Service Plays Friday 11/13/09

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NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13

Game 113-114: Temple at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 82.890; Akron 75.983
Dunkel Line: Temple by 7; 41
Vegas Line: Temple by 4; 44
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-4); Under

Game 115-116: West Virginia at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 91.196; Cincinnati 106.898
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 15 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 9; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-9); Over
 
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NCAAF LONG SHEET

Week 11

Friday, November 13

TEMPLE (7 - 2) at AKRON (2 - 7) - 11/13/2009, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (7 - 2) at CINCINNATI (9 - 0) - 11/13/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NCAAF SHORT SHEET

Week 11

Friday, 11/13/2009

(TC) TEMPLE at AKRON, 8:30 PM ET ESPNU
TEMPLE: 8-0 ATS off home game
AKRON: 8-2 Over as home underdog

W VIRGINIA at CINCINNATI, 8:00 PM ET ESPN2
W VIRGINIA: 1-9 ATS playing with 6 or less days rest
CINCINNATI: 31-15 ATS in weeks 10 through 13
 
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NCAAF WRITE-UP

Friday's games

Temple won its last seven games, its best win streak since '74, but last two wins were by combined total of five points; Owls are 3-2 as a fave this season. Akron upset rival Kent State last week, ending seven-game skid; they're 3-4 as an underdog this year. Akron converted just five of last 33 third down plays. Last four Temple games went over the total; four of Zips' last five games stayed under. Six of seven Akron losses are by 12 or more points.

Underdog is 4-1-1 vs spread in West Virginia-Cincinnati games, with the visitor winning five of six; WVU won its last three visits here by 3-38-5 points, but Bearcats are 9-0 this year, covering three of last four games- they're 1-2 as home favorite after giving up 35 second half points in last week's 47-45 win over UConn. Mountaineers' two losses are both by 11 points. Five of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
 
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NCAAF ADDITIONAL

Week 11

Friday, November 13

8:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. CINCINNATI
West Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Cincinnati is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:30 PM
TEMPLE vs. AKRON
Temple is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Akron is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
Akron is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
 
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NBA ADDITIONAL

Friday, November 13

Trend Report

7:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. ORLANDO
New Jersey is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. PHILADELPHIA
Utah is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Philadelphia
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. NEW YORK
Golden State is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Golden State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 12 games when playing at home against Golden State
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. BOSTON
Atlanta is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. MINNESOTA
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Portland
 
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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Hornets (+1.5, 190)

The Hornets are having chemistry issues this season, which came to a head when the Phoenix Suns handed New Orleans a 124-104 beating Wednesday night.

The loss was the Hornets’ sixth of the season and dropped the franchise to second last in the Southwest, just ahead of the 1-8 Memphis Grizzlies. The defeat also dropped the axe on head coach Byron Scott, who was fired Thursday afternoon.

“We’re not getting in a flow,” forward David West told The Times-Picayune after the Phoenix loss. “Guys other than C.P. (Chris Paul), he’s the only guy on the team that gets a consistent flow of good looks on a nightly basis. We’re going to struggle when that happens. We’ve got to figure out some new ways to attack because we go against these teams that are indoctrinated into their system, and we’re going to struggle.”

West is one of the biggest culprits. The All-Star is scoring just over 15 points per game after averaging more than 20 points a night in each of the last two seasons. He scored only 10 points versus the Suns, shooting 3-for-9 from the field Wednesday.

New Orleans could find it tough to gel when it takes on the defensive-savvy Portland Trail Blazers, who have held opponents to under 90 points per game this season.

Pick: Portland -1.5


Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Clippers (+2.5, 209)

The Toronto media was all a buzz Wednesday night following the Raptors’ 99-89 win over the Chicago Bulls as 5.5-point home favorites.

The focal point of their attention was a baseline jam from rookie DeMar DeRozan in the second half that brought the Air Canada Centre crowd to its feet.

You’ll have to excuse the beat writers’ bias excitement. It’s just been a while since they’ve seen a member of the team play above the rim, going back to Vince Carter’s heyday above the border. DeRozan finished the game with nine points and nine rebounds for his best NBA performance in eight games.

"I thought DeMar in the third quarter just really gave us a lift. He chased balls. He rebounded. He was aggressive," coach Jay Triano told the Toronto Star. "I thought he had maybe one of his best games as a pro."

The rookie should continue to help Toronto pick up wins, especially with a four-game Western road trip beginning against the Clippers Friday. It will be a homecoming for the Los Angeles native, who played his one college season at USC.

Pick: Toronto -2.5
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Toronto Maple Leafs at Chicago Blackhawks (-194, 6)

The Blackhawks are still without their big offseason acquisition Marion Hossa and they just lost their centre Bolland to a back injury. But these young Hawks still have plenty of offensive weapons to get the job done.

With a core group of talents like Toews, Kane, Sharp, Campbell and Versteeg, you can bet that water bottles will be flying come Friday night versus the slow-moving Maple Leafs.

Jonas Gustavsson may be the future net minder that Toronto has been waiting on but not even the Monster will be able to contain an offense like Chicago.

Luke Schenn, the sophomore defenseman has lost his physical edge and fellow blueliner Mike Komisarek will be sidelined for up to three weeks with a small tear in his quadriceps.

The Blackhawks are an impressive 8-2-1 at home while the Leafs have struggled on the road with a 2-3-3 record.

Expect the blue and white to see a lot of red as they get lit up in this Original Six matchup.

Pick: Chicago -1.5


Los Angeles Kings at Atlanta Thrashers

Anze Kopitar and Ryan Smyth have brought back a flare that L.A. fans haven't seen since the days of Wayne Gretzky and Luc Robitaille.

The pair has combined for a total of 55 points with Kopitar leading the NHL in both goals and assists at 19 and 14 - seven points ahead of Washington superstar Alexander Ovechkin.

Smyth, the savy veteran, seems to have finally found his stride after being bounced around with a number of teams since his days in Edmonton.

Atlanta's high-scoring forward Ilja Kovalchuk is still nursing a broken foot and practiced for the first time in three weeks Tuesday. Even if Kovalchuk is cleared to play Friday, don't expect him to be 100 percent.

"There is just a little soreness after two hard days of practice", Thrashers head coach John Anderson told reporters. "It takes a lot out of you...When you feel good walking around, sometimes you don't feel so good after you've worked out pretty hard."

This spells trouble for the Thrashers, who are 1-4 in their last five home games.

Pick: Over
 
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The Gold Sheet

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13

*Temple 31 - AKRON 14—Temple frosh RB Pierce is performing like he
belongs in the SEC, not the MAC. Pierce has 657 YR and 8 TDs in his last 3
games, and Owl HC Golden’s decision to bench QB Charlton in favor of soph
Stewart (6 of 11 for 143 YP and some key gains vs. Miami) was a positive. Owls
6-2 vs. spread. TV—ESPNU
(08-TEMPLE 27-Akron 6...T.20-15 A.31/165 T.44/148 T.15/30/2/220 A.20/39/3/166 T.1 A.0)

(08-TEMPLE -2' 27-6 07-Temple +11' 24-20...SR: Temple 11-7)

*CINCINNATI 29 - West Virginia 26—Highly-ranked Bearcats breathing sigh
of relief after barely escaping vs. UConn with unblemished record intact. West
Virginia (just 6-14 vs. spread last 20 on board) no bankroll buddy under folksy HC
Stewart. But, as long as banged-up star RB Devine & sr. QB J. Brown ready for
action (as expected), Mountaineers should keep Cincy sweating. TV—ESPN2
(08-Cin. 26-W.V. 23 (OT)...W.19-12 W.42/98 C.33/82 W.20/38/1/219 C.16/30/0/178 C.0 W.1)
(08-Cincy +7 26-23 (OT) 07-Wva -6 28-23 06-WVA -18 42-24...SR: West Virginia 14-2-1)
 

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REPORT FROM VIC MONTE SPORTS
TOP 15 NCAA HANDICAPPERS
As of 11/12/09
#1 INSIDE STEAM (CFB 21-4 ~ 84%)
#2 PRIMETIME (CFB 18-5 ~ 78%)
#3 SPORTS ADVISOR (CFB 6-2-2 ~ 75%)
#4 COWTOWN SPORTS (CFB 17-7 ~ 71%)
#5 JB SPORTS (CFB 18-8 ~ 69%)
#6 FRANK PATRON (CFB 20-8 ~ 71%)
#7 VEGAS CONNECTION (CFB 24-12 ~ 67%)
#8 BILLY BAILEY (CFB 16-8~ 67%)
#9 GATOR (CFB 13-7 ~ 65%)
#10 JIM ****** (CFB 33-18 ~ 65%)
#11 EXECUTIVE SPORTSLINE (CFB 38-21 ~ 64%)
#12 DOLPHIN SPORTS (CFB 24-14 ~ 63%)
#13 HEISMAN TROPHY CLUB (CFB 20-12~ 62%)
#14 THE HOTLINE (CFB 40-24 ~ 62%)
#15 MVP POWERLOCKS (CFB 6-4 ~ 60% - 27-12 Since start of '07)
 

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Kyle Bales

11-5 (68%) this week.


NBA:


Portland Trailblazers at New Orleans Hornets


Write-up:

After a slow start Hornets Coach Byron Scott was fired and replaced
with general manager Jeff Bower who will make his head coaching debut
tonight. Things will not be easy in Bowers first game as these two
teams are going in opposite directions. The Blazers shot superbly
(.553 from the field, .400 from three-point range, .867 at the line)
against Minnesota Wednesday night and won the rebound battle 41-29 and
had 30 assists. Greg Oden played superb scoring 18 and grabbing 11
rebounds in 26 minutes. The biggest news that in the first time in his
NBA career he committed no fouls! The Hornets have not played well at
home this season with narrow victories against the Kings and the
Mavericks (in overtime) and got blown out by the Raptors in their last
home game. Portland is 4-0 since coach Nate McMillan switched the
starting lineup, using point guards Steve Blake and Andre Miller in
the backcourt, moving Brandon Roy to small forward with LaMarcus
Aldridge at power forward and Greg Oden at center. This lineup will
wreak havoc on this Hornet team tonight.

Prediction:

New Orleans - 89

Portland Trailblazers - 99


Play On:

15* Portland Trailblazers -1.5






Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets

Do you think the Nuggets have been looking forward to this one? Losing
to the Lakers 4-2 in last spring's Western Conference finals, it is
still fresh on their minds. "Just keeping that in the back of my
mind," said Carmelo Anthony, "I kept harping that we lost and we were
two games away from getting where we wanted to be. I know I used that
as motivation this summer to get better, to work harder." Nuggets
forward Kenyon Martin has said on several occasions since last spring
he believes Denver had the better team last summer and still does. The
Nuggets lost two games in the final seconds when they threw away
inbound passes. "We thought if we played a little bit better, we
could've gotten to the Finals," said Nuggets coach George Karl. "If we
had gotten to the Finals, we think we could've been fortunate in
catching a team like Orlando that we felt we could've competed
against." Karl was right about the Magic as the Lakers coasted to
another championship winning 4-1. The Nuggets can be as optimistic as
they want but they still have to lace up their sneakers and prove it.
Denver is coming home off a long six game road trip as we caught this
tired team last game winning a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks +3.5,
an outright winner. Denver is a good team, but you just can't give
this great Laker team points.

Prediction:

Los Angeles Lakers - 109

Denver Nuggets - 97


Play On:

10* Los Angeles Lakers +3
NOTE: Game is on ESPN





CFB:


#23 West Virginia Mountaineers at #5 Cincinnati Bearcats


After a big 47-45 game last week against UConn, Cincinnati QB Zach
Collaros earned Big East Offensive Player of the Week honors after
breaking a Big East Conference record with 555 yards of total offense.
Collaros was 29-of-37 for 480 yards and a touchdown as well as rushing
for 75 yards and two more scores. The Bearcats spread-no-huddle
offense ranks third nationally with 482.6 yards per game. This does
not boast well for the Mountaineers secondary having already been lit
up by Uconn and Auburn for at least over 300 years in the air this
year. After Tony Pike went down on Oct 15th, Collaros added a new
dimension to Cincinnati’s offense by running for 132 yards and two
touchdowns on 10 carries in the 34-17 win. In three starts since then,
Collaros has gone 66 for 82 for 1,028 yards and eight touchdowns
without an interception. On Monday Cincinnati coach Brian Kelly named
a now healthy Pike as the starter for tonight's game but changed his
mind on Tuesday naming Collaros the starter. Pike will get some snaps
tonight and Kelly states that Pike will likely start Nov 27th against
Illinois. I see this as being even more incentive for Collaros to come
out firing and having a huge game to get the ball coach thinking
again. Last week things got scary for West Virginia as star running
back Noel Devine (Ranked #13 nationally) injured his ankle.
Quarterback Jarrett Brown also suffered a similar injury but coach
Bill Stewart said he’s optimistic both players will play this week.
“They both should be ready,” Stewart said. “Jarrett should be ready
quicker than Noel; I don’t know if Noel will play or not. He should if
treatments go well.” Cincinnati allowed 201 yards rushing last week.
If that happens tonight against West Virginia, it could be a big blow
to the Bearcats national title hopes. After a rare 45 point defensive
letdown last week look for the UC defense to really step it up
tonight. I have no doubt in my mind that Cincinnati will throw over
400 yards passing tonight. Need anymore incentive? The Bearcats look
for their first 10-0 start in school history tonight.


Prediction:

West Virginia - 10

Cincinnati - 37


Play On:

10* Cincinnati Bearcats -8.5 (play up to -10)
We have won 7 straight CFB Games Monitored!

NOTE: One of the advantages of being a client is the ability to get
these games early and get the best line.






CBB:


Cleveland St. Vikings at St. Bonaventure Bonnies

I look for the public to be all over Cleveland St. tonight after last
season’s first-round NCAA Tournament upset of Wake Forest. That will
be a feat this season after losing All-Conference players Cedric
Jackson and J’Nathan Bullock and two other important seniors. The
Bonnies however return four starters from last year’s 15-15 squad that
recorded their first .500 season in six years and a berth in the
Atlantic 10 Championship for the first time since the league expanded
to 14 teams in 2005. This team of then freshmen and newcomers will
enter this season more experienced, more confident and hungry to
improve the A-10. “There was negativity when I first took over but I
think the students, community and alumni are behind us again and, as
you know, Bonaventure basketball is extremely important up here.”
Coach Mark Schmidt sais on the improving perception of the program. I
expect a good home crowd tonight as the Bonnies win this game
outright.


Prediction:

N/A


Play On:

5* St. Bonaventure Bonnies +1
NOTE: I could see this game going to +2 or higher by gametime.
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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DR Bob

#116 Cincinnati (-9) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -13 1/2.
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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Pointwise

Temple 33 - AKRON 14 - (8:30 - ESPNU) --Finally some "O" from QB Nicely, as
Zips snapped 5-game slide vs Kent, but still 15 ppg last 5 tilts. Seven straight
wins for Owls, with 212, 267, 172 RYs from Pierce last 3. Theirs for the taking.

CINCINNATI 38 - West Virginia 17 - (8:00 - ESPN2) --Seven wins for Mounties,
but highly unimpressive. Just 8-16 ATS, at 141 RYpg last 4, lost their last RG
by 14 pts ATS, & Devine hurting (ankle). Note 'Cat QB Collaros in his 3 starts:
70-of-89 for 1,100 yds & 8 TDs. Cincy's best start ever, & off a 711-yd output.
 
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Black Widow

6* Widow Wise guy WVU/Cincinnati ESPN 2 "Total" BLOWOUT on WVU/Cincinnati OVER 53.5(-105 at 5dimes)

With two explosive offenses Friday, the final score of this game should fly well OVER the posted total with no problem. Cincinnati just played in a shootout with Connecticut, edging out the Huskies 47-45 to remain unbeaten. We do not foresee 90 combined points in this one, but it's not out of the question to say the least. The Bearcats are scoring 40.0 points/game overall and 46.5 points/game at home. They'll take care of most of this total on their own. WVU scores 28.3 points/game on the season which is respectable, and defensively they have been poor on the road in allowing 28.0 points/game. Both teams have put up at least 23 points each in their last 2 meetings. We see that trend continuing tonight. The OVER is 7-0 in Mountaineers last 7 games as an underdog. The reason they are an underdog tonight is because Cincinnati cannot be tamed offensively. The OVER is 17-6 in Mountaineers last 23 games in November. The OVER is 5-1 in Bearcats last 6 games in November. Look for both offenses to be on top of their games tonight now that we are in the stretch run of the season. Take the OVER 53.5 points.
 

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