Saturday 7/26/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Dave Cokin

Saturday Bonus Play 9:05 PM MLB

(925) DETROIT TIGERS at (926) LOS ANGELES ANGELS

Take: (926) LOS ANGELES ANGELS -113

What a difference a few months can make. If someone had told me in April that I could get underdog on Justin Verlander opposing Matt Shoemaker, I’d have been racing to my screen to start blasting away with every out available. Perennial ace against fringe big leaguer at plus money? Sign me up!

Now here it is late July and I’m looking at Shoemaker being a small favorite and thinking that the line is actually a little bit short of where it rightfully should be.

Verlander is clearly not the same pitcher we’ve grown accustomed to seeing over the past several years. I can’t determine whether this is still part of an ongoing recovery from his off-season surgery or simply a diminishment of skills. But that really doesn’t matter. The fact is that Verlander has been nothing more than ordinary this season, and there’s nothing I can see to suggest a surge is imminent.

As for Shoemaker, he continues to be a revelation of sorts. There was simply nothing in his minor league resume to suggest he could thrive in the show, much less while owning a spectacular 1.9/9.3 BB/K ratio. But those are the numbers, and if you’ve watched this guy throw, you already know why he’s getting all those swings and misses. Shoemaker evidently discovered the splitter at some point, and that pitch has taken him from organizational filler to, if not a mainstay, a valuable piece in the Angels starting rotation.

I think the oddsmakers have finally adjusted to where Verlander is at this juncture, and there are no more bargains available for those fading him on a regular basis. But I still believe this price is a tad short. That’s more on the team data, however. The Halos are dominating their guests when playing in Anaheim and while the Tigers are a tough adversary with the best road record in baseball, the Angels are currently owners of the second best home record in the game and they’re getting better.

There’s a good chance we won’t see Josh Hamilton in the Angels lineup tonight, as he had to leave Friday’s game with an injury (a real shocker there, huh?) but I don’t consider his absence especially critical, as he hasn’t been productive lately anyway. I like the Soria pickup for the beleaguered Detroit pen, but still give the late inning advantage to the home team if this is tight. The lean here is definitely to the Angels to make it two straight over the Tigers.
 
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Jim Feist

MLB Comp Pick for Saturday, July 26, 2014: 4:05 PM ET

MLB (951) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS VS (952) CHICAGO CUBS

Take: (951) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Sunday is in the NL rivalry contest between the St Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs. St. Louis has its act together, on a nice run the last month getting back in the pennant race. Their pitching and defense is second to none and the offense is up to 13th in baseball in runs scored. Shelby Miller gets the start here for the birds with a 7-8 record and 4.25 ERA. The Cardinals are 55-24 against a team with a losing record. Last place Chicago is not playing well and starter Jake Arrieta has cooled off, with the team 1-2 his last three starts walking 3 in all three starts. The Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Your Bonus Play is on the Cardinals.
 
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NEWSLETTER CFL Football Prediction From Raphael Esparza

Take #128 Saskatchewan (-6) over Toronto (9 p.m., Saturday, July 26)
Both teams are coming off back-to-back losses and both teams’ defenses have been poor. I’m looking at the revenge factor here as Toronto beat the Roughriders in Toronto 48-15 and Toronto jumped on them early and by halftime the score was 17-1. The Roughriders will need to jump on Toronto early and make them play from behind on the road as Toronto doesn’t play well away from home. Toronto has dropped five out of their last six games, and Saskatchewan has won four out of six games. I think both of those trends will continue and my money will be with the Roughriders.
 
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MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, July 26


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ST LOUIS (54 - 48) at CHICAGO CUBS (42 - 59) - 4:05 PM
SHELBY MILLER (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 10-21 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
ARRIETA is 17-11 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 17-11 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 126-79 (+26.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 78-42 (+26.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 108-156 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-20 (-11.9 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 53-75 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-80 (-25.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-78 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 108-156 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 76-124 (-36.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-70 (-27.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 142-190 (-63.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-5 (+2.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.0 Units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MILLER is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ARRIETA is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.55 and a WHIP of 1.164.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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WASHINGTON (56 - 44) at CINCINNATI (51 - 51) - 4:05 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 12-27 (-13.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-45 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 38-15 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CUETO is 14-1 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 54-27 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 29-14 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 54-27 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 30-13 (+14.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-2 (+0.9 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.00 and a WHIP of 0.704.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.2 units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
CUETO is 5-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.309.
His team's record is 6-3 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.8 units)

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ARIZONA (44 - 59) at PHILADELPHIA (45 - 58) - 7:05 PM
JOSH COLLMENTER (R) vs. CLIFF LEE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 44-59 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 44-59 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 118-147 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-32 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-32 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-23 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-25 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-65 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LEE is 33-39 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEE is 33-37 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEE is 22-29 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

JOSH COLLMENTER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
COLLMENTER is 1-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.178.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

CLIFF LEE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LEE is 4-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.020.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)

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SAN DIEGO (46 - 56) at ATLANTA (55 - 48) - 7:10 PM
ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 34-45 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 26-18 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 29-30 (-9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against ATLANTA this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
TEHERAN is 0-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 6.39 and a WHIP of 1.026.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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NY METS (49 - 54) at MILWAUKEE (58 - 46) - 7:10 PM
JON NIESE (L) vs. WILY PERALTA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 58-46 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 58-44 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 92-81 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 65-71 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 27-20 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 65-71 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NIESE is 14-5 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 28-38 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 1-6 (-8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against NY METS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JON NIESE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
NIESE is 2-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.575.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.0 units)

WILY PERALTA vs. NY METS since 1997
PERALTA is 2-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 0.63 and a WHIP of 0.558.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (54 - 48) at COLORADO (42 - 60) - 8:10 PM
JEFF LOCKE (L) vs. TYLER MATZEK (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 33-72 (-29.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 151-119 (+26.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 149-118 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 39-27 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 69-49 (+20.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 83-52 (+21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 42-60 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 23-46 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 42-60 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 27-41 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 48-85 (-32.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 48-66 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JEFF LOCKE vs. COLORADO since 1997
LOCKE is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

TYLER MATZEK vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MATZEK is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (57 - 47) at SAN FRANCISCO (57 - 46) - 9:05 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 25-31 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-46 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-81 (+25.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-46 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 695-684 (+42.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
VOGELSONG is 43-31 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 43-30 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 30-19 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 37-23 (+17.6 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 24-16 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 19-9 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-72 (-20.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-49 (-21.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-17 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-43 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-4 (+4.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
KERSHAW is 11-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.49 and a WHIP of 0.828.
His team's record is 13-9 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-5. (+10.5 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 4-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 9-4 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-10. (-7.6 units)

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TORONTO (54 - 50) at NY YANKEES (54 - 48) - 1:05 PM
DREW HUTCHISON (R) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 51-36 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CAPUANO is 19-7 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 21-26 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 7-3 (+4.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

DREW HUTCHISON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HUTCHISON is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.87 and a WHIP of 1.882.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. TORONTO since 1997
CAPUANO is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.822.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (57 - 45) at SEATTLE (53 - 50) - 4:10 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. CHRIS YOUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 34-18 (+13.7 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-13 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SEATTLE is 22-15 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 58-45 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 32-22 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-6 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
BALTIMORE is 45-31 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 51-43 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 44-32 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 18-13 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 23-16 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 25-30 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 108-123 (-45.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 25-30 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 12-21 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 4-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+3.1 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
NORRIS is 1-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.471.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.1 units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
YOUNG is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.435.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

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BOSTON (47 - 56) at TAMPA BAY (50 - 53) - 7:10 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 47-57 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 17-27 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 34-39 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 30-37 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 24-30 (-12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 16-25 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 14-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 17-3 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 541-619 (+22.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
LACKEY is 20-7 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 50-53 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-28 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-28 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-36 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-31 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-4 (+2.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-1.3 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LACKEY is 14-7 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.367.
His team's record is 16-8 (+7.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-10. (+3.3 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
HELLICKSON is 4-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 7-6 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.2 units)

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CLEVELAND (51 - 52) at KANSAS CITY (52 - 50) - 7:10 PM
ZACH MCALLISTER (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 28-53 (-21.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 10-31 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
GUTHRIE is 45-37 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 28-16 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 18-7 (+11.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 24-14 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUTHRIE is 29-21 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 143-123 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 137-117 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MCALLISTER is 21-10 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 92-136 (-46.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 22-28 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 6-5 (+1.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

ZACH MCALLISTER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MCALLISTER is 2-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.267.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GUTHRIE is 4-5 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.435.
His team's record is 5-5 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+3.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (50 - 54) at MINNESOTA (46 - 56) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. LOGAN DARNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 3-13 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 108-147 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 48-67 (-19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-19 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 52-49 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-54 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-31 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 359-354 (+37.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 86-127 (-36.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 86-127 (-36.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 47-80 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 (+0.5 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SALE is 5-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.017.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

LOGAN DARNELL vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (63 - 39) at TEXAS (41 - 62) - 8:05 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. NICK TEPESCH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 3-10 (-9.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 63-39 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 118-99 (+29.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 46-23 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 52-36 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 61-35 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 96-65 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 171-118 (+47.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 101-76 (+25.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 119-70 (+30.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GRAY is 14-2 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 41-62 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 16-27 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 19-30 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 10-21 (-14.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 4-17 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
TEXAS is 39-58 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 27-46 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 30-43 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 115-109 (-30.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 21-35 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 16-39 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-5 (+1.9 Units) against OAKLAND this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.5 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. TEXAS since 1997
GRAY is 2-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.96 and a WHIP of 0.870.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)

NICK TEPESCH vs. OAKLAND since 1997
TEPESCH is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 10.38 and a WHIP of 2.076.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (57 - 43) at LA ANGELS (61 - 41) - 9:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. MATT SHOEMAKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 136-201 (-49.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
VERLANDER is 27-31 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 20-21 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 26-30 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 14-17 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 61-41 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 35-13 (+19.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 26-8 (+15.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 29-14 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-18 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 18-8 (+9.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
DETROIT is 31-18 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 24-11 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
DETROIT is 22-12 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 14-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 131-123 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 57-76 (-22.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VERLANDER is 4-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.323.
His team's record is 5-7 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.4 units)

MATT SHOEMAKER vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (49 - 53) at HOUSTON (42 - 61) - 7:10 PM
TOM KOEHLER (R) vs. JARRED COSART (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 118-179 (-45.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
COSART is 7-1 (+10.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 166-150 (+32.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
MIAMI is 36-32 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 39-97 (-43.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 45-86 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-52 (-20.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-54 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 45-86 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 54-116 (-33.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

JARRED COSART vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.
 
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Jesse Schule

Arizona vs. Philadelphia

Arizona Diamondbacks

The D'Backs have been terrible this season, but still their 23 road wins are two more than the Phillies have at home. After losing the series opener by a score of 9-5, Arizona is a significant underdog here in Game 2.

Cliff Lee will toe the slab for the home team, and he's coming off a tough outing. Lee (4-5, 3.67 ERA) was rocked for six runs on 12 hits over 5 2/3 innings in a home loss to the Giants his last time out. It was his first start in over two months, and he didn't look sharp. Paul Goldschmidt has just two hits in 10 career at bats versus Lee, but both of those were home runs.

Arizona will hand the ball to Josh Collmenter, who is having himself a very solid season. Collmenter (8-5, 3.64 ERA) has allowed just a pair of runs on 11 hits over 14 innings while going 1-0 in a pair of Arizona victories in his last two starts. He tossed six scoreless innings, allowing just four hits in a win over the Phillies earlier this season.

We get a decent price to back the visitors here considering the questions surrounding the status of Cliff Lee since he's come off the DL.
 
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Teyas Sports

FREE PICK YANKEES OVER

TEYA'S DID YOU KNOW? WHEN UMP FIELDIN CULBRETH IS BEHIND HOME PLATE (ORIOLES @ MARINERS) THE UNDER IS 47-22-4 HIS LAST 73 GAMES CALLING BALLS AND STRIKES.
 
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Hollywood Sports

Game: San Diego Padres (R) at Atlanta Braves (R) 7:10PM

Free Prediction: Atlanta Braves (R)

Reason: Take the Atlanta Braves minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the San Diego Padres while listing both starting pitchers Julio Teheran and Odrismar Despaigne. San Diego (46-56) has lost 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog in the +151 to +200 price range. They send out Despaigne who is 2-1 with a 1.31 ERA and 0.90 WHIP so far this season. But the deeper sabermetrics are not encouraging for the right-hander given his SIERA and xFIP which project an ERA of 4.61 and 4.39 respectively given his peripheral numbers. Atlanta (55-48) has won 41 of their last 55 games as a favorite in the -151 to -200 price range.

The Braves have also won 7 of their last 10 home games with Teheran pitching as the favorite. Lay the 1.5 Run-Line with Atlanta while listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck -- Frank.
 
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MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, July 26


ST Louis at Chicago Cubs, 4:05 ET
Miller: ST LOUIS 78-42 after a loss
Arrieta: CHICAGO CUBS 38-70 after a win

Washington at Cincinnati, 4:05 ET
Gonzalez: 19-3 TSR against NL Central opponents
Cueto: CINCINNATI 4-13 after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games

Arizona at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Collmenter: ARIZONA 33-22 in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses
Lee: 25-31 TSR as a favorite

San Diego at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Despaigne: SAN DIEGO 14-26 after 2 or more consecutive road games
Teheran: ATLANTA 21-6 after having lost 4 of their last 5 games

NY Mets at Milwaukee, 7:10 ET
Niese: 13-4 TSR in road games against NL Central opponents
Peralta: MILWAUKEE 19-8 OVER in home games revenging a one run loss to opponent

Pittsburgh at Colorado, 8:10ET
Locke: PITTSBURGH 1-10 in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 game
Matzek: COLORADO 281-210 in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

LA Dodgers at San Francisco, 9:05 ET
Kershaw: LA DODGERS 25-31 after a win
Vogelsong: 30-19 TSR in night games

Toronto at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Hutchison: TORONTO 29-51 after having won 3 of their last 4 games
Capuano: 19-7 TSR after a win

Baltimore at Seattle, 4:10 ET
Norris: BALTIMORE 16-9 against AL West opponents
Young: SEATTLE 16-26 after allowing 2 runs or less

Boston at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Lackey: 20-7 TSR in road games in July
Hellickson: TAMPA BAY 12-21 after 2 straight games where they committed no errors

Cleveland at Kansas City, 7:10 ET
McAllister: 21-10 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5
Guthrie: KANSAS CITY 16-23 after 2 or more consecutive home games

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota, 7:10 ET
Sale: CHI WHITE SOX 11-3 off 2 straight road wins against a division riva
Darnell: MINNESOTA 24-56 as a home underdog of +125 or mor

Oakland at Texas, 8:05 ET
Gray: 14-2 TSR after a loss
Tepesch: TEXAS 2-14 as a home underdog

Detroit at LA Angels, 9:05 ET
Verlander: DETROIT 24-15 OVER after a loss
Shoemaker: LA ANGELS 45-29 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less

Miami at Houston, 7:10 ET
Koehler: MIAMI 10-23 after 3 or more consecutive road games
Cosart: 7-1 TSR after 3 or more consecutive losses
 
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NEWSLETTER CFL Football Prediction From Raphael Esparza

Take #128 Saskatchewan (-6) over Toronto (9 p.m., Saturday, July 26)

Both teams are coming off back-to-back losses and both teams’ defenses have been poor. I’m looking at the revenge factor here as Toronto beat the Roughriders in Toronto 48-15 and Toronto jumped on them early and by halftime the score was 17-1. The Roughriders will need to jump on Toronto early and make them play from behind on the road as Toronto doesn’t play well away from home. Toronto has dropped five out of their last six games, and Saskatchewan has won four out of six games. I think both of those trends will continue and my money will be with the Roughriders.
 
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Marc Lawrence

MLB

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds Jul 26 2014 4:05PM

Washington Nationals w/Gonzalez vs Cueto

Edges - Nationals: 5-0 vs N.L. Central behind Gonzalez this season. Reds: 0-4 vs N. L. East behind Cueto this season. With Gonzalez 3-2 with a 1.00 ERA in his career team starts versus Cincinnati - including 3-0 the last three - we recommend a 1-unit play on Washington. Thank you and good luck as always.
 
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Jimmy Boyd

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies 7:05PM

Free Pick on Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies are showing great value on Saturday with veteran Cliff Lee on the mound. Lee has a 2.83 ERA at home and I expect him to come out extremely motivated with the potential of being traded to a contender. It certainly helps that Lee is 4-1 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.020 WHIP over 7 career starts (6-1 team record) against the Diamondbacks.

Two big systems on Philadelphia in this one. First, home teams with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start, with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season are 55-31 (64%) since 1997. Second, all teams with a money line of -100 to -150 who are a poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after scoring 8 runs or more are 234-130 (64%) over the last 5 seasons. Take the Phillies!
 

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