It's prime time for baseball bettors in Las Vegas
By MARC MELTZER
We’re currently in a brief window that is my peak baseball betting time of the year. There are no distractions from other sports on TV, the sportsbooks are relatively quiet and there’s a significant amount of data for the season to use for handicapping.
Football season is less than 2 months away. Sportsbook operators and the majority of sports fans are gearing up for the gridiron betting and fantasy seasons. The focus for most people isn’t on baseball.
However, baseball bettors aren’t most people. While the majority of people are looking one way there’s an abundance of data and trends available for baseball bettors.
There are no distractions for the next month or so. It’s perfect scenario for a baseball bettor.
We know that past performance doesn’t always translate to future performance. However, that’s not always the case with baseball. When you’re wagering on football, trends and statistics can be overrated. Small sample sizes and irrelevant time-frames make a lot of football trends a waste of time.
Trends and data become more useful when you get into basketball and hockey seasons. The information becomes more relevant over time. The 80-plus game seasons allow for real habits and production to be formed. This is why we're seeing the front offices of these respective sports franchises use more analytics when assembling their teams every year.
However, trends and data are even more useful during baseball season. There is a good amount of normalization in data over the 162 game season. The long season allows trends to set in and for statistics to normalize. The actionable information available to baseball bettors in unparalleled. Besides being a fan of the game, this is what makes baseball my favorite sport to bet.
The weeks leading into and out of the All-Star break are my favorite time of the season to bet on baseball. It’s usually a good practice to accept that the statistics are legit when the MLB season approaches and passes the halfway point. Just before the All-Star game is a great time to bet on baseball. Most major trades haven't happened and there isn’t a stoppage in play that might change the human factor of the game.
However, the All-Star game is often a quiet time for all sports wagering. The break offers a few days to study what transpired in the first half of the season. Again, previous performance doesn’t dictate future performance but it sure gives a useful platform for handicapping.
Even though I’m looking at the data all season long, this is the time of year that I move into a higher gear for baseball wagering. I like having data and information on my side. Over time, most statistics will regress to the long-term averages. This is a great time to analyze the information and find players and teams and teams who should either improve or regress.
On a semi-related note, this is traditionally the hottest week of the year in Las Vegas. I can’t think of a better excuse to enjoy the air conditioning in the sports book and covered parking at the casino.
By MARC MELTZER
We’re currently in a brief window that is my peak baseball betting time of the year. There are no distractions from other sports on TV, the sportsbooks are relatively quiet and there’s a significant amount of data for the season to use for handicapping.
Football season is less than 2 months away. Sportsbook operators and the majority of sports fans are gearing up for the gridiron betting and fantasy seasons. The focus for most people isn’t on baseball.
However, baseball bettors aren’t most people. While the majority of people are looking one way there’s an abundance of data and trends available for baseball bettors.
There are no distractions for the next month or so. It’s perfect scenario for a baseball bettor.
We know that past performance doesn’t always translate to future performance. However, that’s not always the case with baseball. When you’re wagering on football, trends and statistics can be overrated. Small sample sizes and irrelevant time-frames make a lot of football trends a waste of time.
Trends and data become more useful when you get into basketball and hockey seasons. The information becomes more relevant over time. The 80-plus game seasons allow for real habits and production to be formed. This is why we're seeing the front offices of these respective sports franchises use more analytics when assembling their teams every year.
However, trends and data are even more useful during baseball season. There is a good amount of normalization in data over the 162 game season. The long season allows trends to set in and for statistics to normalize. The actionable information available to baseball bettors in unparalleled. Besides being a fan of the game, this is what makes baseball my favorite sport to bet.
The weeks leading into and out of the All-Star break are my favorite time of the season to bet on baseball. It’s usually a good practice to accept that the statistics are legit when the MLB season approaches and passes the halfway point. Just before the All-Star game is a great time to bet on baseball. Most major trades haven't happened and there isn’t a stoppage in play that might change the human factor of the game.
However, the All-Star game is often a quiet time for all sports wagering. The break offers a few days to study what transpired in the first half of the season. Again, previous performance doesn’t dictate future performance but it sure gives a useful platform for handicapping.
Even though I’m looking at the data all season long, this is the time of year that I move into a higher gear for baseball wagering. I like having data and information on my side. Over time, most statistics will regress to the long-term averages. This is a great time to analyze the information and find players and teams and teams who should either improve or regress.
On a semi-related note, this is traditionally the hottest week of the year in Las Vegas. I can’t think of a better excuse to enjoy the air conditioning in the sports book and covered parking at the casino.