Service Plays Friday 1/22/10

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NCAAB WRITE-UP

Friday, January 22

Information on Friday's college basketball games........

Wisc-Milwaukee is 7-3 in last ten games vs Youngstown, but lost two of last three visits here; Panthers are 3-4 in Horizon, losing both road games by 1-13 points at Valparaiso/Butler. Penguins are 2-6 in league, but they are 2-1 at home, beating UIC/Loyola, losing to Cleveland State. Horizon League home underdogs are 7-1 against the spread this season.

Brown (+5) won 75-66 at Yale last week; they're 8-5 in last 13 games vs Bulldogs, 4-2 in last six played here- series was swept in four of last six seasons. Brown is just 2-7 in its last nine games vs D-I opponents, Yale lost six of last seven games vs D-I opponents, with only win vs doormat NJIT. Yale shot 40.8% in last week's loss, 3-18 from the arc.

Cleveland State won three of last four games vs Green Bay, beating GB 73-67 in Horizon tourney LY; Phoenix lost last two visits here by 17-8 points. Vikings are 3-4 in Horizon, winning both home games by 5 over Loyola, 7 over UIC. Green Bay won four of last five games; they're 1-2 on Horizon road, losing at Butler/Milwaukee by 20-23 points.

Rider won 13 of last 14 games vs Canisius, losing here LY; four of their last five wins here are by 9+ points. Broncs lost three of last four games, covering three of last four on road- their road losses are by 22 at Siena, 2 at Loyola, 13 at Iona. Canisius covered its last five games, with last two decided by a oop. MAAC home favorites are 8-21 against the spread.

Niagara (-5.5) lost 90-86 in double OT at St Peter's Jan 11, making 13 of 26 from arc; Eagles were 17-25 from line, Peacocks 24-34. Loss was first for Niagara in last seven series games. St Peter's lost last three visits here by 33-2-18 points. Eagles are 3-1 as MAAC home favorite, winning by 24-20-9 points. St Peter's won last three games, are 3-1 as road dog.

Wofford won by hoop at Citadel last night, despite shooting 29.8% on night; Terriers won last five SoCon games, are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six, are 1-1 as SoCon road underdog. Charleston is 7-0 in league after 92-80 win over Furman; Cougars made 9-17 from arc, but gave up 21 offensive boards to Paladins. SoCon home favorites are 10-17 vs spread.

Iona won, covered last four games, allowing just 51.3 ppg; they're 5-3 in MAAC, winning last two home games by 17-13 points. Gaels are 3-1 in last four games vs Manhattan, but lost three of last four visits to Draddy Gym. Jaspers lost six of their last seven games, dropping two of three at home in MAAC. MAAC home underdogs are 3-8 vs spread.

Weber State is 10-4 in last 14 games vs Portland State, winning five of last six played here by 14-4-10-5-10 points. Wildcats are 5-1 in Big Sky, winning last game in triple OT at Idaho State. Weber won both its home games, by 13-8 points. Vikings are 3-3 in Big Sky but lost both its road games, by 6-32 points. Big Sky home favorites are 10-8 vs spread.

Idaho State is 4-14, 1-5 in Big Sky after losing triple OT game Saturday vs Weber State, their fourth loss in row; underdog is 5-1 against spread in Bengals' league games. Four of EWU's last five games were decided by four or less points. Home team won 10 of last 12 series games; Eagles lost last two visits here by 2-5 points.

Northern Colorado is 17-4, 5-2 in Big Sky, winning seven of last eight games overall; they're 3-1 vs Sacramento in Big Sky play, winning both meetings here by 17-13 points. Bears are 1-1 as home favorite, winning home games by 9-12 points. Hornets are 1-5 in Big Sky, but four of last five league games were decided by five or less points.
 
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NHL DUNKEL


Nashville at Colorado
The Predators look to build on their 6-1 record in their last 7 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Nashville is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JANUARY 22

Game 51-52: Montreal at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 9.723; New Jersey 11.375
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-200); Under

Game 53-54: Nashville at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.664; Colorado 12.229
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+115); Under

Game 55-56: Dallas at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.116; Edmonton 11.689
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+100); Under
 
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NHL WRITE-UP

Friday, January 22

Hot Teams
-- Nashville won five of its last six road games, but lost last two games overall. Avalanche won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Canadiens lost six of their last eight games. Devils lost three of four.
-- Dallas Stars lost seven of their last ten games. Oilers lost nine in a row and 16 of last 17 games.

Totals
-- Last four Montreal games went over the total; five of last six Devil games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Colorado games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Dallas games went over the total.

Playing second of back-to-back nights
-- Nashville is 5-3 when it played the night before.
-- Dallas is 2-7 if it played the night before.

Series Records
-- Devils won their last six games against Montreal.
-- Nashville is 7-4 in its last eleven games against Colorado.
-- Oilers won four of last five games against Dallas.
 
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Lang

Friday's Selection ...
NOTE:

Feeling it in the NBA.

Sides. Totals. Have a good feel.

Overall, a nice groove here in 2010. Just going to keep what I am doing and let the chips fall where they may.

The football run is evident. You saw the numbers posted on the outside.

16-5 bowl run to close.

4 straight 75 dime winners. Florida crushing Cincy. Iowa beating Georgia Tech. Jets over the Bengals and Chargers.

2 straight 100 dime winners. Alabama over Texas and Colts over Ravens.

It all adds up to +327 dimes of net profit here in 2010.

I don't have one single ounce of doubt I will heat up in college basketball. No doubt at all.

Just as I am building an NBA winning streak, such will be the case in college hoop as well.

Now watch me bang home another NBA winner tonight.

10 DIME - NEW YORK KNICKS - No, I don't have anything against the Lakers.

I just don't like the way they are playing basketball right now and a lot of it has to do with Kobe.

His finger is a problem as evidenced by his 4 of 19 shooting at home against Orlando including a 2 for 11 performance in the 2nd half.

A few days off and a trip to Cleveland resulted in a 12 of 31 from the floor including a pathetic 4 of 15 in the 2nd half.

He is forcing shots out of their offense, guys are standing around watching Kobe try to save the world and he looks tired to me.

Now off back to back big games against the Magic and Cavs, they roll into New York on back to back nights laying a pretty solid number.

The Knicks have been lying in wait for the Lakers bunch and it's a perfect spot to jump on the home dog.

First of all, the Lakers have had one of the best early season schedules for a defending NBA champion as you could have asked for.

This is just their 18th road game of the year and they have gone 5-12 ATS in the first 17.

It gets even worse.

Of their 17 road games they have been asked to lay 7 points or less 8 times and they are 1-7 ATS with the only cover being at Sacramento.

As a 6 point favorite they had to go to OT to get a 9 point win and cover.

They have played 10 times on back to back nights and the 2nd game they are 4-6 ATS with 3 of those wins coming against the Warriors, Kings and Pistons.

Dare I say this Lakers squad is a bit overrated and yes, they may win tonight but as you can see, they will probably do just enough to win.

I am aware of the fact the Knicks have lost 5 in a row to the Lakers but I fully expect them to be ready to attack a Los Angeles team that may be a little flat.

This is the 2nd game of an 8 game road trip and the value is with the home underdog on the big stage in the big apple.

I'm quite confident Kobe isn't going for 61 points tonight.

10 DIME - KNICKS


FREE SELECTION - MIAMI HEAT
 

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Malinsky

Off his best night in two week Thursday 1-1 -1.5 units

4* #822 SAN ANTONIO/HOUSTON Under

The pieces are in place to get a first class defensive effort out of
both of these teams tonight, in a game that will also not bring much
tempo. But the oddsmakers are being most generous with their
projection, so after these two played to a 176 in their first meeting
this season we call for more of the same.

San Antonio was embarrassed defensively in that 105-98 loss to Utah
on Wednesday night, and for a guy like Gregg Popovich that knows how
championships are won and lost, that means an immediate focus on that
end of the court. It is nothing new ? the Spurs have played 6-3 to
the Under this season in games immediately after allowing 100 points
or more, and over the past six seasons it has been a sparkling
51-23-2 run to the Under in this category (as always, our records
only chart regulation results). And we get the combination of both
Pace and Defense working for us, with the Spurs #25 on the former,
and going even more to half-court sets off of a defeat, and climbing
up to #7 now on our best charts for the latter, after getting off to
an uncharacteristically slow start as the new personnel learned to
play as a unit. The half-court play is key because that is where the
Houston offense bogs down, like in that earlier 92-84 home defeat.

But the Rockets will defend well tonight. They get the rare chance to
play a regular-season game off of three full preparation days, which
means a chance to do an excellent job of tactically breaking down the
San Antonio offense, and also bringing some fresh legs to put the
game plan into play. What they cannot find are any easy baskets for
themselves, a major headache when stepping up against the better
teams on their schedule, but with the current roster limitations
there is no amount of practice time that can change that.
 

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Dec 23, 2009
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Lang

Friday's Selection ...
NOTE:

Feeling it in the NBA.

Sides. Totals. Have a good feel.

Overall, a nice groove here in 2010. Just going to keep what I am doing and let the chips fall where they may.

The football run is evident. You saw the numbers posted on the outside.

16-5 bowl run to close.

4 straight 75 dime winners. Florida crushing Cincy. Iowa beating Georgia Tech. Jets over the Bengals and Chargers.

2 straight 100 dime winners. Alabama over Texas and Colts over Ravens.

It all adds up to +327 dimes of net profit here in 2010.

I don't have one single ounce of doubt I will heat up in college basketball. No doubt at all.

Just as I am building an NBA winning streak, such will be the case in college hoop as well.

Now watch me bang home another NBA winner tonight.

10 DIME - NEW YORK KNICKS - No, I don't have anything against the Lakers.

I just don't like the way they are playing basketball right now and a lot of it has to do with Kobe.

His finger is a problem as evidenced by his 4 of 19 shooting at home against Orlando including a 2 for 11 performance in the 2nd half.

A few days off and a trip to Cleveland resulted in a 12 of 31 from the floor including a pathetic 4 of 15 in the 2nd half.

He is forcing shots out of their offense, guys are standing around watching Kobe try to save the world and he looks tired to me.

Now off back to back big games against the Magic and Cavs, they roll into New York on back to back nights laying a pretty solid number.

The Knicks have been lying in wait for the Lakers bunch and it's a perfect spot to jump on the home dog.

First of all, the Lakers have had one of the best early season schedules for a defending NBA champion as you could have asked for.

This is just their 18th road game of the year and they have gone 5-12 ATS in the first 17.

It gets even worse.

Of their 17 road games they have been asked to lay 7 points or less 8 times and they are 1-7 ATS with the only cover being at Sacramento.

As a 6 point favorite they had to go to OT to get a 9 point win and cover.

They have played 10 times on back to back nights and the 2nd game they are 4-6 ATS with 3 of those wins coming against the Warriors, Kings and Pistons.

Dare I say this Lakers squad is a bit overrated and yes, they may win tonight but as you can see, they will probably do just enough to win.

I am aware of the fact the Knicks have lost 5 in a row to the Lakers but I fully expect them to be ready to attack a Los Angeles team that may be a little flat.

This is the 2nd game of an 8 game road trip and the value is with the home underdog on the big stage in the big apple.

I'm quite confident Kobe isn't going for 61 points tonight.

10 DIME - KNICKS


FREE SELECTION - MIAMI HEAT
 
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David Banks

NBA
7:00 Miami Heat -1.5 Pts
7:30 Atlanta Hawks -6.5 Pts
8:00 Oklahoma City +3.5 Pts
8:00 New York Knicks +5.5 Pts
8:30 Houston Rockets +6 Pts
10:30 Golden State Warriors -7.5 Pts
 

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Atskings


Tony Taylor


3* Toronto Raptors -7.5 (revenge GOW)




Only play I see posted by these guys so far will keep updating if there are more.
 

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Jeff Benton Friday's Winners ... 15 DIME: HEAT

5 DIME: HAWKS

Heat
I can’t excuse Miami’s horrific effort in Wednesday’s 39-point road loss at Charlotte, but it was just one bad game (against a rapidly improving team, I might add). And it came one night after the Heat destroyed the Pacers by 30 points at home. There are several reasons to believe Miami is poised for a big bounce-back effort tonight in D.C., the main one being pride. You think an ultra-competitive guy like Dwyane Wade doesn’t want to make amends – and immediately – for that stink bomb against the Bobcats? You think Wade won’t inspire his teammates to come with max effort tonight after they made just 28.9 percent of their shots, missed 21 of 23 three-point tries, missed 12 of 31 free-throw attempts and got outrebounded 37-22?

As it is, because Wednesday’s game got out of hand so quickly, no Miami player logged more than Wade’s 31½ minutes (in fact, Wade was the only one to play more than 28 minutes). That means the Heat will come into this contest with very fresh legs, and that’s a HUGE deal because this is Miami’s eighth road game in its last nine contests (and its ninth straight game played in a different city). Despite the fact the NBA schedule-makers have royally screwed them over, the Heat have still managed to split their last eight games both SU and ATS, and that includes a couple of solid road wins (at Phoenix and at Houston), plus blowout victories over the Warriors (115-102 on the road) and Pacers (113-83 at home).

Tonight, the Heat matchup against a Washington squad that – admittedly – has been playing better since the Gilbert Arenas fun fiasco. The Wizards have cashed in their last four games, going 2-2 SU and ATS (the two losses – to the Bulls on the road and Mavs at home – were by a total of three points). Thing is, a few recent solid showings doesn’t make up for an otherwise miserable seasons. The Wizards are still just 7-17 SU in their last 24 games, and prior to the recent 4-0 ATS run, they’d failed to cover in eight of their previous 12 games. And while the Heat are a mediocre 9-10 on the road (10-9 ATS), that’s still better than Washington’s 8-12 SU and ATS home record.

The Wizards went to Miami and shocked the Heat 94-84 as a seven-point road underdog back on Nov. 27, but 17 days earlier, the Heat crushed Washington 90-76 as a nine-point home chalk. With this year’s results, Miami is still on runs of 6-1 SU and 7-1 ATS against the Wizards, including three straight wins and four straight spread-covers in D.C. Additionally, Miami is an amazing 16-4-1 ATS roll in Washington, and the visitor is 21-6-2 ATS in the last 29 meetings between these Southeast Division rivals.

Finally, the Wizards have failed to cover in 20 of their last 26 games against divisional opponents; they’re 10-26 ATS in their last 36 games against opponents with a winning record; and despite covering in a season-best four straight games, they’re still just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games after a spread-cover. By comparison, Miami has proven to be an outstanding bounce-back team, going 4-1 ATS in its last five after a SU loss, 4-1 ATS in its last five after a non-cover and 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when coming off a defeat of more than 10 points.

Throw in the fact that Washington hasn’t had five straight ATS wins since the beginning of December 2008, and I’ll put my money behind the better team with one of the best players in the game out for redemption and facing an opponent they have owned in an arena where were they have been a big-time moneymaker.

Hawks
There’s no denying that the Charlotte Bobcats are the hottest team in the NBA. They’ve won six in a row and nine of their last 10 games and are coming off that aforementioned 39-point rout of the Heat (the biggest win in franchise history). But you can’t ignore the fact that the Bobcats’ current six-game winning streak was compiled entirely at home, where Charlotte is 18-4 SU. Compare that with a 3-15 SU record on the road. Pretty startling disparity there, no?

Now the Bobcats head to Atlanta to face the Hawks, whose home record (17-5) is almost as good as Charlotte’s home mark. More importantly, the Hawks’ 27-14 overall record dwarfs the Bobcats’ 21-19 ledger. And while the Bobcats have been a tremendous moneymaker (25-15 ATS), Atlanta has been better (27-14 ATS).

Atlanta hit a bit of a lull around the holidays, losing four in a row (including home losses to LeBron and the Cavaliers and D-Wade and the Heat). But since that lull, the Hawks have won six of their last eight games. Three of those six wins came by big margins (119-89 vs. New Jersey; 94-82 vs. Washington; 108-97 vs. Sacramento), while the other three came against quality opponents (a home-and-home sweep of the Celtics, and last Friday’s one-point home victory over the Suns).

As for this number, the SU winner has covered the spread in all but four of Atlanta’s 41 games this year. Also, the Hawks have defeated the Bobcats four straight times in Atlanta, and they’ve got a bit of a revenge angle here too, as one of the Hawks’ worst losses this year came in the first meeting with the Bobcats (103-83 in Charlotte).

Finally, while the Bobcats are going out on the road for the first time in seven games and just the second time since Jan. 3, the Heat wrap up a five-game homestand tonight and then get a lot of time off before traveling to Houston for a game against the Rockets on Tuesday, so the situation sets up perfectly for Atlanta.

Bought, Paid & Confirmed :toast:
 

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Doc's NBA 1-22-10 GOY

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3-Unit Play #821 Take Houston/San Antonio UNDER 192 (8:30 p.m. EST, Friday)

4-Unit Play #811 Take Charlotte +7 Over Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST, Friday)

7-Unit NBA Totals Game of the Year #809 Take Portland/Boston UNDER 184 1/2 (7:30 p.m. EST, Friday)
 
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Helmut Bonus Play:

842 Weber State UNDER 158.5

In the Vikings last game they allowed Northern Arizona to shoot a blistering 71% from the field. I would think that after allowing an opponent to shot 71% that there should be an emphasis on defense heading into your next game. The Wildcats also played poor defense in their last game allowing Idaho State to shoot 50% and I would expect a better effort from them particularly at home where they have played good defense this season. No doubt the Vikings have their hands full here against this Wildcat team that sits in 1st place in the big sky conference. They have won only one game in 16 tries against this team and only are averaging 71 ppg on the road this season. Here are some comments about slowing the game down: "We have to come together and play good 'D,'" said center Steve Panos. "We need to focus on our transition defense. They like to get the ball and push it really fast. We need to get our matchups and make it a half-court game." For as high scoring of a team that the Vikings are they really have just done it with good shooting as they are just a middle of the pack pace team. I do not believe this will be a track meet type of game and for it to get up and over the total both teams are going to need to shoot it exceptionally well and it is unlikely that we get a game with both teams shooting 50%+ from the field.
 
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DON BEST STEAM

9:06:39am 2010-01-22 834 Canisius Over 137½
8:51:42am 2010-01-22 842 Weber State Under 158½
8:50:24am 2010-01-22 806 Toronto Under 207
8:42:54am 2010-01-22 824 Phoenix Over 217½
8:36:54am 2010-01-22 845 Sacramento State +18½
8:30:25am 2010-01-22 825 New Jersey +8½
8:29:29am 2010-01-22 810 Boston Under 187
8:28:56am 2010-01-22 808 Philadelphia Over 195
8:06:50am 2010-01-22 822 San Antonio Under 194½
8:05:56am 2010-01-22 806 Toronto Under 208
 
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Denver Money's NHL Friday 1/22


2* New Jersey Devils -180

1* Montreal / New Jersey Under 5 +100

1* Nashville Predators +115
 

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