Saturday Service Play Thread 02/18/2023

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None of this discussion is conducive to winning. If you are going to freelance, let relegate your comments to injury news, line moves, and situational analysis. Potato Knish warrants one post at best and then we move on.

Play: Buddy Hield (3-pt contest) +400
Prior winner with by far the best percentage of this field. Dame's presence it allowing some value with Hali and Marksman as the two others capable of winning. KAT won at tall odds LY but is a 40% shooter. Dame is 37% historically. My Buddy for 1% tonight.
 

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Rob Veno

Selection: TCO Over (141.5)
Rating: D

Selection: Kansas St (-3.5)
Rating: D
 

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Bob Bafle
College Basketball 12:00 PM EST
Rotation # 608
Indiana -5.5 over Illinois
Illinois has the best player on the court with Trayce Jackson-Davis. The Illini will have a tough time defending easy buckets, as Indiana should have the advantage in the paint. Illinois is an excellent defensive team, but Jackson-Davis is a future NBA player that can make any team look silly. Today’s game will be about who can get the easy buckets. The Hoosiers did so in the first meeting and should be on their home court again today. Take Indiana.


College Basketball
3:30 PM EST
Rotation # 669
Mississippi State -3.5 over Ole Miss
Mississippi State has a considerable talent edge over Ole Miss. The Bulldogs are one of the best defensive teams in America and should smother the Rebels. Tolu Smith leads the team in points, rebounds, and blocks. Mississippi State won the first matchup and should cash in against a team that won just two conference games. Take Mississippi State.


College Basketball
8:00 PM EST
Rotation # 777
Michigan State +1.5 over Michigan
Michigan State played a more challenging schedule and should be able to play tough on the road today against Michigan. Michigan State has the X factor today as they would love to bring their school a win after the deadly shooting that happened there. Michigan will not be playing in the NCAA Tournament this year as we are starting to see them go downhill. Tom Izzo is the better coach and has the better lineup. Look for the physicality of Joey Hauser to be too much for Michigan to handle. Take Michigan State.
 

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WUnderdog

BostonCollege +3 @ florida state Tips 12 et
 

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Lets go Brandon! :D
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Brandon Lang

75 Dimes - Syracuse Orange +1 1/2 over the Duke Blue Devils
 

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R&R Totals

*TOP PLAY* NHL: Take #17 Rangers v #18 Flames OVER (6½ -105) (10:07 PM EST) at linepros
TOP NHL Over-Under
 

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Indian Cowboy

7-Unit Play. #621. Take Tennessee -2 over Kentucky (Saturday @ 1pm est)

Great 6*Winner yesterday, we will have a 7*NBA Tomorrow and we are on a +7000 Run in CBB now. It is always scary to go against Kentucky at home but I think it makes sense here. Even though Tennessee comes off a huge win over my Alabama team at home, and they could have a let down, it's hard to ignore that they face a Kentucky team who they lost to at home if you remember earlier this year. This is a revenge date for Tennessee if you will, they also lost their last two games prior to Bama including to Missouri and Vanderbilt and that has to irritate them so they can ill afford to go back to losing after beating Alabama, it would just be a horrible look. Remember, when Tennessee lost to Kentucky last game too there was a 25 to 10 free throw disparity in favor of Kentucky and none of that happens today. Kentucky has been suspect losing to the likes of Arkansas, Georgia and South Carolina and I think this sound Tennessee team rolls in and wins solidly here today. Kentucky is just 1-5 ATS against winning road teams when they meet them as they have struggled against elite teams.
 

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Docs cons:

Cbb 5u #622 kentucky +2 -110

4u #681/682 niowa/most under 131 -110

4u #x671/672 jax/lipscomb under 134 -110

pga genesis open 2u adam scott -125 over corey conners
 

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CleInsider

CBB
Rutgers +1.5
Illinois +6
Tennessee -1.5
VCU -8
Seattle +1.5
 

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