Indian Cowboy Comp
College Football Friday
Comp Selection: 8 of 11 Comp Winners (5 of 6 winners):
Hawaii/Boise State Under 52.5
Hawaii beat this team 39-27 last year at home. You remember that game? That was in Hawaii and it was for the Conference Championship. Heck, I am a huge dog bettor but this is exactly why I am staying away from this game. After all, let me ask you a question. You want to lay 24 points to a Hawaii team that just won outright at Fresno State in overtime as 3 touchdown dogs? Or against a Hawaii team that covered against a Louisiana Tech taem and seems to be getting things figured out? Or, do you want to bet against Boise State who is fired up from last year's conference loss and plays this Hawaii team on their blue turf? If anything, I think Boise will take an early lead and I expect Hawaii to come back in the second half as they are still a young team and will look to get settled in by the second half. Boise State has covered their last 3 including winning at Southern Miss and covering a tough spread in which I think Vegas expected Boise State to win but hit the cover. Yet, the Broncos managed to cover that ballgame. Something interesting you can note is that Hawaii has covered the last 3 times these 2 teams have played and Boise State has covered the last 5 times before that. The public is on the over to a tune of 75% while just 25% is on the under. So, if you are looking to fade the pubilc here, the under would be a smart play. In fact, that will be my comp play today. As remember, in a conference game, defense is much more likely to take precedence. Of course, having said that, if you think Hawaii is going to be a strong play, you would lean over. But, given that Boise State has revenge and it's a conference game, I think this game shadows their strengths. Thus, my comp pick here is on the under. The under is 5-1 for Hawaii in Conference games and the under is 6-1 for Boise State in conference games which feeds my point about conference games typically going under. gl. <!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
College Football Friday
Comp Selection: 8 of 11 Comp Winners (5 of 6 winners):
Hawaii/Boise State Under 52.5
Hawaii beat this team 39-27 last year at home. You remember that game? That was in Hawaii and it was for the Conference Championship. Heck, I am a huge dog bettor but this is exactly why I am staying away from this game. After all, let me ask you a question. You want to lay 24 points to a Hawaii team that just won outright at Fresno State in overtime as 3 touchdown dogs? Or against a Hawaii team that covered against a Louisiana Tech taem and seems to be getting things figured out? Or, do you want to bet against Boise State who is fired up from last year's conference loss and plays this Hawaii team on their blue turf? If anything, I think Boise will take an early lead and I expect Hawaii to come back in the second half as they are still a young team and will look to get settled in by the second half. Boise State has covered their last 3 including winning at Southern Miss and covering a tough spread in which I think Vegas expected Boise State to win but hit the cover. Yet, the Broncos managed to cover that ballgame. Something interesting you can note is that Hawaii has covered the last 3 times these 2 teams have played and Boise State has covered the last 5 times before that. The public is on the over to a tune of 75% while just 25% is on the under. So, if you are looking to fade the pubilc here, the under would be a smart play. In fact, that will be my comp play today. As remember, in a conference game, defense is much more likely to take precedence. Of course, having said that, if you think Hawaii is going to be a strong play, you would lean over. But, given that Boise State has revenge and it's a conference game, I think this game shadows their strengths. Thus, my comp pick here is on the under. The under is 5-1 for Hawaii in Conference games and the under is 6-1 for Boise State in conference games which feeds my point about conference games typically going under. gl. <!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
DCI
NHL
Season: 18-14 (.563)
Phoenix vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Toronto 2
Nashville 3, COLUMBUS 2
Vancouver vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Edmonton vs. CALGARY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
San Jose vs. ANAHEIM: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Carolina vs. LOS ANGELES: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
<!-- / message -->
NHL
Season: 18-14 (.563)
Phoenix vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Toronto 2
Nashville 3, COLUMBUS 2
Vancouver vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Edmonton vs. CALGARY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
San Jose vs. ANAHEIM: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Carolina vs. LOS ANGELES: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
<!-- / message -->
Marc Lawrence Playbook
Friday, October 17th
BOISE ST over Hawaii by 21
You know Broncos head coach Chris Petersen has this game circled in blue
on his Boise State calendar: last year’s 39-27 win by the Warriors is just one
of only THREE SU losses the BSU leader has endured while compiling a stellar
28-3 SU record. There are lots of good numbers and reasons to play the Boys
in Blue this week, including a near-perfect 10-1 ATS log as conference home
chalk and a 6-1 ATS effort when playing with WAC revenge. But before we
open our wallet, we must note that Hawaii has covered three meetings
in a row against Boise – plus the Warriors have shaken off a slow start to
show continued improvement and confi dence every week. Also don’t forget
that the Broncos fall into our ‘5-0 Fat Cat Fade’ scenario, a directive that
gives added value to the already substantial pointspread. If you have to get
involved in this one, our advice is to take the points.
Friday, October 17th
BOISE ST over Hawaii by 21
You know Broncos head coach Chris Petersen has this game circled in blue
on his Boise State calendar: last year’s 39-27 win by the Warriors is just one
of only THREE SU losses the BSU leader has endured while compiling a stellar
28-3 SU record. There are lots of good numbers and reasons to play the Boys
in Blue this week, including a near-perfect 10-1 ATS log as conference home
chalk and a 6-1 ATS effort when playing with WAC revenge. But before we
open our wallet, we must note that Hawaii has covered three meetings
in a row against Boise – plus the Warriors have shaken off a slow start to
show continued improvement and confi dence every week. Also don’t forget
that the Broncos fall into our ‘5-0 Fat Cat Fade’ scenario, a directive that
gives added value to the already substantial pointspread. If you have to get
involved in this one, our advice is to take the points.
Fri, 10/17/08 - 8:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
triple-dime bet306 Boise St. -23.5 (-110) SportBet vs 305 Hawaii
Analysis:
****4 UNIT WAC GAME OF THE YEAR****
During the summer, there were three games that really stood out to me. They were Ohio State/Wisconsin, Florida/LSU and this one. So far, I'm 2-0 +7 units on those game and I go for the sweep tonight. This is a HUGE revenge game for Boise State. Last year Boise was beaten out by Hawaii for the WAC crown in their final regular-season game, losing 39-27. Head coach Chris Peterson is a huge believer in the Ric Flair-like motto to be the champs, you must first beat the champs and he's been preaching that to his team all week long. Boise has one of the best defenses in the country. Boise State ranks seventh in the nation in scoring defense, allowing an average of 11.2 points. The Broncos have given up seven points or fewer in four of their five games. And we all know that the Broncos pour on the points at home on the Smurf Turf.
But the reason I really love this game is because everything worked out for us. This spread should be around 35 but we got lucky because Hawaii is on a two-game winning streak coming into this matchup. However, looking closer into the wins and we find they aren't very impressive. La Tech is awful on the road and we now realize that Fresno State was vastly overrated at the start of the year. But because of those two wins, we get a nice 23.5 point spread here, much lower than where I think this number should be. Colt Brennan and the Rainbows ripped this defense last year for close to 600 yards and that's not good news for new starting quarterback Inoke Funaki. Funaki has led Hawaii to the two straight wins but he's in for a rude awakening tonight against a very stout Boise defense that will pressure him all game long and force him into turning the ball over.
We have the much better team at home where they hardly ever lose in a huge revenge spot. That's good enough for me to make Boise State my WAC Game of the Year.
triple-dime bet306 Boise St. -23.5 (-110) SportBet vs 305 Hawaii
Analysis:
****4 UNIT WAC GAME OF THE YEAR****
During the summer, there were three games that really stood out to me. They were Ohio State/Wisconsin, Florida/LSU and this one. So far, I'm 2-0 +7 units on those game and I go for the sweep tonight. This is a HUGE revenge game for Boise State. Last year Boise was beaten out by Hawaii for the WAC crown in their final regular-season game, losing 39-27. Head coach Chris Peterson is a huge believer in the Ric Flair-like motto to be the champs, you must first beat the champs and he's been preaching that to his team all week long. Boise has one of the best defenses in the country. Boise State ranks seventh in the nation in scoring defense, allowing an average of 11.2 points. The Broncos have given up seven points or fewer in four of their five games. And we all know that the Broncos pour on the points at home on the Smurf Turf.
But the reason I really love this game is because everything worked out for us. This spread should be around 35 but we got lucky because Hawaii is on a two-game winning streak coming into this matchup. However, looking closer into the wins and we find they aren't very impressive. La Tech is awful on the road and we now realize that Fresno State was vastly overrated at the start of the year. But because of those two wins, we get a nice 23.5 point spread here, much lower than where I think this number should be. Colt Brennan and the Rainbows ripped this defense last year for close to 600 yards and that's not good news for new starting quarterback Inoke Funaki. Funaki has led Hawaii to the two straight wins but he's in for a rude awakening tonight against a very stout Boise defense that will pressure him all game long and force him into turning the ball over.
We have the much better team at home where they hardly ever lose in a huge revenge spot. That's good enough for me to make Boise State my WAC Game of the Year.
Jrtips
HAWAII vs. BOISE ST.
No. 15 Boise tries to remain undefeated as the defense has been the highlight and suprise of this season coming off yet another outstanding game on defense. The Broncos (5-0, 1-0) were beaten out by Hawaii for the WAC crown in their final regular-season game last year losing 39-27 on Nov. 23 and that was against quarterback Colt Brennan and a Hawaii offense that averaged 43.3 points per game in 2007. Now Brennan has moved on to the NFL, Hawaii is 3-3 overall and the Broncos have been shutting down opposing offenses this season. Boise State ranks seventh in the nation in scoring defense allowing an average of 11.2 points per game. The Broncos have given up seven points or fewer in four of their five games. For the Broncos, their redshirt freshman quaterback has completed 71.5 percent of his passes for 1,335 yards and 10 touchdowns with only three interceptions.The Warriors also have a first-year starter at quarterback in Inoke Funaki who has helped them win two straight. The junior passed for two TDs and ran for 79 yards in a 25-17 victory over then-No. 22 Fresno State on Oct. 4 and threw two more TDs in a 26-14 victory over Louisiana Tech on Saturday night. The Broncons will have a tough time with Warriors quraterback Funaki who is hard to stop. Funaki threw for a career-high 224 yards against Louisiana Tech and also picked up his first career rushing touchdown. He is a young quarterback but he's got something special and is just putting the ball on the money now. His talent and the team picking up confidence in the last two games should keep Hawaii within the number.
TAKE HAWAII+24
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HAWAII vs. BOISE ST.
No. 15 Boise tries to remain undefeated as the defense has been the highlight and suprise of this season coming off yet another outstanding game on defense. The Broncos (5-0, 1-0) were beaten out by Hawaii for the WAC crown in their final regular-season game last year losing 39-27 on Nov. 23 and that was against quarterback Colt Brennan and a Hawaii offense that averaged 43.3 points per game in 2007. Now Brennan has moved on to the NFL, Hawaii is 3-3 overall and the Broncos have been shutting down opposing offenses this season. Boise State ranks seventh in the nation in scoring defense allowing an average of 11.2 points per game. The Broncos have given up seven points or fewer in four of their five games. For the Broncos, their redshirt freshman quaterback has completed 71.5 percent of his passes for 1,335 yards and 10 touchdowns with only three interceptions.The Warriors also have a first-year starter at quarterback in Inoke Funaki who has helped them win two straight. The junior passed for two TDs and ran for 79 yards in a 25-17 victory over then-No. 22 Fresno State on Oct. 4 and threw two more TDs in a 26-14 victory over Louisiana Tech on Saturday night. The Broncons will have a tough time with Warriors quraterback Funaki who is hard to stop. Funaki threw for a career-high 224 yards against Louisiana Tech and also picked up his first career rushing touchdown. He is a young quarterback but he's got something special and is just putting the ball on the money now. His talent and the team picking up confidence in the last two games should keep Hawaii within the number.
TAKE HAWAII+24
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