ben burns
triple-dime bet 846 N. Colorado -17.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 845 Cal St. Sacramento
Analysis: I'm laying the points with NORTHERN COLORADO. At first glance, this line seems rather high. However, given the venue and talent gap between these two teams, I believe it actually could be a lot higher.
Northern Colorado comes in with a 16-4 record. The Bears are a perfect 6-0 at home, going 4-2 ATS. They had a rare poor shooting effort at Portland State two games ago and followed it up with a narrow win at Eastern Washington. I believe that was the type of win that they can build momentum from, as they were trailing by as many as 15 points in the first half but rallied for a win.
Head coach Tad Boyle was quoted as saying: "I told our team in the locker room after the game that we got our identity back in the second half..." Now, they're back home, facing a weak opponent, and ready to deliver a convincing blowout.
The Hornets aren't in the same class as the Bears. They're 7-12 on the season including 0-3 in league road games. This will be their toughest ye†t.
While the Hornets have enjoyed some success at the betting window this season, they're a horrible 6-15-1 ATS the last 22 times that they were listed as road underdogs in the +15.5 to +18 range.
The Bears beat the Hornets by 18 here last season, covering as 16 point favorites. They also won and covered when the teams played here previously, in December of 2007. I believe the gap between the teams is even bigger this season and I expect a one-sided rout. *10 Big Sky Blowout GOY