Saturday 9/12/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB notebook: Teixeira done for season
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

On Thursday, Mark Teixeira hobbled into the clubhouse and spoke of being optimistic about returning before the regular season ends and hopefully playing if the New York Yankees make a lengthy postseason run. It turned out to be wishful thinking for the 35-year-old first baseman.

A week after being placed on the 15-day disabled list with a bone bruise in his right shin, Teixeira was ruled out for the rest of the season, including the postseason, after the latest MRI and CT scans discovered a fracture.

"Actually not surprised," Teixeira said. "It was really just kind of wishful thinking. It's been really painful. I know the difference between pain and soreness. It's been painful since Day One. We were just kind of trying to figure out why it wasn't healing and today we figured it out."

The results of the tests mean Teixeira will be shut down for at least three months and his next appearance against live pitching will be in spring training when he enters the final season of an eight-year, $180 million contract signed after the 2008 season.

The news ends what had been a renaissance season for Teixeira, who had been limited by two wrist injuries. Last year, he batted .216 in his first full season back from the injury. This year, he made the All-Star team and finished with a .255 average to go along with 31 home runs and 79 RBIs.

---Detroit Tigers manager Brad Ausmus is expected to be fired by owner Mike Ilitch after the season, according to multiple reports.

The Detroit Free Press and WDIV-TV in Detroit reported Thursday night, citing sources, that Ilitch will dismiss Ausmus after the Oct. 4 season finale against the Chicago White Sox.

The Free Press reported a source said former Tigers president and general manager Dave Dombrowski "fought off ownership so that it didn't happen much earlier." Ausmus was hired by Dombrowski, who was fired Aug. 4 and replaced by Al Avila.

"I haven't been told anything," Ausmus, who has one year remaining on his three-year deal, told the Detroit News in a text message late Thursday night when asked about the reports.

Ausmus, 46, guided the Tigers to their fourth consecutive American League Central title last season and has a 154-148 record with Detroit. The Tigers were again expected to contend coming into 2015, but reside in last place with a 64-76 record -- 19 1/2 games behind first-place Kansas City.

---Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto was handed a two-game suspension and fined an undisclosed amount Friday by Major League Baseball for his actions during Wednesday night's game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Votto appealed the suspension and will continue to play until he receives a hearing with the league. The Reds were scheduled to play the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday night.

Votto was ejected in the eighth inning on Wednesday after a heated argument with home-plate umpire Bill Welke.

---The St. Louis Cardinals recalled catcher Ed Easley from Triple-A Memphis.

Easley, 29, joins the Cardinals for the second time this season. He made his major league debut on May 29. He is hitless in two at-bats with one RBI. Easley hit .251 at Memphis over 88 games, catching 52 games and playing at first in nine (seven starts).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Saturday 9/12 Analysis + Pick Five Ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 5 - $35,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($7,032 C/O)

Race 10 - $35,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s 50 Cent Pick Five Play:

7,10 / 5 / 1,3,5,7,8,9 / 5 / 1,2,4,7,9 = $30

Best Bet: M A SMASH ON (6th)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY BROOKE (11th)


Race 1

(6) SAGEBRUSH SAM will offer a big price and gets sent out for capable connections against weaker. (9) NATURAL COWBOY has flashed some ability and gate speed; threat. (3) SAGEBRUSH SID made a break in the elimination but picks up a good driver change in an evenly matched field.

Race 2

(3) LK'S NANCY LEE filly pacer is due for a good effort and is the horse to beat if she stays pacing. (7) MISS PROFITABILITY homebred pacer has been progressing throughout the year and gets a chance to shine in the consolation. (5) AUNT ETHEL has been competitive against much tougher on the year.

Race 3

(3) PERSUASIVE LOOK got a nice tightener in last week and will be all systems go for the final. (4) SHEZ SO SASSY filly trotter has shown signs of competing with the best in the division and could be ready for a breakthrough effort. (5) BI POLAR ROSE filly just needs a smooth trip for a big payday; threat.

Race 4

(4) FOX VALLEY QATAR can make it two straight super night victories if ready off the scratch. (6) CAPTAIN GREEDY got outdriven last week finding his way into a blindswitch costing the gelding a victory. The 3-year-old can take division honors with a win; big chance. (1) TRICKY NICK is the wild card in the race and has been much improved for the new barn.

Race 5

(10) LEXINGTON LADY will be flying early and just needs to stay out of a speed duel for a chance at a monster pay day. (7) CHAR N MARG couldn't out-game the top choice last week off a perfect trip but it wasn't for lack of effort. (8) NARCISSISTIC filly needed her last start and gets sent out for a capable barn.

Race 6

(5) M A SMASH ON two-year-old races very inconsistently from week to week, however a good effort beats this field soundly. (6) FOX VALLEY ELI lightly raced freshman gelding had some sneaky late pace last week and has plenty of room to improve. (3) FOX VALLEY CHINO flashed some ability early on but has regressed in the past few weeks; command a price.

Race 7

(7) FEEL LIKE DANCING five-year-old mare is versatile and should find this spot much more to her liking. (3) NO RESPECT owns the most back class in the field and looks to be in line for a nice trip up close. (1) FINANCIAL EFFORT will offer a big price against much weaker; threat.

Race 8

(5) RYLEIGH'S LILLY had to need her last start off over a month. The pacing mare is going to be very tough to beat with a trouble-free trip. (4) PARTY HANOGVER will be used very aggressively; fires early. (1) REV ME UP gets sent out for a recent hot barn. The pacing mare was impressive last week being used multiple times earning a victory.

Race 9

(7) MADOFF almost blew up the tote board two back against much better. The price could still be right with the low percentage pilot. (1) SILVER DEVIL gets a perfect post to pounce late; threat. (2) LUCKY CRUSADER picks up a significant driver change and should also offer value facing weaker.

Race 10

In a wide open race, (3) UNLOCKED should be primed for a big effort getting sent out for a trainer capable of taking all the dough. (4) IAM BONASERA when right is the best closer in the race; threat. (2) COLE HEAT was tremendous last week tackling some nice pacers with a huge late burst and is likely to be overlooked.

Race 11

(3) FOX VALLEY BROOKE lightly raced filly could be the sleeper in the race coming off a really nice effort. (2) SOUTHERN GIRL the top driver wasn't listed but that doesn't mean he won't be driving necessarily. If the pacer is on her game she is just as fast as anyone in the race. (5) LEX will offer a very short price and has some question marks with the DQ a few weeks back; use caution.

Race 12

(2) ENGINE ONE O ONE nice looking 3-year-old has finally put it together at the right time and will look to cash a big payday with the top driver. (3) DINKY DUNE has been one of the best all year and looks to be in a perfect stalking spot up close. (10) EARNDAWG can secure the 3-year-old IL pacer of the year to go along with his freshman one if he can score a victory from the far outside; threat.

Race 13

(7) ROYALE ROSE was super impressive last week taking no prisoners for the win. The 2-year-old adds lasix for the second time and will be looking to go wire to wire again. (9) DAN D DUNE might have the most ability of the bunch but looks to be up against it from a tough post. (6) WONDROUS SPORT will also be a part of an early skirmish for position; threat.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Saturday 9/12 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

1,5,7,8/1,4/1,4,5/3,5 = $48


LATE PICK 4: 2,3,4,5/2/1,2,6,7/1 = $16

MEET STATS: 297 - 961 / $1635.20 BEST BETS: 41 - 86 / $135.70

SPOT PLAYS: 12 - 82 / $92.30

Best Bet: L A DELIGHT (9th)

Spot Play: LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE (3rd)


Race 1

(4) CRAZY WOW beat the Hambletonian winner in his Yonkers Trot elim then broke in the Final. He will likely blast off the gate and look to sit in the pocket of (1) UNCLE LASSE, the likely pacesetter. The latter hasn't won in his last five but has earned close to 1/2 a million this year and is the obvious danger. (6) DON'T RUSH picks up a catch driver here and is one to keep an eye on at a price.

Race 2

(7) VEGAS ROCKS picked up driver Miller last week and together they obliterated a similar field in a new life's mark. It's hard to see him losing this unless he breaks (see two back). (5) HIS BOY ELROY was chasing the choice from far back and couldn't gain much in those rapid fractions. He could be much closer early here with Waples driving which gives him a chance. (1) MACH CODE almost never misses the ticket and should get a decent trip here.

Race 3

(3) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE was very impressive late last week when powering up to just miss. He faces a monumental task here it seems but may be up to it at a big price; call to upset. (4) CANEPA HANOVER was carefully handled by Campbell last week and still won easily. He could be peaking at the right time. (5) PINKMAN hasn't won since taking the Hambletonian and is obviously one of the best in here but may get overbet. (7) THE BANK has been solid all year and can't be discounted, either. This is obviously the tougher split.

Race 4

(7) LETS ROCK TOGETHER makes his 3rd start since a vet scratch-lame and raced better and git closer last week. J Mac will likely have him on the move earlier here. (5) CHAMPAGNE PHIL was just behind the choice last time and should also be closer early with the improved post here. (1) WAZZUP WAZZUP moves in eight posts and should be much closer early which gives him a shot at the top prize here.

Race 5

(1) REVEREND HANOVER made a big move to the front in a quick first 1/2 last week and raced away to a lifetime-best score. Off that mile he'll be tough to beat here. (4) ARTSPEAK - last year's Metro Pace winner here - has quietly amassed more than $400K in earnings this season and is still a formidable foe. (5) SPLIT THE HOUSE couldn't keep pace with the choice last week after being overtaken at the 1/2 but may be sharper here returning to a 7-day cycle.

Race 6

(5) ELLIS PARK was right in the thick of it last week in the Preferred until very late and should be tough here with the class drop. (4) FOREVER JUST is much-improved the past month and had noticeable pace at the wire last week. He would be no surprise here. (1) LUCK BE WITH YOU hasn't been in the sharpest form but could probably win this without his best effort; another to consider. (2) SOUTHWIND AMAZON has worked out two very good trips to take his last two starts but he may also be able to carve out a good trip here, too.

Race 7

(3) DRACHAN HANOVER chased Reverend Hanover around Georgian following a month off and returns quicker here. He is one of several possibilities and it's tough to gauge intent in these three-year-old conditioned races in the middle of stakes season. (5) THINKOFAGAMEPLAN has been racing well in Grassroots company and will likely be up near the pace here early. (8) SPORTSMANSHIP is sharp and can win from on or off the pace; using.

Race 8

(4) E L TITAN trotted to a new life's mark with Tetrick driving two back and he returns here. He also has freshness on his side and will likely be a square price here; top call in a very tough Maple Leaf Trot elim. (5) BEE A MAGICIAN hasn't missed the exacta this year and should prove tough on home soil. (3) JL CRUZE has probably been pointing to this race since the Hambo Maturity and is another tough customer that will take some beating.

Race 9

(2) L A DELIGHT towers over this field and should dominate here at a prohibitive price. (7) GOOD WILL HANOVER has looked great so far but meets a real tigress here; maybe for the exacta. (1) MANIANA was an impressive maiden-breaker last time but faces the best in the country here.

Race 10

(6) RESOLVE ripped off a monster mile in the Vincennes two back then was just short last time to a surging E L Titan at Pocono. He's razor-sharp and gets top call here. (2) OBRIGADO is also in top form as his win from the 8-hole at Yonkers would suggest. He's the one to beat. (7) D ONE has beaten Bee A Magician twice straight and there's no telling how good she is; another to consider on late pick 4 tickets. (1) FLANAGAN MEMORY is also capable but the break in his last is concerning as he had major gait issues when racing here earlier in the year.

Race 11

(1) CONTROL THE MOMENT has yet to taste defeat and it's hard to imagine it happening here with him drawing inside. (9) BETTING LINE made a move for the front last time but was soon under siege form the choice and couldn't threaten thereafter. This looks like a chalky exacta. (2) THE CATAMOUNT KID left hard, took a shuffle then closed a bit against the two above. He can complete the tri.

Race 12

(6) VORACITY took it to the favorites early in the Metro and paid the price. He was still a strong third and should be able to handle this group. (4) NVESTMENT BLUECHIP broke and lost all hope in the Metro. Notice the narrow loss two back to the choice; contender. (2) SOSSYS KING KONG was a beaten favorite in the Metro Consolation in a three-horse photo. A minor share may be his ceiling vs. the two choices here.

Race 13

(4) PIERCE HANOVER has struggled this season racing against some of the best sophomores at times. You have to think he'll get back on track vs. this mixed bag of lower level conditioned horses. (7) CAMS TUX has been very live his past two starts and should get a good piece here in his current sharp form. (8) THEPANINSULAHOTEL paced his final 3/4 in 1:21 2/5 last week. He should hit the ticket here moving in two slots. (3) JUST PLAIN LUCKY has hit the board in 50% of his 2015 starts and is a good one for the lower exotics rungs. (5) HERE COMES WILLIAM is always a big price and always finishes 4th or 5th it seems.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Saturday 9/12 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 270 - 831 / $1517.30 BEST BETS: 38 - 66 / $131.60

Best Bet: HABITAT (7th)

Spot Play: TAKE IT BACK TERRY (10th)


Race 1

(6) GOOD DAY MATE gets another crack at this class after a great try and tough beat last out; Brennan will have him forwardly placed again. (2) HOLLYWOOD SIGN N returns at a reduced level and the import has been racing well; he may well be the one to beat. (3) UP UP AND OUT faces better but has raced well to be second best in his last two.

Race 2

(5) TWIN B HOLLISTER jogged in a lifetime best right off the Banca claim; he faces better but is sharp enough to repeat. (1) MAINLAND KEY N drops out of claimers, where he was reasonably competitive, and lands the pole position here; Carlson will be looking to protect position. (2) HERE WE GO AGAIN should be in line for close-up trip from this spot.

Race 3

(8) ALWAYS AT MY PLACE has been an absolute terror for Burke, taking six straight, including two solid local performances. Missed time and the eight hole do present a minor problem, however. (6) LYONSSOMEWHERE overcame a tough trip to score very gamely upon arrival for Team Miller and the 4-year-old is certainly capable of repeating. (4) NATIONAL DEBT didn't fully fire last week but he's been better since the barn change to Alagna.

Race 4

(8) DYNAMIC YOUTH has very quickly hit top gear since joining the Burke barn. He's rightfully assigned post eight looking for his third in a row but he may be sharp enough to overcome the handicap. (5) MCERLEAN has also been razor-sharp and he just needs some racing luck to be a late threat. (4) SAPPHIRE CITY failed to get involved last out but he's better than that; interesting that Bartlett opted off.

Race 5

(4) JEWELS IN HOCK was collared at the wire last out after being hard used early; in her prior local start she used a tactical advantage to hold nemesis (5) BARN DOLL at bay. The same scenario might play out tonight. The latter is the featured NY bred filly and looks to be starting to garner some national attention. Trotter will be right there at the wire. (1A) LADY WINONA is a solid filly from the Julie Miller barn but the outside post will present some problems.

Race 6

(7) MOSQUITO BLUE CHIP made a very untimely break last out but prior to that race she's been rock solid and is the biggest earner in the field; toss that effort out and assume she'll be primed for tonight. (4) BETTOR N BETTER was a good second in the Lady Maud and she's held her own all season in NYSS events. (8) BAND OF ANGELS is the chief threat to the top choice but she was unlucky with the post draw.

Race 7

(3) HABITAT was both lucky and very good in the YR Trot final last week; as long as he behaves himself he'll cruise to victory here. (1) BUEN CAMINO has plenty of speed, the best draw and will be sitting the trip to complete the logical exacta. (5) ROYAL DECEPTOR has been solid all season, but he's outside of some tough ones tonight; consider underneath.

Race 8

(4) ARTISTIC MAJOR has hit the board in all 11 tries this season and while no match for (1) BETTING EXCHANGE last out at Batavia he does have a post edge tonight which will certainly come into play. The latter has also been a solid earner all year and he will be forwardly placed off the gate. (3) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN has been right there with the top two and Trevor Henry follows him down from Canada to drive, however his lack of local driving experience may end up hurting him at some point.

Race 9

(8) MELADY'S MONET looks for four straight local victories, all from outside slots. The game plan should be the same, which is to drive on, get released to the front, and then hold all comers at bay. (7) LUMINOSITY made an uncharacteristic break at the start last out, otherwisee he probably would have been right there with the top choice. Chance for redemption tonight. (2) TAKE MY PICTURE has proven to be no match for the top ones in this class, but he can always be counted on for a minor award.

Race 10

(8) TAKE IT BACK TERRY is assigned post eight yet again, but the difference tonight is he's facing lesser competition. I expect Brennan to put the veteran in play early. (3) MOONLITEONTHEBEACH isn't a prolific winner, but he raced well last week and can be close up again tonight. (7) MICKEY HANOVER moves up the class ladder again looking for five straight.

Race 11

(1) FORT VALLEY AS makes a very nice living dropping and popping. This is his race to lose. (5) TOBER also takes a needed drop from the Open and that should provide better results. (2) E R ELLIE returns locally and just missed at this level three back.

Race 12

(8) ROCK ON MOE didn't leave last out and therefore had zero chance; I would be surprised if Dube took back again. (3) FREESPIN N has raced well in all recent efforts, including his latest where he closed well off cover but couldn't gain ground in the sprint home; Bamond trainee is in with a big chance here. (1) REUBEN BROGDEN N should be close up from the rail and can hold off the rest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Red Mile

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Post: 8:16 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 63 - Purse:$5200 - KENTUCKY SERIES LEG #1 KENTUCKY SIRED OR PREFERRED TWO YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 6 MYELL'S ROCKSTAR 7/2


# 7 AWESUM FLIGHT 8/1


# 3 JDS CHANCEY DESIGN 6/5


MYELL'S ROCKSTAR is the most respectable wager in this affair. This solid standardbred looks strong. Take a good look at the 66 avg TrackMaster SR. Been racing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 67). With a formidable 63 speed figure last time out, will most definitely be a factor in this contest. AWESUM FLIGHT - The group saw this horse's name in a magazine. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. The group noted a clear-cut performance out of this standardbred last time. Hoping for a repeat effort of that to dominate. JDS CHANCEY DESIGN - Overall markings appear good. Can't throw out at this point. Vucinaj knows this horse well. Fantastic in the money results when starting with one another.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Mohawk Racetrack

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 13 - Post: 11:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$16000 - NW $7,500 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $15,000 LAST 10 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $25,000.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 PIERCE HANOVER 2/1


# 2 MACH PRIDE 10/1


# 5 HERE COMES WILLIAM 9/2


All signs point to PIERCE HANOVER for the choice. Has the makings of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 92 TrackMaster speed fig. Has a very compelling shot this time, if he can perform to his back racing class. Should be considered in this event if only for the good speed rating earned in the last gathering. MACH PRIDE - Horse has one of the most competitive win percents in the field of starters and that could be the deciding factor when they head for home. He has been competing solidly and the speed figures are among the finest in the race. HERE COMES WILLIAM - Sometimes you just have to go with a vibe, back this one's chances.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 91

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $35,000 1 LB. LANE 1. (IF THE MANAGEMENT CONSIDERS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 MERRY MERRY BEE 5/1


# 6 TASSEOGRAPHY 5/2


# 1 NOOK 7/2


MERRY MERRY BEE has a formidable shot to take this race. Appears to have a competitive class edge based on the latest company kept. TASSEOGRAPHY - Should best this field here, showing quite good numbers of late. Put up a solid Equibase Speed Fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. NOOK - She has put up solid figures under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well against this field. The speed figure of 90 from her most recent affair looks strong in here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Black Foot

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Final - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $13764 Class Rating: 84

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR CHALLENGE ENROLLED QUARTER HORSES WHICH QUALIFIED TO ENTER FINALS. WEIGHTS 3 YRS. 124 LBS. OLDER. 126 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 AY HENRY 5/1


# 7 MADAM FOOSE 5/2


# 4 HEZA SHOCKER 8/1


I think AY HENRY is a solid choice. With a strong 82 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. Win percentage with this jockey and trainer combo - 24 percent - reliable. MADAM FOOSE - I like the jockey on this filly - strong chance to win the contest. Should compete soundly in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group. HEZA SHOCKER - Must be carefully examined given the class of races run recently. Has decent Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Belterra Park - Race #2 - Post: 2:17pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,200 Class Rating: 42

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 MISS PERSIA (ML=8/1)
#3 ORIENT'S JOY (ML=7/2)
#9 FENCE JUMPER (ML=9/2)


MISS PERSIA - Stanley rode this thoroughbred for the first time last time around the track and comes right back this time. A repeat of that recent effort on September 6th where she registered a speed figure of 44 looks lofty enough to prove victorious in this contest. Forgive the off the board finish on the off track last time around the track. On a fast track, has a shot in this field. ORIENT'S JOY - Another way to identify class is earnings per start. This horse has the topmost in the field. I think she'll be close at the end. FENCE JUMPER - Trainer Tooley moves this horse down the class ladder to face a less competitive field. Look for a good race in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 LA CAMELYA (ML=3/1), #5 GRACE BE GREAT (ML=5/1), #8 JUWE JEAN (ML=6/1),

GRACE BE GREAT - 5/1 odds isn't enough for this thoroughbred when looking at the most recent efforts. Will be hard for this mount to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the possibly overvalued contestants list. JUWE JEAN - This horse hasn't shown too much in the last two races.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 MISS PERSIA on the nose if you can get odds of 4/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream - Race #6 - Post: 4:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 56

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 FULL MOON'S MASS (ML=8/1)
#2 CLOSE CONNECTION (ML=10/1)


FULL MOON'S MASS - I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. 41-45-56 are last three speed figs. Improving each time out is something she should do again in today's race. This filly registered a strong speed fig of 56 in her last affair. That speed rating should be high enough to prove victorious this time out. Has a decent chance to break maiden going over to the main track right here. CLOSE CONNECTION - This filly is in fine physical condition, having run a strong race on August 21st, finishing second.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TRUST UR INTUITION (ML=2/1), #10 MOONCHASER (ML=4/1), #9 INTENSE INTENSE (ML=5/1),

TRUST UR INTUITION - Morning line of 2/1 make this animal a pass by my examination. MOONCHASER - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance contests in order to play her. When checking today's class rating, she will have to record a better speed figure than last race out to be competitive in this dirt sprint. INTENSE INTENSE - 5/1 is just not enough of a reward to take on most any entrant that has run poorly in back to back efforts.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - FULL MOON'S MASS - My statistics have shown that lone early speed on the front end provides a golden chance to the bettor. This horse fits the bill.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 FULL MOON'S MASS to win if you can get at least 8/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #3 - BELMONT PARK - 2:01 PM EASTERN POST


The Temperence Hill Invitational Stakes

13.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE

#4 INDYCOTT
#1 V. E. DAY
#3 TACTICUS
#2 SLIM SHADEY

Lest you have forgotten ... Temperance Hill, showed strong potential throughout the spring of 1980, with wins in Kentucky Derby prep races, the Rebel Stakes and Arkansas Derby, Temperence Hill's breakthrough performance came in the 1980 Belmont Stakes where he defeated Kentucky Derby winner Genuine Risk and Preakness Stakes winner Codex at odds of 53-1. He went on to win several additional Grade I stakes and was voted Champion three-year-old of 1980. Here in just the 2nd running of this stakes test, we have a "short field" with a pair of strong morning line favorites ... so ... I've put the 8-1 shot, #4 INDYCOTT on top ... he's produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five starts, hitting the board in three, including "POWER RUN WINS" in both his last start, as well as in his 5th race back. #1 V. E. DAY is the 4-5 morning line favorite, and has turned in a trio of "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in his last three starts ... however, I also note ... no wins!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Arlington Park (1st) Python, 4-1
(6th( Jais Michael, 9-2


Belmont Park (1st) Thirty Percent, 6-1
(6th) Longfor the City, 10-1


Belterra Park (2nd) Miss Persia, 8-1
(7th) The Pink Wildcat, 7-2


Canterbury (6th) Hidden Demon, 3-1
(8th) Candy Ruby, 9-2


Charles Town (6th) Uncle Jack, 5-1
(8th) Indigo Creek, 9-2


Churchill Downs (4th) Curlins Pride, 8-1
(11th) Show Bound, 3-1


Delaware Park (4th) Oxford Street, 10-1
(8th) Cowtown Brown, 8-1


Emerald Downs (6th) Vistrarella, 7-2
(8th) Hey Didjanotis, 6-1


Finger Lakes (2nd) Buddy System, 4-1
(7th) Craigie Hill, 5-1


Gulfstream Park (6th) Bettymo, 6-1
(7th) Holy Highway, 5-1


Hastings (1st) Flare Miss, 8-1
(2nd) Goliath, 3-1


Indiana Grand (3rd) Diamond Heist, 5-1
(7th) Camara Ann, 4-1


Kentucky Downs (2nd) Sawsan, 7-2
(9th) Channel Marker, 5-1


Laurel (6th) Joy, 6-1
(10th) Just Like a Rock, 7-2


Los Alamitos (7th) W. Giles, 7-2
(9th) Moonie, 3-1


Louisiana Downs (6th) Glamoride, 6-1
(13th) Duck Blind, 7-2


Monmouth Park (5th) Shore Getaway, 8-1
(9th) No More Music, 4-1


Mountaineer (3rd) Sierra Sun, 9-2
(9th) Prince of Mischief, 8-1


Parx Racing (1st) Joint Attempt, 3-1
(8th) Warrioroftheroses, 5-1


Penn National (3rd) Donna's Boy, 8-1
(4th) Go Daddy Girl, 7-2


Remington Park (2nd) Jazzy Miss, 5-1
(9th) Jennings Girls, 4-1


Retama Park (2nd) Bering's Abbie, 5-1
(7th) Texas Chrome, 3-1


Stockton (6th) Peppery, 4-1
(8th) Corlin, 4-1


Thistledown (1st) Slamming Gin, 3-1
(6th) Heavenly Moment, 9-2


Woodbine (1st) Matilda Girl, 8-1
(7th) Gamble's Ghost, 3-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Five To Follow MLB Betting: Saturday, September 12, 2015 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

In what classifies as no surprise to me, reports out of Detroit on Thursday were that the Tigers are going to fire Manager Brad Ausmus after the season. He led the Tigers to 90 wins and the AL Central title in 2014, but Detroit was surprisingly swept in the ALDS by Baltimore even though the Tigers started a former Cy Young winner in each game. I definitely expected the Tigers to take a step back this season, but I didn't expect them to finish last in the division. But that's where they are. Hard to blame Ausmus too much as the team lost Max Scherzer this past offseason and then David Price at the July 31 trade deadline. Two pretty good pitchers. It will still be a prime job this offseason as owner Mike Ilitch will spend to win a World Series before he passes away. Two names already rumored: Ron Gardenhire and Ozzie Guillen. Just for entertainment value, I hope it's Guillen.


Royals at Orioles (+109, 8.5)

Is it time for Kansas City to worry about ace Johnny Cueto (9-11, 3.24)? He is in the midst of one of the worst stretches of his career, having lost four straight starts and with an ERA of 9.45 over that span. His first four starts with the Royals were great. One of those bad ones was Aug. 26 against the Orioles where Cueto allowed six runs and eight hits in five innings. Baltimore's Gerardo Parra is 8-for-26 with three doubles and two homers career off him. If Cueto struggles here, I skip his next start if I'm the Royals. They have the flexibility with the best record in the AL. Baltimore's Chris Tillman (9-11, 5.15) also is in a funk. He has lost four in a row and allowed a combined 20 runs over those. He lost in Kansas City on Aug. 27, allowing four runs in six innings. Alex Gordon is 3-for-13 with two homers off him. Mike Moustakas is 5-for-11 with a homer.

Key trends: The Royals are 7-1 in their past eight on Saturday. The Orioles are 6-2 in Tillman's past eight at home. The "over/under" is 5-0 in Cueto's past five. The under is 5-1 in Tillman's past six at home.

Early lean: Orioles and over.


Cardinals at Reds (+115, 8)

Monitor the status of Cardinals second baseman Kolten Wong here. He hasn't played since Monday with calf tightness but hopes to return sometime this weekend. Wong is hitting .264 with 11 homers and 55 RBIs, pretty good numbers at his position. The Cards go with Lance Lynn (11-9, 3.12). He has been great this season but was torched last time out for six runs and seven hits in 2.1 innings against the Cubs. That jumped his ERA from 2.80 to that 3.12 mark. Lynn beat the Reds in his lone start against them this season, allowing one run in seven innings. Jay Bruce kills him, going 14-for-28 with three homers and 11 RBIs. Todd Frazier doesn't, going 4-for-29 with 15 strikeouts. Cincinnati's Anthony DeSclafani (8-10, 3.75) is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts against the Cards in 2015. Yadier Molina is 0-for-6 against him.

Key trends: The Cardinals are 8-2 in Lynn's past 10 vs. teams with a losing record. The Reds are 1-5 in DeSclafani's past six overall. The under is 10-2 in Lynn's past 12 road starts vs. teams with a losing record. The under is 7-1-1 in DeSclafani's past nine.

Early lean: Reds and under.


Brewers at Pirates (-171, 8)

It's questionable whether Pirates outfielder Starling Marte will play here. He left Thursday's game with some left shoulder discomfort after being hit by a pitch earlier. It's not thought to be serious and he's day-to-day. Marte is hitting .281 with 16 homers and 68 RBIs. Lefty Jeff Locke (7-10, 4.56) gets the call for Pittsburgh. He generally has alternated bad and good starts for a while. Last time out, he allowed one earned over five in Cincinnati. He is 2-2 with a 3.96 ERA in four starts this year against the Brew Crew. Jean Segura is a career hitter off him with four extra-base hits in 29 at-bats. Milwaukee's Zach Davies (1-0, 3.97) made his second big-league start on Monday and beat the Marlins, allowing a run in seven innings. His debut came vs. Pittsburgh, allowing four runs in 4.1 innings.

Key trends: The Pirates are 4-1 in Locke's past five at home vs. teams with a losing record. The over is 6-1-2 in his past nine overall.

Early lean: Pirates and over.


Nationals at Marlins (-169, 7)

I'm really not sure why the Marlins are letting ace Jose Fernandez pitch again this season, but he returns on Saturday. Fernandez (4-0, 2.30) didn't start the season until July off Tommy John surgery and hasn't pitched since Aug. 7 due to a biceps injury. He has faced Washington once in 2015, allowing a run in six innings. With a win, Fernandez would tie the big-league record for most home victories without a loss to begin a career at 16. Washington goes with Tanner Roark (4-4, 4.41), who returns to the rotation with Joe Ross being sent to the bullpen to conserve innings. Roark has made seven starts in 2015 and is 3-1 with a 5.21 ERA. He has pitched 4.1 innings vs. Miami and is 0-1 with a save and 2.08 ERA.

Key trends: The Nats are 1-4 in Roark's past five on the road vs. teams with a losing record. The Marlins have lost eight straight on Saturday. The over is 5-1 in Roark's past six. The over is 6-2 in Fernandez's past eight vs. teams with a winning record.

Early lean: Marlins and under.


Padres at Giants (-200, 6.5)

The season is likely over for Padres first baseman Yonder Alonso as he is dealing with a stress reaction in his lower back. Alonso is hitting .282 with 31 RBIs in 103 games. Also monitor the status of outfielder Justin Upton, who had two ingrown toenails removed Wednesday. If I'm Upton, I'm not playing through much considering I'm about to become a free agent and the Padres are done. The "Fathers" face Giants ace lefty Madison Bumgarner (17-7, 3.05), who clearly won't be repeating as World Series MVP because his team isn't making the playoffs. He is going on five days of rest and is 9-3 with a 2.76 ERA with an extra day's break this season. Bumgarner is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA in three starts this year vs. San Diego. Upton actually hits him well if he plays, going 12-for-33 with a homer. The Padres' Ian Kennedy (8-13, 3.99) is 2-1 with a 1.69 ERA this year in four starts vs. the Giants. Buster Posey is a .395 hitter off him with eight RBIs in 43 at-bats.

Key trends: The Padres are 1-6 in Kennedy's past seven on the road. The Giants have won six straight at home behind Bumgarner. The under is 4-1 in Bumgarner's past five at home vs. the Padres and in Kennedy's past five overall vs. San Francisco.

Early lean: Giants and under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAA Football Odds: Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews

Welcome to my first late-week college football update story. If you read Doc's every Monday, and you certainly should be doing so, then you know I do an Opening Line NCAA Report that day for the coming week. Obviously, the lines are going to change dramatically on a handful of games from Monday to kickoff on Saturday (I will only look at Saturday games here). Sometimes it's because major injuries are revealed or others simply because bettors are hammering one side with heavy action. Here are a few examples.


Kansas State at Texas-San Antonio (+17): This line opened with K-State at -21 but I'm pretty sure why it has dropped four points. Wildcats starting quarterback Jesse Ertz was lost indefinitely in last week's 34-0 win over South Dakota. Now Joe Hubener gets the call. What's interesting about him? He has never started a game at quarterback, not even in high school. He completed 9-for-18 passes for 147 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions while rushing nine times for 38 yards against South Dakota after Ertz was lost. Hubener was recruited as an athlete, but Coach Bill Snyder liked him enough to shift him to QB. This should be interesting. UTSA isn't a bad team, losing by only 10 at ranked Arizona last week.

Missouri at Arkansas State (+11): This has dropped from an open of 14. My guess it's because that Missouri star running back Russell Hansbrough, and to a lesser extent starting center Evan Boehm, are both questionable against the Red Wolves. Both suffered leg/ankle injuries in Mizzou's easy season-opening win over SE Missouri State. Hansbrough had just two carries for 23 yards before he left. He rushed 205 times for 1,084 yards and 10 scores last year. Boehm has started 41 consecutive games and needs 10 more starts to break the school's career starts record.

Notre Dame at Virginia (-13): This opened at 9.5, and there's no key Virginia injury that would have caused it to jump so much. It's just that no team takes more overly optimistic bets after a strong game than the Irish do. They are taking as much as 90 percent of the lean at some books off last week's 38-3 blowout of Texas. Maybe the Longhorns are lousy. This also will be Notre Dame QB Malik Zaire's first start in a true road game. The Wahoos have won four of five home openers under Coach Mike London and gave No. 7 UCLA all it could handle last season in Charlottesville in the opener. This is the biggest game there in years, so the crowd will be going bonkers.

San Diego State at Cal (-14): This has risen 5 points, the biggest line jump I have seen as of this writing for Saturday's games. A lot of people liked Cal as a sleeper in the Pac-12 this season as they have a future NFL first-round quarterback in Jared Goff. The up-tempo Bears beat Grambling State 73-14 last week, scoring 52 points in the first half before most of the starters took a seat. The 73 points were the second-most in school history. SDSU, projected as one of the Mountain West's best teams, looked just OK in a 37-3 opening win over FCS school San Diego. Since Oct. 3 of last season, San Diego State has played 10 games and ranks both sixth nationally in total defense (298.2) and scoring defense (17.8). These teams haven't met since 1996. I have no explanation for this line shift other than the Cal bandwagon is growing and the Bears are taking nearly 80 percent of the lean.

Appalachian State at Clemson (-18.5): This has dropped from an open of 21. I told you on Monday that Clemson lost leading returning receiver Mike Williams in its season-opening 49-10 win over Wofford. I don't think that has anything to do with this drop. App State opened with a 49-0 win over Howard. I can see Clemson looking past this one and toward a Thursday night game at Louisville in the Tigers' ACC opener. With such a quick turnaround, Dabo Sweeney might get star QB Deshaun Watson out of this one early.

Wake Forest at Syracuse (-3.5): This has dropped from 6 and makes sense. For one, Wake actually showed it might have an offense in 2015 after having the worst in the FBS last year. The Deacons put up 591 yards, their most in 40 years, in a 41-3 win over Elon in Week 1. OK, it's Elon. Syracuse looked fine in its opening 47-0 win over Rhode Island but also lost senior QB Terrel Hunt to a season-ending Achilles' injury. So now the Orange turn to true freshman Eric Dungey. He was a solid 10-for-14 for 114 yards and two scores vs. URI, but the Deacons have a pretty good defense.

Rice at Texas (-14): I'm surprised this line has only dropped 1.5 points from its opening after how bad Texas did look against Notre Dame, managing only 163 total yards. That was the fewest by any FBS team last week. Head coach Charlie Strong is already panicking. He demoted co-offensive coordinators Shawn Watson and Joe Wickline and named receivers coach Jay Norvell his new play-caller. Norvell is in his first season at Texas after a seven-year run as an assistant at Oklahoma. Watson came to Texas with Strong from Louisville, where Watson had been calling plays since 2011. Seems a bit early to make this change for Strong, whose seat is boiling hot right now. Can you imagine if UT were to lose to Rice? The Owls aren't a bad team, finishing 8-5 last year and thumping Fresno State in the Hawaii Bowl. Rice opened this season with a 56-16 win over Wagner. The Owls are taking the lean here, so it might be under two touchdowns by kickoff.

Idaho at USC (-43): Every week I will point out the biggest line on the board (non-FBS foes not included), and this is it. Idaho is quite possibly the worst program in the nation with one-win seasons in each of the past three. The Vandals lost at home by 17 to MAC school Ohio last week. The Trojans played another Sun Belt team in Week 1 and crushed Arkansas State 55-6. The only question here is how long the USC starters stay in ahead of next week's Pac-12 opener vs. Stanford.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's six-pack

-- Mets were 53-50 when they traded for Yoenis Cespedes; they're 27-11 since they got him. This will be a good winter to be Cespedes' agent.

-- John Calipari had approximately 70 former players with him in Soringfield last night when he was inducted into the Basketball Hall of Fame. Lot of loyalty there.

-- Orioles 14, Royals 8-- Baltimore is eighth team ever to hit two grand slams in the same inning; they scored ten runs in bottom of 8th inning.

-- Pac-12 football teams won their last three visits to play at Michigan; Oregon State is there this afternoon.

-- Happy belated birthday to Arnold Palmer, who turned 86 earlier this week.

-- Joey Votto got suspended two games for his meltdown earlier this week; he is appealing the suspension. Votto is having a great second half this season.

 

[Gotigers]

Does anyone have the rainman? He has 10 star today

Thanks in advance

 

[vivaatlanticcity]

Any ArthurRalph? This guy was monster last year, I'll have candeladeportiva early games later on before 12pm tia

 

[cochese1028]

Not sure but i thought i read MARC LAWRENCE IS RELEASING A 10* COLLEGE GAME TODAY???? I KNOW THERE IS AN NFL 10* TOMORROW ANYONE HEARD ANYTHING OR WANNA GO HALF? TIA

 

[meetyourmismatch]

Any Ben BURNS? Thx

 

[BatBoy]

star ratings?

Any chance you have the unit ratings on these?

Rockdemansports

UTAH ST
NOTRE DAME
GA TECH
AIRFORCE