Saturday 8/1/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 6
By David Schwab

Week 6 In a CFL season that has been filled with upsets through the first five weeks of action, Ottawa may have pulled-off the biggest one of the year so far with last Friday’s thrilling 29-26 overtime victory at home against Calgary as a four-point underdog.

Saturday’s games started off with Toronto knocking-off British Columbia 30-27 as a 1 ½-point road underdog followed by Edmonton’s 32-3 rout of Winnipeg as a 5 ½-point favorite at home. Hamilton closed things out by beating Saskatchewan 31-21 as a two-point road underdog.

Thursday, July 30

British Columbia Lions (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-3 SU, 2-2-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -5
Total: 50

Game Overview

The Lions two-game winning streak both straight-up and against the spread may have come to an end, but the bigger concern could be the fact that they blew a 21-point lead in that last minute loss to Toronto. BC came into last Saturday’s game ranked last in the CFL on defense in total yards allowed and it gave-up 340 passing yards alone against the Argonauts.

Winnipeg has not only lost its last two games SU, it may have lost its starting quarterback for the foreseeable future after Drew Willy left last week’s game following a hard hit in the third quarter. He is currently listed as questionable for Thursday with a leg injury. Brian Brohm took his place against Edmonton and he went 9-for-19 for just 71 yards while getting picked off twice.

Betting Trends

BC is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five road games against Winnipeg and the total has stayed UNDER in 16 of the last 21 meetings overall.

Friday, July 31

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

The Roughriders are still looking for their first win of the new season both SU and ATS and they could be hard-pressed to get off the schneid this week with a defense that has allowed a CFL-high 165 points through their first five games. Offensively they are putting up an average of 28.6 points a game, but that production could take a hit if quarterback Kevin Glenn is unable to go this Friday.

Edmonton has taken the early lead in the West Division behind a stout defense that has only allowed an average of 14.5 points through its first four contests. James Franklin took over for Matt Nichols at quarterback in the third quarter of last week’s lopsided victory against Winnipeg. He only completed five of his eight attempts, but three of them were for touchdowns.

Betting Trends

The Eskimos have won four of the last five meetings SU and they have a 8-2 edge ATS in the last 10 games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six games between these two West Division rivals.

Saturday, Aug. 1

Montreal Alouettes (2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (3-2 SU, 0-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4 ½
Total: 49 ½

Game Overview

Montreal closed as an underdog in both of its SU victories this season including a 29-11 win against Calgary in Week 2 as a 9 ½-point underdog at home. The total has stayed UNDER in all four of its games this year. Quarterback Rakeem Cato has come off the bench to throw for 822 yards and four touchdowns while completing 72.2 percent of his 90 attempts.

The Stampeders were stunned by Ottawa in overtime despite a solid effort from quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell. He ended that game with 318 yards passing while completing six passes to wide receiver Eric Rogers for 124 yards and a score. Calgary running back Jon Cornish left that game with a thumb injury and he is expected to be out of the lineup until early September.

Betting Trends

Montreal has now won the last two meetings both SU and ATS after going 1-6 SU (0-7 ATS) in the previous seven games of this inter-division clash.

Monday, Aug. 3

Toronto Argonauts (3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -3 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

Toronto has been one of the bigger surprises this season after missing the playoffs last year. It has averaged 29.5 points a game while holding opponents to 25.8 points on the other side of the ball. Trevor Harris continues to play well at quarterback for an injured Ricky Ray. In last week’s win against BC, he completed 30-of-40 attempts for 340 yards and two scores. He was also picked-off twice.

The Tiger-Cats got a big day from their quarterback Zach Collaros in last Sunday’s 10-point win. He threw for 284 yards and a score while adding another 32 yards on three runs. Collaros spread the ball around to six different receivers in his 19 completions. Hamilton has also been solid on defense; allowing an average of just 22 points through its first four games.

Betting Trends

The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings SU in the East Division tilt, but Hamilton has a 5-1 edge ATS in the last six games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Haskell, Jim Dandy Breakdown
By Anthony Stabile

Triple Crown winner American Pharoah returns to the racetrack, just eight weeks after racing in to history with an authoritative score in the G1 Belmont Stakes, when he faces six rivals in the G1 William Hill Haskell Invitational going 1 1/8 miles at Monmouth Park.

Trained by Bob Baffert, the Eclipse Award winning champion Two Year Old from last year didn’t make his sophomore debut until March as foot and suspensory issued delayed the start of his 2015 campaign. When he did return, he promptly romped in both the G2 Rebel and G1 Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park.

Made the 5-2 choice in Louisville for the G1 Kentucky Derby, regular rider Victor Espinoza had to whip him 32 times in the stretch but he did manage to wear down Firing Line and Dortmund to win the roses by a length.

Two weeks later at Pimlico, a deluge just minutes before the G1 Preakness turned the track into a sea of slop and American Pharoah relished the off going, leading the field from gate-to-wire from his rail draw to win once again by open lengths.

In the Belmont, Espinoza was left alone on the front end and managed to turn the “Test of the Champion” into the crowning of one, as he again led at every pole to win by over five lengths to become the twelfth Triple Crown winner in the history of Thoroughbred racing.

He’s trained brilliantly for the Haskell, a race Baffert has won a record seven times, including four of the last five runnings, most recently with Bayern last season. Espinoza will have his usual seat atop American Pharoah and they’ll break from post 3.

Upstart will be making his first start since his Derby debacle. It’s been a crazy year for upstart and his trainer Rick Violette. It started off promisingly enough with a sharp tally in the G2 Holy Bull to start the season before things started to get interesting.

He appeared hopelessly beaten in the G2 Fountain of Youth before grinding out a 2 ¾ length win only to get disqualified in what many feel was a terrible call by the Gulfstream stewards. Then, when second in the G1 Florida Derby, it appeared as though he was interfered with by the winner Materiality and there wasn’t even an inquiry. Now, in his first start in three months, he’ll try and pull off one of the biggest upsets in racing lore with new rider Joe Bravo in the saddle. They’ll break from the rail.

Mr. Jordan has finished first or second in all six of his starts, including four victories. He won all three starts as a juvenile, including a pair of minor stakes at Gulfstream Park West, for his trainer Eddie Plesa before starting this season with a second place finish and a victory in a minor stakes at Gulfstream where he was disqualified. Last time out, when reunited with Paco Lopez, Mr. Jordan sat just off to pace before scoring by a head as the 2-1 favorite in the local prep for this, the G3 Pegasus. He’ll break from post 4.

Though still eligible for an entry level allowance contest, Keen Ice will be making his first start since his third place Belmont finish in here, trying the champ again for trainer Dale Romans. Earlier this season, Keen Ice was third in the G2 Risen Star and finished seventh in the Derby. Kent Desormeaux rides from post five.

William Hill Haskell Invitational - Post Position & ML Odds
1 - Upstart 6/1
2 - Competitive Edge 8/1
3 - Nonna's Boy 30/1
4 - American Pharoah 1/5
5 - Mr. Jordan 15/1
6 - Keen Ice 12/1
7 - Top Clearance 30/1
8 - Dontbetwithbruno 30/1

Todd Pletcher entered three in the Haskell but will likely scratch Competitive Edge and run him in the G2 Jim Dandy on Saturday at Saratoga. In his stead, Nonna’s Boy and Dontbetwithbruno will represent the Pletcher barn. Both owned by Mike Repole of Uncle Mo/Stay Thirsty fame, Nonna’s Boy will break from post three having gone gate to wire over the Monmouth turf course in his grass debut just two weeks ago, a race in which his stablemate Dontbetwithbruno finished second. Rider assignments have yet to be firmed up.

Finally, Top Clearance will be seeking his third consecutive win when he makes his stakes debut in here for trainer Wayne Catalano from post 6. Top Clearance broke his maiden sprinting two back before taking an entry level allowance contest in his first try around two turns in his local debut last out. Abel Castellano rides.

Before they run the Haskell, Frosted will kick off his second half campaign in the G2 Jim Dandy going 1 1/8 miles on Saturday afternoon up at Saratoga for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin.

Unlike American Pharoah’s picture perfect season, it’s been a bit of a rollercoaster ride of a season for Frosted. A second place finish to start the season in the Holy Bull to start the year was followed by one of the more talked about performances of the year when he finished fourth after appearing to be home free on the far turn.

A complete overhaul followed. A minor throat surgery was performed to help his breathing, McLaughlin made a change to the blinkers he added in the Fountain of Youth and made a rider change to his current jockey, Joel Rosario. McLaughlin’s moves were rewarded with a powerful, off-the-pace tally in the G1 Wood Memorial at Aqueduct.

In the Kentucky Derby, Frosted was one of the only horses making up any ground late when he rallied to finish fourth before taking a run at the champ on the far turn of the Belmont before finishing a solid second in the Belmont Stakes. Frosted will break from post 6.

Texas Red makes his third start of the season and since upsetting the B.C. Juvenile last season with a powerful last to first run that produced a 6 ¼ length score at over 13-1.

Trained by Keith Desormeaux and ridden by his Hall of Fame riding brother Kent, Texas Red rallied to finish second in his seasonal bow, the G2 San Vicente at Santa Anita going seven furlongs. A foot issue kept him sidelined for five months until Independence Day when he returned in the G3 Dwyer at Belmont. In the Dwyer, Texas Red again rallied from the back of the pack to finish second to the undefeated Speightster. He’ll break from post three.

Competitive Edge was a perfect four for four going into the G2 Woody Stephens on Belmont day but never fired and finished last of six for Pletcher. A two time winner as a juvenile, with both wins, including the G1 Hopeful, coming over this course, Competitive Edge won a minor stakes at Gulfstream as well as the G3 Pat Day Mile on the Derby undercard earlier this year. John Velazquez rides from post 4.

The Bill Mott trained Japan had a little better luck on Belmont day, winning the first race of the day, the WinStar Easy Goer, against just two other rivals, both of whom have come back to win. This will be just the fifth start of Japan’s career as he’ll be looking for his third consecutive win having broken his maiden two starts back. Junior Alvarado rides from post 2.

Tekton, also entered in the Curlin on Friday at the Spa and G2 West Virginia Derby at Mountaineer on Saturday, would break from post 5 for trainer Tony Dutrow and rider Alex Cintron. Tekton finished second by a head in the G3 Pegasus at Monmouth last out after taking an allowance/optional claimer at Pimlico by over 10 lengths two starts back. Frammento will be making his first start since finishing off the board in both the Derby and Belmont for trainer Nick Zito. Jose Lezcano rides from the rail.

Jim Dandy Stakes - Post Position & ML Odds
1 - Frammento 20/1
2 - Japan 10/1
3 - Texas 7/2
4 - Upstart 3/1
5 - Competitive Edge 4/1
6 - Tekton 10/1
7 - Frosted 2/1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Killarney

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Post: 6:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$1100 - CLAIMING 2500 FILLIES & MARES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 RED STAR BROOKLYN 4/1


# 3 WHATA SMOOTHIE 3/1


# 5 BIG BANG THEORY 2/1

If you want a really strong play in this event, feast your eyes on RED STAR BROOKLYN. Has competitive speed figs and most definitely has to be considered for a wager in here. It's sometimes tricky to consider solely based on class, but this mare has among the best class rankings of the bunch. Post 1 has been winning at a much better than average percent, suggesting really good probability of success today. WHATA SMOOTHIE - With a competitive 67 TrackMaster speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this outing. Howlett is racking up the wins in recent times. Amazing win percent makes this entrant our choice. BIG BANG THEORY - Could be the finest in the grouping here, showing nice figures of late. Average speed is a solid 73. Seems to have a very nice class advantage based on the competition she has faced.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Red Mile

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 9:24 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$6000 - FILLIES & MARES PREFERRED AE: NW $2,500 LAST 5 STS TO DRAW INSIDE


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 IVORY COLLECTION 8/1


# 4 LUCKY AMY 6/1


# 3 TIENE'S LECHE 7/2


IVORY COLLECTION sure does look ready to score and could score at a price in here. Worth thinking about here on the basis of the ratings in the speed rating department alone. This standardbred may wake up with a medication change (back on Lasix) today. She has very good class ratings, averaging 85. Could be considered for a bet in this one. LUCKY AMY - Comes into this race with very nice TrackMaster class figures relative to the field of horses - could be worth a shot. With Shehan in the sulky, watch out for this entrant to get the score. TIENE'S LECHE - Positive instinct - competing well enough to contend in this affair.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Northlands Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 53

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 CLEVER CLASSY GAL 7/5


# 1 QUEZAL 2/1


# 3 STARRY CIELO 9/2


CLEVER CLASSY GAL is the most favorable bet in this race. There is a very good chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix. With Maragh aboard her, this filly will most likely be able to break out quickly here. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a good angle. This horse ranks at the top in this lot. QUEZAL - I like the rider on this filly - strong chance to win the contest. Ought to come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the front end recently. STARRY CIELO - Have to consider solely on class, with some of the top class figs of this field. I can't pass on this filly given one of the best jock and handler combos on the grounds.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7200 Class Rating: 91

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JANUARY 1, 2015 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 1 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMINGPRICE $6,250


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 7 ROGUE TWISTER 8/1


# 3 ALUMNI 2/1


# 1 HE'S MY DESSERT 5/1


ROGUE TWISTER is my selection and could score at a price in here. Jaime has a winning percentage of 18 over the last 30 days. Will most likely come out sharp - I have liked the way this gelding has moved quickly to the front end recently. Could beat this group given the 74 Equibase Speed Fig garnered in his last outing. ALUMNI - Is worth thinking about and may be a wager - strong speed figures (90 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Has been running quite well lately and will almost certainly be on the lead early on. HE'S MY DESSERT - With a competitive 87 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this contest. Handler has strong win rate (23 percent) at this distance and surface.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:31pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 RACYN WITH GRACYN (ML=5/1)
#1 CAFE AU LAIT (ML=9/2)
#11 KIPPY FOX (ML=6/1)
#9 MORAL HIGH GROUND (ML=5/1)


RACYN WITH GRACYN - Trainer Michaels moves this horse down in class to face a less competitive field. Look for a good effort given this drop. I like to invest in this angle, a horse coming back off a good race within the last thirty days. Mare won shipping here on July 10th and looks good right back. This mare registered a strong speed fig of 88 in her last event. That speed figure should be good enough to prove victorious in today's event. This mare has the top turf rating in her last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here animal has a good chance. CAFE AU LAIT - Have to give this mare a chance. Ran a strong effort last race out within the last month. Speed figures on the grass point to this entrant as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this dist-surf. KIPPY FOX - Wolfendale has a very solid win pct in turf sprints. This mare should be ready to win. You always have to be on the prowl for profit making jock/conditioner duos; we have it right here. MORAL HIGH GROUND - Ran last out against tougher competition at Laurel Park. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit her well. The rider/conditioner duo of Russell and Shuman has a strong ROI together. This race horse has a lot of class. A good sign in a grass race like we have today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ONEGREATSTEP (ML=4/1), #10 THIS IS NICE (IRE) (ML=4/1), #7 SWEET SWAY (ML=6/1),

ONEGREATSTEP - I find it hard to wager on this horse this time out. Make her show you something in a sprint race before you invest in her in a race of 6 furlongs. Just cannot play this horse. Didn't show me anything positive last time around the track or on Mar 27th. THIS IS NICE (IRE) - Can't play this questionable contender in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint event recently. The seventh place result in the last race was not the greatest. SWEET SWAY - When checking today's class rating, she will have to earn a much better speed figure than in the last race to be competitive in this turf sprint.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - RACYN WITH GRACYN - This magnificent animal, posting the top average class figure, figures to give these horses a run for their money.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 RACYN WITH GRACYN is going to be the play if we are getting 6/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #5 - Post: 7:49pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,100 Class Rating: 63

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 KOKALOLA (ML=7/2)
#5 LA PERUANA (ML=6/1)


KOKALOLA - Trainer Sims moves this thoroughbred to a lower level to face a weaker class today. Look for a good race at this level. LA PERUANA - The jockey/handler tandem of Paz and Monjes has a strong ROI together. Entered a $5,000 Claiming race at Penn National last race out and raced on a track listed as good finishing eighth. Will do better right here. May have to bet on this beautiful animal in this contest. She has been claimed in each of her last two starts.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DESERT IMAGE (ML=5/2), #6 MAST HYSTARIA (ML=3/1), #4 ROYAL SIX SHOOTER (ML=7/2),

DESERT IMAGE - You should normally wager against morning-line favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. ROYAL SIX SHOOTER - Awfully tough to play this racer when she hasn't been showing any fighting spirit of late.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 KOKALOLA to win if you can get at least 6/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Saturday 8/1 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 9 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (32 - 50 / $114.80): SOUTHWIND SCORPION (7th)

Spot Play: SHOOTIN TO KILL (3rd)


Race 1

(9) ENGINE ONE O ONE talented gelding is finally starting to put it together. The pacer just needs to mind his manners against a much weaker bunch. (5) PISTOLPACKINPIPER put in a huge effort last start for proven connections; threat. (1) MR PEARL gets the best post and looks line for a ground saving trip.

Race 2

(3) TIME TO ROLL was exceptional last week coming off a scratch. The impeccably bred stallion might now just be back on his 'A' game. (5) RYLEIGH'S LILLY mare gets another crack at the boys for a second straight week and will need a good setup. (2) SIR MAMMO sophomore pacer faces older but is capable of a big effort at a price.

Race 3

(5) SHOOTIN TO KILL has started to blossom into a really nice pacer and should offer value in a field with few contenders. (1) ROYALE ROSE never get into the mile in the final last week but will be used very aggressively from the inside. (4) SILVER SAGE showed big improvement last start and picks back up a top driver.

Race 4

(1) BS TYRRIFIC freshman pacer was super last out just missing to sharp winner. (4) DAN D BUNE owns a ton of ability and can beat this field with a good trip. (6) THA PIPE FITTA just missed last start and has lots of upside.

Race 5

(3) MAYFAIR SOPHIE takes a significant drop in class against much weaker. The 4-year-old mare has trouble staying trotting but is good enough if she minds her manners. (9) RED SOLO CUP four-year-old stallion finds an ideal spot to do some damage; versatile. (1) HERE'S JOHNNY will need to turn it around after two dreadful efforts; command a price.

Race 6

(6) SHADY STELLA lightly raced filly has been facing much tougher in Indiana. (1) SARA'S TERROR just raced evenly last week. The 2-year-old looks to be in line for a ground saving trip and will look to shake loose late. (4) NARCISSISTIC came up empty in the final but has flashed ability.

Race 7

(8) SOUTHWIND SCORPION could not have been more impressive last week and was under a death grip down the lane. If the pacer races like that again its lights out. (6) REX PASSUS should be much closer turning for home. The gelding might have some help from a stable mate pushing the pace. (7) FOX VALLEY ANDY has had no luck with posts or any kind of pace to close into. That could change this week.

Race 8

(2) SARA THE SPY trotting mare will offer a nice price in a wide open race. (4) ANTS INER PANTS never should have lost last out on the fair track. The six-year-old makes her third start in less than a week and could be vulnerable late; fires early. (1) MASTER OF EXCUSES beat a much tougher field last start but is very inconsistent from week to week; use caution.

Race 9

(5) LENNOX BLUE CHIP has been racing gamely and should offer value. (7) ST ELMO HERO veteran pacer owns tons of back class and has room to get better third start back off a long layoff. (1) GIBBS raced better than his line indicates last start and gets a perfect starting post with options.

Race 10

In a tough race to gauge, (3) WINDY CITY DIANE is the only dropper in the race and owns a win against better on the year. (4) KIMBERLY R is a threat at this level with a fast pace to close into. (6) BUST MY CHOPS has an outside shot to hit the board at a big price.

Race 11

(3) SUNSET DREAMER impeccably bred pacer needs a fast track for his best chance. The pacer owns a good late brush the last sixteenth of a mile. (2) DOC'S DEAL has been close in his last two. The 6-year-old rarely wins but has been competitive at this level. (7) VITAL TERROR went a big three quarters of a mile last week just tiring late; threat.

Race 12

In a field with few contenders, (6) FOX VALLEY ELIJAH just missed last out to an opponent who would have been a heavy favorite against this group. (8) CALLHIMAFOOL has went to lifetime efforts in two straight. (3) CASEY AT BAT might be the sleeper in the race having really improved in the past few months.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Saturday 8/1 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

2,3,9,10/8,10/4,5,6,10/3,6 = $64


LATE PICK 4: 5/5,8/2,3,7,8/2,3,6 = $24

MEET STATS: 197 - 648 / $1123.00 BEST BETS: 27 - 58 / $92.50

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 58 / $57.30

Best Bet: LIVING HISTORY (8th)

Spot Play: DADDY WARBUCKS (12th)


Race 1

(4) AVENTURE moved into the Adams barn, took heavy support at the windows then self-destructed early. He re-qualified okay and now gets to drop in class; top call but I wouldn't take less than 2/1 and even then might not bet in the win pool. (2) JUSTALITTLEFASTER continues to race much better following a return from a break and will be coming late again. (5) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL drops back to a level where she usually shares and should hit the ticket.

Race 2

(5) GRACIES PARADE was bottled up until very late last week but was closing fast once she had a clear lane. She is likely to be a decent price here and is one of several that can take this. (8) INVEST IN ART was a powerful first-up winner and the choice here will have to deal with her again. (4) UNIQUE ROCK N ROLL was third to the two above last week now returns to a 7-day cycle and should be closer here.

Race 3

(6) CANTABS FORTUNE missed a month between her start last week and the one two back and wasn't asked for much as a result. She still closed decently down the lane and now - when she gets to race twice a week apart - might be the time to play her as some of the faithful jump ship. (1) HER NAME IS LOLA made two moves last time and just missed. She is the one to knock off here. (2) KATE SMITH is an interesting entrant in that she blew up the tote in the winter sporting a similar-looking set of past performance lines.

Race 4

(2) BYE BYE MICHELLE got stuck in a blindswitch at the worst time last week and didn't threaten thereafter. She's capable of better; we'll give her another try. (10) SOUTHWIND GINGER takes a pretty big class drop here and will likely take the bulk of the wagering support; using in the early pick 4. (9) DELIRIUM had to do more work last time and tired as a result. She's more dangerous out of the pocket and she could land there early here.

Race 5

Both (8) CAMAES FELLOW and (10) TRACKMASTER D plunge in class and look best here with the edge going to the former who has the better post. (3) IDEAL JET made a huge move past some winded leaders last week but was going too fast and gave up a big lead in a hurry in the stretch. He is likely to revert to a closing style here which could work out great.

Race 6

(5) O U SEXY GUY closed with a rush last week only to be overtaken by another closer late. He fits well in this class and this isn't the strongest field; top call. (6) STRONG HOPE faced better the past two starts and is a likely pace factor here. (10) J CS JAKE also takes a class plunge too but will need to beat a few of these off the gate which is probably unlikely from out there; minor share predicted.

Race 7

(6) SPINFINITI gets away from the top class where he just hasn't been able to beat either Shamballa or Evenin Of Pleasure. There is a good chance for a drop-and-pop here. (3) LADY SHADOW shows up to face the boys here and is still unbeaten in the Adams barn. She can obviously compete but you have to wonder about intent in this spot. (5) DUC DORLEANS was game last week but just couldn't reach a game winner late. He is one you should check on the track before wagering because he often appears steppy during his miles.

Race 8

(5) LIVING HISTORY closed okay late when coming off a 3-week break last week. She has faced mostly tougher recently and should handle these. (3) LADY JEN has shown great improvement in her past two starts and is a good bet to complete the exacta. (5) FLOAT ON BY produced her best effort of the year last week and can build on that and share here.

Race 9

(8) MARLEE B was in an impossible spot last week when trailing a slow pace early but still managed to gain ground throughout. Returning to a 7-day cycle gives her top call here. (5) LIGHTS GO OUT is a hot/cold type that is very hot at the moment. Keep her on your late pick 4 tickets. (6) BET YA is as solid as they come and rarely throws in a bad one. She's another to consider for the late pick 4.

Race 10

(7) LETS ROCK TOGETHER passed all but one late despite missing three week's action and now comes back in a week and gets to drop in class; top call. (8) CHEYENNE REIDER was in a bad flow last time which cost him any hope. He rarely finishes off the board in two straight; using. (3) CARACCI HANOVER also drops a bit in class and can get a piece of this at a big price.

Race 11

(2) BROOKDALE SHADOW left, yielded, took a shuffle then came back on for 2nd behind a sharp winner. She could get a great pocket trip here; top call. (6) VICTORIA SEMALU is on a roll but her most recent win came over the massively speed-favoring track on July 18; using but also hoping to beat in the late pick 4. (3) REGAL LUCK has been in solid form for a while now and can take this with a good trip.

Race 12

(9) DADDY WARBUCKS raced very well first off the claim and will likely be a square price vs. some class droppers here. We'll take a swing with him on top. (3) KENDAL GUSTAV closed well late into an accelerating last 1/4 and is a threat here with post relief. (8) BURNING SHORE figures highly on the class drop but is also a win-shy type that is sure to be overbet. (7) VELOCITY DRIVEN always seems to be closing after-the-fact and likely picks up a minor share here. (1) CZAR SEELSTER raced tough vs. a very sharp winner last time and can better this placing.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Saturday 8/1 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 95 - 331 / $482.70 BEST BETS: 13 - 25 / $47.30

Best Bet: WORLD CUP (2nd)

Spot Play: JK ENDOFANERA (11th)


Race 1

(6) CROCADILE CANYON switches barns for the third consecutive week, but that doesn’t seem to be affecting his form. He won the preliminary round for this mini-series last week and looks like the one to beat. (4) ACELO HANOVER was used hard early and succumbed last week. Barn can turn things around for him in a hurry. (2) TRIPLE MAJOR has been consistent all year but doesn’t win enough for my tastes; using underneath.

Race 2

(4) WORLD CUP gets some major class relief and finds himself in a spot where he can gun to the front and sit no worse than second. He came out with a win in his last race against this type. (9) TAG UP AND GO was used early and came up a bit short a week ago. He is very capable of wiring the field. (7) CLEMENTINE DREAM fits with this bunch. Maybe top driver Aaron Merriman can work some magic.

Race 3

(3) OK GORGEOUS dropped to this level last week but never had the opportunity to get involved from post 10. There are no excuses in this spot. (4) UP UP AND OUT seems likely to display early speed and looks like the clear main danger. (10) ROCKNROLL REALITY put in a big mile on the rim last time to be fifth. He’d be my top pick from an inside post and I still give him a shot from post 10 if he gets a decent trip.

Race 4

(1) MELADY’S MONET figures to flash some early speed in a race with some question marks. If Campbell has this guy sitting first or second, I like his chances. (4) DW’S NY YANK with others perhaps looking forward to next week’s $300k John Cashman, I can see driver Yannick Gingras gunning to the front with this guy and getting away cheaply enough to steal this $50k event. (2) NATURAL HERBIE had no shot last week while closing reasonably well; capable. (7) OBRIGADO was raced conservatively last time. He would have a big shot with different tactics.

Race 5

(5) TALKING BLUES hasn’t been particularly sharp in recent weeks, but did go uncovered last time and hang around nicely to lose by less than one length. Heidi Rohr trainee has some class to him and can score the mild upset. (1A) THAT’S MY OPINION has finally lost enough weeks in a row to remove himself from the top spot in this space. That said, I know he is capable of winning and comes with a classy entrymate. (8) DAVID’S DREAM came up with a big mile last time and figures to be gunning off the wings from the outside post. (4) HIGH OCTANE N should be a healthy price and seems likely to sneak into the exotics.

Race 6

(3) LOCK DOWN LINDY is nowhere near the best horse on paper and certainly hasn’t done anything to write home about all year. With that qualifying statement behind us, I’ve seen subtle signs that show she can go with any of these and the price will be huge. (7) WILD HONEY looks like the horse to beat after chasing Hambletonian starter Mission Brief last time. This gal is 12 for 17 lifetime. (8) SMOKINMOMBO has been a win machine in Pennsylvania and now tries Open company. I can’t dismiss or endorse her strongly at this point. (6) GATKA HANOVER hasn’t put it all together yet this year, but I get the feeling she could improve.

Race 7

(2) SARCY has been doing good work and freshened up nicely with nearly four weeks off prior to her recent second-place finish 10 days ago. With Rules Of The Road likely to show her usual early speed from the inside, this Team Takter charge should be sitting pretty in striking position. (6) LIVININTHEFASTLANE had every chance in the Del Miller and was out-kicked. I’d like to see her on the engine tonight if at all possible. (1) RULES OF THE ROAD has plenty of speed and now faces the toughest task of her career; using underneath. (4) MAGIC MARKER hasn’t stepped up as I expected in her last two starts. Maybe she is saving her best for the Oaks?

Race 8

In a wide open race with many possibilities, I’ll try (6) TABLE TALK, who is versatile enough to win from on or off the pace. (4) RADAR CONTACT has been the model of consistency all year; must respect. (3) ANNDROVETTE almost has to leave from this post, right? Something tells me she’ll get an easy race. (5) COLOR’S A VIRGIN makes her second start for this barn and deserves one last chance.

Race 9

(8) MISTER VIRGIN drops down and draws inside his biggest rivals. Assuming he leaves hard, he should be a major player. (10) THINKING OUT LOUD sits just short of $2 million in earnings but has yet to win in 2015. He is another getting class relief. (9) WESTERN ROCKSTAR A makes his U.S. debut after a decent qualifier behind Wake Up Peter; worth using. (6) MY NAME IS SAM wouldn’t shock me in this spot but was probably hoping to face easy since he was moving down the class ladder.

Race 10

(6) ODDS ON EQUULEUS has seemingly overnight become one of the fastest horses in training. Of course, he was always a good horse, but this guy has reached a new level in recent weeks. (5) MELMERBY BEACH has won three of four starts including the Open last time; must use. (8) DOCTOR BUTCH likes to race here and is capable of flying off the gate for position; worth using.

Race 11

This field seems to be lacking a clear early speed threat, which is strange from the older pacing crowd. (6) JK ENDOFANERA has been handled conservatively in both starts since entering the Takter barn, but is capable of blasting off the gate and seems to be in a great position to do it. (7) FOILED AGAIN put in an admirable third-place finish in the Haughton. Could Gingras fire him up behind the gate and show some vintage early speed from the 11-year-old? (2) MACH IT SO parlayed a perfect trip to a Haughton victory; clear player.

Race 12

(8) CALVIN B comes off a solid second-place finish behind Art History, who starts in the Open this week. Tonight’s competition is easier. (3) GRAB YOUR KEYS has been stuck with outside posts versus difficult foes at Philly. I wouldn’t be shocked if he woke up in this spot. (5) BETTOR THAN YOU could fire out for Gingras and go a long way.

Race 13

(7) MISTER TRUTH drops to the basement condition level and it is hard to believe he won’t beat this dull group. (6) SIR JAKE’S Z TAM raced well at this level two starts back. (8) CITY HALL continues to drop down the class ladder in search of some form. (4) WELL BRED gets a driver change to Tetrick.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Saturday 8/1 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 213 - 685 / $1193.20 BEST BETS: 29 - 54 / $100.30

Best Bet: E Z NOAH (10th)

Spot Play: ROYAL HEART (2nd)


Race 1

(4) MONTREAL PHIL gets needed post relief after three consecutive eight holes and although this veteran isn't what he used to be he's got a shot here versus this suspect bunch. (1) EIGHTEEN was caught uncovered last week, which isn't his game, but the didn't tire that badly. He should be cutting the mile tonight. (3) BET TOGETHER ships down from Saratoga for the Rohr barn and he's been racing well of late.

Race 2

(1) ROYAL HEART was uncovered and attacked a well-rated Sapphire City before being rebuffed upon arrival from The Meadows; things should go smoother tonight from the rail. (3) BURKENTINE HANOVER returns from Vernon coming off some very fast miles. (6) PANIC DISORDER was live on the board and live on the track upon arrival last week.

Race 3

(3) REGULUS N faltered on the front end last week as the odds-on favorite but the Down-Under gelding deserves another chance, at a much better price. (2) DUEL IN THE SUN should be saving ground from this spot and can have something to offer late. (1) AMERICAN VENTURE absolutely crushed cheaper a few days ago and forgot to stop late; he's got one big brush in him but it needs to be timed right.

Race 4

(5) FLEM N EM N hasn't been in good form recently but he does get reunited with Bartlett; worth a look. (3) REUBEN BROGDEN N returns locally with some class relief and I suppose he's the one to beat from this spot. (1) AMERICAN FLIGHT saved ground last week from an inside post and hit the ticket; he should have a similar effort on tap.

Race 5

(1) SHADY CITY lacks the class of others in here but the Team Stalbaum charge has been in good form for some time now and he does get needed post relief. (7) BIG N BAD didn't make the lead last week but was game to grab second; if Sears fires hard with him and makes the top it will be tough to catch him. (3) HERE WE GO AGAIN drops in class, returns to Bartlett and is always capable on his best day.

Race 6

(3) TEXICAN N just missed last week in a record-setting time, and to be honest, he hasn't put in a bad effort in ages, yet never garners a ton of respect. He's got a big shot here from this favorable post draw. (2) MICHAEL'S POWER returns from the Gerrity at Saratoga, where he finished fourth. He's a proven entity here and somehow is assigned an inside post. (7) DOMETHATAGAIN was flying home in the Gerrity and don't forget the Allard trainee was the Levy winner here a couple of months ago.

Race 7

(8) BEE A MAGICIAN has come back stronger than ever this season and the now 5-year-old mare is clearly best of these; she's the deserving favorite even from her assigned outside post. (3) FORT VALLEY AS has plenty of speed, hails from the hot Sabot barn and was Bartlett's choice of four. (1) CASHONTHEROCS is ambitiously placed here but he's been sharp and could last for a share.

Race 8

(2) ORILLIA JOE has a win and a second three and four back at this level with Brennan driving; gelding has a post edge on his main rivals here. (3) MACHS BEACH BOY is clearly a proven entity with these and was motoring well in the late stages last week. (4) CASIMIR JITTERBUG was a good second to a strong front-end winner last out.

Race 9

(3) SOMEWHERE FANCY never fired last week, but it was from a tough spot. From this improved post he can revert back to his solid prior form. (8) ALWAYS AT MY PLACE was absolutely super last week upon arrival from Hoosier and he's the one to beat here, despite the outside post. (5) FORT KNOX moves in a few spots tonight and should be more involved.

Race 10

(4) E Z NOAH was an odds-on winner last week at Saratoga, his second start for the Allard barn. He's in for the $75K tag tonight and should fit nicely with these. (1) VALIDUS DEO is back with Bartlett and back on the rail. A similar scenario two back resulted in victory. (5) TYE SEELSTER was sent to the lead and rated a very kind pace en route to victory last week but I suspect he'll have to come from off the pace tonight.

Race 11

(6) MARCH AWARENESS was outfinished last week but it was a good effort nonetheless; Burke's trotter is outside of what he has to beat tonight but that should help the price. (3) ILLUSIONOFDREAMS was nailed on the money in a good front-end effort last out; speed threat again. (4) LUCKY COLBY is an obvious threat if he can stay trotting.

Race 12

(2) SAPPHIRE CITY finally got that elusive win last week and though he's up in class tonight he's more than capable of repeating. (3) MCERLEAN takes the opposite route to this level--dropping from the Open, where he hasn't been racing badly. Cassar trainee could be considered the one to beat. (4) SKY IS THE LIMIT hasn't put in a bad effort in ages and he should hit the ticket with a smooth trip.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Arlington Park (1st) Rio Chama, 9-2
(6th) Away Westward, 3-1


Belterra Park (2nd) Four Scips, 7-2
(7th) The Native Blaze, 9-2


Canterbury (2nd) Another Gear, 6-1
(10th) Willow Spring, 8-1


Charles Town (3rd) Golden Joe, 6-1
(6th) Foolish Flower, 5-1


Delaware Park (6th) Intrepid Citizen, 8-1
(7th) Showmeiseter, 6-1


Del Mar (2nd) Warren's Rail Bird, 5-1
(10th) Rosicky, 7-2


Ellis Park (1st) Starship Skipper, 6-1
(5th) Drawbridge, 9-2


Emerald Downs (3rd) Justitia, 10-1
(7th) Bodacious, 6-1


Evangeline Downs (1st) Jerry's Pride, 7-2
(7th) Annie Had a Baby, 9-2


Finger Lakes (3rd) Kitchi Warrior, 4-1
(5th) All Class, 6-1


Gulfstream Park (6th) Phirst Phoebe, 5-1
(11th) Come Up Rosie, 7-2


Laurel (3rd) Sweet Sway, 6-1
(9th) Barnards Galaxy, 5-1


Louisiana Downs (3rd) You're Joking, 7-2
(6th) Bella Rae Rae, 9-2


Monmouth Park (3rd) O'Lucey, 7-2
(7th) Dubai Time, 9-2


Mountaineer (3rd) Lucky Mary G., 9-2
(9th) Rose Brier, 3-1


Parx Racing (6th) Savvy Joe, 10-1
(8th) Steel Sky, 4-1


Penn National (3rd) Fuego Del Sol, 9-2
(4th) My Tootsy, 4-1


Prairie Meadows (2nd) Southern Parkway, 7-2
(7th) Dazzling Pioneer, 3-1


Santa Rosa (7th) Bountiful Desert, 3-1
(10th) Monsajem Manege, 8-1


Saratoga (3rd) Political Justice, 8-1
(11th) Rico Capote, 8-1


Thistledown (1st) R Skinnys Chick, 7-2
(8th) Ncc Thunderandice, 10-1


Woodbine (5th) Generous Consort, 7-2
(9th) Why Tie the Knot, 3-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Royals (61-41) at Blue Jays (53-51)

Game: 3
Venue: Rogers Centre
Date: August 01, 2015 1:07 PM EDT

Being buyers before the trade deadline has put a bounce in the Toronto Blue Jays.

After their aggressive flurry of deals to spark a postseason push, the Blue Jays seek a fourth consecutive victory Saturday when they continue their series against the Kansas City Royals.

Toronto's wheeling and dealing brought some of the marquee names available north of the border in pitcher David Price and shortstop Troy Tulowitzki. The Blue Jays (53-51) added Ben Revere from Philadelphia on Friday prior to the deadline, giving them speed at the top of a power-based lineup.

'I just want to try to get on base and let the big boys do the work,' said Revere, who has 24 stolen bases and joins a Blue Jays team third in the majors with 135 homers.

In the thick of the wild-card race and lingering in the AL East race, Toronto was able to win without the longball in Friday night's 7-6, 11-inning victory as it rallied twice from three-run deficits. Josh Donaldson provided an RBI double and scored the tying run in a three-run seventh before plating Tulowitzki with a one-out walkoff single as the Blue Jays improved to 6-24 when failing to homer.

'He left me a pitch over the middle of the plate, what I was kind of waiting for the entire time,' said Donaldson, who is 7 for 13 with a homer and three doubles his last three games. 'I didn't miss it.'

While Price isn't slated to make his Blue Jays debut until Monday, they are in more than capable hands with Mark Buehrle (11-5, 3.29 ERA). The left-hander is 4-0 with a 1.26 ERA in as many starts versus the Royals since joining Toronto in 2013, and limited them to two runs in seven innings of a 6-2 road victory July 11.

Buehrle's 26 wins against Kansas City (61-41) are his second-most against any team, trailing only the 29 he's accumulated facing Minnesota. He's 5-1 in eight starts at Rogers Centre this year while being backed with 8.94 runs per outing - the best run support in the majors when pitching at home.

Ben Zobrist - 12 for 33 lifetime versus Buehrle - had a two-run single for his first hit with the Royals, who are looking to avoid a season high-tying fourth straight loss. Their vaunted bullpen gave up four runs Friday, spoiling Johnny Cueto's debut, and their relievers have a 4.96 ERA halfway through this 10-game road trip - well above their 2.20 season mark.

Kelvin Herrera may not be available after throwing 34 pitches in back-to-back games and All-Star Wade Davis is day to day with a sore back. Closer Greg Holland has yet to pitch in this four-game set, and Ned Yost may shy away from using Ryan Madson - seven of the 13 runs he's given up this year have come in his last two appearances against Toronto, during which he's retired one batter.

Yordano Ventura (5-7, 4.86), who got a reprieve from a demotion to the minors, tries to win a second consecutive start. Still in the rotation only because Jason Vargas suffered a season-ending elbow injury, Ventura recalled flashes of his 14-win rookie season in 2014, limiting Houston to one run in seven innings of a 5-1 victory Sunday.

'The two things that helped today was that I attacked the hitters and I threw inside,' Ventura told MLB's official website via a translator. "I feel like I pitched similar to last year."

Ventura allowed two hits over five scoreless innings in his lone career start against the Blue Jays last April.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Rays (51-53) at Red Sox (46-58)

Game: 2
Venue: Fenway Park
Date: August 01, 2015 1:35 PM EDT

Letting the trade deadline slip by without making any major deals, the Tampa Bay Rays think they already have enough to reach the postseason.

They could have a hard time getting there if they keep wasting opportunities against last-place teams, however.

They'll try to avoid a third straight loss Saturday against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

The Rays (51-53) were content to largely stay put at the deadline, only dealing reliever Kevin Jepsen to Minnesota for a pair of minor league pitching prospects. They're three games behind the Twins for the AL's second wild-card spot, and any improvements are likely going to have to come from in-house.

"The way we see it, three games out of the wild card today, if we play to our potential, we're going to be in it in September and have a chance at the postseason," president of baseball operations Matt Silverman told MLB's official website.

Tampa Bay, though, needs to ditch its recent habit of underachieving against lesser competition. The Rays dropped two of three at major league-worst Philadelphia from July 20-22, were swept in four games by cellar-dwelling Cleveland at home June 29-July 2, and lost two of three at home to Boston from June 26-28.

The season series with the Red Sox, who own the AL's second-worst record, is 5-5 after Boston won for just the fourth time in 16 games with a 7-5 victory Friday.

The Red Sox (46-58) also made little noise during deadline week, only acquiring reliever Ryan Cook from Oakland.

Facing Tampa Bay's Matt Moore (1-2, 7.61 ERA) doesn't appear intimidating after five uninspiring starts since returning from Tommy John surgery. He's failed to complete more than five innings and given up at least four runs four times.

Luck hasn't been on the left-hander's side, either, with opponents hitting .375 on balls in play.

"I feel fine ... I feel good out there," said Moore, who is surrendering a .441 on-base percentage with runners in scoring position. "It's just a matter of making a couple pitches in situations where you have runners on."

He won his last two starts against Boston, most recently a two-hitter in a 3-0 road victory July 22, 2013.

The Red Sox have been middling against lefties, hitting .245. David Ortiz is having his worst season ever against left-handers, batting .185, but he's fared well against Moore, going 6 for 13 with a home run and two doubles.

Joe Kelly (2-6, 5.94) has been one of many disappointments for Boston, especially after predicting before the season he'd win the Cy Young.

Kelly has been anything but fit for an award and is 0-2 with a 7.33 ERA in two starts since rejoining the team from Triple-A Pawtucket. He threw 3 1-3 innings Monday against the Chicago White Sox - his second-shortest effort of the season - giving up four earned runs and seven hits.

"You don't really predict that, but it is what it is right now," Kelly said of his struggles. "Something that I just have to keep fighting. I'm not going to give up out there. Just going to keep pitching."

Kelly gave up five runs over five-plus innings of Boston's 7-5 loss to the Rays on April 22. Steven Souza Jr. hit a solo shot off the right-hander.

Evan Longoria is 15 for 36 during a nine-game hitting streak against the Red Sox after a 3-for-4 night Friday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Angels (55-47) at Dodgers (58-45)

Game: 2
Venue: Dodger Stadium
Date: August 01, 2015 4:05 PM EDT

A few days later than expected, Clayton Kershaw finally appears ready to continue his recent dominance.

Riding the majors' longest active scoreless streak, the left-hander will get the ball in the Freeway Series on Saturday at Dodger Stadium opposite unbeaten Andrew Heaney and the Los Angeles Angels.

Though Kershaw (8-6, 2.51 ERA) saw his bid for a perfect game end in the seventh inning last Thursday against the New York Mets, he hasn't allowed a run in 29 innings after tossing a three-hitter with 11 strikeouts during that 3-0 win.

"That's what aces do. When he's like that, they've got no chance," teammate Jimmy Rollins told MLB's official website.

Kershaw last yielded a run in the fourth inning of a 2-1 loss to the Mets on July 3. In three starts since, he's recorded two complete games and struck out 38 without a walk over 26 innings to become the first pitcher in history with three straight scoreless starts that included no walks and at least 10 strikeouts.

Kershaw, 3-1 with an 0.97 ERA in his last five home starts, had this start originally pushed back from Wednesday to Friday due to hip soreness. He then got pushed back one more day, with Zack Greinke pitching Friday's three-game series opener and getting the win in a 5-3 victory.

'As much as anything, we're just making sure that everything's good,' manager Don Mattingly said. 'He threw yesterday before his (charity bowling) event, and we knew he was feeling good. But we wanted to give him the extra day and keep Zack on (his regular rest).'

Kershaw, who insisted to reporters he will pitch Saturday, is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three home starts against the Angels.

Albert Pujols is 9 for 20 with four doubles against him while Mike Trout is 2 for 3 with a double. Both faced Kershaw this year in the All-Star game, with Pujols walking and Trout grounding out against the NL's losing pitcher.

Heaney (5-0, 1.79) will make his seventh start after winning his last five. He is trying to become the first Angels rookie to win six straight starts since Jered Weaver in 2006. In that year, Weaver also became the only pitcher in club history to throw at least six innings and allow two runs or fewer in his first seven starts.

"I'm trying to take the same stuff out there; the only thing that changes is the hitters," he told MLB's official website.

The Angels (55-47) have provided a healthy amount of support with 35 runs for him in his last four outings. That includes Sunday's 13-7 victory over Texas in which the left-hander gave up two runs in six innings.

Greinke struck out eight in eight innings for the Dodgers (58-45). Howie Kendrick homered in his first game against his former team and rookie Alex Guerrero hit a tiebreaking two-run homer in the fourth inning.

Trout finished a double shy of the cycle and drilled his major league-leading 32nd homer in the ninth off closer Kenley Jansen. He finished with three RBIs and half of the Angels' hits, with Kole Calhoun getting the other three.

Pujols was 0 for 4 with three strikeouts and will seek to avoid going hitless in three straight games for the first time since Aug. 31-Sept. 2.

The Dodgers have won six of their last eight at home while the Angels have lost seven of eight overall.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Braves (46-57) at Phillies (40-64)

Game: 3
Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Date: August 01, 2015 7:05 PM EDT

With Cole Hamels' storied tenure over in Philadelphia, the path is clear for highly touted Aaron Nola to push toward becoming the Phillies' No. 1 starter.

Nola will try to continue that work Saturday night when he pitches opposite Atlanta Braves prospect Matt Wisler.

Hamels concluded his 10 seasons in Philadelphia, an era that included winning the 2008 World Series MVP and a no-hitter last Saturday, with a trade to Texas on Friday. With their NL-worst 40-64 record, the Phillies have started rebuilding for the future, and Nola has the potential to play a significant role.

The right-hander took a 1-0 loss to Tampa Bay in his major league debut July 21 and got an 11-5 victory at the Chicago Cubs on Sunday in the encore to Hamels' no-hitter. Nola (1-1, 3.29 ERA) gave up two runs in his first seven innings and a two-run homer in the eighth.

"I'm just soaking as much as I can in right now," he told MLB's official website. "Being a part of all this is pretty amazing."

Nola will try to lead Philadelphia to its 12th win in 14 games facing Wisler (5-1, 3.43), making his eighth start. Both 22-year-old pitchers will make their first appearances in the NL East rivalry.

The Braves right-hander has won four consecutive decisions after a 3-2 victory in St. Louis on Sunday, Atlanta's lone one in the past nine games and only one in its last 13 road contests.

"He's a real competitive guy and he's going out there and giving it his all," catcher Ryan Lavarnway said. "He's got great stuff, so as he continues to grow, I'm excited to watch him."

Wisler yielded two runs in seven innings, and the Braves (46-57) could use another such performance following a 9-3 loss Friday.

Ryan Howard helped send Atlanta to a season high-tying fifth consecutive defeat by driving in a season-best four runs and Domonic Brown continued his hot hitting by going 2 for 5 with a two-run homer.

"It's been great, a total team effort on both sides of the ball," Howard said.

Brown is batting .424 (14 for 33) in his last eight games and has homered in each of the first two in this series. The Phillies were playing their first contest without leadoff hitter, Ben Revere, who was traded to Toronto on Friday.

Philadelphia is 11-2 since the All-Star break and looks to send the Braves to their first six-game overall skid since an 0-8 road trip July 29-Aug. 6, 2014. Atlanta is batting .220 while being outscored 34-14 in its last nine games.

"Right now we're not scoring runs," manager Fredi Gonzalez said. "When you're down four runs in the first inning, it makes it tough, but our guys kept busting it."

Philadelphia will also seek a fourth consecutive win against Atlanta and try to win four in a row at home over the Braves for the first time since July 10-Sept. 7 2011.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Tigers (50-53) at Orioles (52-50)

Game: 3
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Date: August 01, 2015 7:05 PM EDT

Gerardo Parra arrived too late to make his debut for Baltimore and was only a witness to a stirring comeback victory.

The newly acquired outfielder could get his first opportunity to play for the Orioles and attempt to extend his 14-game hit streak Saturday night against the Detroit Tigers.

Parra, acquired from Milwaukee on Friday, made his first appearance in the Baltimore dugout in the second inning and watched Baltimore (52-50) erase a six-run deficit for an 8-7 victory. Manny Machado provided a go-ahead, a two-run homer in the sixth, and Adam Jones went 3 for 5 with a three-run shot in the fifth for the Orioles' sixth win in seven games.

Baltimore nearly rallied from a seven-run deficit in Thursday's opener, a 9-8 loss, and will try to get a quick jump on the Tigers (50-53) with help from its newest player. Parra was fourth in the NL with a .328 average, and had nine homers and 24 doubles.

He's 23 for 50 (.460) during his streak - tied with teammate J.J. Hardy's for the longest in the majors - and has batted .390 in 43 games dating back to June 11. Parra is also a two-time Gold Glove-winning outfielder.

"I've always been a fan of his," manager Buck Showalter said. "The guy won a Gold Glove in left and right and is having a big year offensively. Plays the game like our fans like to see it played. He's really likes winning, so he should fit in well."

Parra is also 8 for 14 with two doubles lifetime against Tigers starter Anibal Sanchez (10-8, 4.61 ERA), who had a career high-tying string of seven consecutive victories and a four-start win streak snapped Monday.

Sanchez gave up three runs in 5 1-3 innings in a 5-2 loss in Tampa Bay while getting zero runs of support.

The right-hander received 56 runs in his prior eight games, including a 7-3 win over Baltimore on July 17. He won't have Yoenis Cespedes to help him after the Tigers slugger was traded to New York Mets on Friday.

Detroit, though, had 16 hits for the second straight game and its first without its second-leading home run hitter and second-best RBI man.

"Guys continue to play hard," manager Brad Ausmus said. "Offensively we're fine right now. A week ago we couldn't buy a run. Now we seem to get runs but we can't seem to hold them."

Kevin Gausman (1-2, 4.20) will try to power the Orioles to another victory over Detroit while hoping to get better run support. The right-hander has gotten a combined four runs in his five starts this season, going 0-2 with a 4.08 ERA, and couldn't benefit from one of the best performances of his career Monday.

Gausman tossed 7 2-3 scoreless innings in a 2-1 victory against Atlanta.

Gausman is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in two starts against Detroit and allowed five runs in four innings in his lone matchup last season, a 7-5 loss May 14, 2014.

Sanchez yielded two runs in six innings in defeating Baltimore last month and is 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts against the Orioles.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Pirates (60-42) at Reds (46-55)

Game: 3
Venue: Great American Ball Park
Date: August 01, 2015 7:10 PM EDT

If it weren't for poor results against the sub-.500 Cincinnati Reds, the Pittsburgh Pirates' wild-card lead would be even bigger.

So would Gerrit Cole's major league lead in wins.

The only team Cole has faced more than once and never beaten is the Reds, and they're responsible for three of the Pirates' only five losses in 20 games he's started this year entering Saturday night's matchup in Cincinnati.

Pittsburgh is 3-8 in the season series even after hanging on to win 5-4 on Friday. The Pirates (60-42) halted a six-game losing streak in Cincinnati as Mark Melancon narrowly escaped with his club-record 31st straight save, giving up two singles and a walk before Starling Marte threw out Brandon Phillips at the plate and made a game-ending diving catch on Marlon Byrd's line drive.

The Pirates finished an NL-best 17-9 in July and are four games better than any other wild-card contender.

Cole (14-4, 2.24 ERA) is a big reason why - no other pitcher has more than 12 victories - but half of his losses have come to the Reds (46-55). He's had a quality start in every game this season other than his three versus Cincinnati, posting a 6.75 ERA.

The Pirates have lost all five career starts Cole has made against the Reds as he's gone 0-3 with a 5.53 ERA, his highest versus any NL team. The only other one he hasn't defeated is Colorado, but the ace right-hander has had just one chance.

When he last faced Cincinnati, Cole was tagged for five runs and eight hits in 4 2-3 innings of a 5-2 loss June 24.

"I don't look and say, 'Hey, we're getting Gerrit Cole this time through; I sure am happy about that,'" Reds manager Bryan Price said following the game. "There's certain starters in the league where you're going, 'I hope that guy ends up pitching against us because we hit him really, really good.' But Gerrit Cole is not one of them."

Byrd and Todd Frazier are both 4 for 8 against him in 2015, with Byrd homering twice and Frazier hitting for the cycle. Byrd, 5 for 10 with two homers through two games of this series, is 6 for 13 lifetime against Cole and Phillips is 5 for 11.

"We know they're an offensive team, we know that they've got professional hitters," Cole said after losing to the Reds in June.

He yielded a run and struck out eight in 7 2-3 innings in Sunday's 3-1 victory over Washington, becoming the first Pittsburgh pitcher with 14 wins before August since Dock Ellis in 1971.

"Obviously, when we have Cole on the mound, we feel like two, three runs on most occasions is enough," second baseman Neil Walker told MLB's official website.

The Pirates may need another gem from Cole with their bullpen struggling. Besides Melancon looking shaky Friday, newly acquired Joakim Soria loaded the bases in the seventh and only escaped after snaring Brayan Pena's liner. Jared Hughes allowed an earned run for the first time since June 9, and Pirates relievers have a 6.23 ERA over the past eight games.

The Reds bullpen - and maybe starter Raisel Iglesias (1-3, 5.53) - face a tough task considering the Pirates have scored 37 runs in the fifth inning or later during a 6-2 stretch.

Fifteen of the 16 runs Iglesias has allowed in his last four starts have come after the first three innings. The rookie right-hander, who hasn't faced Pittsburgh, doesn't have a quality start in three outings since missing six weeks with a strained oblique.

Among his biggest concerns should be Jung Ho Kang, batting .467 in his last 12 games after delivering three doubles Friday. Andrew McCutchen hit his second homer in three games and is 6 for 13 in that span with five RBIs. Marte is batting .425 during a 10-game hitting streak.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Nationals (54-47) at Mets (53-50)

Game: 2
Venue: Citi Field
Date: August 01, 2015 7:10 PM EDT

Loaded with talented young pitchers, it has been understood for months the New York Mets' plan was to add a proven hitter before the trade deadline to foster a playoff push.

Just before the deadline expired, they acquired a slugger they desperately needed.

Yoenis Cespedes will make his Mets debut Saturday night at Citi Field while Jacob deGrom takes the ball looking to help New York pull closer to the NL East-leading Washington Nationals.

While a rotation led by deGrom, Matt Harvey and Noah Syndergaard has helped the Mets (53-50) to the majors' third-best ERA at 3.26, their offensive ineptitude has hampered their playoff hopes. New York ranks last in the majors in batting average (.234) and runs per game (3.5) and is 29th with a .363 slugging percentage.

Two days after a deal for Milwaukee's Carlos Gomez fell through, the lineup got a significant boost Friday by acquiring Cespedes from Detroit for two minor league pitchers.

Cespedes hit .293 with 18 home runs, 28 doubles and 61 RBIs in 102 games with the Tigers and entered Friday with a 3.6 WAR - 1.3 better than top Mets position player Curtis Granderson.

'He's a very dynamic player,' New York general manager Sandy Alderson said. 'We think he's going to impact us in a number of different ways. But I think also just his presence in the lineup and his presence on the team will raise the energy level.'

Cespedes, who hit 32 homers to win the 2013 Home Run Derby at Citi Field, is slated to start in left field a day after the Mets' offense nearly wasted a Harvey gem. New York managed five hits in Friday's opener before Wilmer Flores led off the bottom of the 12th inning with a homer to give the Mets to a 2-1 win and within two games of the Nationals (54-47).

It's been an emotional few days for Flores, who was wiping away tears at shortstop Wednesday when he thought he'd been traded for Gomez.

'Words can't really describe what has been going through his head and us as a team the last couple days,' Harvey said.

Cespedes is one of the majors' top batters against right-handers, hitting .321 with 15 homers and an .898 OPS. However, right-handed hitters are batting .187 against rookie Joe Ross (2-3, 3.03 ERA) in his five starts.

DeGrom (10-6, 2.05) has the majors' third-best mark against righties, limiting them to a .176 average.

DeGrom also has baseball's fourth-best home ERA at 1.48 and is 2-0 with a 0.83 ERA in his last three starts. He outpitched the Los Angeles Dodgers' Zack Greinke on Sunday, yielding two hits over 7 2-3 scoreless innings, as the Mets ended Greinke's shutout string at 45 2-3 innings in a 3-2, 10-inning win.

In his previous start, deGrom allowed two runs and three hits while striking out eight over six innings in a 7-2 win at Washington on July 21. Wilson Ramos hit a two-run homer off the All-Star right-hander and is 3 for 8 against him this year. Bryce Harper and Yunel Escobar are each 3 for 7 with a double in 2015 matchups.

Harper was ejected in the 11th Friday for arguing a called third strike and was hitless in five at-bats after reaching base safely in a career-best 26 consecutive games. He is 3 for 20 at Citi Field this season, and manager Matt Williams was disappointed with Harper's decision to scream right in the face of plate umpire Jerry Meals in extra innings of a tie game.

'He needs to stay in the baseball game,' Williams said. 'We talked about it. We'll talk about it again.'

Ross opposed deGrom last week and yielded three runs and four hits in 6 1-3 innings. Flores had two of those hits.

Five days later Ross allowed three runs with seven strikeouts in six innings of a 3-1 loss at Pittsburgh. He served up a home run to Neil Walker - the only one he has surrendered in 129 batters faced. The 22-year-old has struck out 34 while walking three over 32 2-3 innings.