Service Plays Friday 08/07/09

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Payne Sports

CFL GAME OF THE WEEK

Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. BC Lions

Its not to late to turn season around and this is a must win game for these Lions. These Lions have a top tier defense and they rely on these guys. You look back and BC has had many opp to win some of these games and what better way to do it then against a team that allows more points than any team in the league. Last week BC had first and goal from the 1 up 1 and didnt convert. These kindof things are just unlucky. This line should be 4 and it is around a picking wanting some Roughrider action and I am not biting. I will back a home team that has won its last 66 percent games over the last 17 at home.

Take BC -1.5 for 5 units
 
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MTi Sports

Cubs at Rockies
Pick: Under 9

Both these teams are off losses. Chicago was shut out 4-0 by Cincinnati and the Rockies lost 3-1 to Philadelphia. Neither team has managed much offense and we expect this to continue here. Chicago is 0-8 on the road off a loss in which they managed six or fewer hits and their starter had a WHIP of at least one, staying under by an average of 3.8 runs per game. The average final score in these eight games, which are all from THIS season, is 1.9 runs to 2.5 runs.
The Rockies are 0-7 OU in the first game of a series when they are off a loss, staying under by a staggering 5.0 runs per game. The average OU line in these games has been 9.2 and the average final score has been 3.1 to 1.1 runs.
In has last start, Ubaldo Jimenez went eight innings and threw 111 pitches in a 6-2 win over the Reds. This strongly points to the UNDER, as the Rockies are 0-7 OU with Jimenez when he went more than six innings and threw more than 110 pitches in his last start, staying under by an average of 2.4 rpg.
We look for a low-scoring pitcher’s duel here, in which both teams will play for the lone run rather than the big inning.
MTi’s FORECAST: Chicago 4 COLORADO 2
 
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'IC' DAILY VIDEO COMING THIS NFL SEASON


Doc Sports is moving a mile a minute. This website provides a great deal of content to its viewers from the great sports blog which Ferringo spends a great deal of time on, to the daily content on the front page. By the way, I'll be producing a great deal of articles coming the next few days and the rest of this season on the blog - check it out. This fall, I'll be doing a quick daily video of my free pick, my thoughts on other games, and current streaks with respect to the sports ongoing this fall. Hope you enjoy the video as I beleive it adds another element to the daily page. Besides, I can't hide this handsome Indian Alabama mug from the world forever.



4 Unit Play. Take the Connecticut Sun +2.5 over the Minnesota Linx (Friday @ 8pm est). Both these teams have similar records, but I have the Sun as several spots ahead in the power rankings mainly because of their play over their last ten games as compared to the Linx play over the last ten games. While the Linx are having spotted wins here or there as they are 3-7 over their last ten, the Sun are a bit more on the rise winning their last five of eight. The Sun have a lot of scoring threats with Jones, Whalen and Gruda and I simply do not trust Minnesota to pull this game out so to speak as although they have plenty of heart, with the loss of Seimone Augustus this team has really struggled. Minnesota has lost three straight games and I like the fact that these two teams have not met this year as Conn's defense of allowing nine points less per game than the Linx should come into play as I always believe defense beats offense and that should be the case in this contest. Minnesota is a run and gun type of team, but Conn's coaching staff is as good as they come and I suspect Minnesota will struggle against a better defense despite being at home today. The Sun are 4-1-1 ATS against the Western Conference and the Linx are 0-5 ATS at home of late.

4 Unit Play. Take the Under 147.5 between the New York Liberty @ Sacramento Monarchs (Friday @ 10pm est). Sometimes you just go the direct opposite as to what happened last time and that is the case in this contest. last time these two teams met, a total of 161 points were scored. Sacramento came in and crushed this team by 15 on the road. I just don't see that happening today for several reasons. For starters, New York has revenge as they come off five straight losses and would love to make this game a drag out half-court type of ballgame. Sacramento should be all too fine with that type of style as they have played the Under in their last 3 home games with scores that are totaling less than 120 and 135 in those home contests. The Under is 4-1 in the Liberty's last five road games and the Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 between the Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers (Friday @ 7pm est). Anthony Swarzak comes off his worst outing of the season and his career as he gave up four runs in a span on three innings to the Angels. He looks to bounce-back in an effort today on the road against the Tigers. The start was a bit expected as he had beat the Angels in the game before so it was a home and home that he was facing and that typically favors the team or the pitcher who did worse the first time out. Gallaraga comes off one of his worst starts of his career as well as he had given up 8 runs in less than 6 innings in his last start against Cleveland. The Tigers went on to lose the contest 1-11. Gallaraga did not have a good road trip to speak and has an ERA that is a full 1 point lower at home as compared to on the road. Given that Swarzak and Gallaraga are both on the bounce-back here, I look for this game to likely dip under this evening. The Under is 4-1 in Swarzak's last five starts as an Underdog and the Under is 5-1 in Gallaraga's last six starts Overall.

4 Unit Play. Take the New York Yankees -117 over the Boston Redsox (Friday @ 7pm est). We just can't be afraid. I tell that to myself more than I tell that for you. The Yankees have a pitcher who was shelled against Boston his last time out in Burnett. Plus, Burnett comes off an ugly start where he gave up 7 runs in less than 5 innings in a 4-14 loss to the Whitesox on the road. This guy has a lot of pride and prior to that had put together 8 straight consecutive quality starts. He comes off his worst start against the Redsox and his first career loss to the Redsox. Whereas Beckett comes off a shutout of the Orioles over seven innings and a defeat of the Yankees in his last go around, I like Burnett here on the bounce-back both from his last start and losing to the Redsox his last time out as well. The Yankees are 5-1 as a home favorite of late and the Redsox are 0-5 as Underdogs of late.
 

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Tim Trushel

<TABLE style="PADDING-BOTTOM: 6px" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=525 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>8/7/09
</TD><TD>MLB
</TD><TD>20* Featured Play: Kansas City -125 (926)

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>​
A's5-1!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!​
Trushel can shove it!!!!!!!!!
^<<^
 

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Craig Davis's 4th ever 100 release or whatever that crap was, loss. SF may lose outright, not win by 2 runs

onto tomorrow
 

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Craig Davis
Friday's Lineup

100 DIME ---- GIANTS (With Lincecum) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over REDS (With Bailey)

Guys, I absolutely love today's play on the SF Giants to rout the Reds at home. You saw how strong my 30-dimer on the Yankees was last night, so just imagine what I expect the Giants to do to the Reds with Lincecum on the hill. This game could virtually be over by the 5th inning because I don't expect the Reds to score more than one run by the time this game reaches its latter stages. Tim Lincecum is, once again, on top of his game and gets an offense batting just .240 for the season. Shoot, when your best hitter is batting .267 (Brandon Phillips), you know you're in for a long night. The Reds don't hit the ball in the first place, but when they travel away from Cincinnati, they're even worse. So consider this... a team that doesn't hit the ball well in the first place goes on the road (where they hit 16 points worse) to face the defending NL Cy Young Award winner... a guy who has an ERA under 2 when pitching at AT&T Park.

I just don't smell a lot of offense from the Reds tonight, and considering that Cincy is one of the few teams that has yet to ever face Lincecum, it makes matters even worse. The first time Lincecum faces any team, he dominates them. There are only two teams from the NL remaining that Lincecum hasn't faced and one of them is Cincinnati. The other, according to my calculations, is Milwaukee... another team from the NL Central. And if you look at what Lincecum has done within that division, you'd be impressed. His career ERA vs. the Cubs is 2.55 in five starts, vs. the Cardinals it's 1.61 in four starts, vs. Houston it's 1.67 in five starts and vs. Pittsburgh it's 2.86 in three starts. I'd call that dominating a division, wouldn't you? Since the Reds don't hit the ball with a ton of power and their team average is well below the league average, I think it's safe to say Cincy is going to struggle scoring runs tonight.

Furthermore, Lincecum's ERA in August so far is 0.00 (based on his last start) and his career August ERA is 2.33. And one other startling factoid... Lincecum's ERA is 1.84 when pitching under the lights as opposed to 3.04 during the day... a full run (plus) better when pitching at night. This guy has been absolute "money" since the All Star break and I see no reason for him to slow down now. His last two outings (both at home) have seen him dominate for 17 straight innings, allowing no earned runs, 11 hits, 4 walks and 23 strikeouts. There's absolutely nothing anyone can say to me that would convince me the Reds have a chance of scoring more than a couple of runs tonight, if that.

So, do I have confidence enough in the Giants offense that they'll be able to win by at least two runs? You bet I do. Aside from the fact they hit better than Cincy and their team average is a respectable .275 at home, they have one guy (Pablo Sandoval) who could change the game all by himself. He leads the Giants in batting average (.334), home runs (17) and RBIs (67) and with one swing of the bat could put the Giants up by two or three runs. So, who does this Giants offense get to face? Does Cincy have a pitcher who is capable of shutting down this Giants offense tonight? To be honest, I don't think so.

The team ERA is a respectable 4.45, but the guy they are trotting out there tonight has been far from spectacular. Homer Bailey (2-3 7.02 ERA) has allowed 14 earned runs in his last three starts (15 innings) and hasn't really had a quality start since early July. The biggest problem for Bailey has been his road WHIP (1.98). For whatever reason, Bailey struggles to keep baserunners off the bases (nearly two per inning) and if that continues tonight, the Giants are going to score runs in bunches. Look at it this way... even if Bailey does put together a quality start tonight, the Giants will still get to him for a couple of runs and that should be more than enough for Lincecum.

The Reds are just 9-26 in their last 35 games overall and have fallen on hard times, dropping to last place in the NL Central division. They are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. teams from the NL West, 1-11 in their last 12 vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 5-17 in Bailey's last 22 starts. The Giants, meanwhile, are 19-7 in Lincecum's last 26 starts at home, 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing record and 14-6 in their last 20 Friday night games. The writing is on the wall folks, as this one won't even be close. Take the Giants on the run line as my top play of the day.

Paid & confirmed by me.
GL!


:>(^<<^^<<^^<<^:puke1:
 

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