He is contending (making assertions) that specific areas in the point spread spectrum are profitable. If you refer to Microbrothers' incredible database, you will find that for football and basketball (pro and college) his profitable point spreads for the most part do not agree with results going back over 20 years. In other words, I cannot verify what he is saying by checking an independent source.
I just looked at Microbrother's College Basektball database, and the profitable point spreads the Sports Betting Professor sites cannot be verified. There is no way that there can be this much variance. Someone's data is wrong. And, since Microbrothers has been around for many years, I would argue that they have more credibility.
Look guys, you can randomly select three games and have only a 12.5% change of losing all three. You add a three step chase to it, and what appears to be a profitable system, is nothing more than random variance. I knew his College Basketball system was flawed, so I am fading it. Do accept someone's claims without verifying the data. It is dangerous to your financial health!
His strict CBK system plays are 5-10 without the chase. With the abc chase, you won one series and lost another. So you are really in the hole if if you are chasing.
the logic to his chase is that each individual bet of his (according to his word) will have a winning rate of 55% (or 53 i cant remember) min to 63% max. So the probability of not winning at least one of the 3 will be from (.45 x.45 x .45) = 9.1% to 5% (0.37^3) and since a lost will lost between 7-8 win therefore his system in theory will be profitable.
In addition, if what he claim were true then even if his pick is hitting @ the minimum of 55% then according to probability he will max profit no matter which system he use because he can pick the winner often enough to canceled out the juice.
For 55% ATS you will win 50 unit (55 @ -110) and lost 45 so out of 100 bets you will win 5 units.
In addition, if what he claim were true then even if his pick is hitting @ the minimum of 55% then according to probability he will max profit no matter which system he use because he can pick the winner often enough to canceled out the juice.
For 55% ATS you will win 50 unit (55 @ -110) and lost 45 so out of 100 bets you will win 5 units.
Unbelievable... I don't think your get what I'm saying.
There is no pattern. For example... If you bet on the MLB using JM's system...
You take a 3 game series backing say the NYY vs BOS. The sequence of the 3 bets would be on the Yankees and if you strictly play the system you can't deviate, end of story. If you missed say the C bet and they happened to win, it's not like you can place a new C bet on the first game of the Yankees next series. That would be insane
When i said you could do whatever you want, I meant you could play your A bet in Dec, B bet in Jan and C bet in Feb. Don't get me wrong this would be wierd, but I'm trying to make the point that there is no logic.
Are you getting what I'm saying??
Yes, I got what you are saying from the beginning. I guess azerg explained it better. i said basically the same thing. And yes, in theory you could play your A, B and C bets a month apart just as you could play them all in the same day if they fit the system. So they biggest question we have is the research valid. LVSP believes not.
well you cant simply back checking his record like that i guess. During ,our short experience with his pick, how many -1 or +13,14 NBA have you seen in the past 2wks... lets me guess more than 10? but have many did he sent on his e-mail? 1 or 2 i think. It is for this reason that you can not just back track his past performance. The only way we cant verified his pick is to ask someone who have been using the system for a few year.
well you cant simply back checking his record like that i guess. During ,our short experience with his pick, how many -1 or +13,14 NBA have you seen in the past 2wks... lets me guess more than 10? but have many did he sent on his e-mail? 1 or 2 i think. It is for this reason that you can not just back track his past performance. The only way we cant verified his pick is to ask someone who have been using the system for a few years, unfortunately i don't know anyone who actually post his record on this forum.
according to Blaaze his record for NBA this year is:
Alright, I'm officially pissed off and have been for the past 14 hours or so. Before I posted the Heat play, the last update was Jermaine O'Neal was moved up to Probable. Then before game time they announced he wasn't playing.
For those of you who held off and didn't make the bet right away, and then laid off entirely because of that, congratulations. Unfortunately, I did not so it will be recorded as a loss. Still hitting 74% of all straight bets in NBA (record of 37 wins and 13 losses) but it's still got me
Alright, I'm officially pissed off and have been for the past 14 hours or so. Before I posted the Heat play, the last update was Jermaine O'Neal was moved up to Probable. Then before game time they announced he wasn't playing.
For those of you who held off and didn't make the bet right away, and then laid off entirely because of that, congratulations. Unfortunately, I did not so it will be recorded as a loss. Still hitting 74% of all straight bets in NBA (record of 37 wins and 13 losses) but it's still got me
NBA (A) Washington LOST (B) Mavericks LOST (C) -
NCAAB (A) North Texas LOST (B) Uconn LOST (C) Purdue-3.5
NFL (A) Chargers LOST (B) -
Record starting 1/14/10
NBA system 0-0, overall 0-2 Last win: None -3.5 units
NCAAB system 0-1, overall 0-5 Last win: None -11.8 units
NFL system 1-0, overall 1-1 Last win: Saints -.1 units
All -15.4 units
NCAAB (A) North Texas LOST (B) Uconn LOST (C) Purdue-3.5
NFL (A) Chargers LOST (B) -
Record starting 1/14/10
NBA system 0-0, overall 0-2 Last win: None -3.5 units
NCAAB system 0-1, overall 0-5 Last win: None -11.8 units
NFL system 1-0, overall 1-1 Last win: Saints -.1 units
All -15.4 units
