since early week update...
-2.00 SKC
+1.00 America (1.68)
+.60 Porto/Barca (.5)
+.50 Napoli (.64)
+.50 Basel (.64)
+.50 Milan (.55)
+.82 Yeovil (1)
+.84 Perez (1)
-.50 Aragua
+1.00 RBNY (1.23)
= 8-0-2 +3.26 (9.74)
YTD 284-24-207 +76.27 (641.86)
30-2-8 thread...
-2.00 SKC
+1.00 America (1.68)
+.60 Porto/Barca (.5)
+.50 Napoli (.64)
+.50 Basel (.64)
+.50 Milan (.55)
+.82 Yeovil (1)
+.84 Perez (1)
-.50 Aragua
+1.00 RBNY (1.23)
= 8-0-2 +3.26 (9.74)
YTD 284-24-207 +76.27 (641.86)
30-2-8 thread...
yeah, odds got beat down from -120 to -133 after i posted but that's the game. i would try some HT/FT and -1.5 +200 as well
one add today...
England C1 Cup
Sunderland 1u to win .80u
-everyone is on L1 Posh to pull the upset because of the chaos at Sunderland but talent is a very one sided deal here. Take into account that Sundy's players are current valued at nearly $120M euros (9th in Premiership) while Posh are under $10M (4th in L1 so approx 35 clubs between them) and you can see the difference. Big class diff and odds keep going on one side so I'll oppose the market. Not sure i've ever seen -125 for a EPL club home to a L1 one....
one add today...
England C1 Cup
Sunderland 1u to win .80u
-everyone is on L1 Posh to pull the upset because of the chaos at Sunderland but talent is a very one sided deal here. Take into account that Sundy's players are current valued at nearly $120M euros (9th in Premiership) while Posh are under $10M (4th in L1 so approx 35 clubs between them) and you can see the difference. Big class diff and odds keep going on one side so I'll oppose the market. Not sure i've ever seen -125 for a EPL club home to a L1 one....
Can't speak for RT, but I like Montreal because Impact still have a slim chance to advance in this competition. Chances are really close to zero but any scenario which would see it happen involved Montreal winning by a very large margin tonight. Aside from the 1% chance of advancing, there is a quite a bit of difference in class between these two sides. Montreal did lose in the reverse fixture but they were playing with 10men for majority of match before conceding a late gol. Montreal is also fielding a strong XI... altho Di Vaio is starting on the bench, I expect him to come on in the 2h to reign havoc on what should be a tired heredio defense.
varkey, never advocated this as any sort of GOY or anything. My avg bet this year is 1.25u and this one is double an avg bet. that's all...nothing to blow out of proportion. it's a nice bet, nothing more
if truly interested here is my preview from a closed european forum
if truly interested here is my preview from a closed european forum
While they are unlikely to qualify they are fully focused on this match as the coach believes this could be the decisive game going down the stretch to gain confidence before MLS playoffs while keeping slim hopes of qualifying alive in this tourney. Impact are now on a 3 game slide with b2b 3-0 defeats which is keeping the odds ridiculously high tonight as they shouldn't be higher than 1.50. Massive talent gap b/w MLS and Guatemala and Heredia are not in the class of the big-2, Cremas and Rojos, and are horrendous on the road. This will be first time away in international competition and Guatemalan teams don't fare well against Mexicans, Costa Ricans, and MLS clubs who are the class of concacaf. Take Cremas, the best club in Guatemala, for example. In the past 10 years the only teams they've taken any road points from were TnT clubs and against MLS/CR/Mex they are 0-0-5 4/14. No different for Municipal with 0-0-5 4/16 in CCL's current format away from home against teams in those 3 leagues so Guate a combined 0-0-10 8/30 and now Heredia test their luck in Canada against a really good Montreal team. The Impact have the ability to absolutely drub teams at home as they've showed this year with 5-0 vs Houston, 6-0 vs Toronto, 5-3 vs Philly, 2-0 vs Chicago as they typically start fast and then pile on from there. At home they are a league best +11 goal differential in 1H with a league-high 15 first half home goals scored. Heredia will hope to sit back and defend as one point is all they need but this is a team with no confidence away from home domestically (had gone winless in 27 away until beating Marquense in March) so an early goal will shake them.
