Posted by Tommy John in the Lang Thread.
Brandon Lang Friday ... 25 Dime Tulsa
15 Dime Auburn
15 Dime Bowling Green
5 Dime Wisconsin - Great spot for the Badgers here against an Ohio State team that won't be able to match the Badgers intensity. First and foremost, coaching advantage to Bo Ryan. Secondly, better defensive teams win close matchups and most certainly that falls to Wisconsin. In the first meeting, the Badgers held Ohio State to 2 of 9 from 3, outrebounded Ohio State by 11 and won by 5. Wisky comes in winning 6 of their last 8 SU with the two losses being on the road at Michigan State and Minnesota. This will be a grind them out halfcourt game and that favors the better defensive team. Lastly, facing a team with a winning SU record and you find Ohio State at 1-5 ATS their last 6. Truth be told, if they are supposed to lose, they do. All Wisky today.
5 Dime Mississippi State - I love two in the SEC today and Mississippi State is one of those. More about Auburn this afternoon. This Bulldogs squad is rolling strong winning 3 in a row SU and ATS. However, you dig deeper and you will see that since their 75-70 win at home over South Carolina, their only losses were to Alabama, Tennessee and Auburn, arguably 3 very hot teams in the SEC. What I really look for in this game is much better than 9 of 26 from behind the arc. South Carolina is undisciplined and I just love what Auburn has shown me down the stretch. This is a Bulldogs team that is 4-1 ATS last 5 as a dog and 10-4 ATS their last 14 facing a team with a winning record. You throw in the fact that the Gamecocks are 2-5-1 ATS their last 8 overall and I am rolling with Mississippit State to advance here.
5 Dime Temple
5 Dime Oklahoma State
Free pick - Boston College (for analysis of this game see daily video)
analysis for night action by 4 pm eastern
Brandon Lang Friday ... 25 Dime Tulsa
15 Dime Auburn
15 Dime Bowling Green
5 Dime Wisconsin - Great spot for the Badgers here against an Ohio State team that won't be able to match the Badgers intensity. First and foremost, coaching advantage to Bo Ryan. Secondly, better defensive teams win close matchups and most certainly that falls to Wisconsin. In the first meeting, the Badgers held Ohio State to 2 of 9 from 3, outrebounded Ohio State by 11 and won by 5. Wisky comes in winning 6 of their last 8 SU with the two losses being on the road at Michigan State and Minnesota. This will be a grind them out halfcourt game and that favors the better defensive team. Lastly, facing a team with a winning SU record and you find Ohio State at 1-5 ATS their last 6. Truth be told, if they are supposed to lose, they do. All Wisky today.
5 Dime Mississippi State - I love two in the SEC today and Mississippi State is one of those. More about Auburn this afternoon. This Bulldogs squad is rolling strong winning 3 in a row SU and ATS. However, you dig deeper and you will see that since their 75-70 win at home over South Carolina, their only losses were to Alabama, Tennessee and Auburn, arguably 3 very hot teams in the SEC. What I really look for in this game is much better than 9 of 26 from behind the arc. South Carolina is undisciplined and I just love what Auburn has shown me down the stretch. This is a Bulldogs team that is 4-1 ATS last 5 as a dog and 10-4 ATS their last 14 facing a team with a winning record. You throw in the fact that the Gamecocks are 2-5-1 ATS their last 8 overall and I am rolling with Mississippit State to advance here.
5 Dime Temple
5 Dime Oklahoma State
Free pick - Boston College (for analysis of this game see daily video)
analysis for night action by 4 pm eastern
Ace Ace ...."en fuego"
Our very own Ace Ace, is, as Dan Patrick would say...."en fuego." His picks are frequently winning comfortably (fingers, arms and legs crossed hoping this won't be a jinx).
I've noticed that Ace Ace's plays often get better (by quite a bit) as hes able to accumulate data, particularly towards play offs.
I invite you, to drop by the nba thread, where hes posting his plays, if you'd like documentation on just how hot, has he been. His is the thread with over 350,000 hits.
Ace Ace......
Todays play
Fla St -5
Our very own Ace Ace, is, as Dan Patrick would say...."en fuego." His picks are frequently winning comfortably (fingers, arms and legs crossed hoping this won't be a jinx).
I've noticed that Ace Ace's plays often get better (by quite a bit) as hes able to accumulate data, particularly towards play offs.
I invite you, to drop by the nba thread, where hes posting his plays, if you'd like documentation on just how hot, has he been. His is the thread with over 350,000 hits.
Ace Ace......
Todays play
Fla St -5
DJD FROM MYDOLLARPICKS
Early Card.
~TODAY'S PLAYS MARCH 13th~
NCAAB
Michigan State -5.5 -120 vs Minnesota U 2 units
South Carolina -1.5 vs Mississippi State 2 units
Xavier -4 vs Temple 1 unit
Michigan/Illinois Over 118.5 -120 1 unit
Minnesota U/Michigan State Over 122½ -120 2 units
Buffalo/Ball State Over 112 1 unit
Ohio State/Wisconsin Over 118 -120 2 units
NBA
Houston Rockets/Charlotte Bobcats Over 182½ -120 1 unit
Early Card.
~TODAY'S PLAYS MARCH 13th~
NCAAB
Michigan State -5.5 -120 vs Minnesota U 2 units
South Carolina -1.5 vs Mississippi State 2 units
Xavier -4 vs Temple 1 unit
Michigan/Illinois Over 118.5 -120 1 unit
Minnesota U/Michigan State Over 122½ -120 2 units
Buffalo/Ball State Over 112 1 unit
Ohio State/Wisconsin Over 118 -120 2 units
NBA
Houston Rockets/Charlotte Bobcats Over 182½ -120 1 unit
Craig Trapp
Ohio State vs. Wisconsin
Play: Wisconsin -1.5
Ohio State and Wisconsin are both solidly in the NCAA Tournament and now are only playing for seeding in the big dance. These two only played once this year with Wisconsin winning at home by five. The game was close the whole game and Wisconsin pulled away late but did not cover the spread which was 6.
Betting Trends
Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Badgers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
ATS Overall Records
Ohio State 14-11 Overall ATS, 7-4 Away ATS
Wisconsin 12-15 Overall ATS, 6-7 Away ATS
Craig is going to take the Badgers in this match up. Trends and ATS records really don't point to either team having an advantage. When this occurs you must just go with your handicapping skills. This will be a low scoring game and when looking at these situations I always take the better defense. Wisconsin holds there opponents to under 59 points per game and will hold down the Buckeyes today. Don't expect a huge win this one will be close. SCORE WISC 64 - OSU 59
Ohio State vs. Wisconsin
Play: Wisconsin -1.5
Ohio State and Wisconsin are both solidly in the NCAA Tournament and now are only playing for seeding in the big dance. These two only played once this year with Wisconsin winning at home by five. The game was close the whole game and Wisconsin pulled away late but did not cover the spread which was 6.
Betting Trends
Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Badgers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
ATS Overall Records
Ohio State 14-11 Overall ATS, 7-4 Away ATS
Wisconsin 12-15 Overall ATS, 6-7 Away ATS
Craig is going to take the Badgers in this match up. Trends and ATS records really don't point to either team having an advantage. When this occurs you must just go with your handicapping skills. This will be a low scoring game and when looking at these situations I always take the better defense. Wisconsin holds there opponents to under 59 points per game and will hold down the Buckeyes today. Don't expect a huge win this one will be close. SCORE WISC 64 - OSU 59
kindergartencapper
South Carolina over 149(bought the half, but this could drop by tomorrow)
* South Carolina #8 paced team in the nation
* Miss St. #71
* Both teams avg. over 74 pts in Conf. Play and allow around 74/75 in conf. play.
* Last meeting went for 145---USC FG%=42, Miss St FG%= 37.
*Both teams shot terrible from the foul line and there was a lot of fouls called. 29-47 combined
* These teams are a combined 24-13 with o/u's below 150.
*29-19 combined overall o/u's
* Miss has scored 75 or more, 19 out of 32 games
* USC has scored 75 or more, 22 out of 29 games
We need 75 from both and we are good. I'm hoping for a close game and lots of fouls. Maybe even 4 overtimes
Let's keep it going
4-1 yesterday on totals.
8-1 on o/u's in last two days of Conf. Tourney.
44-18 in last 62 NCAAB (70.9%)
South Carolina over 149(bought the half, but this could drop by tomorrow)
* South Carolina #8 paced team in the nation
* Miss St. #71
* Both teams avg. over 74 pts in Conf. Play and allow around 74/75 in conf. play.
* Last meeting went for 145---USC FG%=42, Miss St FG%= 37.
*Both teams shot terrible from the foul line and there was a lot of fouls called. 29-47 combined
* These teams are a combined 24-13 with o/u's below 150.
*29-19 combined overall o/u's
* Miss has scored 75 or more, 19 out of 32 games
* USC has scored 75 or more, 22 out of 29 games
We need 75 from both and we are good. I'm hoping for a close game and lots of fouls. Maybe even 4 overtimes
Let's keep it going
4-1 yesterday on totals.
8-1 on o/u's in last two days of Conf. Tourney.
44-18 in last 62 NCAAB (70.9%)
smooth44
KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY - NORTH CAROLINA -11
(CBB) 12:00PM EST
NORTH CAROLINA -11
***KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY***
I am putting an end to this KPOD losing streak today with the Tar Heels. The line opened at 13 and has quickly dropped to 11 as a result of Lawson's uncertainty. However, what the public fails to recognize is Lawson's status was always questionable and already factored into the opening line. I also believe the public is over-valuing Tech's win yesterday over Miami. Despite that blowout win their showing was less than impressive. Carolina failed to cover the 9.5 point spread on the road just 9 days ago and now opens as a 13 point fave on a neutral floor and with Lawson doubtful?? I don't think so!! Va. Tech was far more desperate for a win in that game and couldn't get it done in front of their home crowd so what makes anyone think they are going to get it done today on a neutral floor?? Bottom line, I will take a very well rested, deep, talented, athletic, and veteran Carolina team any day over a Tech team playing on no rest. Additionally, with all of the upsets yesterday you have to believe this Carolina team, along with a few others, will be extra focused today so not to fall victim to the same embarrassment!! My prediction: NORTH CAROLINA 92 VA TECH 67
OTHER PICKS
(CBB) 1:00PM EST
KENTUCKY +2 -120
(CBB) 2:30PM EST
WISCONSIN -1 -120
(CBB) 3:20PM EST
MISSISSIPPI STATE +2
(CBB) 6:30PM EST
ILLINOIS -2 -120
(CBB) 6:30PM EST
TEMPLE +5 -120
(CBB) 7:30PM EST
BALL STATE +8 -120
(CBB) 9:00PM EST
PURDUE -7
KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY - NORTH CAROLINA -11
(CBB) 12:00PM EST
NORTH CAROLINA -11
***KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY***
I am putting an end to this KPOD losing streak today with the Tar Heels. The line opened at 13 and has quickly dropped to 11 as a result of Lawson's uncertainty. However, what the public fails to recognize is Lawson's status was always questionable and already factored into the opening line. I also believe the public is over-valuing Tech's win yesterday over Miami. Despite that blowout win their showing was less than impressive. Carolina failed to cover the 9.5 point spread on the road just 9 days ago and now opens as a 13 point fave on a neutral floor and with Lawson doubtful?? I don't think so!! Va. Tech was far more desperate for a win in that game and couldn't get it done in front of their home crowd so what makes anyone think they are going to get it done today on a neutral floor?? Bottom line, I will take a very well rested, deep, talented, athletic, and veteran Carolina team any day over a Tech team playing on no rest. Additionally, with all of the upsets yesterday you have to believe this Carolina team, along with a few others, will be extra focused today so not to fall victim to the same embarrassment!! My prediction: NORTH CAROLINA 92 VA TECH 67
OTHER PICKS
(CBB) 1:00PM EST
KENTUCKY +2 -120
(CBB) 2:30PM EST
WISCONSIN -1 -120
(CBB) 3:20PM EST
MISSISSIPPI STATE +2
(CBB) 6:30PM EST
ILLINOIS -2 -120
(CBB) 6:30PM EST
TEMPLE +5 -120
(CBB) 7:30PM EST
BALL STATE +8 -120
(CBB) 9:00PM EST
PURDUE -7
BeatYourBookie.com
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Friday
NCAA Basketball
100* Play Kentucky (+1.5) over LSU (NCAA)
LSU is 1-8 ATS coming off a road loss by 10 points or more
LSU is 6-16 ATS when the line is between +3 to -3
LSU is 3-10 SU vs. Kentucky since 1997
100* Play Mississippi State (+2) over South Carolina (NCAA)
South Carolina is 2-8 ATS coming off a road win the last 3 seasons
South Carolina is 1-5 ATS after allowing 55 points or less
South Carolina is 2-10 SU when revenging a same season loss
100* Play Temple (+4.5) over Xavier (NCAA)
Temple is 3-0 ATS in all tournament games this season
Temple is 2-0 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season
Temple is 7-2 ATS over the last 9 games
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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays
50* Play Milwaukee (+4.5) over New Orleans (NBA)
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Friday
NCAA Basketball
100* Play Kentucky (+1.5) over LSU (NCAA)
LSU is 1-8 ATS coming off a road loss by 10 points or more
LSU is 6-16 ATS when the line is between +3 to -3
LSU is 3-10 SU vs. Kentucky since 1997
100* Play Mississippi State (+2) over South Carolina (NCAA)
South Carolina is 2-8 ATS coming off a road win the last 3 seasons
South Carolina is 1-5 ATS after allowing 55 points or less
South Carolina is 2-10 SU when revenging a same season loss
100* Play Temple (+4.5) over Xavier (NCAA)
Temple is 3-0 ATS in all tournament games this season
Temple is 2-0 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season
Temple is 7-2 ATS over the last 9 games
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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays
50* Play Milwaukee (+4.5) over New Orleans (NBA)
