JOSEPH D'AMICO
Joe Ds 28-6 NCAAF ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE
Game: (361) Wake Forest at (362) Clemson
Date/Time: Nov 20 2021 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Wake Forest +4.5 (-110)
Wake Forest.
Oddsmakers Mistake.
Game 361.
9:00 am pst.
Clemson fans, I wouldn’t get too excited over the teams three-game SU win streak. For us bettors, the Tigers are still point spread poison, donning a 2-8 ATS mark this season. Wake Forest, which is 6-0 in conference play, has a chance to lock up their first ACC Atlantic title since 2006. And trust me folks, nothing would be sweeter than clinching it this week against the team which has dominated this league the last several seasons. The Tigers defense is good. But in three of their last four contests (let’s throw out the Huskies, they stink), their stop-unit has allowed 71 points. The Demon Deacons own the nation’s No.2 scoring offense, averaging 44.7 PPG. Sam Hartman, who has tallied 3,163 yards passing, a 60% completion rate and 30/8 on the ratio is much more reliable than his counterpart, DJ Uiagelelei. Wake Forest has shaken up and gotten to much better quarterbacks this year folks. The team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings with the Tigers and 13-6 ATS the last 19 games played as a road ‘dog. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a winning record and 2-8 ATS the last 10 games played in the favorite role. Take Wake Forest. I like them on the money line but I will take the 4.5 points here. Thank you.
Released November 19, 2021 7:56 PM EST
Joe Ds 28-8-1 NCAAF BOOKIE BUSTER
Game: (401) Iowa State at (402) Oklahoma
Date/Time: Nov 20 2021 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Iowa State +3.5 (-110)
Iowa State.
Bookie Buster.
Game 401.
9:00 am pst.
With all respect to the Sooners, they just don’t look as good as their record. They are going up against one of the nation’s toughest, stingiest, and most-frustrating defenses (20.5 PPG allowed) here. The Cyclones are equally string against the pass as well as the rush. Let’s be honest, Oklahoma’s quarterbacks are starting to crack. Iowa State is very well-balanced offensively. Brock Purdy (2,441 yards passing, 73.4% completion rate, 15/6 ratio) and Breece Hall (1,172 yards rushing, 16 TD’s on the ground) are not intimidated by OU at all. They have already faced and beaten this team. Hall’s legs will allow Purdy to open up the passing game and exploit the 104th ranked pass “D” of Oklahoma. The Cyclones are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Sooners, 20-9-1 ATS the last 30 games played as an underdog, and 20-7 ATS the lats 27 games played following a SU loss. Take Iowa State. Thank you.
Released November 19, 2021 8:06 PM EST
Joe DAmicos 29-12 NCAAF HIGH ROLLER
Game: (327) SMU at (328) Cincinnati
Date/Time: Nov 20 2021 3:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: SMU +10.0 (-110)
SMU.
High Roller.
Game 327.
12:30 pm pst.
Giving a team like SMU double-digits is a gift folks. Yes, Cincinnati will be able to pass the ball. However, the Bearcats won’t be able to run against their stout front-7. Don’t let it slip your mind that the Mustangs account for over 41.6 PPG and can both throw and run the ball with efficiency here. Cincy is on an 0-4 ATS slide playing some very close game with teams they should have thumped. The underdog is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. Take SMU. Thank you.
Released November 19, 2021 7:18 PM EST
5% Joe Ds 11-2 NCAAF CONSENSUS 5%
Game: (343) Michigan at (344) Maryland
Date/Time: Nov 20 2021 3:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5 units
Play: Michigan -15.0 (-110)
Michigan.
Consensus.
Game 343.
12:30 pm pst.
Following their sole defeat, Michigan has won and covered their last two games. Coach Harbaugh knows his team must keep their foot on the gas and get a big win here if they are to have a shot at the CFP. The 9th ranked; one-loss Wolverines have six teams in front of them in the polls that also have one loss. The Michigan defense has been outstanding. DE, Hutchinson and LB Ojabo each have 10 sacks and will get to the mistake-prone Maryland quarterback, Tagovailoa who has been sacked 15 times just over the last five games. But the biggest mismatch is between the 25th ranked scoring machine of the Wolverines offense (34.7 PPG) going up against the 102nd ranked doormat of a Terrapins defense (31.4 PPG allowed). Michigan is 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. Maryland and 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. conference foes. Maryland is 0-5 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 0-6 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.
Released November 19, 2021 7:31 PM EST
5% Joe Ds BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH
Game: (357) Minnesota at (358) Indiana
Date/Time: Nov 20 2021 3:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5 units
Play: Minnesota -7.0 (-115)
Minnesota.
Big Ten Game of the Month.
Game 357.
12:30 pm pst.
Minnesota has been through quite a bit this season. Their three top running backs all went down, one after the other. And yet, they still rank 22nd in the nation in rushing. After rattling off four consecutive wins and covers, the Golden Gophers have lost and failed to cover their last two outings. Well folks, no need for any concern because pulling in to Memorial Stadium to face the Big Ten’s cellar-dweller, the Indiana Hoosiers, is just what the doctor prescribed to get back on track. Indiana, which is 0-7 in conference play this season, own some of the nation’s poorest offensive numbers. And lining up against college football’s 18th scoring defense here, things will go from bad to worse for the Hoosiers. Defensively, they won’t be able to stop the ball-carrying tandem of Thomas and Irving, who have teamed up for 981 yards rushing and five TD’s in the backup roles. The Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Hoosiers, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 games played on the road, and 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 games played in Big Ten play. Minny wins by double-digits folks. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you.