburn Under 149½
10:04:56am 2009-12-06 346 Atlanta Under 44
10:00:00am 2009-12-04 504 Atlanta Under 216½
9:41:20am 2009-12-04 514 New Orleans Under 201
9:36:57am 2009-12-05 334 Clemson Over 55½
9:14:32am 2009-12-04 532 Michigan State Under 146½
9:12:59am 2009-12-04 510 Memphis Under 206
8:32:25am 2009-12-04 531 Wofford +20½
8:28:40am 2009-12-04 538 Canisius -1
8:27:39am 2009-12-04 518 Utah Under 210½
8:26:25am 2009-12-04 523 Akron +13½
8:22:19am 2009-12-04 530 Cal Riverside +2½
8:16:28am 2009-12-04 542 Montana -7½
8:12:37am 2009-12-04 513 Minnesota +10
8:08:08am 2009-12-04 511 Milwaukee +4
8:07:16am 2009-12-04 503 New York +11½
 
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MustWinSports
Spectacular Seven: 59-34-1 +88.6 DIMES

5 DIME TEASER OHIO & OHIO/C MICHIGAN OVER (Spectacular Seven)
 

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Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards - Friday December 4, 2009 7:05 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Toronto Raptors +4 (-110)


This game is a big revenge situation for Toronto, and they should have strong motivation. The Raptors followed up a loss at home to Washington with an embarrassing blowout loss at Atlanta the following night. Toronto’s defense was absolutely torched in that game giving up 145 points to the Hawks. Because of that, I expect the Raptors to show up in a big way tonight. Washington is not a good team, and I expect them to have a letdown here after beating Toronto just a few days ago. The Wizards aren’t particularly strong at home, while the Raptors are decent on the road. The road game has also surprisingly dominated this series recently as well. Look for Toronto to win outright and/or cover the point spread.
3 UNIT SELECTION
 
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Antony Dinero

Ohio at Central Michigan
Pick: Central Michigan -13

Ohio senior QB Theo Scott has really developed a firm hold on the offense, and he'll be able to move quickly through his progressions and audible reads and get the Bobcats into what's sure to be a track meet. Leading the conference and among the national leaders averaging close to 35 points per game, CMU will set the pace, able to ride the arm and legs of Dan LeFevour to a MAC title. Considering this is a championship game, count on both coaches pulling out all the spots and this game being long. The Chippewas should wind up pulling away late and forcing a desperate Bobcats squad into a game-ending mistake. In addition to playing the over, lay the 13 and back CMU.
 

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[COLOR=#000000! important]Maximus report NBA[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000! important] [/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000! important]LOCKS:
TAKE THE MAVERICKS -5.5
vs Grizzlies This game is in Memphis and is scheduled to begin at 8:05 EST
EVALUATION: The key thing we look at in this game is the Mavs 8-3 road ATS record so far, and been putting up over 102 points on the road this year. They have the 3rd best free throw percentage in the league at 80.3, and their assists to turnovers ratio of 1.9 is very respectable in the NBA. Memphis is only averaging 97.9 points at home this year, and are having a tough time of it after playing 5 straight road games. The Mavs also have been road warriors lately having played 4 of 5 on the road and winning 3 of those 4 with their only drop coming to the hands of the much hyped Cleveland Cavaliers. We like the MAVS to cover this small number
PROJECTION MAVERICKS 105 Grizzlies 97

SOLIDS:_________________________________PROJEC TION
KNICKS +12.5 vs Hawks____________________Hawks 108-101
BOBCATS -5.5 vs Nets_____________________Bobcats 92-84

OVER/UNDERS
UNDER 216 Raptors/Wizards__________________200
OVER 192 Celtics/Thunder ___________________199

MONEYLINE
BUCKS +140
_____________________________Bucks 94-91
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