I wondered if anyone studied on the 'good' cappers if they are more likely to win after a 1-4 night or after a 4-1 night. My guess is its random, but slightly skewed towards going better after a 1-4 night (as we are so impacted by the recency bias that no one will bet them and the lines will be better). In any case, its funny to watch people chase random trends, like the asian gamblers keeping track of house/player in baccarat with extreme concentraion
JOE DUFFY,,,,offshoreinsiders
CBB
Wise Guy
VALPARAISO -6 Wright State
Wright State starters Kendall Griffin and J.T. Yoho are expected to miss the game due to injury. Wright State has played one of the easiest schedules in the nation yet are 0-8 straight up and 1-7 against the spread on the road.
Valpo is a classic young team that is much better at home than on the road. They are 7-2 straight up and 4-2 against the spread at home. Playing a wounded team with a flaccid resume beating up on some weaklings and losing to a few along the way, look for Valpo to roll.
Keith Carter is starting to evolve into the Valpo offense after transferring from St. Louis. Valpo is a much better rebounding team and without Yoho, Wright will miss a lot of shots.
CBB
Wise Guy
VALPARAISO -6 Wright State
Wright State starters Kendall Griffin and J.T. Yoho are expected to miss the game due to injury. Wright State has played one of the easiest schedules in the nation yet are 0-8 straight up and 1-7 against the spread on the road.
Valpo is a classic young team that is much better at home than on the road. They are 7-2 straight up and 4-2 against the spread at home. Playing a wounded team with a flaccid resume beating up on some weaklings and losing to a few along the way, look for Valpo to roll.
Keith Carter is starting to evolve into the Valpo offense after transferring from St. Louis. Valpo is a much better rebounding team and without Yoho, Wright will miss a lot of shots.
This is the first time that the two have gone against each other since I've been subscribing. Since the line is basically nada, I'm just playing the 76ers on the money line, because I like them more than the Pistons. Even if the star ratings were reversed, or the picks were reversed, I'd still play the 76er moneyline, because I prefer dogs.
If the 76ers start getting blown out, I'll simply pick up points via Live Lines.
