Saturday 7/2/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Giants (51-31) at Diamondbacks (36-46)

Game: 2
Venue: Chase Field
Date: July 02, 2016 10:10 PM EDT

PHOENIX -- Even with three regulars on the disabled list and another two given the night off, San Francisco continued to roll Friday against an Arizona Diamondbacks team that cannot shake its troubles at home.

Nos. 5-8 hitters Jarrett Parker, Conor Gillaspie, Grant Green and Trevor Brown had eight hits and drove in all six runs in San Francisco's 6-4 victory at Chase Field, when Johnny Cueto battled through stomach issues to earn his 12th win.

The Giants will send right-hander Jeff Samardzija (8-5) against left-hander Patrick Corbin (4-6) on Saturday as they attempt to win their sixth straight game at Chase Field this season. The D-backs are a league-worst 13-29 at home, and the Giants are a league-best 27-15 on the road.

San Francisco catcher Buster Posey and Denard Span, given Friday off, could be back in the lineup Saturday, manager Bruce Bochy said. But for a night, they were not missed when the reserves came through.

Among the Giants' key contributors Friday, only backup catcher Brown was on the Opening Day roster. The others have stepped in for injured starters Hunter Pence, Matt Duffy and Joe Panik, all of whom are on the disabled list.

"It's one thing for them to contribute," Bochy said of the reserves. "The big way they did tonight, that was key for us. Some guys being down. When that happens, you need somebody to pick it up, and these guys did."

Gillaspie, playing third base while Duffy is in a walking boot recovering from a left Achilles strain, was a homer short of the cycle Friday. A left-hander hitter, he tripled into the right field corner in the second inning, doubled into the left field corner in the fourth and grounded a hit-and-run single through the hole between first and second in the sixth inning. The Giants scored five runs in those three innings, taking a 5-4 lead on Brown's two-out, two-run opposite field double in the sixth.

Gillaspie, who opened the season at Triple-A Sacramento but was quickly promoted, is hitting .459 with nine runs and 11 RBIs in his last 37 at-bats, raising his average to .288.

"It's a crazy game sometimes," Gillaspie said. "But the more you get off yourself, so to speak, and push your own well-being aside and try to be a part of a great organization like this, and the fact that this is a winning ballclub and that is the No. 1 priority, it makes it easier when you are not doing well to look up and say, 'I am on one of the best teams in baseball.' It's very gratifying to know that you are a part of that."

The Giants (51-31) has won 15 of 20 and it tied with the Chicago Cubs for the most victories in the NL.

Jake Lamb, Arizona's third baseman, is on a streak as hot as Gillaspie. Lamb has homered in the last three games, one game short of the franchise record for homers in consecutive games, and he has a team-high 17 this season. Reggie Sanders, Troy Glaus (twice), Mark Reynolds and Mark Trumbo also homered in four straight as Diamondbacks.

Paul Goldschmidt, another Arizona All-Star candidate, doubled in a run Friday and is hitting .376 with eight doubles and 21 RBIs in his last 23 games.

Samardzija enters the game with a 1-1 record in 10 career games (five starts) against Arizona. He beat the Diamondbacks on May 13 at Chase Field, allowing one run in eight innings during San Francisco's 3-1 win.

Corbin got a no-decision against the Giants the next day, giving up three runs in 6 1/3 innings in a game Arizona lost 5-3. In 12 career starts against San Francisco, he is 4-4 with a 3.48 ERA.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Rockies (37-42) at Dodgers (45-37)

Game: 2
Venue: Dodger Stadium
Date: July 02, 2016 10:10 PM EDT

LOS ANGELES -- The Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers will have two similar, yet distinct, goals for their offenses when they play Saturday night at Dodger Stadium.

The Dodgers, who earned a 5-0 victory over the Rockies on Friday night, hope to extend that success beyond one day. Though Los Angeles compiled a 16-12 record with 37 home runs last month, several Dodgers experienced a miserable June offensively.

Seven players hit less than .225 for the month, ranging from Adrian Gonzalez's .223 to Enrique Hernandez's .158. Among those seven are four other regulars: Chase Utley (.209), Trayce Thompson (.207), A.J. Ellis (.188) and Yasmani Grandal (.169).

"Throughout the lineup, we've got to have some more production," manager Dave Roberts recently told MLB.com.

Hurting Los Angeles' cause will be the absence of Joc Pederson, who went on the disabled list Friday after injuring his right shoulder by running into the outfield wall in Milwaukee's Miller Park on Tuesday night to catch a fly ball. Pederson's 13 homers rank second on the club.

However, Corey Seager remains healthy and productive. The shortstop -- who leads the Dodgers with 17 home runs, 40 RBIs, 95 hits, 20 doubles and a .590 slugging percentage -- will bring a 14-game hitting streak into Saturday night's contest

The Rockies, meanwhile, hope to return to the offensive success that marked their June. Colorado batted .275 as a team during the month while amassing 61 doubles, five triples, 39 home runs and 149 RBIs.

Carlos Gonzalez contributed a .364 average and 29 RBIs in June. Nolan Arenado and Mark Reynolds had 12-game and nine-game streaks, respectively, during the month.

As a result, Colorado went 13-14 during June, the first time the team won 13 games in a month in three years. Nevertheless, the Rockies enter Saturday night's game having lost three in succession and six of their last nine.

"We're playing decent baseball, but we're not playing good baseball," Gonzalez told the Denver Post. "Even though things are more positive than in the past, it's still not good enough. You can't be satisfied with being a close to .500 club."

The Rockies played three of their last four games without two important components, rookie shortstop Trevor Story and veteran second baseman DJ LeMahieu. Story has a bruised right finger that he aggravated Tuesday in a 14-9 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays, while LeMahieu is battling a bruised left knee.

Story leads all major league rookies with 19 home runs and 50 RBIs. LeMahieu is with tied Gonzalez for fourth place among National League batters with a .326 average.

Colorado manager Walt Weiss said before Friday night's game that LeMahieu could have played after performing some pregame drills, but he opted to give his All-Star second baseman an extra day of rest.

Right-hander Chad Bettis (6-5, 5.84 ERA) will start for the Rockies against Dodgers left-hander Scott Kazmir (6-3, 4.67). Both pitchers will try to extend personal winning streaks at the others' expense.

Bettis, who has not lost since June 4, seeks his third consecutive victory, while Kazmir hopes to earn his fourth successive win. Despite not losing since May 9, Kazmir has itched beyond the sixth inning just once this season.

In six career games (three starts) against the Dodgers, Bettis has no decisions and a 4.58 ERA. He has not faced Los Angeles this year.

Kazmir is 1-0 with a 5.73 ERA in two all-time starts against the Rockies. He got a no-decision at Coors Field on April 22, when he allowed four runs in five innings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Orioles (47-32) at Mariners (41-39)

Game: 3
Venue: Safeco Field
Date: July 02, 2016 10:10 PM EDT

SEATTLE -- Baltimore Orioles manager Buck Showalter has been to a few rodeos, so he's not too concerned about his team's sudden power outage after an incredibly productive four-game stretch that led up to the four-game series in Seattle.

Having followed a 12-hit, 12-run performance at San Diego with back-to-back losses that saw Baltimore score five runs on 13 hits, Showalter was able to shrug his shoulders Friday night.

"Whoever pitches the best is the last team standing," he said after Friday's 5-2 loss to the Mariners. "It's not as complicated as people make it."

"It's baseball," star third baseman Manny Machado said. "You're not going to hit every night, plain and simple. You keep grinding it and keeping doing what you do, and you get through it."

Two consecutive losses haven't dampened the Orioles' spirits after Baltimore (47-32) rolled into Seattle on a seven-game winning streak, but the cushion this team built up isn't as soft as it once was. Friday's loss, combined with a Boston win, left four games separating the Orioles from the second-place Red Sox heading into Saturday's game against Seattle.

Baltimore is scheduled to start right-hander Tyler Wilson (4-5, 4.50 ERA), but starting pitching isn't at the top of Showalter's list of concerns.

"When we're not scoring runs," he said, "it gets magnified."

Seattle's starting pitching is a big reason why the Orioles have been unable to get their bats going. Taijuan Walker and Wade LeBlanc kept Baltimore's offense quiet in much different ways.

"Our pitching has stabilized," manager Scott Servais said after Friday's victory. "That's been the key to the homestand.

"We're capable of playing this way for extended periods of time. We showed that earlier this year. We talked about it (during a team meeting before Thursday's game), and the guys are getting after it."

Seattle plans to send left-hander James Paxton (1-3, 4.15 ERA) to the mound Saturday night. Like Walker, Paxton has a young, live arm and has top-of-the-rotation potential but has struggled with injuries and consistency during his career. The 27-year-old southpaw has been really good in the early innings of his past two starts but has faded down the stretch.

Seattle's bullpen is in decent shape, but the Mariners used their top three relievers -- Mike Montgomery, rookie Edwin Diaz and closer Steve Cishek -- for an inning apiece Friday. Cishek pitched on back-to-back nights, including a four-out save Thursday, and probably won't be available to pitch Saturday.

The struggling Mariners, who led the AL West for much of April and May but had a horrible month of June, haven't won more than two consecutive games since putting together a four-game winning streak May 19-22. Baltimore hasn't lost three in a row since the Toronto Blue Jays swept the Orioles June 10-12.

The four-game series ends Sunday, with Baltimore sending struggling starter Ubaldo Jimenez out again despite a rough first three months.

"Ubaldo's had two good outings in a row," Showalter said, "so we hope that continues."

Seattle sends right-handed veteran Hisashi Iwakuma to the mound for the final contest of the four-game series.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Yankees (39-40) at Padres (34-46)

Game: 2
Venue: PETCO Park
Date: July 02, 2016 10:10 PM EDT

SAN DIEGO -- Ivan Nova finally gets a chance to pitch at Petco Park Saturday night.

He came close in 2009 when he spent spring training in the Padres camp as a Rule 5 draft pick. But just before the season started, the Padres elected to return Nova to the Yankees rather than keep the then 22-year-old on the major league roster for a full year.

It is a decision the Padres have regretted.

Nova was in the major leagues by the end of the 2010 season and has compiled a 44-41 record since.

He makes his first start at Petco Park in the second contest of a three-game set between the Yankees and the Padres.

The right-handed Nova, who is 5-5 with a 5.32 ERA in 16 games (10 starts) faces left-hander Drew Pomeranz (7-7, 2.76).

Although he went into spring training battling Brandon Maurer for the No. 5 spot in the Padres rotation, Pomeranz has clearly become -- because of injuries to Tyson Ross and Andrew Cashner and the trade of James Shields to the Chicago White Sox -- the No. 1 starter in the Padres rotation.

"We didn't know what we really had with Drew until we saw his curve and started having him use it more," Padres manager Andy Green said. "It is one of the best curves in the major leagues. Most pitchers work off their fastball. With Drew, it's the breaking ball."

Including his last start, Pomeranz has allowed zero earned runs in six of his first 15 starts and two or fewer in another four. Opposing hitters are batting .190 against Pomeranz, which is the third-best mark in the National League. Pomeranz also ranks sixth with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

"I recently got away from some things that were working for me," said Pomeranz, who had allowed 11 runs in in 16 innings over three starts before allowing only three hits over seven shutout innings in his most recent start in Cincinnati on Sunday.

Nova, 29, makes his 11th start of the season on Saturday after making his first six appearances of the season out of the bullpen. He has allowed at least three runs in each of his last seven starts after giving up just one run in each of his first three starts.

"Ivan has struggled recently," Yankees manager Joe Girardi said. "But the stuff is there. We've seen it earlier this season and before. Like a couple other pitchers, we have to get him back on track."

Nova last started June 27 against the Texas Rangers and allowed four runs on six hits over five innings. He didn't figure in the decision for only the second time in his last 34 starts.

Nova has worked five or fewer innings in each of his last three starts after going at least six innings in five straight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's Diamond Notes
By Joe Williams

Hottest team: Astros (11-1 past 12)

The Houston Astros blanked the Chicago White Sox 5-0 in the series opener at Minute Maid Park Friday night, staying red hot. They have four in a row, 11 of their past 12 overall and six straight at home. They will square off against a White Sox team which has won just five times in their past 19 road games, although southpaw ace Chris Sale will be on the bump. The White Sox are also 3-13 in their past 16 road games against right-handed starting pitching. That's good news for an Astros club which has won 13 of their past 16 games at home, 26 of the past 35 games overall and 10 of their past 11 home games against a team with a losing road record. And while the ChiSox roll Sale out, the Astros have a pitcher who has been hotter than nearly anyone with Doug Fister toeing the slab.

Coldest team: Angels (1-10 past 11)

The Angels have been so-so on offense, as Albert Pujols, Mike Trout and company have hit well over the past week or two. However, it is the pitching that has let down the Halos, allowing six or more runs in five of their past seven outings. The Angels have won just seven of their past 26 games overall, and they're a dismal 2-14 in their past 16 games against American League East opponents. They're also 1-7 in their past eight games against right-handed starting pitching, and they're winless in their past four road outings. The Halos have also failed to win eight straight road games against a team with a winning home record.

Hottest pitcher: Doug Fister, Astros (8-4, 3.36 ERA)

Doug Fister has won seven of his past eight decisions dating back to April 25, and he wrapped up the month of June with a season-best 2.45 ERA in five starts. His quality start streak was snapped at five last time out in Kansas City, but he has been better at home lately. Overall, he is 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA in six starts at Minute Maid Park, and he has helpd opponents to a minuscule .212 batting average. The Astros are 10-1 in Fister's past 11 outings, and 5-0 in his past five at home. He has been a stopper, too, going 7-0 in Fister's past seven starts following a Houston loss in their previous outing.

Coldest pitcher: Clay Buchholz, Red Sox (3-8, 5.90 ERA)

Buchholz has fallen apart this season, losing five of his past six decisions, including each of his past two starts since returning from a banishment to the bullpen. Since the start of the 2013 season, Buchholz has been terrible at Fenway Park, going 13-18 with a 4.49 ERA in 43 appearances (41 starts). That includes a dismal 1-5 record with a 5.69 ERA with 11 homers served up in 49 innings and a .269 opponent batting average. The Red Sox are 3-12 in Buchholz's past 15 home starts against a team with a losing record, 8-21 in his past 29 starts overall and 0-4 in his past four overall.

Biggest UNDER run: Blue Jays (7-3 past 10)

The Blue Jays have managed a total of two runs in the first two games in this series, and that production is over 28 frames after Friday's marathon 19-inning loss.The Jays have managed two or fewer runs in six of their past 12 outings. The Jays have Marco Estrada on the hill Saturday, and the Jays are 8-0 in his past eight assignments against AL Central foes, and 17-4 in his past 21 starts against teams with a winning overal record. Toronto is also 16-5 in Estrada's past 21 home outings, and 22-8-1 in his past 31 starts overall.

Biggest OVER run: Rockies (8-2 past 10)

The Rockies have actually managed a total of three runs over their past two games, although the over is 8-2 in their past 10 outings overall. In fact, the Rockies have managed to plate nine or more runs in five of the past seven, and it's a good bet they'll score frequently against Scott Kazmir. The over is 4-1 in his past five starts overall, 4-1 in his past five against NL West foes and 5-1 in his past six against teams with an overall losing record.

Matchup to watch: Diamondbacks vs. Giants

The San Francisco Giants have been red hot lately, winning 12 of their past 15 games against a left-handed starter. They're also 9-2 in their past 11 road games vs. LHP. The Giants have turned up the intensity lately, going 23-8 in their past 31 road games and 35-16 in their past 51 against teams with a losing overall record. On the flip side, the Snakes have dropped six in a row, and they're just 2-5 in Patrick Corbin's past seven outings. They're also 0-7 in his past seven starts at home. San Francisco has won each of the past five meetings, and they're 39-19 in their past 58 trips to the desert.

Betcha didn’t know: The Pirates and Athletics have a couple of unlikely heroes on the hill. Pittsburgh's Chad Kuhl made his first career start last Sunday, besting Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers. Kuhl was also 6-2 with a 2.58 ERA in 14 outings for Triple-A Indianapolis, so winning has been the Delaware native's thing. Southpaw Rich Hill (groin) comes off the 15-day disabled list for the A's, and he looks to win his sixth straight start. He is also 3-1 with a 3.79 ERA in seven career outings against the Pirates.

Biggest public favorite: Nationals (-200) vs. Reds

Biggest public underdog: Orioles (+140) at Mariners

Biggest line move: Mariners (-120 to -140) vs. Orioles

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB roundup: Indians beat Jays in 19 for 14th straight win
By The Sports Xchange

TORONTO -- Carlos Santana led off the 19th inning with his 17th homer of the season against infielder Darwin Barney, who was pitching, and the Cleveland Indians defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 on Friday afternoon to win their club-record 14th straight game.
The Blue Jays sent out infielder Ryan Goins to pitch the 18th inning. He allowed singles to Jose Ramirez and Lonnie Chisenhall, who had five hits after the sixth inning that put runners at the corners, but got out of the jam.
Barney (0-1), who made the third out of the 18th inning, became the 10th Blue Jays position player to pitch in the 19th. Barney allowed the home run, then retired his next three batters.
Trevor Bauer (7-2), scheduled to be Cleveland's starter on Saturday, entered the game in the 15th inning and picked up the win allowing two hits and three walks while striking out three.

Tigers 10, Rays 2
ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. -- Victor Martinez crushed two three-run home runs and Detroit cruised past Tampa Bay.
Detroit starter Michael Fulmer held the Rays to two hits in seven scoreless innings.
Martinez had six RBIs, with home runs in the seventh and ninth innings against a struggling Rays bullpen.

Phillies 4, Royals 3
PHILADELPHIA -- Jeremy Hellickson won his second consecutive start and Odubel Herrera homered as Philadelphia won its fourth straight.
Cameron Rupp went 3-for-4 and Maikel Franco was 2-for-3 with an RBI for the Phillies.
Kendrys Morales hit a two-run homer for Kansas City, which lost for just the second time in six games.

Nationals 3, Reds 2, 14 innings
WASHINGTON -- Ben Revere had an RBI double with two outs in the bottom of the 14th off Ross Ohlendorf as Washington beat Cincinnati.
Danny Espinosa scored the winning run after being hit by a pitch and advancing to second on a groundout.
Yusmeiro Petit pitched two scoreless innings to earn the win, while Ohlendorf, a former Nationals pitcher, was saddled with the loss. The Nationals won their sixth game in a row while the Reds (29-52) lost for the ninth time in 10 outings.

Cardinals 7, Brewers 1
ST. LOUIS -- Thanks to Jaime Garcia's pitching and Matt Holliday's hitting, St. Louis Cardinals broke a seven-game, 26-day home losing streak with a win over Milwaukee.
Garcia checked the Brewers on four hits over eight innings while Holliday drove in three runs.
Garcia fanned six and walked four, enabling the Cardinals to notch their first home victory since June 5 against San Francisco.

Astros 5, White Sox 0
HOUSTON -- Carlos Gomez belted a two-run home run in the seventh inning to provide Houston some insurance in a win over Chicago.
Gomez cranked his fourth homer of the season with one out off White Sox starter Miguel Gonzalez, who had allowed only two hits.
Astros second baseman Jose Altuve finished 0-for-4, ending his streak of reaching base safely at 32 consecutive games.

Rangers 3, Twins 2, 10 innings
MINNEAPOLIS -- Ian Desmond's solo homer to lead off the top of the 10th inning lifted Texas over Minnesota.
Desmond's blast, which traveled 418 feet into the upper deck in right-center field, was his 15th of the season and came off Twins left-hander Fernando Abad, who was charged with a loss for the second time in as many days.
Desmond, who hit .358 in the month of June, got his July off to a solid start, finishing a triple short of the cycle.

Mets 10, Cubs 2
NEW YORK -- Asdrubal Cabrera's first two-homer game in more than three years highlighted an unexpected offensive outburst and New York routed Chicago in a game delayed three times by rain.
The second game of a four-game series between last season's National League Championship Series combatants was delayed 11 minutes at the start. Rains returned twice more and resulted in a 68-minute delay after the second and a 40-minute delay in the top of the sixth.
The Mets have won the series' first two games by a combined 14-5 margin over the Cubs. New York scored just 13 runs in its six games prior to Thursday.

Marlins 7, Braves 5
ATLANTA -- Ace pitcher Jose Fernandez, called upon to pinch-hit in the 12th inning, belted a two-run double to help Miami break a three-game losing streak.
The Marlins had runners on first and second, but had used all their position players and opted for Fernandez, Saturday's starting pitcher.
Fernandez, a .222 hitter, pounced on a pitch from loser Casey Kelly and split the gap to score Miguel Rojas and J.T. Realmuto.

Red Sox 5, Angels 4
BOSTON -- David Ortiz drilled a home run and two singles and Steven Wright won his ninth game as struggling Boston opened a nine-game homestand by hanging on for a rain-interrupted 5-4 win over last-place Los Angeles.
Ortiz's fifth-inning solo homer helped the Red Sox build a 5-0 lead. Wright surrendered a sixth-inning grand slam to C.J. Cron before rain stopped the game for 95 minutes in the bottom of the inning.
The Angels, 8-19 in June, have lost 10 of their last 11, but twice came within inches of tying the game late.

Giants 6, Diamondbacks 4
PHOENIX -- Conor Gillaspie had three hits and scored twice and right-hander Johnny Cueto became the National League's second 12-game winner in the San Francisco Giants' 6-4 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday at Chase Field.
Gillaspie finished a triple short of a cycle and had a hand in second-, fourth- and sixth-inning rallies as the Giants overcame 3-0 and 4-1 deficits to hand Arizona its sixth loss in a row.
Cueto (12-1) won his ninth straight decision to tie the Cubs' defending NL Cy Young winner Jake Arrieta for the NL lead in victories.

Pirates 7, Athletics 3
OAKLAND, Calif. -- Jordy Mercer, Josh Harrison and Matt Joyce each had two hits, and Pittsburgh rallied to defeat Oakland.
The Pirates beat the A's in Oakland for the first time in seven tries and improved to 2-11 overall in the interleague series.
Jeff Locke allowed three runs on three hits over five innings and extended his winning streak to three games. He struck out three, walked three and threw 95 pitches.

Mariners 5, Orioles 2
SEATTLE � Journeyman Wade LeBlanc turned in his second solid performance in as many starts, and Seattle rode home runs from Seth Smith, Kyle Seager and Dae-Ho Lee to the win.
LeBlanc, who threw six shutout innings in his Mariners debut last week, allowed just two runs on three hits over six innings..
Lee went 3-for-4 with a single, a double and a two-run homer that opened up a 5-2 lead in the bottom of the eighth. Lee took Baltimore reliever Chaz Roe deep for a one-out homer that gave the Mariners some insurance runs after Seager's two-run blast in the sixth put Seattle ahead, 3-2.

Dodgers 5, Rockies 0
LOS ANGELES -- Bud Norris and four relievers combined on a three-hit shutout to lead Los Angeles past Colorado.
Norris (4-7) amassed eight strikeouts while permitting two hits, a walk and a hit batsman in earning his third consecutive victory in his team debut. The Dodgers acquired the right-hander on Thursday from the Atlanta Braves in a five-player trade after putting Clayton Kershaw on the disabled list.
Adrian Gonzalez had two hits and two RBIs for the Dodgers.

Padres 7, Yankees 6
SAN DIEGO -- Colin Rea allowed two runs over six innings, and San Diego survived a four-run, ninth-inning Yankees rally to defeat New York.
Wil Myers paced the Padres with a two-run homer -- his 12th in his last 27 games -- while Yangervis Solarte reached base in all four plate appearances and rookie Ryan Schimpf added a solo homer.
Rea (5-3) picked up the win while Brandon Maurer earned his first save after the Padres traded closer Fernando Rodney to the Miami Marlins on Thursday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

How run differential can be the key to cashing MLB runline bets
By JOE FORTENBAUGH

Behind yet another incendiary performance from a member of their starting rotation, the white-hot Cleveland Indians matched a franchise record in Thursday night’s 4-1 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays by winning their 13th consecutive game.

The Tribe’s current winning streak is the longest by any team in Major League Baseball this season as well as the longest run of success the club has strung together since winning 13 straight in 1951.

Thursday’s accolades belonged to 29-year-old righty Carlos Carrasco, who is now 1-0 with a 1.14 ERA, 27 strikeouts and just seven walks in three starts during Cleveland’s 13-game rampage through professional baseball. A rampage, mind you, that has featured the Indians outscoring the opposition 80-26 (+54 run differential), which is good for a winning margin of 4.15 runs per game.

Predictably, gambling twitter immediately responded with some variation of the following data: If you had bet to win $100 on every game Cleveland was listed as a favorite during the team’s current 13-game winning streak and risked $100 on Cleveland when the Indians assumed the underdog position during said streak, you would currently be up $1,337.

That’s a respectable chunk of change for less than two week’s worth of work. But with Cleveland’s moneyline prices beginning to surge due to the team’s recent onslaught against all comers, could you have found a way to turn a similar profit without assuming as much risk?

The answer, of course, is yes. And all you would have had to do was replace your moneyline bets with run line wagers.

For the uninitiated, a run line bet is essentially Major League Baseball’s version of the NFL point spread, with one team listed as a 1.5-run favorite, the other listed as a 1.5-run underdog and corresponding odds attached to both spreads. For example, the Indians were listed as -120 favorites for Thursday night’s game against the Blue Jays (+110) on the moneyline, but were posted at the more appealing price of +130 if you were willing to lay 1.5 runs against Toronto (-150). The benefit is the opportunity to back the better team with less financial risk, while the downside is the fact that Cleveland had to win by two or more runs to cash the run line bet as opposed to simply winning the game by any margin to cash the moneyline ticket.

Since the Indians launched their 13-game tirade against the rest of Major League Baseball back on June 17 in Cleveland against the White Sox, the Tribe have been listed as a moneyline favorite 11 times and run line favorite four times. And if you were to bet to win $100 every time Cleveland was a favorite and risk $100 in each instance the Indians were listed as an underdog, here’s how your portfolio would break down:

13 moneyline bets: 13-0 record, $1,884 risked, $1,337 won

13 run line bets: 11-2 record, $1,468 risked, $1,129 won

By simply substituting run line bets for moneyline bets during Cleveland’s 13-game winning streak, your profits would have dropped by 15.5 percent, but your overall risk assumed would have plummeted by 22.1 percent. That’s not a bad tradeoff when you need to win by two or more runs with a pitching staff that has limited the opposition to just 2.0 runs per game during its 13-game stretch of nothing but victory celebrations.

But here’s the tricky part: It’s easy to come swooping in after a team has won 13 straight matchups and exclaim, “Hey, you should have been betting the run line instead of the moneyline!” After all, hindsight is 20/20. What we need to identify is a way of determining which teams offer the best chance for success when betting the run line.

Thankfully, we have those rankings for you, as well as something else you should be taking into consideration.

Below you will find Major League Baseball’s 30 member organizations ranked by run line winning percentage entering Thursday night’s slate of action. In addition, you’ll notice a number in parenthesis next to each team’s record. That number represents the run differential ranking for each club entering Thursday night as well. For example, when you see a (6) next to the Texas Rangers, you’ll know that Texas ranks sixth in MLB in run differential.

1. Texas Rangers: 52-28 (6)
2. Baltimore Orioles: 46-31 (7)
3. San Diego Padres: 46-33 (25)
4. Detroit Tigers: 45-34 (15)
5. Chicago Cubs: 44-34 (1)
6. Kansas City Royals: 44-34 (18)
7. Cleveland Indians: 43-35 (2)
8. Colorado Rockies: 42-36 (16)
9. Oakland A’s: 42-36 (23)
10. St. Louis Cardinals: 41-37 (4)
11. Washington Nationals: 42-38 (3)
12. Milwaukee Brewers: 40-38 (26)
13. Toronto Blue Jays: 41-40 (11)
14. Boston Red Sox: 39-39 (5)
15. Miami Marlins: 39-39 (14)
16. San Francisco Giants: 39-41 (8)
17. Philadelphia Phillies: 39-41 (27)
18. Cincinnati Reds: 39-41 (30)
19. Chicago White Sox: 38-41 (17)
20. Seattle Mariners: 37-41 (10)
21. Houston Astros: 37-42 (12)
22. Los Angeles Dodgers: 37-44 (9)
23. Arizona Diamondbacks: 37-44 (21)
24. Pittsburgh Pirates: 36-43 (19)
25. Minnesota Twins: 35-43 (29)
26. Atlanta Braves: 34-44 (28)
27. New York Yankees: 34-44 (20)
28. Tampa Bay Rays: 32-46 (22)
29. Los Angels Angels: 32-47 (24)
30. New York Mets: 30-48 (13)

The first question you may be asking yourself is, “Why run differential?” That’s an excellent inquiry. Essentially, we want to look at each team’s run differential to give us an idea of which squads have the firepower to consistently cover 1.5 runs while also examining which clubs get blown out on a regular basis. As you’ll notice in the rankings above, five of the top ten run line clubs (Rangers, Orioles, Cubs, Indians and Cardinals) also rank within the top ten in run differential, while five of the bottom ten run line clubs (Angels, Rays, Braves, Twins and Diamondbacks) also rank within the bottom ten in run differential. So based on this simple correlation alone, we’ve discovered that a third of the league’s run line record matches up with its run differential ranking.

One team to keep an eye on moving forward in regards to run line wagering is the Philadelphia Phillies, who have lost 28 of their last 39 games after commencing the season with a 24-17 record. What’s intriguing about Philadelphia is that despite winning just 43.8 percent of their contests this season, the 2008 World Champions are a shocking 18-9 (.666) in one-run games in 2016. That type of performance in one-run affairs is extremely difficult to sustain over the course of a 162-game season, so don’t be surprised if the Phillies exhibit a regression in that department in the very near future.

As for the Indians, who knows when Cleveland’s starting rotation will hit a rough patch and regress to the mean. After all, this club hasn’t lost since the Cavaliers defeated the Golden State Warriors in the NBA Finals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'Arrieta goes for N.L. leading 13 wins'

Chicago Cubs at NY Mets July 2, 7:15 EST

Jake Arrieta (12-2, 2.10 ERA) will lock horns with Mets counterpart Bartolo Colon (6-4, 2.86 ERA) when the clubs clash in game three of this four game series at Citi Field. To say Arrieta has been dominant on the road would be an understatement. The righthander is 8-0 this season in an opposing park.

Such success has not been limited to this season, the Cubs have emerged triumphant in eighteen consecutive Arrieta regular season road starts and in twenty-two of his last twenty-three tossing in unfriendly territory. Matching that, the Cubs has been the correct betting option vs Mets with Arrieta. In his last four regular season starts the Cubs are 4-0 outscoring New York 16-4.

One final betting nugget. When Chicago is off a loss like the one they suffered last night, Arrieta certainly knows how to follow up with a stellar effort. The last 12 times the team has suffered a loss prior to his start, the right-hander it has come out to win the next game 10 times including a perfect 6-0 as road chalk.

Sportsbooks currently have Cubs -$1.75 moneyline favorites with the total set at 7.0 runs across all shops.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Five to Follow MLB Betting: Saturday, July 2, 2016, Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

I don't generally write Saturday for Sunday for Doc's, but I want to point out this week's ESPN Sunday night game because it's pretty cool. The Miami Marlins will face the Atlanta Braves at Fort Bragg, the venerable military installation in North Carolina. It's the first regular-season game of a professional sport ever played on an active military base. Of course, Monday is July 4, and this is a way to honor servicemen and women by Major League Baseball. A stadium holding 12,500 fans was constructed at Fort Bragg, the most populated military installation in the USA. MLB and the MLB Players' Association paid for the ballpark (about $5 million), which will be then be used as a permanent softball and multi-purpose facility on the base. Fort Bragg Field's dimensions are 331 feet down the lines, 387 feet in the alleys and 405 to center. The Braves will be the home team. But if you live in that area as a civilian and are hoping to go, forget it. All 12,500 tickets to the game are non-transferable and not for resale. Each military ticket-holder is required to sign documents pledging not to sell or give away the tickets and listing the family members they will bring with them.


Marlins at Braves (TBA)

A 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. With Clayton Kershaw and Stephen Strasburg now on the disabled list and Cubs ace Jake Arrieta struggling a bit, could Miami's Jose Fernandez now be the NL Cy Young leader? He certainly has a chance over the next few weeks -- or however long Kershaw is out -- to put himself in the lead. Fernandez (10-3, 2.28) takes the mound in Atlanta. He dominated the Cubs in his last start, allowing one run and four hits over seven innings with 13 strikeouts. His 138 strikeouts (third in NL) on the season are already a franchise record for strikeouts before the All-Star break. Fernandez has faced the Braves once this year and took a no-decision on June 21 despite allowing no runs and just one hit over seven innings. He hasn't allowed more than five hits in any of his past five outings. Atlanta's Freddie Freeman is 5-for-17 career off him with a homer. Might we see Fernando Rodney make his Marlins debut in this one? The closer was acquired from San Diego on Thursday. The Braves were to start Bud Norris, and I was going to mention he was a trade candidate. How right I was as Norris was traded to the Dodgers on Thursday for two pitching prospects as L.A. needed a starter because of Kershaw's injury. So Atlanta likely will turn to Tyrell Jenkins. The 23-year-old was recently called up and has pitched in two big-league games this season (and career) with the Braves. He came on in emergency relief of an injured John Gant on Monday vs. the Indians and allowed four runs and six hits in four innings. With Norris gone and the Braves really banged up in their rotation, there's probably not anywhere else to turn.

Key trends: The Marlins are 6-1 in Fernandez's past seven vs. the NL East. The "over/under" has gone under in eight of Fernandez's past 10.

Early lean: TBA until Braves announce a starter but go Marlins and under regardless.

White Sox at Astros (-120, 7.5)

There's really not much of a race in the AL for the Cy Young right now: it's Chris Sale's to lose even though the White Sox are very mediocre. Sale (13-2, 2.79) looks to become the majors' first 14-game winner. His career high is 17 wins, and Sale hasn't topped 13 in any other season. Sale won a third straight start Sunday against Toronto, allowing two runs and five hits over seven innings. He beat visiting Houston on May 19, allowing one run and four hits with nine strikeouts in a complete game. Jose Altuve is 6-for-18 career off him with a double. Houston's Doug Fister (8-4, 3.36) suffered his first loss since April 25 on Sunday against Kansas City, allowing four runs in 6.2 innings. Fister hadn't allowed more than two earned in six straight starts. He won at the White Sox on May 18, allowing three runs in 6.1 innings. Todd Frazier is 4-for-10 against him with an RBI. Jose Abreu is 1-for-3.

Key trends: The White Sox are 4-0 in Sale's past four vs. teams with a winning record. The Astros are 10-1 in Fister's past 11. The under is 8-3-3 in Fister's past 14.

Early lean: White Sox -- fairly shocked Sale opened as a dog -- and under.

Royals at Phillies (+118, 8)

Kansas City is again without the designated hitter here, which is normally Kendrys Morales. However, Royals manger Ned Yost pulled a surprise this week in St. Louis to keep Morales' big bat in the lineup: He started him in right field. Morales hadn't played the outfield in an MLB game in eight years. There's an opening with center fielder Lorenzo Cain on the DL and Jarrod Dyson can move from right to center when needed. So likely Morales is in there again here. The Royals start probably their best current starter, lefty Danny Duffy (3-1, 3.24). He beat the Cardinals on Monday, going a season-high eight innings and giving up two runs. Duffy hasn't faced the Phillies. It's struggling Aaron Nola (5-7, 4.45) for the Phillies. He pitched really well in May and was excellent in his first start in June. But Nola hasn't lasted more than 3.2 innings in four straight starts, all losses, while allowing 25 total runs. He's the first Phillies starter in 34 years to pitch fewer than four innings in four straight starts. Nola hasn't faced Kansas City.

Key trends: The Royals are 2-6 in Duffy's past eight on the road. The Phillies are 2-6 in Nola's past eight on the road. The under is 10-2 in Duffy's past 12 on the road.

Early lean: Royals and under.

Cubs at Mets (+175, 7)

This will be nationally televised to much of the nation on Fox. I mentioned Arrieta above and he goes here. Arrieta (12-2, 2.10) is actually harder to hit this season than last, but his control isn't anywhere near as good. He has walked 40 (in 103.0 innings), which is among the NL leaders. In his 2015 Cy Young season, Arrieta walked 48 in 229.0 innings. Arrieta has lasted only five innings in each of his past two starts because his pitch count has gotten so high with the free passes. Arrieta last saw the Mets in Game 2 of last season's NLCS at Citi Field and took the loss, allowing four runs in five innings. He admitted he was out of gas by that point in the season. Asdrubal Cabrera is 4-for-8 career off him in the regular season with two homers. The Mets won't have Curtis Granderson again for this game as he has been shut down for a few days with a strained calf. New York's Bartolo Colon (6-4, 2.86) was a tough-luck loser on Sunday in Atlanta, allowing one run in seven innings. Colon threw seven shutout innings vs. the Cubs last year in his lone start against them since joining the Mets. Jason Heyward is 7-for-17 off him with a homer. Ben Zobrist is 8-for-14 with four homers.

Key trends: The Cubs are 13-3 in Arrieta's past 16 road starts vs. teams with a winning record. The Mets are 4-1 in Colon's past five. The under is 5-2 in Arrieta's past seven vs. the NL East.

Early lean: Cubs, a Zobrist hitting prop and under.

Yankees at Padres (-128, 7.5)

This game is nationally televised by Fox Sports 1 and should have live betting at sportsbooks. A reminder again that the Yankees are without the DH (Alex Rodriguez). Monitor the status of outfielder Carlos Beltran as well. He injured his right hamstring on Tuesday and hadn't started since through Thursday. He's major trade bait, so the Yankees won't rush him back. They might have hid him at DH if it were available. San Diego, meanwhile, has to find a closer after dealing Rodney to the Marlins on Thursday. It most likely will be Ryan Buchter. New York starts Ivan Nova (5-5, 5.32), another potential trade guy. But his value is sinking with three straight lousy starts, not lasting more than five innings in each and giving up a combined 15 runs. But he has a career 2.88 ERA in 15 career interleague games. Only a few Padres have seen him. Wil Myers is 4-for-13 with a homer. Melvin Upton is 4-for-23 with six strikeouts. The Friars go with trade candidate left Drew Pomeranz (7-7, 2.76). His value is on the rise. Pomeranz shut out the Reds on three hits over seven innings in his last start. His .190 batting-average against is one of the best marks in baseball. The Yankees' Brett Gardner is 1-for-3 career off him with a homer. Former Padre Chase Headley is 1-for-6 with three walks.

Key trends: The Yankees are 2-5 in Nova's past seven on the road. The Padres are 1-4 in Pomeranz's past five after a quality start in his most recent appearance. The under is 9-2 in Pomeranz's past 11.

Early lean: Padres and under (to complete the under sweep).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Saturday's games

National League games

Reds @ Nationals
Straily is 0-3, 10.93 in his last three starts; five of his last six starts went over.

Ross is 4-0, 3.95 in his last seven starts; four of his last five went over.

Washington won its last six games; nine of Nationals' last 14 home games went over. Cincinnati lost 11 of last 13 games; eight of Reds' last 11 games went over.

Cubs @ Mets
Arrieta is 3-1, 3.52 in his last four starts (over 13-3).

Colon is 3-1, 2.03 in his last seven starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Cubs are 6-1 in second game of series if they lost the opener; six of last seven Chicago games went over the total. Mets lost four of last six games, but won last four at home; under is 10-3-1 in last 14 New York games.

Marlins @ Braves
Fernandez is 7-1, 1.18 in his last nine starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. .

Harrell is making first MLB start since '14; he is 18-33, 4.84 in 62 MLB starts, 3-1, 2.86 in six AAA starts this season. .

Marlins lost six of last nine road games; over is 13-2 in last 15 Marlin road games. Atlanta lost six of last eight games; under is 9-5 in Braves' last 14 games.

Brewers @ Cardinals
Nelson is 0-0, 0.90 in his last two starts; under is 5-2-2 in his last nine starts. .

Wainwright is 1-2, 3.69 in his last five starts; seven of his last eight stayed under.

Brewers lost nine of last 11 road games; over is 7-4-2 in their last 13 road games. St Louis lost seven of last eight home games; underis 6-1-1 in Cardinals' last eight at home.

Giants @ Diamondbacks
Samardzija is 1-3, 7.16 in his last six starts; six of his last seven went over.

Corbin is 1-1, 5.63 in his last four starts; over is 9-4-1 in his last 14 starts.

Giants lost three of their last five games; five of last six Giant games went over total. Arizona lost its last six games; six of last eight Diamondback games went over.

Rockies @ Dodgers
Bettis is 2-3, 9.72 in his last seven starts (over 5-2). .

Kazmir is 3-0, 3.89 in his last seven starts; four of his last five went over.

Rockies are 5-9 in last 14 games; eight of their last ten games went over the total. Los Angeles won its last seven home games; under is 12-3 in last 15 Dodger home games.


American League games

Indians @ Blue Jays
unknown . .

Estrada is 1-1, 4.01 in his last four starts; four of his last six starts stayed under.

Indians won their last 14 games; their last three games stayed under. Toronto lost eight of its last 12 games; under is 10-4 in their last fourteen home games.

Tigers @ Rays
Verlander is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts; five of his last seven stayed under.

Snell is 1-2, 5.76 in his four starts (over 2-2) this year.

Tigers won eight of last 11 games; seven of their last nine road games went over. Tampa Bay lost 14 of last 16 games; six of Rays' last seven games went over the total.

Angels @ Red Sox
Santiago is 1-1, 6.41 in his last four starts; seven of his last eight went over.

Buchholz is 0-4, 7.59 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.

Angels lost ten of last 11 games; six of their last seven road games stayed under. Boston lost seven of last 11 games; six of their last nine games went over the total.

White Sox @ Astros
Sale is 4-0, 3.54 in his last four starts,last three of which stayed under.

Fister is 4-1, 2.45 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Chicago is 7-4 in its last 11 games; six of last nine White Sox road games went over. Astros won 11 of last 12 games, six of last eight Houston home games stayed under.

Rangers @ Twins
Gonzalez allowed five runs in five IP (87 PT) in his first '16 start.

Duffey is 1-2, 8.27 in his last four starts; six of his last eight went over.

Rangers won 15 of last 19 games, over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 road games. Minnesota lost six of its last eight games, over is 17-4 in last 21 games at Target Field.

Orioles @ Mariners
Wilson is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over.

Paxton is 1-3, 5.97 in six starts this year (over 3-3).

Orioles won six of their last eight games; five of last eight Baltimore games stayed under. Seattle won five of last seven games; seven of last ten Mariner games stayed under.


Interleague

Royals @ Phillies
Duffy is 2-0, 3.04 in his last four starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Nola is 0-3, 17.31 in his last four starts; seven of his last eight went over.

Royals won four of last six games, five of KC's last six games stayed under. Phillies won six of last eight games, over is 18-9 in their last 27 games.

Pirates @ A's
Kulh allowed three runs in five IP (82 PT) in his first MLB start. .

Hill was 5-0, 1.97 in his last five starts, before going on DL (under 6-4-1).

Pirates are 4-12 in last 16 road games, seven of their last ten games went over the total. Oakland won six of last nine games, under is 6-2-1 in last nine home games

Bronx @ San Diego
Nova is 0-2, 9.64 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Pomeranz is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts; nine fo his last 11 starts stayed under.

Bronx lost four of last five games, over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. San Diego lost three of last four games, last eight games at Petco Park went over the total.


Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:

Cin-Wsh-- Straily 6-8; Ross 10-5
Chi-NY-- Arrieta 13-3; Colon 9-6
Mia-Atl-- Fernandez 11-4; Harrell 0-0
Mil-StL-- Nelson 7-9; Wainwright 10-6
SF-Az-- Samardzija 10-6; Corbin 6-10
Col-LA-- Bettis 8-8; Kazmir 8-8

Cle-Tor-- unknown x-x; Estrada 8-7
Det-TB-- Verlander 9-7; Snell 1-3
LA-Bos-- Santiago 10-6; Buchholz 3-9
Chi-Hst-- Sale 13-3; Fister 11-4
Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 1-0; Duffey 4-8
Blt-Sea-- Wilson 6-6; Paxton 1-5

KC-Phil-- Duffy 6-3; Nola 7-9
Pitt-A's-- Kuhl 1-0; Hill 8-3
NY-SD-- Nova 5-5; Pomeranz 7-8


Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:

Cin-Wsh-- Straily 3-14; Ross 5-14 (4 of last 5)
Chi-NY-- Arrieta 2-16; Colon 4-14
Mia-Atl-- Fernandez 3-15; Harrell 0-0
Mil-StL-- Nelson 4-16; Wainwright 6-16
SF-Az-- Samardzija 3-16; Corbin 7-16
Col-LA-- Bettis 7-16 (5 of last 6); Kazmir 9-16 (4 of last 5)

Cle-Tor-- unknown x-x; Estrada 3-15
Det-TB-- Verlander 6-16; Snell 2-4
LA-Bos-- Santiago 8-16; Buchholz 6-12
Chi-Hst-- Sale 4-16; Fister 3-15
Tex-Min-- Gonzalez 0-1; Duffey 3-12
Blt-Sea-- Wilson 5-12; Paxton 2-6

KC-Phil-- Duffy 1-9; Nola 7-16 (3 of last 3)
Pitt-A's-- Kuhl 0-1; Hill 3-11
NY-SD-- Nova 3-10; Pomeranz 3-15


Umpires

Cin-Wsh-- Six of last seven Cooper games stayed under.
Chi-NY-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Diaz games.
Mia-Atl-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Guccione games.
Mil-StL-- Five of last six Barber games stayed under.
SF-Az-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Knight games.
Col-LA-- Six of last nine Wolf games stayed under.

Cle-Tor-- Three of last four Reyburn games went over.
Det-TB-- Last five TGibson games went over.
LA-Bos-- Underdogs won six of last nine Nauert games.
Chi-Hst-- Seven of last nine Timmons games went over.
Tex-Min-- Three of last four LBarrett games went over.
Blt-Sea-- Three of last four Winters games stayed under.

KC-Phil-- Four of last five Bellino games went over.
Pitt-A's-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Drake games.
NY-SD-- Eight of last nine Hoberg games stayed under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's six-pack

-- Dodgers are 14-2 in Clayton Kershaw's starts, 31-35 in all other games.

-- Joc Pederson is the 19th Dodger to go on the disabled list this season.

-- Bartolo Colon has batted 265 times in his career but has never walked, the most at-bats by any player ever without a walk.

-- Atlanta Braves have 41 HRs; no one else in NL has less than 66.

-- Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco is 15-7, 2.20 in his last 25 road starts.

-- Indians won in 19 innings Friday; Toronto used two position players as pitchers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Saturday, July 2 is:

Chicago Cubs (Arrieta) over NY Mets (Colon).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Saturday, July 2

Trend Report

1:07 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

2:10 PM
TEXAS vs. MINNESOTA
Texas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 16 games when playing at home against Texas

2:15 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games at home

4:10 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Miami is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

4:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. HOUSTON
Chi White Sox are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

4:10 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

5:50 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. PHILADELPHIA
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Kansas City is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Philadelphia is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:15 PM
LA ANGELS vs. BOSTON
LA Angels are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against Boston
LA Angels are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing LA Angels

7:15 PM
CHI CUBS vs. NY METS
Chi Cubs are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. WASHINGTON
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. OAKLAND
Pittsburgh is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oakland
Pittsburgh is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

10:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco

10:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. SEATTLE
Baltimore is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. SAN DIEGO
NY Yankees are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 5-15 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 10 games
LA Dodgers are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA
Dunkel

Saturday, July 2


Connecticut @ Dallas

Game 603-604
July 2, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
102.771
Dallas
110.398
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7 1/2
178
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 10
173 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+10); Over

San Antonio @ Minnesota

Game 601-602
July 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
104.065
Minnesota
117.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 12 1/2
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 16 1/2
155
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(+16 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, July 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (4 - 12) at MINNESOTA (13 - 3) - 7/2/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (3 - 13) at DALLAS (8 - 9) - 7/2/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA

Saturday, July 2

Trend Report

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
San Antonio is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing San Antonio
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

8:30 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. DALLAS
Connecticut is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Connecticut

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIG AL

Texas

Chi Chi Gonzalez may sound more like a professional golfer's name than a baseball player, but the man with that moniker is back in the rotation with the Texas Rangers in his second season in the bigs. Gonzalez had a solid - if not stellar - rookie season with Texas, having gone 4-6 with a 3.90 ERA in 14 games (10 starts) in 2015. His first start of this season last Monday certainly does not instill confidence going into this game today, but that first one was in Yankee Stadium - a place that can be deadly to righthanded pitchers. Gonzalez should have an easier time of it today at Target Field against the Twins. After a very promising rookie season in which he went 5-1 with a 3.10 ERA in 10 starts, LHP Tyler Duffey has taken a step backwards in 2016. So far, Duffey is 3-6 with an ugly 5.59 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in his 12 starts covering just under 68 innings. It could get ugly fast for Duffey this afternoon as the Rangers' .294 batting average vs. southpaws is the best number in the American League. The Twins are just 15-25 at home this season while the Rangers are very strong on the road at 23-17.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, July 2

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MILWAUKEE (35 - 44) at ST LOUIS (41 - 38) - 2:15 PM
JIMMY NELSON (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 70-106 (-30.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 143-102 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 156-91 (+32.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 16-23 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 16-23 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 12-18 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 5-12 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-2 (+1.9 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

JIMMY NELSON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
NELSON is 0-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 9.26 and a WHIP of 1.672.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-5. (-5.6 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 12-8 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 0.964.
His team's record is 16-9 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-10. (+3.0 units)

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MIAMI (42 - 38) at ATLANTA (27 - 53) - 4:10 PM
JOSE FERNANDEZ (R) vs. LUCAS HARRELL (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-3 (+6.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 4-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.15 and a WHIP of 0.826.
His team's record is 4-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+1.1 units)

LUCAS HARRELL vs. MIAMI since 1997
HARRELL is 0-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.79 and a WHIP of 2.144.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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CINCINNATI (29 - 52) at WASHINGTON (49 - 32) - 7:15 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. JOE ROSS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 92-151 (-49.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 41-78 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 92-151 (-49.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 15-39 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 71-110 (-30.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 55-93 (-29.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 14-35 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 132-111 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 131-110 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 83-76 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 99-86 (-10.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-3 (+0.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
STRAILY is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

JOE ROSS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (51 - 28) at NY METS (42 - 37) - 7:15 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1539-1651 (-261.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1482-1564 (-235.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1129-1228 (-201.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 88-55 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 40-12 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 25-5 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 25-3 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 16-2 (+13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 40-12 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 23-5 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 90-82 (-29.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 77-68 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY METS since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 0.933.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
COLON is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.89 and a WHIP of 1.373.
His team's record is 1-5 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (51 - 31) at ARIZONA (36 - 46) - 10:10 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAMARDZIJA is 35-47 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 33-46 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-31 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-15 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 232-188 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1108-928 (+120.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-17 (+12.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 35-17 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ARIZONA is 10-20 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 11-27 (-15.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-29 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 5-14 (-12.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 4-13 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 13-29 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 11-19 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 9-22 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 9-17 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
ARIZONA is 67-122 (-41.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 21-57 (-29.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CORBIN is 0-7 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
CORBIN is 0-7 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-5 (-0.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.485.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

PAT CORBIN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CORBIN is 4-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.120.
His team's record is 6-6 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.6 units)

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COLORADO (37 - 42) at LA DODGERS (45 - 37) - 10:10 PM
CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 619-968 (-180.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 3-19 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 90-162 (-51.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
COLORADO is 563-888 (-163.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
COLORADO is 59-99 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KAZMIR is 36-18 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
BETTIS is 21-15 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BETTIS is 21-15 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 139-110 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 136-108 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 32-31 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 104-82 (-9.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 77-63 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 24-22 (-9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
KAZMIR is 21-27 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 20-26 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-4 (+0.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

CHAD BETTIS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
BETTIS is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.978.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.2 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. COLORADO since 1997
KAZMIR is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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CLEVELAND (49 - 30) at TORONTO (43 - 39) - 1:05 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 7-18 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 49-30 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 31-16 (+12.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 17-5 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+2.4 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. TORONTO since 1997
BAUER is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 17.49 and a WHIP of 3.004.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ESTRADA is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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TEXAS (52 - 29) at MINNESOTA (25 - 54) - 2:10 PM
CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R) vs. TYLER DUFFEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 52-29 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 28-13 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 11-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
TEXAS is 24-17 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 11-1 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
TEXAS is 15-8 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
TEXAS is 51-26 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 39-19 (+24.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 32-19 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 26-16 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 25-54 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 15-26 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 25-54 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-41 (-21.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-41 (-25.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.764.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TYLER DUFFEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHI WHITE SOX (40 - 40) at HOUSTON (43 - 37) - 4:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-55 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 77-44 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 26-9 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 77-44 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FISTER is 11-4 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 13-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 11-4 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 10-3 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 39-45 (-17.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SALE is 4-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.66 and a WHIP of 0.659.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
FISTER is 3-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.387.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.7 units)

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DETROIT (42 - 38) at TAMPA BAY (33 - 46) - 4:10 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 85-92 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
VERLANDER is 5-13 (-9.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 42-38 (+6.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 23-13 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-16 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 33-46 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 17-23 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 27-40 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-23 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 17-23 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-37 (-18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 16-29 (-14.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 11-27 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
VERLANDER is 7-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.133.
His team's record is 10-4 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-9. (-5.6 units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (32 - 48) at BOSTON (43 - 36) - 7:15 PM
HECTOR SANTIAGO (L) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 32-48 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 32-48 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 21-36 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 802-795 (+58.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
BOSTON is 192-212 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 101-104 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 106-107 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 489-453 (-70.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BOSTON is 87-105 (-28.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 11-19 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 6-12 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 9-18 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 6-14 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 6-18 (-15.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 7-17 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

HECTOR SANTIAGO vs. BOSTON since 1997
SANTIAGO is 1-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.426.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 6-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.438.
His team's record is 6-7 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-2. (+8.8 units)

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BALTIMORE (47 - 32) at SEATTLE (41 - 39) - 10:10 PM
TYLER WILSON (R) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 18-36 (-15.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 47-32 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 183-210 (+40.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 45-27 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 35-22 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 102-92 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 117-125 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-23 (-15.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 56-65 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 223-220 (-52.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
SEATTLE is 118-137 (-55.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 111-122 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 41-47 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 40-41 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 49-66 (-28.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PAXTON is 4-13 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PAXTON is 2-11 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TYLER WILSON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
WILSON is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JAMES PAXTON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PAXTON is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.617.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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KANSAS CITY (42 - 37) at PHILADELPHIA (36 - 45) - 5:50 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-28 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 47-51 (+12.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 777-794 (+28.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 42-37 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 115-103 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 42-25 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 42-37 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 102-82 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 104-75 (+25.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 60-45 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON NOLA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

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PITTSBURGH (39 - 41) at OAKLAND (35 - 45) - 10:05 PM
CHAD KUHL (R) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 116-61 (+42.4 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 137-106 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 137-106 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 161-118 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 82-52 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 103-139 (-38.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-24 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 17-24 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 66-85 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-47 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 15-29 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 44-62 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHAD KUHL vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

RICH HILL vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HILL is 3-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.240.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.1 units)

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NY YANKEES (39 - 40) at SAN DIEGO (34 - 46) - 10:10 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 28-26 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 3-12 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 75-103 (-24.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
POMERANZ is 10-22 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
NOVA is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

DREW POMERANZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
POMERANZ is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Diamond Trends - Saturday
July 2, 2016


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Dodgers are 11-0 since May 01, 2016 as a favorite off a home game in which their bullpen went at least one inning and did not allow a run.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mets are 0-11 since Sep 11, 2014 when Bartolo Colon starts as a dog and he averaged fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter in his last start.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Dodgers are 0-10-1 O/U since Apr 12, 2016 at home when playing a divisional opponent with fewer wins.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Braves are 0-10 since Aug 29, 2015 off a home game in which they allowed 12+ hits.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Cardinals are 11-0 since Aug 13, 2013 when Adam Wainwright starts as a 140+ favorite when they lost in his last start.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB MONEYLINE

MLB > (915) TEXAS@ (916) MINNESOTA | 2016-07-02 14:10:00 - 2016-07-02 14:10:00
Play ON TEXAS using money line in All games when playing on Saturday
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+12.55 units)

MLB > (915) TEXAS@ (916) MINNESOTA | 2016-07-02 14:10:00 - 2016-07-02 14:10:00
Play ON TEXAS using money line in All games in games played on a grass field
The record is 50 Wins and 26 Losses for the this season (+30.7 units)

MLB > (909) SAN FRANCISCO@ (910) ARIZONA | 2016-07-02 22:10:00 - 2016-07-02 22:10:00
Play AGAINST ARIZONA using money line in All games in home games
The record is 13 Wins and 28 Losses for the this season (-21.1 units)

MLB > (919) DETROIT@ (920) TAMPA BAY | 2016-07-02 16:10:00 - 2016-07-02 16:10:00
Play AGAINST TAMPA BAY using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 11 Wins and 26 Losses for the this season (-17.8 units)

MLB > (917) CHI WHITE SOX@ (918) HOUSTON | 2016-07-02 16:10:00 - 2016-07-02 16:10:00
Play ON CHI WHITE SOX using money line in Road games in July games
The record is 18 Wins and 8 Losses for the last three seasons (+16 units)

MLB > (911) COLORADO@ (912) LA DODGERS | 2016-07-02 22:10:00 - 2016-07-02 22:10:00
Play AGAINST COLORADO using money line in Road games in July games
The record is 73 Wins and 171 Losses for the since 1992 (-79.94 units)

MLB > (919) DETROIT@ (920) TAMPA BAY | 2016-07-02 16:10:00 - 2016-07-02 16:10:00
Play ON DETROIT using money line in Road games in day games
The record is 23 Wins and 13 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.25 units)