Service Plays Friday 10/15/10

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DCI NHL

Season: 13-13 (.500)

NEW JERSEY 3, Colorado 2
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Toronto 2
PITTSBURGH 4, N.Y. Islanders 3
Chicago vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
BUFFALO 3, Montreal 2
Atlanta vs. ANAHEIM: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vancouver vs. LOS ANGELES: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
 

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Bobby Maxwell
Friday's winner...
300-Unit College FB Friday Fast Cash - LOUISVILLE CARDINALS

Both of these teams are coming into their Big East opener off blowout wins on Saturday, but there’s a hunger in Louisville that is going to at least get them a cover tonight if not the outright win. The Cardinals are still irked over last season’s loss to the Bearcats and with the opener at home, you’ll see a very good performance from Louisville.

The Cardinals are coming in off a 34-24 road win over Arkansas State two weeks ago, cashing as 6 ½-point favorites, then destroying Memphis 56-0 at home on Saturday, easily covering as 16-point favorites. Even against stiffer competition this season, Louisville hung tight with Oregon State and Kentucky, losing to both by 7 points.

Louisville was picked to finish last in the Big East and that has been a rallying cry for the Cardinals as the conference season kicks off tonight. They piled up 573 yards of offense last week against Memphis and they are getting very good play from QB Adam Froman who has thrown for 1,177 yards and nine TDs.

Cincinnati has already looked ugly on the road this season, losing both roadies, at Fresno State and at N.C. State, failing to cash in either contest. The Bearcats did blow out Miami of Ohio on Saturday, winning 45-3 as 19 ½-point favorites.

Cincinnati has been a disaster at the betting window, going 2-8 ATS in its last 10 overall, 2-6 in Friday games, 1-5 as a favorite, 0-4 on the road and 0-6 after a straight-up win.

For Louisville, the Cardinals are on ATS surges of 4-0 after a straight-up win, 4-1 against losing teams and 7-3 in October kickoffs.

Motivation and a raucous crowd will make the difference tonight as I grab the points with Louisville and I won’t be surprised if the Cardinals even win this thing outright. Play Louisville.
 
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Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Texas

The Rangers look to build on their 8-0 record in C.J. Wilson's last 8 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Texas is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+125). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 15
Time Posted: 8:30 p.m. EST (10/13)

Game 901-902: NY Yankees at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.872; Texas (Wilson) 17.107
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+125); Over
 
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NCAA Football Game Picks

Cincinnati at Louisville

The Bearcats look to take advantage of a Louisville team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a home underdog. Cincinnati is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bearcats favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 15
Time Posted: 9:00 p.m. EST (10/11)
Game 107-108: Cincinnati at Louisville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 89.363; Louisville 82.720
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 6 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-2 1/2); Over
 
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COMPLIMENTARY SELECTIONS

BEN BURNS

Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ Toronto Argonauts
PICK: Toronto Argonauts +1.5

I cashed a big ticket on Hamilton the last time that these teams met, back on Labor Day. Laying -4 points, the Ticats won by 15. That was at Hamilton though. This week's game is at Toronto, yet the Ticats are still favored. While I respect Hamilton, I feel that provides us with solid value on the revenge-minded home underdog.

Note that the Ticats also won (16-12) here at Toronto, back in August. The Argos were laying a field goal for that game. Now, they're slight underdogs, which again goes back to the point about line value.

Note that the Ticats are 0-2 SU/ATS the last two times that they were listed as road favorites of three points or less. During that stretch, the Argos are 2-0 SU/ATS when listed as home underdogs of three or less.

The Ticats beat up on Edmonton last time out. That 36-11 victory was pretty convincing - although the Ticats were beaten by the same team at Edmonton the previous week. The Argos are arguably off an even more impressive victory though, as they won on the road, at Saskatchewan, against a better team.

With the O/U line currently listed at 49.5, note that the Argos are a profitable 25-13 ATS the last 38 times that they played a home game where the line ranged between 49.5 and 52. Consider Toronto

Jim Feist

Colorado Avalanche vs. New Jersey Devils
Take: Colorado Avalanche

Colorado isn't getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers, a 2-1 record despite being an underdog all three games. The Avalanche won a 5-4 thriller at Detroit that saw Colorado overcome three deficits. The Avs out-shot the still star- studded Wings 38-28. New Jersey (1-3) is favored but hasn't been scoring, averaging 7 goals in 4 games. Play Colorado.

EZWINNERS

Texas Rangers +135

The Texas Rangers have lost nine straight postseason games against the New York Yankees but I expect that streak to end in this game. These two teams split eight games this season and home field proved to be the key to this match up. The Yankees swept three games at home against the Rangers, while the Rangers went 4-1 in their five home meetings with the Yankees. CJ Wilson gets the start for the Rangers and Wilson pitched 6 1/3 shutout innings in his one start against the Rays and has held left handed batters to a .144 batting average this season. The Yankees made quick work of the Twins which is not necessarily a good thing for CC Sabathia who does not always pitch his best when pitching with extra rest. I like the Rangers to take this one at home, play on Texas.

Bobby Maxwell

N.Y. Yankees at TEXAS (+135)

I’ll go ahead and grab the plus-money with the home team in this one as I’m looking for Rangers’ lefty C.J. Wilson (16-8, 3.25 ERA) to pitch well and outduel Yankees’ lefty C.C. Sabathia (22-7, 3.21 ERA).

Wilson was very good in Game 2 of the ALDS in Tampa Bay, allowing just two hits in 6.1 innings of scoreless work. He struck out seven and walked just two in the 6-0 victory. In his last home start, he gave up two runs over five innings of a 6-2 win over the Angels. He’s already seen the Yankees three times this season, including two at home with the Rangers winning both.

Wilson went 11-3 in front of the home fans this season and with him on the hill, the Rangers are on streaks of 6-0 against A.L. East teams, 15-3 when he goes at home, 25-7 overall, 6-2 in series openers and 8-0 at home against winning teams.

As a team, the Rangers are on streaks of 10-3 against winning teams, 8-2 against A.L. East teams and 6-0 against left-handers. The Yankees are just 1-5 on the road against left-handers and 2-7 on Fridays, plus just 2-9 overall against southpaws.

The Rangers have won four of the last five against the Yankees in Texas, but a win in this opener would go a long way to showing this team that it can take down the Bronx Bombers. They’ve heard all week about how they aren’t able to take down the Yankees, and how they’ve been a playoff disaster. But this series will start well for them as Wilson has been nails down the stretch and he’ll deliver a good quality outing here.

The Yankees don’t hit lefties well and they are getting a good one today in Wilson. So grab the plus-money and play the Rangers here tonight!

Craig Davis

NY Yankees at TEXAS

Tonight's Bonus Play is on the Yankees/Rangers OVER the total. It's amazing how pitching matchups really change these totals in Vegas. Just two nights ago the Rangers/Rays total was 6 1/2 with Cliff Lee and David Price on the hill. Now tonight with CJ Wilson and CC Sabathia getting the start, the total is a full two runs higher.

Are we to believe these two pitchers are that much worse than Price and Lee? Shoot, Sabathia might be the Cy Young Award Winner in the American League... so either Vegas expects the Yankees to pound the crap out of Wilson or they jacked up the total and are hoping everyone takes the under.

I'm not buying it.

After watching CC Sabathia pitch in Game 1 of the ALDS vs. Minnesota, I have no doubts he can be hit by this Rangers offense. They did a heck of a job against David Price and James Shields in Games 1, 2, and 5 and I think they'll be able to hold their own against Sabathia at home tonight.

As for the Yankees, do you really think CJ Wilson is going to be able to deliver an 8-inning masterpiece? Wilson has never beaten the Yankees in his career and is ERA against the Bronx Bombers in his last outing was a paltry 12.00. New York is well-rested and ready to take care of business as usual. This game goes over the total by the 7th inning.

2? OVER
 
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Today's NHL Picks

Colorado at New Jersey

The Avalanche look to build on their 7-3-1 record in the last 11 meetings between the two teams. Colorado is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 15
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Colorado at New Jersey (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.759; New Jersey 10.645
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140); Over

Game 3-4: Toronto at NY Rangers (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.675; NY Rangers 11.951
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-140); Under

Game 5-6: Chicago at Columbus (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.269; Columbus 12.398
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-105); Under

Game 7-8: NY Islanders at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.273; Pittsburgh 12.114
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 9-10: Montreal at Buffalo (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.336; Buffalo 10.770
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+130); Under

Game 11-12: Atlanta at Anaheim (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 10.442; Anaheim 10.989
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-135); Over

Game 13-14: Vancouver at Los Angeles (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.731; Los Angeles 10.744
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+100); Over
 

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Jimmy Boyd's 3* ALCS Game 1 SMASH
New York Yankees (-145)
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WUNDERDOG
<hr style="color: rgb(209, 209, 225); background-color: rgb(209, 209, 225);" size="1"> Game: Cincinnati at Louisville (Friday 10/15 8:00 PM Eastern)
5 UNIT* Pick: Louisville +3 (-120)

The Cincinnati Bearcats were ranked to start the season, but have played nothing like a ranked team. It's obviously they were vastly overrated coming into the season. They beat up on Indiana State (missing the cover as a 45-point favorite). The Bearcats also delivered a blowout to Miami, Ohio. But they could not find the win column in their other three games. Louisville has been better than advertised this season. They lost the two games they were supposed to lose, but were in both of them. They went on the road vs. Oregon State as a three touchdown underdog but lost by just 7 points. They outgained the Beavers in that game by 134 yards, done in by a -2 turnover margin. They have great balance with Adam Froman throwing for 1,177 yards at 8.5 yards per pass, and running behind Bilal Powell who already has churned out 689 yards at 7.6 yards a carry and 7 TDs. The Bearcats haven't been covering much of anything of late at just 2-8 ATS in their last 10. The Cards’ success running the ball has bred even more success as they are 23-10 ATS after running for over 200 yards in their last game. Cincinnati is 0-2 SU and ATS on the road and they are facing a Louisville team that has shown they can play. My computer matchup for this game predicts a close game and I agree. I like the home dog here.

 

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Will try to post some more of these from The Sports Eye this afternoon, but they have been getting comps up late in afternoon lately.LPW Sports Forecast has their 1st NHL Club release going tonight if anyone sees it.Comps are from usafreepicks.net

LPW Sports Forecast Anaheim Over 6
 
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FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

100* Play New York Yankees (-145) over Texas

New York has won 17 of the last 20 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have also won 14 of the last 18 playoff games. CC Sabathia has won 12 of the last 14 games when pitching on a Friday Night and he has also won 6 of the last 7 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.


NHL Hockey

25* Play Atlanta (+125) over Anaheim
 
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SUPER SPORTS GROUP -MLB PLAYOFFS

NY Yankees v. Texas Rangers 8:10pm
9* PICK: Rangers ML +140 Game BEST BET OF THE DAY
* PICK: OVER 8 Game
 

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