Saturday 9/6/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Stakes - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $200000 Class Rating: 110

LOS ALAMITOS MILE S. - THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION $4,000 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY. $3,000 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $200,000 GUARANTEED WITH $120,000 TO THE WINNER, $40,000 TO SECOND, $24,000 TO THIRD, $12,000 TO FOURTH AND $4,000 TO FIFTH. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS. OLDER 124 LBS WINNERS OF



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 8 SKY KINGDOM 5/1


# 6 SOI PHET 8/1


# 5 ROCK ME BABY 5/1


SKY KINGDOM has a very good shot to take this race. He has been running solidly and the speed figures are among the best in this group of animals. This horse looks strong here since Baffert has a solid win percentage with horses going this distance. Is hard not to look at given the company run in as of late. ROCK ME BABY - Has been consistently racing well lately. He has put up very strong numbers under today's conditions and should fare well against this group.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $19500 Class Rating: 82

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 6 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 FAST TEMPO 3/1


# 5 JEB'S BREW 7/2


# 8 MARKET TIDE 12/1


My selection in this competition is FAST TEMPO. Should be considered here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. Should be given a shot in this contest if only for the strong Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last race. He has decent class ratings, averaging 86, and has to be given a shot in this event. JEB'S BREW - Reliable average speed figures in dirt route races make this pony a solid contender. Ran a sharp last race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Arlington - Race #10 - Post: 5:26pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $31,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 WILLING TO TRAVEL (ML=6/1)
#14 ALWAYS A CATCH (ML=8/1)
#12 KINSMANOR (ML=10/1)


WILLING TO TRAVEL - I'll bet that this colt even surprised his connections when he made his initial bow on Jul 26th and finished third. Came home in quick time in the last race. A positive sign. This colt gets a weight break of -6 pounds from last race. Should help right here. ALWAYS A CATCH - Ran a fast time for the last quarter on August 16th at Arlington. Anything close right here in this race should get the job done. Just check out his recent figure, 73. That one fits well in this group. KINSMANOR - Don't often see a profitable ROI like +44. This jock/handler duo has done well together over the last 12 months. Block has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware the longer priced half.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 LAWLESS WEST (ML=3/1), #5 OAK BROOK (ML=4/1), #10 IF I EVER (ML=5/1),

LAWLESS WEST - Trying to beat this entrant today at the reward of 3/1. OAK BROOK - M/L odds of 4/1 make this entrant a pass by my standards. IF I EVER - Don't figure that this pony is worth 5/1 in this affair.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #1 WILLING TO TRAVEL on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,12,14]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,12,14] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,12,14] with [1,12,14] with [1,4,11,12,14] with [1,4,11,12,14] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #11 - Post: 5:12pm - Stakes - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $400,000 Class Rating: 103 Super Derby (Grade 2)

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 VICTORY NOR DEFEAT (ML=8/1)
#1 JESSICA'S STAR (ML=3/1)
#4 VICAR'S IN TROUBLE (ML=9/5)
#10 EAST HALL (ML=5/1)


VICTORY NOR DEFEAT - This colt's last rating is strong enough to prove victorious here, I'll bet on him back again this time around. JESSICA'S STAR - I like a pony that manages to be on the board as often as this gelding. Almost always in the money so don't leave him out of your exotic bets. I'm optimistic this gelding will run well today. Last workout was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me he's sharp right now. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the recent past performance lines, it seems like he likes to visit the winner's circle on different racing tracks. VICAR'S IN TROUBLE - Looking at this colt's running lines, I see he's almost always in the top three. Napravnik is reunited today with this horse after enjoying some pretty nice success riding in the past. Maker seems to have this colt primed for a big effort. His workout pattern is super. Ranked number one in EPS (earnings per start). Another confirmation that this horse is classy. EAST HALL - This race horse should be motoring in the lane.

Vulnerable Contenders: No Vulnerable Contenders in this race,



Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - VICAR'S IN TROUBLE - Advancing each step of the way, this mount has recorded significant increases in his speed figures over his last two events.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #6 VICTORY NOR DEFEAT on the nose if you can get odds of 5/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #9 - BELMONT PARK - 5:17 PM EASTERN POST


The Yankee Affair Stakes

12.0 FURLONGS TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100.000.00 PURSE

#6 RED RIFLE
#1 REFLECTING
#4 LEGENDARY
#2 SLIM SHADEY

#6 RED RIFLE has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of his last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 5th race back. Jockey John Velasquez and Trainer Todd Pletcher send him to the post ... they've hit the board with 53% of nearly 250 entries saddled as a team to date. #1 REFLECTING takes a class drop (-4), and comes off "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" facing better company in each of his last three starts.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Killarney

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Post: 3:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$1800 - CLAIMING $2500 FILLIES & MARES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 JUDGES DISCRETION 1/1


# 3 POWER MAID 5/1


# 2 DOUGIES DEAL 4/1


Feel pretty confident putting money down on JUDGES DISCRETION. Handicappers must not forget nice horses beginning from of the 1 position as their return on investment has significantly exceeded the expected average. This race may be controlled by this mare. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster speed fig will prove that. Good for a win wager just off the excellent prior class numbers. Have to like this standardbred. POWER MAID - Positive feel - competing well enough to contend in this contest. DOUGIES DEAL - Have to love a nice horse coming out of the Killarney 2 position. The win percentage is tremendous, way above normal. Seems to have a really strong class edge based on the opponents she has faced.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Mohawk Racetrack

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Post: 9:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$123120 - CHAMPLAIN - 2 YEAR OLD OPEN. STARTING FEE $1,500 CDN $1,425 U.S.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 LYONS AGAIN 5/2


# 5 MIKES POWERHOUSE 7/1


# 6 KONA KID 15/1


LYONS AGAIN is the most solid bet in this contest. Good for a win wager just off the top notch prior class rankings. Have to like this fine animal. Could more than likely take this field of horses given the 83 TrackMaster SR earned in his last race. Take a look at this standardbred's avg speed figure of 85 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a competitive wager. MIKES POWERHOUSE - The consortium will always throw in a contender from the 5 post here at Mohawk Racetrack, definitely worth a look. KONA KID - Should compete competently in this race as his style of running fits well in this bunch. Drawing the 6 position at this track has lead to a well above average win figure.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Saturday 9/6 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (34 - 64 / $138.80): KING OF THE SWAMP (7th)

Spot Play: MOLLY GO LIGHTLY (5th)


Race 1

(4) ANGEL DEMON finds the softer division and will look to take advantage early. The 2-year-old has a ton of ability in a field with few contenders. (5) SPORTSMUFFLER was right there on the wire with the top choice two back; threat. (2) STAR GRAM has shown some improvement in his last two but is probably best used underneath.

Race 2

(1) MR LELAND'S FILLY is too talented to leave off the top spot even though the final is next week. The 2-year-old can flat out fly when it matters most. (5) LEX got back on track last start but will need much more late to hold off the favorite. (7) LUVNIECESTOPIECES should offer a big price and could hit the ticket late with some racing luck.

Race 3

In a field that only one horse fails to make the final (4) UNLOCKED has a nice looking winning streak going and should get an easy lead. (2) PQ THREE will likely play it easy until turning for home; fires late. (5) FOX VALLEY DEUCE hasn't gotten the best of the favorite yet but it isn't for lack of effort. (8) UNCLE UGLY three-year-old will be looking forward to the final and hitting the top spot is not in his best interest but getting a good prep before the big money is.

Race 4

(6) AL'S HAMMERED five-year-old stallion is back on his home turf and his wicked late kick will be tough to deny. (4) FORT SILKY gelding comes into the race razor sharp but the connections only goal will to be in the top five. (1) BIG DADDY WOO WOO was specifically prepped for these next two weeks. The pacer owns some back class and could save some ground; use underneath.

Race 5

In a good betting race (1) MOLLY GO LIGHTLY filly has not came back to her freshman form, but could have an outside shot at a price. (6) FOX VALLEY AMANDA is having a sensational season and owns a big burst of speed; fires early. (7) THESLEAZYPRINCESS has been much better in the new barn and a similar effort of her last few puts her in the mix. (9) MY LITTLE BIT morning line favorite will not be pushed overly hard with the big money on the line next week; use underneath.

Race 6

In the toughest 2-year-old elimination race (6) THISISHOWWEROLL has a ton of upside and has yet to put it all together; big chance. (3) ENGINE ONE O ONE made up a ton of ground last out and should be much closer turning for home. (1) ROCKIN CASSINOVA has eight wins in eleven starts and beat some very nice horses last out.

Race 7

(1) KING OF THE SWAMP well bred pacer finds the weakest of the two eliminations, gets the best post, and will be firing early. (9) LUCPARK just needs a little pace to close into and should make the final rather easily; fires late. (3) C NOTE lightly raced gelding has high profile connections and could show some improvement in his third career start.

Race 8

(6) LET'S GO HIGHER last year's Super Night Champ is back to defend her title and has been facing much tougher on the year. (3) FOX VALLEY TOUCHE mare is a solid pacer consistently putting in good efforts. (2) NO RESPECT went from dreadful to super sharp in her last three.

Race 9

(7) A COOL CARD gelding never should have been bet down like he was last start, however the pacer raced to his odds exploding late. A similar effort makes him the horse to beat. (4) BIG BRAD circled the field last out and will just be looking to make the final late. (1) IAM BONASERA classy gelding just missed to a monster last out but could be saving his best for next week.

Race 10

(8) PARTY HANGOVER needs to be in the top three for the final so that means she will be firing early looking to keep her win streak alive. (5) DUNE IN RED never moved a muscle last week against the boys but will be ready for an aggressive effort. (1) STATE STREET LIZ has really blossomed in the last few weeks; threat.

Race 11

(6) RYLEIGH'S LILLY gets a good driver change and was going by the favorite before having to check late. (7) WHISTLE PIG was super sharp last out and finds a field full of question marks. (3) DALLAS JONES has made breaks in her last two but a good effort puts her on the ticket.

Race 12

(8) LUCKY CRUSADER takes a significant drop in class and should be tough to beat with a smooth trip. (7) SAGE RUCK picks up a better pilot and was sneaky sharp last out. (6) FOX VALLEY CUPID took a bye into the final and will look to use the race as a prep; use underneath.

Race 13

(1) PUT TO THE TEST gets the best post, owns a good late kick, and faces a much softer bunch than his last two. (5) ACES AGAIN drops back in for a tag and has beaten better on the year. (4) READY is capable of going a big three quarters of a mile but usually lacks stamina late; use underneath.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Saturday 9/6 Analysis
By Greg Gangle

DRF HARNESS


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: SHAMBALLA (2nd)

Spot Play: THE SHOW RETURNS (9th)


Race 1

(1) WESTERN VINTAGE did most of the work on the front end last week en route to a second-place finish for trainer Nancy Johansson. (4) DANCIN HILL closed very well last week in the same dash as Western Vintage to finish third. (6) ON GOLDEN PONDER remains a perfect three-for-three to begin his season after winning four of nine last season.

Race 2

(2) SHAMBALLA gets an inside post this week after tasting defeat last start for trainer/driver Rick Zeron from a post 10 begin. (3) SILVERHILL SHADOW draws inside, comes from the Moore barn and has won three of his last five starts. (4) COBBLE BEACH has hit the board in three of his last four starts, draws inside and shows 1:49-1:50 speed in recent outings.

Race 3

(6) RESISTANCE FUTILE has been a different horse in his last two starts with a pair of sub-1:50 wins for trainer Blair Burgess - his only two wins on the year. (5) PISTON BROKE was a winner in this class two starts back and didn't get the best trip last week for trainer Rob Fellows. (2) DUVOTO HANOVER was a winner last week in this class at a low price of 3-1.

Race 4

(4) LYONS LEVI LEWIS finished second last week in the Metro Final therefore is hard to overlook for top honours in this class. (2) FREEDOMFORMYSOUL has hit the board in four of his last six starts, draws inside and showed the speed required in his latest third-place finish at Vernon Downs in 1:52. (6) SOME POWER comes from the Casie Coleman barn therefore can't be counted out and the son of Somebeachsomewhere disappointed in his Metro elimination as he didn't advance to the rich final.

Race 5

(1) SLIP INTO GLIDE was the favourite last week in this class, but made a miscue and wasn't a factor. (6) FEARLESS MAN had been racing in the Preferred Trot two and three starts back before facing class relief which resulted in a victory for trainer/driver Zeron. (7) ZEUS LIGHTNING has all kinds of back class to offer with earnings approaching $500K and hasn't missed the board in each of his last three starts.

Race 6

(7) SHAKAI HANOVER raced tremendous last start in the final of the Shes A Great Lady considering she got away near the back and closed from ninth-to-third in deep stretch. (3) SHES A HOT MESS wouldn't have received much consideration in this dash if it wasn't for her most recent raceline. (1) HAPPY BECKY remained undefeated until two starts ago as she had to settle for second before not getting a cheque in the Shes A Great Lady final.

Race 7

(9) EVENIN OF PLEASURE dropped out of the Preferred class last week and went gate-to-wire in 1:50 with a :26 4/5 final quarter as the favourite. (4) APPRENTICE HANOVER perhaps isn't the same horse that we seen on this circuit earlier in the year, but certainly is competitive in this lower level on this circuit. (3) AMERICAN GI may offer a price again this week, but is worth a look based on his closing speed from last week to be timed in 1:50 in this class for trainer Marty Fine.

Race 8

(1) LYONS AGAIN hasn't won yet this season, but finished third in the Metro Final and is due for a winning effort for trainer Ron Burke. (2) TRACEUR HANOVER raced very well to finish fourth in the Metro Final, draws inside and comes from top connections. (8) SOUTHWIND INDY is fresh off a win for trainer Casie Coleman in gate-to-wire fashion in a good overall time and quick final quarter speed.

Race 9

(6) THE SHOW RETURNS offered a nice price last week en route to victory and perhaps that effort was a sign of better things to come. (1) SOLAR SISTER draws inside and raced very well to finish fifth last week in the final of the Shes A Great Lady. (2) SPORTS CHIC has been a dominant performer in the Ontario Sires Stakes program this season for trainer Blake Macintosh with earnings approaching $140K.

Race 10

(5) DUC DORLEANS drops in class once again this week and will look to capitalize for trainer Jacques Dupont. (6) CHAMPAGNE PHIL debuted for trainer Dean Nixon last week and found the wire first, by a head, in 1:50 3/5. (10) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE will need to overcome post 10 tonight, but he comes from the Richard Moreau barn, gets Sylvain Filion in the bike and has been the picture of consistency in many weeks at this level.

Race 11

(2) JET AIRWAY tasted defeat last week as the heavy favourite and had to settle for fifth. He didn't appear to be at his best and suffered an unfortunate trip with traffic trouble on the outside. (5) MELMERBY BEACH was the winner last week in a new career best clocking of 1:50. (1) THREE OF CLUBS went a big trip in his latest at Northfield to close and finish third in 1:50 1/5 over the half-mile track oval.

Race 12

(7) REAL ROCKER will get Scott Zeron in the bike tonight and that certainly doesn't hurt his chances. The four-year-old just missed two back following the claim by Fellows and went a tough trip last week from a post 10 start. (5) SCREEN THE CALL was a game second last week at 28-1in this class for trainer Marty Fine. (10) MACHAL JORDAN raced very strongly last week as he closed with a :27 1/5 final quarter to get within one length of the leader at the wire.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Saturday 9/6 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS


MEET STATS: 271 - 780 / $1369.90 BEST BETS: 46 - 64 / $146.60

Best Bet: FAT MANS ALLEY (8th)

Spot Play: DREAM OUT LOUD N (6th)


Race 1

(4) CEE PEE PANIC had no chance last out in a paceless race, but three starts back at this level he raced well from a similar post. He's got a chance here in a wide-open event. (2) TELL US MORE has been facing better recently with some success. (7) BULLET BOB fits well with these and he does have some early speed to work with; does Steve Smith get him involved?

Race 2

(2) THAT MAN OF MINE faces his softest competition in some time and he really shouldn't fail from this spot. (3) HIGH OCTANE N steps up off a solid uncovered score and he's got a chance to repeat if given a similar trip. (7) ONE THROUGH TEN is stuck outside again but Brennan's driving tonight and I wouldn't be shocked if he tried to fire from the gate.

Race 3

(5) ONE AND ONLY toured the track with no chance last week; Sabot trainee should be more involved tonight. (1) PANONGAHELA was a good second at this level two back and he draws best here; big threat. (3) BRETT MCFAVRELOUS gets some needed post relief tonight for Lachance, who will probably sit with him, just like he did in his last nine starts.

Race 4

(7) MCERLEAN has had solid pace in all his recent outings but his last two he had no chance of reaching. He's stuck outside again but I have to give him one more chance. (5) MACHS BEACH BOY drops in class off a solid try where he was chasing the well-rated Doctor Butch; I think he's the one to beat in here. (2) MAY DAY has good speed, ends up with the best draw and has Sears driving.

Race 5

(2) HI HO STEVERINO drops, draws better and was Sears' choice over (1) LAWGIVER HANOVER. The latter was a bit erratic on the rim last week after taking all the money. Tonight Vallee drives but he's obviously got a big chance. (3) GALLANT SEELSTER returns locally and has some class to him.

Race 6

(3) DREAM OUT LOUD N has come up big in his last three efforts without a victory to show for it; classy Cassar import appears overdue. (4) SAPPHIRE CITY was handled aggressively from post eight last out but had to back off and was done; he has to be considered from post four tonight in this open draw. (1) RAMPAGE JACKSON has been super but he gets tested for class tonight.

Race 7

(2) SAFE HARBOR has to move up in class off two consecutive easy victories but I don't see anyone getting in his way tonight; repeats again. (6) JUSTIFIED gets a touch of class and post relief and the Burke trainee can be more involved. (3) OFF LIKAPROMDRESS has turned into a quality overnight animal and he should be close up from this spot.

Race 8

(1) FAT MANS ALLEY had zero chance in his last two from outside posts versus tough competition; a spot like this is where the classy gelding prospers. (4) PANCETTA also drops from the Open ranks and he tries Sears tonight. (2) RONNY BUGATTI returns locally off an awesome stint at Saratoga and clearly Siegelman gets along well with him.

Race 9

(2) THE REAL ONE drops for the third consecutive week and last week he was a solid second to the big favorite; he's done nothing wrong since arriving from Canada. (1) SOURCE OF PRIDE will likely be controlling the action from this spot. (4) LIFE UP FRONT may have tailed off in his last few but he may have just been discouraged from facing tougher.

Race 10

(4) COMICBOOK HERO held pretty well after coming uncovered into a very soft pace; Burke charge may be forwardly placed with Brennan at the controls. (1) BJ'S GUY will get a live trip from this spot almost by default. (5) LUCAN HANOVER is still looking to get underway this season and I can see him being overbet here.

Race 11

(3) DREAMLANDS ART was very stubborn in defeat last week and there's no reason to think he won't be just as competitive here. (1) THIRTY TWO RED took them down the road last out but couldn't last; he gets another crack from the rail spot tonight. (5) EXIT CAM has proven in his last few that he actually belongs with these.

Race 12

(3) LETS ROCK TOGETHER has hit the ticket in his two starts since arriving and the Allard trainee should be well-spotted from this post. (4) VILLAGE BEAT drops back to the level of his last win. (7) WORD POWER would probably be the top choice if not for the outside post.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Arlington (3rd) Johar Irish, 3-1
(10th) Always a Catch, 8-1


Belmont Park (1st) South Sound, 3-1
(7th) Vision Perfect, 7-2


Belterra Park (2nd) The Party's Over, 9-2
(7th) Amazing Kitten, 7-2


Canterbury (3rd) Major Magic, 9-2
(7th) Vertical Lift, 9-2


Charles Town (5th) Vero Beach, 7-2
(7th) Walleyedqueen, 9-2


Churchill Downs (6th) Velvet Zip, 4-1
(11th) Tapit Wicked, 3-1


Delaware Park (1st) Deputy Gone Wild, 4-1
(6th) Five Shadwell, 3-1


Emerald Downs (2nd) Strange Luck, 9-2
(8th) Spit and Shine, 3-1


Finger Lakes (1st) Jersey Frere, 6-1
(8th) Pari Nath, 10-1


Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Mojave Heat, 7-2
(4th) Flying Marine, 7-2


Gulfstream Park (4th) Lucky Delfino, 10-1
(8th) Like a Charm, 3-1


Hastings (3rd) He's Junior, 7-2
(5th) Madaya, 4-1


Indiana Grand (5th) Waki Mistress, 9-2
(7th) Kel's Dreamer, 4-1


Kentucky Downs (4th) Cold Spice, 3-1
(5th) More Than Less, 3-1


Laurel (3rd) Spotted Heart, 6-1
(7th) Burn Permit, 10-1


Los Alamitos (3rd) Nickels Wild, 6-1
(6th) Senza Fina, 8-1


Louisiana Downs (5th) Persuade Me Lady, 7-2
(9th) Sassy Kitten, 7-2


Monmouth Park (1st) One for Don, 9-2
(7th) She's Hot Wired, 6-1


Mountaineer (3rd) Spanish Affair, 6-1
(8th) Salty Says So, 3-1


Parx Racing (4th) Indiscreetness, 4-1
(8th) Rockinonthewater, 8-1


Penn National (3rd) Very Lucky, 6-1
(7th) Shoeless Joe, 7-2


Remington Park (1st) Anymore Bling, 9-2
(8th) Battered, 7-2


Retama Park (3rd) Chasing Stars, 6-1
(7th) Sparta Magic, 4-1


Suffolk Downs (1st) Deblue, 4-1
(4th) Neltherion, 6-1


Thistledown (4th) Carmen's Secret, 3-1
(7th) Pico Pico, 5-1


Woodbine (1st) Regular Business, 3-1
(7th) Grace Phil, 3-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League

Pirates-Cubs
Pirates lost last six Liriano starts, but he is 0-0, 1.38 in last two.
Doubront is 2-1, 3.18 in his last four starts.

Pittsburgh lost its last four games, scoring ten runs.
Cubs won five of their last seven games.
Yesterday's suspended game will be finished before scheduled game.

Five of last seven games at Wrigley Field stayed under.

Phillies-Nationals
Burnett is 1-6, 7.32 in his last seven starts.
Roark is 0-2, 4.38 in his last two starts.

Philly won eight of its last eleven games.
Washington is 4-6 in its last ten games, but won 11 of last 13 home games.

Six of last eight Washington games went over.

Braves-Marlins
Wood is 4-0, 1.31 in his last five starts.
Eovaldi is 0-4, 6.86 in his last four starts

Atlanta is 5-7 in its last twelve games.
Marlins lost six of their last nine games.

Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Wood starts.

Mets-Reds
Gee is 2-2, 4.02 in his last five starts.
Cueto is 1-2, 4.66 in his last three starts.

Mets won four of their last five games.
Cincinnati lost six of its last seven games.

Over is 5-0-1 in New York's last six games.

Cardinals-Brewers
Lynn is 3-0, 2.63 in his last eight starts.
Lohse is 1-4, 7.04 in his last six starts.

Cardinals won six of their last seven games.
Milwaukee lost nine of its last ten games.

14 of last 19 Lynn starts stayed under the total.

Padres-Rockies
Wieland is making first '14 start; he was 0-4, 4.55 in five starts in '12, and was 2-3, 3.03 in nine minor league starts this year. .
de la Rosa is 0-2, 4.91 in his last two starts.

Padres are 2-4 in their last six games, scoring eight runs.
Colorado won five of its last six home games.

Under is 7-2-1 in last ten de le Rosa starts.

Diamondbacks-Dodgers
Anderson is 1-2, 7.11 in his last four starts.
Ryu is 2-1, 2.02 in his last four starts.

Arizona lost 13 of its last 19 games.
Dodgers are 8-10 in their last 18 home games.

Seven of last nine Arizona games stayed under total.


American League

White Sox-Indians
Quintana is 1-3, 5.93 in his last five starts.
Kluber is 0-3, 6.19 in his last three starts.

White Sox lost six of their last seven road games.
Cleveland lost three of its last five games.

Over is 4-1-1 in Chicago's last six games.

Royals-Bronx
Duffy is 4-1, 3.56 in his last seven starts.
McCarthy is 1-3, 4.23 in his last four starts.

Royals won last four games, allowing five runs.
Bronx won six of its last eight home games.

Last six McCarthy starts stayed under total.

Blue Jays-Red Sox
Happ is 1-2, 6.04 in his last four starts.
Buchholz is 1-0, 1.56 in his last couple starts.

Toronto won won five of its last six games.
Red Sox lost eight of last nine home games, are 6-13 in last 19 overall.

Five of last six Boston home games went over total.

Orioles-Rays
Gausman is 0-3, 6.06 in his last three starts.
Smyly is 3-0, 1.24 in his last five starts.

Baltimore won nine of its last twelve games.
Rays lost eight of their last twelve games.

Six of last nine Baltimore games went over total.

Mariners-Rangers
Young is 0-1, 16.63 in his last two starts.
Martinez is 1-2, 4.84 in his last four starts.

Seattle won five of its last six games.
Rangers lost their last seven games, scoring 16 runs.

Six of last eight Seattle road games went over total.

Angels-Twins
Rasmus pitched three scoreless innings in his first MLB start.
Hughes is 5-1, 2.30 in his last six starts.

Angels won eight of their last ten games.
Minnesota lost ten of its last thirteen games.

Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Minnesota games.

Astros-A's
Feldman is 2-1, 1.98 in his last three starts.
Kazmir lost his last two starts, allowing 13 runs in 4.1 IP.

Astros won their last five games, allowing nine runs.
Oakland lost seven of its last eight games.

Six of last eight Oakland games stayed under.


Interleague games

Giants-Tigers
Bumgarner is 3-0, 1.55 in his last four starts.
Price is 2-2, 4.08 in six starts for Detroit.

Giants won eight of their last ten games.
Detroit is 3-4 in its last seven home games.

Over is 5-1-1 in last seven San Francisco games.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Burnett 11-18 (1-8 last 9); Roark 15-12
-- Liriano 10-14 (0-6 last 6); Doubront 4-6/1-0
-- Gee 8-10; Cueto 18-11
-- Lynn 18-10; Lohse 17-10
-- Wood 9-11; Eovaldi 10-18 (0-4 last 4)
-- Wieland 0-0; de la Rosa 15-12
-- Anderson 10-8; Ryu 15-9

-- Gausman 9-7; Smyly 6-12/4-2
-- Duffy 11-10; McCarthy 4-14/6-4
-- Feldman 10-15; Kazmir 18-9
-- Quintana 10-18; Kluber 17-12
-- Happ 11-10; Buchholz 9-14
-- Rasmus 1-0; Hughes 18-10
-- Young 16-9; Martinez 6-13

-- Bumgarner 17-12; Price 14-9/3-3

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Burnett 9-29; Roark 4-27
-- Liriano 7-24; Doubront 3-11
-- Gee 4-18; Cueto 7-29 (5 of last 7)
-- Lynn 7-28; Lohse 10-27
-- Wood 6-20; Eovaldi 11-28
-- Wieland 0-0; de la Rosa 9-27
-- Anderson 4-19; Ryu 3-24

-- Gausman 4-16; Smyly 6-24
-- Duffy 4-22; McCarthy 6-28
-- Feldman 4-25; Kazmir 4-27
-- Quintana 6-28; Kluber 5-29
-- Happ 4-21; Buchholz 8-23
-- Rasmus 0-1; Hughes 5-28
-- Young 7-25 (5 of last 8); Martinez 7-19

-- Bumgarner 7-29; Price 10-29

Umpires
-- Phil-Wsh-- Underdogs won last four Everitt games; over is 10-5-1 in his last 16 games behind the plate.
-- Pitt-Chi-- Five of last six Reyburn games stayed under.
-- NY-Cin-- Eight of last nine Ripperger games stayed under.
-- StL-Mil-- Nine of last twelve Meals games went over.
-- Atl-Mia-- Under is 12-3-2 in last 17 Wendelstedt games.
-- SD-Col-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Wolcott games.
-- Az-LA-- Underdogs won 11 of last 18 Hoberg games.

-- Blt-TB-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Davis games.
-- KC-NY-- Over is 8-3-1 in last 12 Cederstrom games.
-- Hst-A's-- Under is 17-8-2 in Eddings games this year.
-- Chi-Cle-- Four of last five Timmons games went over.
-- Tor-Bos-- Seven of last ten Foster games stayed under.
-- LA-Min-- Five of last seven Hoye games stayed under.
-- Sea-Tex-- Last five Vanover games went over the total.

-- SF-Det-- Seven of last eight Muchlinski games stayed under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's six-pack

College football trends to ponder for this week (all records are ATS):

-- Kansas State is 5-12-1 in last 18 games as a road favorite.

-- Vanderbilt won/covered five of last seven games with Ole Miss- this game was moved to Titans' (bigger) stadium (7 miles). Ole Miss will bring lot of fans.

-- South Florida covered twice in its last 14 home games.

-- Home side covered nine of last 12 Michigan-Notre Dame games; Wolverines won and covered six of last eight.

-- UCLA covered 13 of its last 18 non-conference games.

-- Georgia Tech is 2-0-1 in last three games as a road favorite.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Preview: Diamondbacks (59-81) at Dodgers (78-62)

Game: 2
Venue: Dodger Stadium
Date: September 06, 2014 9:10 PM EDT


The Los Angeles Dodgers are trying to create some breathing room atop the NL West, and giving the ball to Hyun-jin Ryu is usually enough to shut down the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Ryu goes for another strong performance against the Diamondbacks as the Dodgers attempt to continue their dominance of the season series Saturday night.

Los Angeles (79-62) leads the West by two games over second-place San Francisco, an advantage partially built by its mastery of Arizona (59-82). That continued in Friday's series opener, with the Dodgers posting a 2-1 victory for their third straight win over the Diamondbacks and 13th in 17 games this year.

Ryu (14-6, 3.18 ERA) has won both of his starts against Arizona this year by scattering four hits in 12 scoreless innings while striking out 13. He had eight strikeouts in seven innings of a 6-0 road victory April 11.

The left-hander was also impressive in his return from a hip injury that landed him on the 15-day disabled list. He yielded one run with seven strikeouts in seven innings of Sunday's 7-1 win at San Diego.

He's 5-1 with a 2.17 ERA in his last seven starts and 9-2 with a 2.44 ERA in 12 starts against division rivals this year.

"It didn't take long for me to find the rhythm," Ryu said through a translator Sunday. "I knew it was two weeks, but it felt like I was just there a few days ago. Overall I just felt comfortable, and that's why I was able to pitch comfortable."

Matt Kemp is looking comfortable at the plate, hitting .389 (14 for 36) with four doubles, three homers and nine RBIs in 10 games. He connected for a solo homer for one of his two hits Friday, making him 10 for 22 with three home runs and eight RBIs in his last six meetings with Arizona.

Kemp, though, isn't taking the Diamondbacks lightly, and is wary of Los Angeles having 17 of its final 21 games against division opponents, including six versus the archrival Giants.

"Our schedule ain't as easy as it looks," Kemp said. "We need everybody to step their game up here in September. These next couple of weeks are going to be very important for us."

Arizona has dropped nine of 11 games on the road and Friday's loss clinched its first losing season since 2010.

Chase Anderson (8-6, 3.75) takes the mound seeking back-to-back wins for the first time since winning his first five starts after being recalled from Double-A Mobile in May.

That streak, however, ended with a 4-3 defeat at Chavez Ravine on June 13, when the rookie right-hander allowed two runs with four walks in five innings opposite Clayton Kershaw.

Anderson capitalized on a week layoff Sunday, equaling his season high with eight strikeouts while allowing one run in six innings of a 6-2 win over Colorado. He had a 9.00 ERA while going 0-2 over his three prior outings.

"He had more life in his arm," manager Kirk Gibson told MLB's official website Sunday. "I think just the extra days helped him and we slowed him down. We just scaled him back and he had more life."

The Diamondbacks have allowed three runs or fewer in nine straight games, tying the club record set bridging the 2005-06 seasons.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bonus Plays

#1 Sports

Early Saturday's free selection: Northern Illinois Huskies + 7


Mike Wynn

Bonus Play: Hawaii +9½ Over Oregon St


Razor Sharp

FREE PICK FOR EARLY SATURDAY :Take IOWA -17½ over Ball St


Totals4U

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Colorado/Massachusetts over 49 1/2


Atlantic Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Minnesota Gophers - 16


Computer Sports

Free Selection Saturday CFB: Arizona State over New Mexico


Platinum Plays

Free Pick: Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders +16 Over Minnesota


Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection SOUTH ALABAMA -3


Golden Dragon Sports

Bonus Play: Tennessee -16'


Huddle Up Sports

Free Winner: Purdue -3'


Dr. Vegas

Free Selection Saturday:Iowa over Ball State


High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Saturday: Ohio Bobcats + 12


Kenny Towers

Free Selection NCAAF Stanford - 3


John Anthony Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Florida Gators - 37

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Saturday 8:10 PM MLB

(911) SAN DIEGO PADRES at (912) COLORADO ROCKIES

Take: (912) COLORADO ROCKIES -152 AND -1.5 +145

I don’t play many big favorites in baseball. By and large, I get priced off heavy chalk and my general threshold is roughly -140. The preference here is small favorites and underdogs.

But I am not going to simply dismiss all big chalk if the numbers dictate a play, as is the case here. In instances such as this, I like to split my play between the money line and the runs line. In effect, I’m creating a -1 line.

That’s the formula here, as Jorge De La Rosa is on the mound for the Rockies. De La Rosa at Coors might well be the single best bet in baseball. The Colorado team record when the southpaw starts at home is insane. I don’t know if there’s a way to overstate how incredible this team is when De La Rosa is on the mound, as they’ve now won an incredible 46 of his last 55 Coors starts. No wonder the Rockies just spent a bundle to lock up De La Rosa for another two seasons rather than let him head to free agency. De La Rosa might be the only pitcher ever who admits that he absolutely loves to pitch at Coors. Based on that record, he’s not exaggerating.

Another plus here is that we have a first-time Coors starter in Joe Weiland. The Padres righty got a handful of starts back in 2012 prior to his getting injured, but none were in this ballpark. Fading pitchers making their Coors debuts has been a profitable venture and with De La Rosa the opponent for Weiland, the trend should be maintained today.

My strategy here is to split the bet between the money line and the runs line. Obviously, that’s no good if the Rockies lose the game and if they win by one run, it works out to a push. But with San Diego also not hitting at all lately, scoring three or fewer runs in what is now nine straight games, I see the ML/RL combo on the Rockies as the best way to play.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Comp NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 6, 2014: 7:30 PM EST

(373) BYU VS (374) TEXAS

Take: (373) BYU.

Reason: Your free pick for Saturday, September 6th, 2014, comes in college football as BYU and Texas meet. BYU is loaded on both sides of the ball and the team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Big 12. They take on a Texas team that is dealing with a big problem as starting QB David Ash is out from a concussion. Texas sophomore quarterback Tyrone Swoopes will make his first collegiate start. The Longhorns are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. These teams met last year and Texas got steamrolled 40-21 at BYU and the Cougars have another strong O-line and ground game. Play BYU!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teyas Sports

FREE PICK IOWA ST. OVER EASY 55

TEYA'S DID YOU KNOW? NCAA MISSOURI VS TOLEDO THE TIGERS ARE 11-3-1 ATS THEIR LAST 15 GAMES!!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play 5 in a ROW ! Sat Western KY + 6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kyle Hunter

San Diego State vs. North Carolina

3 Star NCAA FB Free Pick* North Carolina Tar Heels

The North Carolina Tar Heels are a team I'm high on this year. Larry Fedora is doing a nice job with this program. Fedora is now getting to use players he has recruited, and that should help quite a bit in his unique system. San Diego State plays hard for Rocky Long, but the Aztecs lost a ton of talent from last year's team and they'll have a hard time competing with the much more talented Tar Heels. North Carolina's offense is explosive, while San Diego State often struggles to score against good teams. North Carolina hosts a night game here so the environment should be great. San Diego State has a lot of inexperienced guys in key positions. Look for the Tar Heels to come through with a win that covers this number. Take North Carolina.