It is interesting to me that Seattle O has come alive as Wilson's Knee has gotten stronger, AVG'g over 25 points a game...here's a couple of trends that make you go HMMM
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 25.6, OPPONENT 23.7
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 24.4, OPPONENT 26.7
Seattle has been UP and Down all season - but in the first match up they had no running game and Wilson was hobbled.
I think you have really think hard on the Seahawk PO experience Vs's ATL's.
Seattle's Game plan has to be control the clock on offense and get after Matt Ryan on defense. Pocket passers that get pressured are rarely successful (Brady) and look at Ryan's PO history when that has happened.
Atlanta's Key to success is to run the ball to set up play action and the passing game. In the first meeting in Seattle the Hawks built an early 1st half lead and the Falcons only rushed the ball for 58 yrds as a result. If Atl becomes one dimensional again I think they will be in trouble. Atlanta came out on fire in the 2nd half and scored 21 in the 3rd Q - They really picked on Shead and I remember the Seattle secondary making some coverage gaffes, I guess ATL saw something in that game they deployed in the 2nd half.
Alot has been said about no Earl Thomas - Seattle is fully adjusted to playing without Thomas now and I should note that in the first match Cam Chancellor did not play. Having Chancellor back in the mix will help with Julio in the passing game Thomas out Chancellor in is wash for Seattle's defense. Wagner - Avril - Bennett - Wright win the Line scrimmage and control the running game.
Also I wanted to point out that when ever Seattle travels to play in the NFC south they usually start slow or play poorly - Obviously the body clock is messed up routine is disrupted etc....This game starts at 135pm PST, 4:35 EST - which is Seattle's normal start time when playing at home if anything Atlanta's game day routine will be disrupted.
Lastly I wanted to point out that -4.5 -210 is a low money line for a home Favorite in fact it is 0-2 ATS on my chart now of course that could change I see ATL ATS is starting to move. But my books is clearly asking for ATL ML bets and the public is giving the hawks strong backing on ML 80%.
I would not be surprised if Seattle Covers and wins this game - They are strong team that has experience on their side they are the Better Defense, and possess an Offense that has come to life thanks to Wilson's return to health. He is a winner its not always pretty but he does get it done.
I think we see a re-match of Gbay and Seattle in Seattle next week - wouldn't that be fun!
GL guys enjoy the games
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 25.6, OPPONENT 23.7
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 24.4, OPPONENT 26.7
Seattle has been UP and Down all season - but in the first match up they had no running game and Wilson was hobbled.
I think you have really think hard on the Seahawk PO experience Vs's ATL's.
Seattle's Game plan has to be control the clock on offense and get after Matt Ryan on defense. Pocket passers that get pressured are rarely successful (Brady) and look at Ryan's PO history when that has happened.
Atlanta's Key to success is to run the ball to set up play action and the passing game. In the first meeting in Seattle the Hawks built an early 1st half lead and the Falcons only rushed the ball for 58 yrds as a result. If Atl becomes one dimensional again I think they will be in trouble. Atlanta came out on fire in the 2nd half and scored 21 in the 3rd Q - They really picked on Shead and I remember the Seattle secondary making some coverage gaffes, I guess ATL saw something in that game they deployed in the 2nd half.
Alot has been said about no Earl Thomas - Seattle is fully adjusted to playing without Thomas now and I should note that in the first match Cam Chancellor did not play. Having Chancellor back in the mix will help with Julio in the passing game Thomas out Chancellor in is wash for Seattle's defense. Wagner - Avril - Bennett - Wright win the Line scrimmage and control the running game.
Also I wanted to point out that when ever Seattle travels to play in the NFC south they usually start slow or play poorly - Obviously the body clock is messed up routine is disrupted etc....This game starts at 135pm PST, 4:35 EST - which is Seattle's normal start time when playing at home if anything Atlanta's game day routine will be disrupted.
Lastly I wanted to point out that -4.5 -210 is a low money line for a home Favorite in fact it is 0-2 ATS on my chart now of course that could change I see ATL ATS is starting to move. But my books is clearly asking for ATL ML bets and the public is giving the hawks strong backing on ML 80%.
I would not be surprised if Seattle Covers and wins this game - They are strong team that has experience on their side they are the Better Defense, and possess an Offense that has come to life thanks to Wilson's return to health. He is a winner its not always pretty but he does get it done.
I think we see a re-match of Gbay and Seattle in Seattle next week - wouldn't that be fun!
GL guys enjoy the games
Great write up, thanks.
If Procise can play and is 100%, that would be huge for Seattle.
Also, I wonder why Wilson did not (really) run last week against Detroit, his knee brace was off for the first time; maybe because he did not need to (26-6) but I still wonder.
A month ago he declared himself healthy and looked a full step slower (with the brace still on) when he was being chased, he could not outrun LB's as he had usually done in the past.
IF he is his old self and runs a half dozen or more run option plays Seattle should be able to control the ball and score enough to win.
There's a few good judges against me on this call but I am more confident on this play than when I declared Seattle certainties to beat Denver in the SB a few years back (it's there in my post history) this is the game I feel stronger about than in years, see if I'm right in a few hours I gues GL if you're on my side go Hotlanta!!!!
SEA was coming off a bye week last time these 2 met.
And ATL was on 2 week road trip. Didnt go home after the DEN game before SEA.
Now ATL is the rested home team.
And ATL was on 2 week road trip. Didnt go home after the DEN game before SEA.
Now ATL is the rested home team.
it's hard to argue that this year's falcons aren't as good
i mean matty ice is having a ridiculous season and while sanu/hardy/julio isn't equivalent to roddy/julio/harry, the run game is significantly better making our offense way more balanced
defense will always be the weak spot for atl (alford's penalties will drive a coach crazy) but overall the balanced and incredible offense this year i think can take the falcons to the next round. i expect a shootout
How do you figure?
As of "when"?
Starters?
Defense + Offense + special teams?
The whole 53 man roster?
Look at the names of the key players on defense and offense that have contributed for years. Wilson, Baldwin, Graham, Luke Wilson, Britt, Kearse, Bennett, Avril, Wagner, Sherman, Chancellor, Hauschka to name a few.
And a veteran, very successful playoff head coach...
Give me a break.
You did not answer the question. If based upon 53 man roster, your data is ca ca.
I am aware the OL is green, but it has improved, jelled.
And Rawls has been around to replace Lynch, he has been injured, he might be one of the best backs in the NFL and is now healthy. Chris Collingsworth said long before last weeks game that Rawls is incredibly talented, speed, power, vision.
RE your claim, if you look at the 53 man roster to determine the average age of players, then it is not statistically relevant to the issue of WHO is on the field on O and D in key positions. AND who coaches.
