Service Plays Friday 1/15/10

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SPORTS WAGERS

ATLANTA –4½ over Phoenix

The Suns are still considered to be one of the elite teams in the Association and that perception can be taken advantage of. Its stock is going to plummet real soon. Phoenix is 24-15 and that’s because of a 15-4 home record and a good start on the road. However, they’ve lost eight of its last nine road games and that includes a loss in Indiana in which they blew a 24-point lead. No way do they get a big lead on this host. The Hawks play tremendous defense and that’s a problem for Phoenix. The Hawks also have a slew of offensive weapons in which any one of six guys can get hot and against the defense they’ll face here, all six could have big games. The Suns record masks its shortcomings but the fact is they rank 29th in the NBA defensively and after playing its last five games against Sacramento, Houston, Miami, Milwaukee and Indiana and not fairing so good, they’re about to take a huge step up in class and will get exposed by this well-balanced and very dangerous Hawks team. Atlanta is heating up again with four wins in five games and should have its way against this extremely overrated and soft visitor. Play: Atlanta –4½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).


CHARLOTTE +1.15 over San Antonio

The Spurs are hot, very hot in fact and last game could’ve been the coming out party for DeJuan Blair. Tim Duncan was a late scratch and Blair stepped in and didn’t look out of place for a second. Blair went off for 28 points and 21 boards and was the difference in the Spurs one-point OT win over the Thunder. It was a nice win in a place they’ve had trouble winning in the past and now they’ll face an Eastern opponent that they don’t see very often. The Spurs continue on its road trip with games against Memphis and New Orleans after this one, so don’t be surprised to see them take a night off here. We’ve seen this guest pull a whole bunch of no-shows this year already and this could certainly be one of those times. Besides, the Cats are playing decent and should be the more intense of the two. Charlotte has won six of its last seven and that includes a win in Cleveland and this would be another signature win for them. Play: Charlotte +1.15 (Risking 2 units).


Milwaukee +1.48 over GOLDEN STATE

Something really smells fishy about this one. The Warriors opened as a 4½-point favorite and they’re getting hammered by the public yet the line has dropped. The NBA is very much like the NFL in that it takes a ton of action and the books are so sharp in this sport. We saw this same scenario last night when the public was hammering the Celtics but the line dropped anyway and Chicago won outright. The Bucks are a pitiful road team while the Warriors play with a ton of energy at home and usually give even the best team’s fits. This one is all about spotting a rat and playing against it. Play: Milwaukee +1.48 (Risking 2 units).


Northern Colorado/PORTLAND ST. over 155

There aren’t too many people who know just how potent both these teams offense’s are. The beauty of betting college basketball is that lesser known schools fall through the cracks because they are never mentioned or featured on television. I’m here to tell you there probably isn’t going to be another game this season when two incredible offenses face off against each other. Firstly, let’s mention the three point shooting; Northern Colorado has six players that average over two three point shots a game and as a team they shoot 39.6%. That statistic puts them in the top 30 in College Basketball but believe it or not, Portland State does even better. Portland State shoots an incredible 42.1% from three while utilizing the shot on 35% of their possessions, a staggering success ratio that unfortunately hasn’t translated into victories. The reason for that is because of the atrocious defense played by Portland State, who allows opponents to shoot an embarrassing 42.1% on threes and 54.5% on twos. Northern Colorado allows opponents to shoot 34.1% on threes and when you add everything up it’s a classic case of two teams with great offenses and terrible defenses facing each other in what will undoubtedly be a high scoring game. It’s hard to fathom a total being set this low for two teams who clearly can shoot with any school on the planet, but this is the case tonight and I’m not going to back away. Play: Northern Colorado/Portland St. over 155 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
 
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Dwayne Bryant

Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls
Bet: Washington Wizards +6

This is a very good spot for a Bulls letdown. They went into Boston last night and drilled the Celtics by 13 points. Chicago also has a long 7-game road trip up next, meaning they'll most likely be distracted, especially since Washington isn't a team that you "get up" for. Remember, these players are real people with families and responsibilities, and they'll have plenty of things to take care of before leaving home for nearly two weeks.

I mentioned the Bulls huge win in Boston last night. It should be noted that the Bulls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combined for more than 160 minutes of the previous day's game.

The Wizards are coming off a terrible home loss to lowly Detroit, and a road loss at Atlanta in which they shot just 35.8% from the field. So this is a solid "buy low" spot for Washington, especially playing a team they've had some success against. The Wizards are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the dog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Bottom line: It's a tough spot for the Bulls, and I expect a flat performance tonight. Take Washington.
 
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The Duke's Sports

Chicago (-6) for 2.5 Units

The Bulls are finally developing chemistry and living up to the pre-season hype on a 9-1 ATS run. We'll look for them to follow up strong after last night's win at Boston after all, the Bulls had a nice 2 day break before their tip to Boston. And when you're winning, there's surely more energy in your reserve tank. Moreover, the Bulls are 7-0 ATS vs teams below .500. The Wizards hit the skids after the Arenas ordeal and are now 1-4 ATS without him. Now, the focal point of the offense is with Jamison who has a limited supporting cast. And Washington is playing in their 3rd game in 4 days on an 0-3 ATS slide. It will be tough for them to pick up momentum in this spot. The Wizards are a money burning 7-18-2 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Chicago the call.
 
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Eddie Jay's Premium Plays
1/15/10

NCAAB
5*NOR.COLORADO-2
3*Loyola Chicago +1.5
2*N.Arizona +2

NHL
4*FLAMES ml -145

NBA
3*76ers -3
2*Wolves+7.5
2*Mavericks-5
2*Bucks/GS OVER 216
 
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Lenny Del Genio

New Orleans vs Detroit
Play: Detroit +4.5

We told you on Tuesday the time was now to be on the Pistons and they responded with an outright 99-90 victory as five-point road underdogs in Washington, snapping the team's dreadful 13-game losing streak, a stretch that had also seen them go 1-12 ATS. The following night we cashed another winner, this one with New Orleans, as the Hornets breezed by the Clippers for their seventh win in eight games. These two teams meet Friday night in the Motor City and while most will be calling for a Hornets blowout, we're looking the other way and taking the points with Detroit. We've often referred to the pointspread as "the great equalizer" and the reality is that after suffering so many ATS losses, the Pistons are bound to get things going in the other direction. They are finally getting healthier. The Hornets are the epitome of every Western Conference team: great at home, lousy on the road. They are just 5-14 SU outside of the Big Easy, getting outscored by nearly six points per game. For what its worth, they are also just 1-6 ATS on Friday nights. Detroit is 6-1 ATS after failing to cover at least 12 of its previous 15 games, including three straight ATS wins in this spot. Take Detroit.
 
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KEVIN ROGERS

Kings at 76ers
Pick: Kings +3

The Kings begin a six-game East Coast trip after running a difficult gauntlet over the last two weeks. Sacramento is 2-7 SU and 2-6-1 ATS since rallying from a 35-point deficit in a 102-98 victory at Chicago on December 21. In that stretch, the Kings faced the Lakers twice, Nuggets twice, Suns, Cavs, Mavs, and Magic. The only two below .500 teams Sacto faced were Golden State and tonight's opponent, Philadelphia. The Sixers beat the Kings at Arco Arena, 116-106 on December 28, but Sacramento was without tis top two players, Kevin Martin and Tyreke Evans. Evans missed only three games with a sprained ankle, while Martin is slated to return tonight after missing two months with a fractured wrist. Sacramento is 8-1-2 ATS as a road underdog since Martin's injury, while Philadelphia owns the worst home ATS mark at 3-15. I'll grab the points with the Kings here.
 
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WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Pick and Analysis
Game: San Antonio at Charlotte (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Charlotte +2 (-110)
The Charlotte Bobcats are an improving team especially when they are at home as they are off to a 14-4 start. The Spurs are the "name" team here, so the line value is certainly on the home team, especially with the Spurs at just 7-7 on the road. The Spurs are an aging team that is playing their fourth game in six days. The Spurs are 7-7 on the road for a reason, and when they face a team that is strong at home it has been a colossal struggle. The Spurs in their last seven games on the road when facing a team with a home winning percentage of 600 or higher, have taken the doughnut at 0-7 ATS. The Bobcats' hint at a good night come from two areas. When they scored 100 points in their previous game, they follow by going 8-2 ATS. When they win ATS, they follow by going 35-16 ATS, so this is genuinely a momentum-based young team, so I'll go with Charlotte here.
 
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Denver Money's NHL Friday 1/15

Finished yesterday going 1-2 with Pittsburgh coming back in the 3rd period to get us our 3* winner, but we just missed on the total in that game. Although we lost 1.2 units yesterday we are still up for the month and have plenty of time to get more winners.

As for tonight there is only 2 games on the card and in all honesty I don't really like either game. Since I don't have a strong feel for any plays tonight, I am not going to force a play just for action and we will take the night off in NHL. Best of luck if you play anything tonight and if anyone would like me to look at a game or let you know my lean, feel free to ask.

Denver Money
 
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ST BERNADINE SPORTS

Lefty

1* Illinois-Chicago/Loyola Chicago under 125(9pm) - These 2 teams at 1st glance look like they should fly over this total. A closer inspection finds that at home, Ill-chic plays a solid slowdown pace at home. They haven't gone over this total all this year(5 games). The Pace at home is #235. They are shooting 38%and allowing 40% shooting on defense so staying under doesn't surprise me in the least. The under between these 2 teams is 5-2 the last 7 meetings.

3* No. Colorado -2 over Portland st(10:05 pm) - Portland st has played as weak a schedule at home that I have seen. 2 division II teams, cal poly slo, E.Wash and sac st. None of those teams has close to a winning record. Portland st plays no defense and their game plan is to try to outscore you. Anyone who plays the slightest bit of defense against them wins handily. N.Colorado just handed TCU a rare home loss and has beat Montana, Air Force, and lost to Oklahoma by 1 all on the road. They are just playing too well to let this one slip through their grasp.
 

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DiceitUpOnline - Hammer

NBA: San Antonio -2 = 20 Dimes
NBA: Memphis -7.5 = 10 Dimes
NBA: Dallas -5 = 15 Dimes
 
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Brett Atkins

15 Dime NBA E-Z Winner - CHICAGO BULLS

Chicago is playing its best basketball of the season while the Wizards are in a state of disarray with all the off-court issues of Gilbert Arenas. The Bulls have won three straight and seven of 10 (9-1 ATS) and they just drilled the Celtics in Boston on Thursday. Washington has lost three straight and eight of 10 (2-7-1 ATS) and they've averaged just 86 points a game over the last two. Chicago won three of four season clashes last year and they'll come out with a big win tonight. Play the Bulls.
 
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Pete Angelo

500♦ NBA BLOWOUT - Indiana Pacers

The Nets are an absolute joke this season, and will be made a mockery of tonight at home. Heads up to everyone, I am going to be keeping an eye on the Nets every single night thru the All-Star Break, as there is constant value in going against them. The Nets have lost their two meetings with Indiana by 12.0 per game this season, as the Pacers have played solid defense in holding Jersey to 36.3 percent shooting in each victory. Easy winner here guys, Pacers roll.
 
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Joel Tyson

400♦ - Houston Rockets

The road is starting to get a little long for Miami, playing their 5th of 6 in a row on the road this evening at the Toyota Center.

Miami is 2-2 both straight up, and against the spread on this trek, but this will be game 5 in the last 7 days, and they are taking on a Houston team that is mighty quick and will make them pay before this one is done.

Houston comes in with just 2 straight up wins in their last 6 games, but they are 11-5 against the spread at home this year, and they have won the last 3, and 5 of the last 6 both straight up, and against the spread in this east-west series.

Going to lay the points with the host tonight against the tired visitor.
 

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