Abe Calls for Weaker Yen
By
TATSUO ITO And
WILLIAM MALLARD
TOKYO—Japan's incoming prime minister fired a volley in what market watchers warn could become a global currency war, saying the country had to defend itself against currency devaluations by other governments by making sure the yen weakens as well.
Shinzo Abe, on a television talk show Sunday, called on Japan's central bank to resist what he described as moves by the U.S. and Europe to cheapen their currencies, and noted that a yen level of around ¥90 to the dollar—it was at ¥84.26 late Friday—would support the profits of Japan's own exporters.
"Central banks around the world are printing money, supporting their economies and increasing exports. America is the prime example," said Mr. Abe, referring to the Federal Reserve's policy of flooding the market with dollars by purchasing massive amounts of
Treasury bonds and other assets. "If it goes on like this, the yen will inevitably strengthen. It's vital to resist this," he said.
It's "completely different" for Japanese companies if the dollar is in the 80-yen range, as it is now, as opposed to the ¥90s, Mr. Abe continued. If the dollar "is above ¥85, companies that haven't been paying taxes until now [because they don't have profits]...can pay taxes."
Mr. Abe's comments, his most explicit yet on the level of the yen, come as a host of countries are taking steps that end up weakening the values of their currencies or stopping them from rising. Some, like the U.S., are trying to bolster weak economies with aggressive monetary easing; others are intervening directly in the markets to keep their currencies from strengthening.
South Korea's central bank last month sold won and bought at least $1 billion in the
currency market to curb a steep rise in its currency, according to traders, and its officials warned against "excessive" moves that would hurt the nation's exporters.
Bank of England Gov. Mervyn King told The Wall Street Journal this month he fears that "2013 could be a challenging year in which we will, in fact, see a number of countries trying to push down their exchange rates. That does lead to concerns."
Japan has reined in its own currency interventions this year, following an unusual criticism of its forays into the market by the U.S. Treasury a year ago. Mr. Abe himself takes a dim view of
intervention, saying in a November interview with the Journal that it is "hardly effective."
Instead, he is ramping up pressure on the Bank of Japan for aggressive steps including "unlimited easing" to whip the country's chronic deflation and keep the yen's strength in check. On Sunday, Mr. Abe repeated calls for the bank to set a firm 2% target for price inflation at its January policy-board meeting, and threatened to take legislative action to force the bank's hand if it doesn't act on its own.
The BOJ last week said it would consider a price target at its January meeting, and unveiled what it called an unprecedented program to provide cheap funds to commercial banks in return for an increase in their
loans—including loans to finance acquisitions overseas.
The central bank's rare admission that it was targeting the value of the yen as well as attempting to boost economic growth has already prompted warnings from some currency experts.
"Monetary easing in itself won't be a problem. But if that is linked to a weaker currency, that will be viewed as a beggar-thy-neighbor policy," said Osamu Takashima, chief foreign-exchange strategist at Citibank.
Mr. Abe and other heavyweights in his Liberal Democratic Party appear to be favoring only a moderate weakening of the yen, since the country's import tab has shot up following the nuclear accident of March 2011. The accident effectively resulted in the idling of most of Japan's nuclear plants, and fossil-fuel purchases have surged as a result.
"Given Japan's industrial structure, it's not the case of the weaker the yen the better," said Shigeru Ishiba, the LDP's No. 2 ranked politician and a key Abe lieutenant, in a TV interview Friday, according to local media reports. "We need to think about how to maintain it around ¥85-¥90" to the dollar.
Yuji Saito, director of foreign exchange at
Crédit Agricole ACA.FR -2.51% in Tokyo, said Abe's team is sending "a wise message that what they want is just to correct the extremely strong yen—not to pursue weakening the yen. The ¥85-¥90 range should be a comfortable zone for everyone including exporters, importers and banks as well as international partners such as South Korea and the U.S."
Were Mr. Abe targeting the dollar at ¥100, the incoming government might "press the BOJ too much," Mr. Saito said, potentially upsetting the Japanese government-bond market—which has remained steady despite Mr. Abe's reflationary campaign—and driving long-term interest rates up.
—Takashi Mochizuki and In-Soo Nam contributed to this article.
Write to Tatsuo Ito at
tatsuo.ito@dowjones.com and William Mallard at
billy.mallard@dowjones.com