hoiduitu
taken from SB Professor system explanation
The basic premise behind the system is
simple: There are certain point spreads where
the favorite covers at a higher rate than
usual. Conversely, there are point spreads
where it’s better to bet on the underdog
because favorites cover at such a low
percentage.
During the course of our research on
NBA basketball, we found out a couple of
interesting principles.
1.The same point spread that Favorites
cover at home, they are likely to cover on
the road
2.Large Underdogs do well at home and on
the road, but slightly better on the road.
To do the research for NBA Basketball, I used
the same point spreads as in NFL and NCAA
football, between 1 pt. and 13 pt. favorites.
If you do not understand what a point
spread is let me explain. If the Golden State
Warriors are playing the Denver Nuggets
and the point spread is listed as Golden St
-2.5, we read that as ‘Golden St. minus 2.5,’
and this means the Warriors are a 2.5 point
favorite. In this example the Warriors must
win by 3 points or more for a bet on Golden
St. to be a winner.