Wunderdog Horses
SARATOGA Race #1 at 1:00 PM Eastern
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SARATOGA Race #1 at 1:00 PM Eastern
Top pick: #5 (DOREMIFASOLLATIDO) - Daughter of "Bernstein" finished a very game second here on August 3 to a wire-to-wire winner ("Dance Gal Dance") in the "Fleet Indian" stakes at this seven-furlong trip. Strong effort need only be repeated to win this. One of a pair from trainer Jimmy Jerkens and they'll race uncoupled.
<!--p-->2nd pick: #7 (Olde Glamour) - Filly showed good early speed in the "Test Stakes" (G1) last out at this distance before weakening. Moves back in with fellow state-breds and her record this year facing them is outstsnding (9-3-6-0).
3rd pick: #4 (Ouchy Night) - Talented speed/stalker has been freshened-up for the past two months and her work pattern suggests that she's ready. Threat from just off the lead.
4th pick: #2 (Karakorum Fugitive) - Blinkers wiil go on the other entrant trained by Jimmy Jerkens as he tries to get some early interest out of her. Latest work is encouraging.
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Wunderdog
NFL
Game: Atlanta at St. Louis (Friday 8/21 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on St. Louis +3 (-120) (risk 3 to win 2.5)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 36 -110
The Rams new head coach Steve Spagnuolo showed a desire to create a winning culture as he won his first NFLX game on the road with a late fourth-quarter TD. The Falcons dropped their opener, allowing 454 yards to the lowly Lions - truly an indication that, coming off a playoffs year, there is more evaluating going on in Atlanta than desire to win. Second-year Coach Mike Smith played things differently a year ago, establishing a winning attitude, covering three of four. How different is the approach this season? Consider the fact that Atlanta allowed three TDs in the entire preseason under then first-year coach Smith, while they allowed three in week one to the Lions. The Rams are in the role under a first year head coach and playing at home, so he will want to show the fans that there is some meaningful football to be played in St. Louis this season. Over the last eight years, they have been premier at home, playing to an 11-5 mark in their home preseason games and I look for the Rams to cover here. I also like the UNDER here as games involving home dogs in certain situations have hit at a 70% UNDER mark including 10-4 UNDER the past three seasons.
Game: Kansas City at Minnesota (Friday 8/21 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Kansas City +3 (+100) (risk 2 to win 2)
Todd Haley, newly appointed head coach for the Chiefs, will be looking to getting his first win under his belt after dropping the opener to Gary Kubiak's Houston Texans, who are now winning 61.5% of their preseason games under Kubiak. The Vikings made a splash this week (sigh) by signing Brett Favre to a two-year $25 million contract, and the speculation is that they will be cutting Tarvaris Jackson free. That will leave them with a QB dilemma in this one as Favre is not ready to be taking snaps, and even if he does, he will not be very effective. The QB rotation for the Vikings is in trouble in this one. This definitely looks like a good spot for Haley to get win number one, so I'll go with the Chiefs here.
Game: Tennessee at Dallas (Friday 8/21 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 38 -110
Both of these coaches, Wade Phillips of the Cowboys and Jeff Fisher of the Titans, have shown a penchant for winning in the preseason as they both have winning records with a combined record of 40-30. It is unusual to see teams put up 20 points or more in an NFLX game, but when you look at what Dallas has done under Wade Phillips, there is obviously a different approach. The Cowboys have played 10 preseason home games under Phillips, avareaging 21.2 ppg. The Titans under Fisher have taken a similar approach as the Fisher-led Titans have scored 20+ in eight of their last eleven preseason games. This one has the makings of a 40+ game, and I will go with the over here.
NFL
Game: Atlanta at St. Louis (Friday 8/21 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on St. Louis +3 (-120) (risk 3 to win 2.5)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 36 -110
The Rams new head coach Steve Spagnuolo showed a desire to create a winning culture as he won his first NFLX game on the road with a late fourth-quarter TD. The Falcons dropped their opener, allowing 454 yards to the lowly Lions - truly an indication that, coming off a playoffs year, there is more evaluating going on in Atlanta than desire to win. Second-year Coach Mike Smith played things differently a year ago, establishing a winning attitude, covering three of four. How different is the approach this season? Consider the fact that Atlanta allowed three TDs in the entire preseason under then first-year coach Smith, while they allowed three in week one to the Lions. The Rams are in the role under a first year head coach and playing at home, so he will want to show the fans that there is some meaningful football to be played in St. Louis this season. Over the last eight years, they have been premier at home, playing to an 11-5 mark in their home preseason games and I look for the Rams to cover here. I also like the UNDER here as games involving home dogs in certain situations have hit at a 70% UNDER mark including 10-4 UNDER the past three seasons.
Game: Kansas City at Minnesota (Friday 8/21 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Kansas City +3 (+100) (risk 2 to win 2)
Todd Haley, newly appointed head coach for the Chiefs, will be looking to getting his first win under his belt after dropping the opener to Gary Kubiak's Houston Texans, who are now winning 61.5% of their preseason games under Kubiak. The Vikings made a splash this week (sigh) by signing Brett Favre to a two-year $25 million contract, and the speculation is that they will be cutting Tarvaris Jackson free. That will leave them with a QB dilemma in this one as Favre is not ready to be taking snaps, and even if he does, he will not be very effective. The QB rotation for the Vikings is in trouble in this one. This definitely looks like a good spot for Haley to get win number one, so I'll go with the Chiefs here.
Game: Tennessee at Dallas (Friday 8/21 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 38 -110
Both of these coaches, Wade Phillips of the Cowboys and Jeff Fisher of the Titans, have shown a penchant for winning in the preseason as they both have winning records with a combined record of 40-30. It is unusual to see teams put up 20 points or more in an NFLX game, but when you look at what Dallas has done under Wade Phillips, there is obviously a different approach. The Cowboys have played 10 preseason home games under Phillips, avareaging 21.2 ppg. The Titans under Fisher have taken a similar approach as the Fisher-led Titans have scored 20+ in eight of their last eleven preseason games. This one has the makings of a 40+ game, and I will go with the over here.
Nick Parson
David Chan -Game of Month last GOM 2.5 months ago 7-0 Big Plays 2009
Has a play on the yanks vs Red Sox
4-0 Consensus
Kansas City Vs. Viking
Lawerence
Burns
Seernsky
fargo all on the same sid
Please let me kow if you have any of these if not I will purchase by 6pm EST
Thanks
Good Luck
David Chan -Game of Month last GOM 2.5 months ago 7-0 Big Plays 2009
Has a play on the yanks vs Red Sox
4-0 Consensus
Kansas City Vs. Viking
Lawerence
Burns
Seernsky
fargo all on the same sid
Please let me kow if you have any of these if not I will purchase by 6pm EST
Thanks
Good Luck
The Sports Investing Professional - Friday
Thursday Recap -Ok after our day off we've come back with a bang
picking up a nice 2 unit play yesterday.
Todays Play(s) - The games aren't so hot at this time of the year but
just when the light at the end of the tunnel looks faint...my buddy, my pal
Mr. Y. Petit is on the mound and on the road none the less. To top it off
he squares up with Oswalt. I don't like it enough to lay -200 but I'll sure
take a swat at this runline and hope that Petit keeps on thrown that
good ole B.P.
MLB Houston Astros -1.5 +110 Petit / Oswalt 500.00 / 550.00
May The Ball Bounce Your Way,
The Sports Investing Professional
Record (37-21) +$5,309
Thursday Recap -Ok after our day off we've come back with a bang
picking up a nice 2 unit play yesterday.
Todays Play(s) - The games aren't so hot at this time of the year but
just when the light at the end of the tunnel looks faint...my buddy, my pal
Mr. Y. Petit is on the mound and on the road none the less. To top it off
he squares up with Oswalt. I don't like it enough to lay -200 but I'll sure
take a swat at this runline and hope that Petit keeps on thrown that
good ole B.P.
MLB Houston Astros -1.5 +110 Petit / Oswalt 500.00 / 550.00
May The Ball Bounce Your Way,
The Sports Investing Professional
Record (37-21) +$5,309
WNBA DUNKEL
Washington at Phoenix
The Mercury look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games against the Eastern Conference. Phoenix is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, AUGUST 21
Game 601-602: Connecticut at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 114.055; New York 112.208
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 2; 138
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 2 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+2 1/2); Under
Game 603-604: Los Angeles at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 109.040; San Antonio 113.233
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 134 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2 1/2); Under
Game 605-606: Washington at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 106.687; Phoenix 118.053
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 11 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 180
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7 1/2); Over
Washington at Phoenix
The Mercury look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games against the Eastern Conference. Phoenix is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 11 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, AUGUST 21
Game 601-602: Connecticut at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 114.055; New York 112.208
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 2; 138
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 2 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+2 1/2); Under
Game 603-604: Los Angeles at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 109.040; San Antonio 113.233
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 134 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-2 1/2); Under
Game 605-606: Washington at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 106.687; Phoenix 118.053
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 11 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 180
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7 1/2); Over
WNBA LONG SHEET
CONNECTICUT (13 - 11) at NEW YORK (9 - 16) - 8/21/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games on Friday since 1997.
NEW YORK is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW YORK is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 8-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 7-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LOS ANGELES (11 - 13) at SAN ANTONIO (11 - 14) - 8/21/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-5 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-3 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WASHINGTON (12 - 13) at PHOENIX (18 - 8) - 8/21/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 172-220 ATS (-70.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 104-137 ATS (-46.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 124-86 ATS (+29.4 Units) in home games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in August or September games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 52-29 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PHOENIX is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT (13 - 11) at NEW YORK (9 - 16) - 8/21/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games on Friday since 1997.
NEW YORK is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW YORK is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 8-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 7-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LOS ANGELES (11 - 13) at SAN ANTONIO (11 - 14) - 8/21/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-5 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-3 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WASHINGTON (12 - 13) at PHOENIX (18 - 8) - 8/21/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 172-220 ATS (-70.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 104-137 ATS (-46.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 124-86 ATS (+29.4 Units) in home games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in August or September games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 52-29 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PHOENIX is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets
Los Angeles Sparks at San Antonio Silver Stars (-2.5, 142)
Just when you thought it was time to write off the Sparks’ playoff chances, the team’s superstars showed up. The entire 2009 campaign has been a wait-and-see game for L.A. backers.
Veteran All-Star Lisa Leslie was injured and Candace Parker was trying to get back into game shape following the birth of her first child.
Parker’s offensive game is still out of touch, but Leslie is picking up the slack. She scored a season-high 28 points against the Lynx Wednesday, pushing her point total to 85 over her last four games.
Los Angeles has little other firepower outside of Leslie. The squad has played under the total in eight of its last 10 contests. The Sparks are among the league’s most reliable under bets this season.
Pick: Under
Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty (-2, 143)
The Sun and Liberty are completing the second half of a home-and-home series Friday. Connecticut won Wednesday’s tilt even though the club was playing without its leading scorer Asjha Jones.
Jones is expected to miss two weeks because of a sore Achilles’ tendon.
Look for New York to bounce back Friday. The team led by 17 at one point during Wednesday’s match and played pretty good defense until the late stages.
The Liberty have just one ATS loss over their last six games.
Pick: New York
Los Angeles Sparks at San Antonio Silver Stars (-2.5, 142)
Just when you thought it was time to write off the Sparks’ playoff chances, the team’s superstars showed up. The entire 2009 campaign has been a wait-and-see game for L.A. backers.
Veteran All-Star Lisa Leslie was injured and Candace Parker was trying to get back into game shape following the birth of her first child.
Parker’s offensive game is still out of touch, but Leslie is picking up the slack. She scored a season-high 28 points against the Lynx Wednesday, pushing her point total to 85 over her last four games.
Los Angeles has little other firepower outside of Leslie. The squad has played under the total in eight of its last 10 contests. The Sparks are among the league’s most reliable under bets this season.
Pick: Under
Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty (-2, 143)
The Sun and Liberty are completing the second half of a home-and-home series Friday. Connecticut won Wednesday’s tilt even though the club was playing without its leading scorer Asjha Jones.
Jones is expected to miss two weeks because of a sore Achilles’ tendon.
Look for New York to bounce back Friday. The team led by 17 at one point during Wednesday’s match and played pretty good defense until the late stages.
The Liberty have just one ATS loss over their last six games.
Pick: New York
KELSO's HIGHROLLER MLB PICK for TODAY
Highrollers Baseball
Friday, August 21, 2009
15 UnitsLa Angels {S.O`Sullivan} (+115) over Bluejays {M.Rzepczynski}
7:07 PM -- Rogers Centre
Los Angeles Angels (73-46) +115 over TORONTO BLUE JAYS (55-64) Pitching for Los Angeles: RH Sean O’Sullivan (3-1, 5.91) Pitching for Toronto: LH Marc Rzepczynski (1-3, 3.98) Angels Trend Profile: Last 10: 8-2, Streak: Lost 1, Road Record: 37-24, Against LHP: 28-11. Blue Jays Trend Profile: Last 10: 4-6, Streak: Lost 1, Home Record: 31-29, Against RHP: 39-39. Starting Time: 7:07 TV: Fox Sports West, RSN Canada
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing out to right field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.
Highrollers Baseball
Friday, August 21, 2009
15 UnitsLa Angels {S.O`Sullivan} (+115) over Bluejays {M.Rzepczynski}
7:07 PM -- Rogers Centre
Los Angeles Angels (73-46) +115 over TORONTO BLUE JAYS (55-64) Pitching for Los Angeles: RH Sean O’Sullivan (3-1, 5.91) Pitching for Toronto: LH Marc Rzepczynski (1-3, 3.98) Angels Trend Profile: Last 10: 8-2, Streak: Lost 1, Road Record: 37-24, Against LHP: 28-11. Blue Jays Trend Profile: Last 10: 4-6, Streak: Lost 1, Home Record: 31-29, Against RHP: 39-39. Starting Time: 7:07 TV: Fox Sports West, RSN Canada
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing out to right field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.
