Service Plays Friday 03/13/09

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Bullitt
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Pro Hockey Trend Report
COLUMBUS (35-27-0-6, 76 pts.) at CHICAGO (37-20-0-8, 82 pts.) - 3/13/2009, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-8 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-8-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.8 Units)

Trend Sheet
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8:30 PM
COLUMBUS vs. CHICAGO
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Columbus is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus

10:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. VANCOUVER
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 8 games



LOS ANGELES (29-28-0-9, 67 pts.) at VANCOUVER (34-23-0-9, 77 pts.) - 3/13/2009, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 39-33 ATS (+80.9 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 15-19 ATS (-7.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 31-39 ATS (-28.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 3-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 6-13 ATS (-8.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
VANCOUVER is 14-18 ATS (-6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 5-5 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 5-5-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)


Ice picks: Friday's best NHL bets
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Columbus Blue Jackets at Chicago Blackhawks (N/A)

The Hawks are coming off a 3-2 shootout win over the Carolina Hurricanes. Rookie Kris Versteeg continued his stellar season by scoring the shootout winner.

"That was pretty energetic," said Versteeg, who also scored his 18th of the season late in the second period to tie the score 1-1. "We really tried to chip pucks and keep pucks in deep to play to our advantages. Keeping things simple and playing hard every game is what we really want to do."

Chicago has activated Nikolai Khabibulin from the injury reserve. The addition of Khabibulin means Cristobal Huet will get some rest. Huet had started 10 of the teams past 13 games. Antti Niemi has been reassigned to the American Hockey League.

Prior to Thursday night against the Penguins, Columbus had won three of four including victories over the Red Wings and Bruins.

The Blue Jackets will be on the second half of back-to-back games after a stop in Pittsburgh on Thursday. You have to like the Hawks at home with Columbus possibly a little tired.

Pick: Chicago



Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks (-220, 5.5)

The Canucks will welcome a return home after dropping both games during a quick trip down to Southern California. The trip started with a 3-2 loss to the Kings and wrapped up with a Scott Niedermayer overtime goal in a 4-3 defeat at the hands of the Ducks.

Prior to the problems in sunny California, the Canucks had won six of seven and were playing their best hockey of the season.

The Kings have scored 12 goals in their last three games which all turned out to be wins on home ice. Los Angeles now head back out on the road where they have lost four in a row.

"At this point of the season, it doesn't matter how we win games - as long as we're winning them," Kings Captain Dustin Brown said. "We've got to keep this momentum going and scrape and claw for everything we get. We're on the outside looking in. And with the way the schedule is, teams are flip-flopping left and right, night after night.”

The Kings might be in tough to snap their road woes. Vancouver has won seven straight home games and has allowed only five goals in its last four games at GM Place. Since returning from injury Roberto Luongo has started 20 of 21 games. Overall the Canucks have won 12 of their past 16.

Pick: Vancouver
 

Bullitt
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CALIFORNIA SPORTS
4* Michigan State UNDER
4* Kentucky
4* Washington UNDER
3* Missouri
3* BYU
 

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Dr. Bob

Friday Daytime College Opinions
Michigan State (-7 1/2) over Minnesota
09:00 AM Pacific - Rotation 824
Michigan State is an amazing 76-19-2 ATS in their last 97 games as a favorite from 4 to 11 points, including 54-9-1 ATS if their opponents is coming off a win. Minnesota is only 9-18 ATS as an underdog or pick in two seasons under coach Tubby Smith (6-17 ATS at less than +9 points) and the Gophers were beaten by the Spartans twice this season by margins of 12 points and 29 points. My ratings favor MSU by 7 points and I'll lean with the Spartans at -7 1/2 or -8 and I’ll take Michigan State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less.

Lsu (-1) over Kentucky
Rotation #840 – 10 am Pacific
Kentucky is perhaps the nation’s most inconsistent team, as they Wildcats are capable of losing to anyone (home to VMI, home to Georgia) while also playing well against good teams at times. LSU already beat the Wildcats in Kentucky and I expect the Tigers to play well today after losing their final two regular season games. LSU coach Trent Johnson has a career record of 16-1-2 ATS as a favorite of less than 15 points following consecutive losses and his teams are also 51-19-3 ATS when not favored by 10 points or more against teams with a win percentage of less than .640 (he beats the teams that he’s supposed to beat). My ratings favor LSU by 1 and I’ll lean with the Tigers at -2 or better.

South Carolina (-2) over Mississippi State
Rotation #842 – 12:20 pm Pacific
Miss State applies to a negative 46-112-5 ATS situation, but the best part of that situation doesn’t apply so I’ll pass on making the Gamecocks a Best Bet. I’ll lean with South Carolina at -2 or less.
 

Bullitt
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The real animal

Pick title: 2* Georgia Tech +5 1/2
Pick Date: 03/13/2009
Pick description:
Dating back to March of 2004 Florida State's last three wins over Georgia Tech have come by margins of four, two, and one point. The underdog is an amazing 13-3 ATS in this series. Yesterday's upset of Clemson was not a surprise to me as the Jackets won't go down without a serious fight playing in front of an Atlanta audience. Since January 25th, the Seminoles are just 2-3 on the ACC road with thier wins coming by two and four points. The matchup here isn't nearly as good for Tech as FSU plays much stiffer defense than Clemson. But with three consecutive covers, this is perhaps the bet we have seen Georgia Tech play all season. Florida State's 17-7 ATS record on the season keeps this off the premium side.
 

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Craig Davis Friday's Lineup
50 Dime ---- OKLAHOMA STATE

10 Dime ---- MEMPHIS

5 Dime ---- TEXAS

OKLAHOMA STATE --- Well, here it is boys. My largest college basketball release of the season. When I say I’ve been looking forward to this line since the moment OSU upset the University of Oklahoma… that’s an understatement. I, for one, am NOT surprised the Cowboys were able to beat the Sooners for two reasons. First, this was a true neutral floor game with an equal amount of fans for both schools in the Ford Center. It’s less than 100 miles away from Stillwater and the building had plenty of black and orange supporting its Pokes. Second, while OU isn’t playing its best basketball right now, OSU is, having won eight of their last nine games while covering nine straight ATS.

Missouri enters the game off a nice 21-point win vs. an over-matched Texas Tech team that was completely “spent” from the previous night’s comeback win over Texas A&M. The Tigers will get their first “challenge” of the Big 12 tourney tonight in a hostile environment while OSU already has one of those games under their belt… last night’s one-point win over OU. The Tigers clearly have the depth and talent to not only beat the Cowboys but also cover the number, but much like the Sooners, they aren’t playing their best basketball right now. Mizzou has split their last four games, getting beaten by double digits in both of their recent road games (@ Kansas and @ Texas A&M).

And let’s not forget, the last time these two met (back on January 21), Missouri blew a 26-point lead and nearly lost the game, holding on for a 97-95 win. Don’t think that didn’t leave a bad taste in the Cowboys’ mouths, and with this game basically being a home game for the Pokes you can bet the arena will be filled with OSU faithful who will be screaming for their hometown team… and we’ve seen how much the Tigers struggle on the road.

Let’s also keep something else in mind --- Marshall Moses was held scoreless last night vs. Oklahoma and they still managed to pull of the upset. Moses had previously scored in double figures in three of his last four games and was getting better as the season progressed. Don’t expect Moses to get shut out again tonight… and that’s going to pose problems for Missouri’s defense. And speaking of defense, although Missouri has played better than OSU over the season from a defensive standpoint, over the last five games OSU has stepped up its defense and allowed just 69 PPG as opposed to Missouri’s 76 PPG… and that includes allowing just 60 last night to Texas Tech.

The Cowboys are on ATS streaks of 6-0 in their last six vs. teams with a SU winning record, 7-0 ATS following a SU win, 8-0 ATS following an ATS win, and 16-6-2 in their last 24 neutral site games… not to mention the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last seven H2H meetings. Folks, the writing is on the wall here, the Cowboys not only cover the number, they win the game SU.


MEMPHIS --- Here we basically have another team with “home court advantage” as this game is being played in Memphis, Tennessee… and Memphis just doesn’t lose at home.

The Tigers weren’t impressive in yesterday’s 10-point win over Tulane, but once again they played exceptional defense, limiting the Green Wave to just 41 points in 40 minutes. That’s incredible. This Memphis team has been playing better defense than anyone in the country and it’s going to frustrate the Cougs again this afternoon. Houston comes in off an exhausting 89-85 OT win over UTEP and likely wont’ have the same legs they’re used to having.

And it would scare me to death if I were Houston knowing Memphis didn’t play well yesterday and still managed a 10-point win. The Tigers swept the season series, winning by nine in Houston and 14 at home, and the bottom line here is that this team is just a better overall basketball team. The Tigers have allowed more than 60 points just once in the last ten games and allow, on average, just 57 PPG over the course of the season.

Houston, on the other hand, is the complete opposite, scoring a few more points than Memphis per game, but allowing 11 PPG more and 15 more PPG on the road. Houston has won three straight, but those three wins came against UTEP in OT yesterday and vs. SMU twice. While Memphis is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with a SU winning record and 4-0 ATS their last four following an ATS loss, Houston is 1-7 in their last eight vs. teams from Conference USA and 1-4 their last five following a SUATS win. Lay the number the the Tigers as I expect an outright burial.


TEXAS --- Back to the Big 12 with the Texas Longhorns as an easy winner over Baylor.

I don’t care what the Bears did to Nebraska or Kansas, I watched this Baylor team two weeks ago, against these same Longhorns, get absolutely destroyed. I know because I backed the Bears as nine-point dogs and that’s what they played like… dogs. No chance they can hang with Texas for a full 40 minutes, no matter how good they appear to be playing right now.

The two wins in the tourney they’ve had are very nice, but anything other than an outright tourney win will put them square in the NIT Tournament. No disrespect meant, but this Baylor team is playing above its head and they just aren’t a very good basketball team. They don’t have the size to match up with Pittman inside and they don’t have anyone who can stick AJ Abrams (no offense to Curtis Jerrells, who is a very solid player).

Texas swept the season series by an average of double digits and should get another solid win this evening in the Ford Center. They weren’t impressive in their 61-58 win over #4 seed Kansas State, telling me they’re due to play some solid basketball tonight. Baylor’s luck is going to run out in Oklahoma City as I don’t believe they have the legs to keep this up and I don’t think their defense is good enough to keep Texas from scoring.

Before the Big 12 Tourney started, the Bears were losers of two straight and 10 of their last 12 games in conference play, COVERING JUST ONE TIME in those 12 games. Baylor hasn’t covered in any of the last 4 H2H meetings with the Longhorns and is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. teams with a SU winning record. Baylor might jump out to an early lead, but they will tire in the second half and Texas then runs away with it, winning by 10.



PAID,CONFIRMED by me
 

Bullitt
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Executive

300%

Lsu -1

over Kentucky


300%

So.Carolina -2'

over Miss St


300%

Xavier -4'

over Temple
 

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