Service Plays Columbus Day 10/12/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL LONG SHEET

Week 15

Monday, October 12

CALGARY (8 - 5) at MONTREAL (11 - 2) - 10/12/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (5 - 8) at HAMILTON (6 - 7) - 10/12/2009, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 6-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL


MONDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 465-466: Calgary at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 113.735; Montreal 118.101
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+6 1/2); Over

Game 467-468: Winnipeg at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.137; Hamilton 110.074
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 3; 43
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+6 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Canadian Bacon

Monday, October 12

Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes (-6, 51.5)

Will this be a preview of the next Grey Cup? It could very well be. The Alouettes will most likely play without RB Avon Cobourne (groin injury) but their running game should still be potent with backup Brendan Whittaker. Montreal’s Anthony Calvillo and Calgary’s Henry Burris are two of the best quarterbacks in the game. Both can throw to some of the best wide receivers in the business. But Burris has been a disappointment in his last three outings, with a QB rating of only 57.1. Calgary won a narrow 15-14 win against Hamilton last week without scoring a touchdown – the first since 1995. It will be tough for Burris to rebound against the tightest defence in the CFL. The last time these two teams met, the Alouettes won 40-27 in the season opener in Calgary. Despite Cobourne’s absence, the Als, at home, should once again prevail.

Pick: Montreal -6


Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger Cats (-6, 47)

Veteran QB Kevin Glenn would sure like to face the team that rejected him after last season. But Quinton Porter is the No. 1 QB in Hamilton and, despite Glenn’s displeasure with that situation, nothing gives the impression that coach Marcel Bellefeuille has changed his mind. The Tiger Cats, after pulling a few upsets, have lost three of their last four games. This will be a game with much at stake. With a third win in a row, the Bombers would rise to second place in the East, tied with the Tiger Cats. These two teams will meet again on November 8 in the last game of the regular season. The Bombers have made peace with veteran linebacker Barrin Simpson, who returned to the practice field Wednesday but it is still unclear whether he will play or not on this Thanksgiving game. But the Bombers will be in need of a middle linebacker after Joe Lobendahn was injured last week against the Eskimos and I would be surprised if Simpson didn’t play Monday. Wide Receiver Terrence Edward, who missed the last two games due to a concussion, could also be back in the lineup. Import DE Gavin Walls missed Wednesday’s practice with a knee injury and may miss the game. Last time these two met in Hamilton, The Tiger Cats won 25-13. Expect a similar result.

Pick: Hamilton -6

(Last Week 3-1, season 29-23)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL ADDITIONAL

Week 15

Trend Report

Monday, October 12

1:00 PM
CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
Calgary is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

4:30 PM
WINNIPEG vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Winnipeg's last 22 games
Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Hamilton is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL WRITE-UP


Week 15 CFL games

Monday, October 12

Calgary (8-5) @ Montreal (11-2)-- Calgary lost its season opener 40-27 at home to Montreal, getting outrushed 176-54; both teams turned ball over three times in game. Stampeders won five of their last six games, are 3-3 on road, with losses by 12-3-7 points. Alouettes won their last four games, covered last three; they're 3-3 as home favorite, winning at home by 34-13-25-9-4-19. Five of last six Calgary games stayed under total.

Winnipeg (5-8) @ Hamilton (7-6)-- Bombers won last two games after a 1-4 skid; they're 4-2 as road dog, losing its away games by 2-12-8-15-19 points TiCats lost their last two games, scoring 8-14 points; they're 5-2 at home, 2-1 vs spread as a fave. Bombers (+1.5) lost 25-13 at Hamilton in Week 3, despite four turnovers- they threw for 325 yards. Last four Hamilton games stayed under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Phoenix Coyotes at San Jose Sharks (-190, 5.5)

The Sharks have won three of their last four games and a red-hot offense is the reason why. San Jose has scored four or more goals in each of its last four games thanks to a surge from former captain Patrick Marleau.

The speedy center scored two goals and added an assist Saturday against the Minnesota Wild. The three-point outburst gives Marleau five goals and six points on the season.

After the Sharks disappointing first round exit in last season’s playoffs, fingers started pointing at the team’s captain. Head coach Todd McLellan stripped Marleau of the C but the long-time Shark doesn’t seem to be letting that affect his play.

“I don’t know how a person could handle all that,” teammate and new captain Robe Blake told the San Jose Mercury News. “He was as professional as any athlete could possibly be. He comes here every day like absolutely nothing is wrong or happened. With the way he’s plyaing, it doesn’t seem like anything can bother him.”

Marleau is the key to the Sharks' attack. There isn't as much weight on Joe Thornton and Dany Heatley when Marleau's line is producing.

Look for San Jose’s offense to stay hot tonight against the Coyotes. The over is 4-1 in the Sharks five games this season.

Pick: Over


Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning (-145, 5.5)

While the Lightning were ecstatic to pick up their first win of the season Saturday against the Hurricanes, Tampa Bay supporters would like to see more offensive production from Vincent Lecavalier.

The superstar center was expected to get off to a quick start because of the offseason addition to playmaker winger Alex Tanguay, but Lecavalier is yet to score a goal after his first four games.

“[Tanguay and Lecavalier] have had a lot of chances. I’d be worried if they weren’t getting them,” Lightning coach Rick Tochett told the St. Petersburgh Times.

It sounds like goalie Mike Smith will make his first start since getting run over by the Devils Jamie Langenbrunner. Smith compared the impact to getting hit by a small truck.

Expect the Lightning to break out offensively and the Panthers to convert several chances against a netminder coming off an injury.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL DUNKEL

MONDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 427-428: NY Jets at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 136.544; Miami 131.188
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 5 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 1 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-1 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL LONG SHEET

Week 5

Monday, October 12

NY JETS (3 - 1) at MIAMI (1 - 3) - 10/12/2009, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL SHORT SHEET

Week 5

Monday, 10/12/2009

NY JETS at MIAMI, 8:35 PM ET ESPN
NY JETS: 38-22 ATS Away vs. division
MIAMI: 4-14 ATS in home games


NFL ADDITIONAL

Week 5

Trend Report

Monday, October 12

8:30 PM
NY JETS vs. MIAMI
NY Jets are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games
Miami is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Miami is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets


NFL WRITE-UP

Week 5 games

Monday, October 12

Jets (3-1) @ Dolphins (1-3)-- Two starting QBs have combined five starts in NFL; Jets covered just one of last five games as road favorite, while Miami is 5-7 vs spread in last dozen tries as home dog. Fish can run ball, gaining 239-149-250 yards on ground last three weeks- they converted 9-17 on third down in Henne's first start. His stronger arm allows Miami to stretch field more than they could with Pennington under center. Saint defense scored two TDs in last weeks win over Jets, as Sanchez finally made some rookie mistakes. In last ten seasons, Jets are 4-0 against the Dolphins on Monday Night football.

 

[stuckforever]

Al DeMarco
Monday's Play

10 Dime - New York Jets



This game is priced around 2 1/2, although there are a few 3's offshore as I post it very late Sunday night. If you have either 2 1/2, 3, or 3 1/2 in this contest, go ahead and buy the half point down in each circumstance.





I'll be returning with my analysis by 9 AM Eastern. Please return after that time and login once more to retrieve it.



Thanks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Strike Point

NFL - Week Five

2-Unit Play. #427 Take New York Jets -1.5 over Miami (Monday 10/12 - 8:30 p.m. EST)

The Jets should get a major boost with Braylon Edwards, but more so I think Mark Sanchez will bounce back with another efficient effort and work towards getting his team back in the win column. After some bad turnovers New York will dial back the plays and should focus on getting Thomas Jones and Leon Washington set up with the running game. The ground attack and more defense will be enough on Monday night.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Diceituponline

Jets -2 = 10 Dimes

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Colin Cowherd

NY Jets minus the points (Jets win 27-9)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise Phone Service

2* MIAMI

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EROCK MONEY

Fins +2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux

#428 - NFL - 3 units on Miami +1.5

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

*****Posted by core42*****
Thanks man.

Allen Eastman (ACE-ACE)

$300.00 Take #428 Miami (+2) over New York Jets
How about another big Monday Night Football winner! Everyone loves the Jets right now and I expect that the public will keep pounding them now that they traded for Braylon Edwards. Not us. Miami has played well for three straight weeks but just doesn’t have the wins to show for it. This is also their second Monday Night Football game already this year and I think that it will be less of a distraction and be a big advantage for them. The Jets were physically beaten in New Orleans last week and I think that they have lost a little bit of their swagger. Miami is one of the more physical teams in the NFL and I think that they will be able to stop the run and make Mark Sanchez beat them. So far he hasn’t proven to this capper that he can do that.
IN THE TOP 40 ONLY 3 OF US ARE ON MIA,,,,, 11 ON NYJ!! THATS WHAT i LIKE TO SEE.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DR BOB

NY Jets (-1.5) 20 MIAMI 13
12-Oct-09 05:30 PM Pacific Time
I'll consider New York a Strong Opinion at -2 1/2 or less

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Boys

New York Jets -2