Service Plays Columbus Day Monday 10/13/08

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Lance's Lock

Overall record: 678-570-24

Current streak: 1 win

Todays play: Under 43' in Giants/Browns
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SPORTS ADVISORS

N.Y. Giants (4-0, 3-1 ATS) at Cleveland (1-3, 2-2 ATS)

The defending Super Bowl champion Giants will try to stay perfect on the season when they head to Cleveland Stadium to take on the struggling Browns.

New York leads the NFL in total offense, gaining 431 yards per game, including 181.2 ypg on the ground led by running back Brandon Jacobs, who ran for 136 yards and two TDs a week ago during a 44-6 home route of Seattle as seven-point favorites. The Giants’ defense hasn’t been too bad this season either, ranking third in the NFL in yards allowed at 236 per game, including just 82 rushing ypg.

Cleveland had last week off after earning its first win of the season, a 20-12 victory at Cincinnati as a one-point ‘dog. The Browns have the NFL’s worst offense this season, mustering just 210.8 total ypg (87.8 on the ground, 123 through the air). ClevelandQB Derek Anderson has been much less than spectacular with his 49.9 passer rating, as he has thrown for just 543 yards with three TDs and six INTs.

These two teams haven’t met in the regular season since 2004 when the Giants scored a 27-10 win at home and cashed as 3½-point favorites. On Monday night, New York is just 11-22-1 SU and 12-21-1 ATS on the road, while Cleveland is 10-8 SU and 11-7 ATS at home in the Monday night spotlight.

Tom Coughlin’s squad has won 12 consecutive road games, going 11-1 ATS during this run, including nine consecutive covers on the highway. The Giants are on additional ATS runs of 19-7 overall, 14-3-1 in October, 7-1 following a spread-cover and 9-4 against teams with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Browns are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 overall, but just 2-6 ATS in their last eight at home against teams with a winning road mark.

The under is 9-3 in New York’s last 12 road games and is 4-1 the last five times the Giants have played on Monday night. For Cleveland, the under is on runs of 9-1 overall, 5-0 at home and 4-0 after a straight-up win, but the over is 7-2-1 the last 10 times the Browns have faced a team with a winning record.

The over is a perfect 6-0 in Monday Night Football games this season.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


ALCS

Tampa Bay (4-2) at Boston (4-2)

After splitting the opening two games in Tampa Bay, this best-of-7 series know shifts to Fenway Park in Boston as the Red Sox have southpaw Jon Lester (17-6, 3.01 ERA) on the mound opposite the Rays’ Matt Garza (11-10, 3.82) for a pivotal Game 3.

After being shut down in the opener 2-0 by Daisuke Matsuzaka, Tampa came back and won Saturday’s Game 2 slugfest 9-8 in 11 innings. The Rays’ B.J. Upton hit a sacrifice fly in the bottom of the 11th off Mike Timlin to even the series.

At Fenway, the Red Sox have won 12 of their last 15 playoff games and they have beaten the Rays 32 of the last 39 meetings in Boston. After losing seven straight at Fenway this season, Tampa took two of three there in September, getting a 14-inning win and scoring two in the ninth to get the other victory. Overall, the Rays have won eight of the last 11 meetings.

Garza did not perform well in the A.L. Divisional Series against Chicago last Sunday, giving up five runs on seven hits in six innings and losing the game 5-3. The Rays are just 1-5 in his last six outings and they have dropped his last four starts on the highway. On the road this season, Garza was just 4-6 in 15 starts with a 4.53 ERA. In six career starts against Boston, he is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 32 2/3 innings.

On the opposite side, Lester was brilliant in two starts against the Angels in the divisional series, allowing just one unearned run in 14 innings of work as the Red Sox won the opening game 4-1 and won the clincher 3-2. Boston has won six of his last seven starts and allowed either one or no runs in the six victories, including a 3-0 shutout of the Rays back on Sept. 8 when he allowed six hits in 7 2/3 innings. Lester is 4-0 with a 3.38 ERA in seven career starts against Tampa Bay.

The Red Sox are 37-15 in Lester’s last 52 starts, 17-5 in his last 22 against the A.L. East and an amazing 23-4 in his last 27 at Fenway. They are on further runs of 23-8 in playoff games, 64-27 at Fenway and a perfect 5-0 against right-handed starters. The Rays are just 2-6 in their last eight games against a left-handed starter and 33-67 in their last 100 roadies against a southpaw starter, but they are 7-1 in their last eight games against teams from the A.L. East.

For Tampa, the under is on runs of 4-1 in Garza’s last five on the road, 5-0 when they face a left-handed starter, 6-2 on Mondays and 4-1 overall. It’s a plethora of unders for the Red Sox, including 5-1 in Lester’s last six starts, 4-0 when he pitches at Fenway, 5-1 when they face a right-handed starter, 5-1-1 at Fenway and 5-1-1 overall. In this rivalry, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Boston and 4-1 when Lester faces Tampa at Fenway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER


NLCS

Philadelphia (5-2) at L.A. Dodgers (4-2)

The Dodgers got themselves back in this series with a win Sunday and now send Derek Lowe (14-11, 3.24) to the mound to face the Phillies’ Joe Blanton (5-0, 3.99) in Game 4 at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers scored five runs in the first inning and cruised to a 7-2 win in Game 3 to cut Philadelphia’s lead to 2-1 in the series. Hiroki Kuroda gave up two runs in six innings to get the win and the Los Angeles bullpen pitched three scoreless innings.

The loss snapped a six-game winning streak the Phillies had on Los Angeles and keeps the home team a perfect 11-0 between these two teams this season. Philadelphia is on a 21-8 run in its last 29 games, 6-3 in its last nine on the road and 7-1 in its last eight against the N.L. West. The Dodgers are just 1-9 in their last 10 against the N.L. East, but on runs of 23-10 overall, 26-9 in Hollywood, 9-2 against teams with a winning record and 7-2 in their last nine against right-handed starters.

Blanton pitched a week ago in Milwaukee when the Phillies wrapped up the divisional series, allowing one run on five hits in six innings of a 6-2 win. The Phillies have won his last five outings and he hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in a game since Sept. 8. He faced the Dodgers back on August 24 and allowed one run on six hits in six innings of a 5-2 victory in Philadelphia. His is 1-0 with a 3.32 ERA in 19 career innings of work against Los Angeles.

Lowe was a tough-luck loser in the opening game of this series back on Thursday when he gave up a two-run homer to Chase Utley and a solo shot to Pat Burrell blowing a 2-0 lead and losing 3-2. In his two playoff outings, Lowe is 1-1 and has allowed four runs (five earned) in 11 1/3 innings of work. In his career against the Phillies he is 4-1 with two saves and a 3.02 ERA. At Dodger Stadium this season, Lowe went 9-5 in 17 starts with a 2.30 ERA.

The under is 5-3 in the last eight clashes between these teams, but the over is 9-1-2 in the last 12 battles at Dodger Stadium (3-1-1 this year). Additionally, for Los Angeles, the over is on runs of 8-3-2 at home, 8-3-1 against teams with a winning record and 24-11-1 on Mondays. But the Phillies are on under streaks of 4-1 on the road, 6-2 in the playoffs, 7-2 against winning teams and 7-3 versus right-handed starters.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS
 
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Charlies Sports

monday oct 13, 2008.

500* giants/browns under 43
30* browns +8'
20* dodgers
20* dodgers/phillies under
10* tampa bay/boston over 8' runs
10* tampa bay +165 Bonus Play
 
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WUNDERDOG

Game: St. Louis at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 5.5 -117

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The St. Louis Blues travel to Toronto to take on the Maple Leafs. Each team enters this game with identical 1-1 records on the young season. Vesa Toskala had a bad game behind the net against Montreal where he allowed six goals and was replaced with 11 minutes left. He should fare better against the Blues where he is an outstanding 6-2 over his career with a 2.37 goals against average. Manyy Lagace will mind the net for the Blues and he has a similar track record against the Maple Leafs where he has allowed 2.98 goals against in six career games. The Blues have played four straight UNDERS on one day’s rest, and the Leafs are 35-16-6 to the UNDER against opponents that allowed five or more goals in their last game, so I'm siding with the UNDER in this one.
 
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WUNDERDOG

Game: Philadelphia at Los Angeles Dodgers (8:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -177 (moneyline)

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The Dodgers got a desperately needed win yesterday to move them to within one game in the series, now down just 2-1. They have their hottest pitcher on the hill with a lot of postseason experience behind him in Derek Lowe for this one. Lowe will get this opportunity at home, where he has been more than two runs a game better on the season. Lowe has a 2.30 ERA at home, and has allowed 29 fewer hits than innings pitched while his WHIP is under one in home games. Joe Blanton is the weakest link on the Phillies staff completing the season with a 4.69 ERA. This series has the look of a seven-gamer, and the Dodgers have their biggest edge of the series here behind Lowe, and at home, so I will back the Blue and White to even things up at two games apiece.​
 
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Big AL

BIG AL's RED-HOT MONDAY BASEBALL WINNER (11-2 RUN)
Dodgers

BIG AL's SCORCHING HOT 100% MONDAY NIGHT FB WINNER
Browns
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ron raymond..

Pick # 2 Saskatchewan Roughriders / Calgary Stampeders Over 55



2008-10-13 RON RAYMOND'S 2-GAME NHL PICK PACK

Pick # 1 Montreal Canadiens (105)





Pick # 2 Vancouver Canucks (110)
 

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St. Louis +1.10 (4 Unit Play)-The Leafs were lucky to win at Detroit and then looked terrible on Saturday against the Canadiens. Their defensive corp looked lost in their own zone and St. Louis is not a bad team and in fact have beaten the Leafs at Toronto in seven straight games. The Blues won their opener and then played badly against the Islanders but they did not have Manny Legace in net for that contest and he is scheduled to play today. The wrong team is favored here and win or lose you need to make a play on St. Louis in this one. Note that this game starts at 10:00 PST.

Buffalo -1.22 (3 Unit Play)-The Sabres are just a much better team than the Islanders right now in my opinion and the price is cheap enough to lay the road favorite.

Montreal/Philadelphia Under 5 1/2 -1.04 (3 Unit Play)-Price and Biron in net here and these teams don't like each other after the Flyers knocked out the Habs last postseason. This should be a hard hitting affair with not many goals.

Carolina +1.18 (3 Unit Play)-Detroit is looking very sluggish to start the season and will have Ty Conklin in net tonight while Carolina has looked inspired thus far this season by winning both games including coming back late and winning in Tampa Bay on Saturday. The home underdog looks sweet at this price.


Oscarxena Sports
 

Rx. Junior
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St. Louis +1.10 (4 Unit Play)-The Leafs were lucky to win at Detroit and then looked terrible on Saturday against the Canadiens. Their defensive corp looked lost in their own zone and St. Louis is not a bad team and in fact have beaten the Leafs at Toronto in seven straight games. The Blues won their opener and then played badly against the Islanders but they did not have Manny Legace in net for that contest and he is scheduled to play today. The wrong team is favored here and win or lose you need to make a play on St. Louis in this one. Note that this game starts at 10:00 PST.

Buffalo -1.22 (3 Unit Play)-The Sabres are just a much better team than the Islanders right now in my opinion and the price is cheap enough to lay the road favorite.

Montreal/Philadelphia Under 5 1/2 -1.04 (3 Unit Play)-Price and Biron in net here and these teams don't like each other after the Flyers knocked out the Habs last postseason. This should be a hard hitting affair with not many goals.

Carolina +1.18 (3 Unit Play)-Detroit is looking very sluggish to start the season and will have Ty Conklin in net tonight while Carolina has looked inspired thus far this season by winning both games including coming back late and winning in Tampa Bay on Saturday. The home underdog looks sweet at this price.


Oscarxena Sports

Great start, Toronto up 3-0 after the 1st. You can tell these guys don't know what they're doing because no respectable handicapper uses decimals. Its +110 not +1.10. They probably even say positive 110 instead of plus 110. :lol:
 

"Silly Bulldogs Football is for Rebels"
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Roman

Analyst: Eddie Roman
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center width=420 height=30>20,000 Unit MNF Insiders Lock</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
[FONT=arial, helvetica, sans-serif]FIRST EVER 20,000 UNIT
MONDAY NIGHT INSIDER
LOCK OF MY CAREER
[/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Cleveland Browns +8.5 over New York[/FONT]
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the corporation

the corporation..Enjoy!
Analyst: The Corporation
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center width=420 height=30>100 Dime Club Pro Release #5</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
[FONT=arial, helvetica, sans-serif]100 DIME CLUB PRO RELEASE #5[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Under the posted total of 43.5 ([/FONT][FONT=arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Cleveland/New York)[/FONT]

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I just bought this. Can someone please pick up Budin and Patron?

The corp is 23-5 since last year.
 

Always Use Good Money Management
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akmens baseball

red sox with lester...gl to all.. uncle caesar called but i was on the golf course when he calls back i will post his info..
 

Crush
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Big AL

BIG AL's RED-HOT MONDAY BASEBALL WINNER (11-2 RUN)
Dodgers

BIG AL's SCORCHING HOT 100% MONDAY NIGHT FB WINNER
Browns
 

"Silly Bulldogs Football is for Rebels"
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Roman with WriteUp

Analyst: Eddie Roman
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center width=420 height=30>20,000 Unit MNF Insiders Lock</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
[FONT=arial, helvetica, sans-serif]FIRST EVER 20,000 UNIT
MONDAY NIGHT INSIDER
LOCK OF MY CAREER
[/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Cleveland Browns +8.5 over New York[/FONT]
Here's my reasoning for this game. Are the Giants better? Absolutely. Should they win this game by 21 easy? Definitely. Does that translate into a Monday night blowout? Absolutely Not. It doesn't work like that.
It didn't work like that last year when Dallas went to Buffalo as a 10.5 point favorite and needed a miracle just to win the game, forget covering it.
It didn't work like that when New England went to Baltimore as well last year as a big favorite and nearly lost outright.
It didn't work two year's ago when Chicago went to Arizona as a big favorite and nearly lost outright.
It didn't work in 2004 when Denver went to Cincinnati as a 7 point favorite and lost outright by 13.
These were all games that the public loved the favorite. The public knew there would be a blowout and like usual the public was wrong.
I can't explain the unexplainable but it happens. I played the sport, I've been on teams that should have just crushed other teams and we didn't and to this day, I can't explain why we didn't.
The whole world will be on the Giants tonight. Minnesota went down as a big favorite yesterday as did the Redskins. The Panthers were the most bet team on the board and they got bombed. The public got hammered so what the public will do is bet the team on Monday night that can't lose. Now watch what happens.
The Browns will be in this game tonight. We might not be able to understand how, but they will be. If gambling were this easy, we would all be millionaires.
The numbers support the Giants. The rosters supports the Giants. The coaching supports the Giants. There's no stat I can come up with football wise that will support the Browns. But like I have said, I played this game, I scouted this game, The Browns, by hook or crook will find a way to stay in this game. They might not win it outright but they will scare the Giants. Trust me on that. Take the points here
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Steven Budin-CEO
MONDAY'S PICK 25 DIME

NEW YORK GIANTS


Anybody doing a "tally" count?
 

Always Use Good Money Management
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Uncle Caesar Play

Odd, first time he has told me of a teaser that I recall but it is getting hammered. Giants and under. He advises to play it down to NYG -2.5 so that means 6.5 teaser where he is as he is hanging 9 on the game as of five minutes ago. i have NYG -2.5 and under 49.5 myself.. Gl as always to eveyone...
 

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