Saturday 5/20/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Rob Vinciletti

Los Angeles vs. New York
Play: Under 8

This game fits a solid totals system hat has played under 14 of 16 times since 2004. The Mets are 4-0 under as a home favorite off a home win scoring 4 or less runs if the total is 7.5 or more. LA is 5 of 6 under on the road off a road loss and scored 2 or less runs. They hit just .221 on the road. The Mets hit .213 at home. Wheeler has looked good with a 1.62 Era in his last 3 starts.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Big Al

Toronto vs. Baltimore
Pick: Baltimore

The Orioles got off to a torrid start to this season, going 21-9 in their first 30 games. But they've cooled off lately, thanks in large part to the loss of the game's best closer from last season, LH Zach Britton, who could be gone until after the break. The O's just returned from a very rough road trip, getting swept by the Royals in Kansas City, and then losing two of three in Detroit. A return to Camden Yards should do this team good as Baltimore is 13-3 at home this season heading into Friday. There were some pretty high expectations for RH starters Dylan Bundy and Kevin Gausman this season, and while Bundy has for the most part lived up to his billing, Gausman has struggled through most of the first 1/4 of the season. But one team he's had success against so far is Toronto. In two starts against the Jays in April, Gausman went 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA in 11 1/3 innings (Baltimore won both of those). Toronto's offense is pretty depleted right now with Troy Tulowitzki, Russell Martin, and Josh Donaldson all out with injuries. The O's are 10-2 in Gausman's last 12 home starts and 7-1 in his last eight home starts vs. teams with a losing record.

 

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Harry Bondi

PITTSBURGH (-125) over Philadelphia

We cashed a winning ticket on the Pirates and Ivan Nova in his last start and we’ll go back to well here today. Nova has been one of the lone bright spots for the Pirates this season, posting a 2.48 ERA overall and an even better 1.89 ERA at home. Easy to fade the Phillies at this price as the team is on a 4-12 slide and over the last three years have been horrible on the road, going 67-118, including seven wins in 23 tries this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog

Colorado @ Cincinnati
Pick: Colorado +115

Colorado is great on the road (14-6) with an offense ranked seventh in runs scored. The Rockies pounded out 16 hits in a 12-6 victory in Friday’s opener and have won four of their last five games to maintain the second-best record in the National League. Colorado is 7-1 in 22-year-old Antonio Senzatela's (3.31 ERA) last eight starts. They face a reeling Cincinnati squad that has lost seven in a row, allowing 51 runs. Reds starter Tim Adleman (5.27 ERA) has been erratic, part of a pitching staff ranked #25 in team ERA (4.67) with the second most walks in baseball. Colorado is 8-3 away versus a team with a winning home record and 9-1 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lee
May 20 '17, 4:05 PM in 4h
MLB | Phillies vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates -120 at betonline

10* FREE MLB PICK (PIRATES -120)

Pittsburgh is certainly worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Phillies. While the Pirates lost the series opener last night, they are a solid 4-2 in their last 6 and I really like today's starter Ivan Nova, who is quietly sitting here with a 2.48 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 8 starts this season. He's a bit under the radar right now, as he's got a 4.42 ERA over his last 3 outings, but all 3 were on the road against the Reds, Dodgers and Diamondbacks. He's got a 1.89 ERA in 3 home starts and will be facing a Phillies team he has owned in the past, allowing just 1 earned run over 12 2/3 innings in two career starts. Give me the Pirates -120!

 

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Ray Monohan
May 20 '17, 4:10 PM in 4h
MLB | WAS vs ATL
Play on: UNDER 9 -115

Nationals vs. Braves Under 9

This play just missed out on our premium card. The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves face off on Saturday and the under has a ton of value in this one. Max Scherzer is on the mound for the Nationals and he has been dominant again this year. He comes into this game having gone 4-2 with an ERA of 2.80 so far this season. He also has 70 strikeouts in 54.2 innings. I think he will once again go deep in this game and really shut down the Braves bats.

On the mound for the Braves is Bartolo Colon who hasn't had the greatest season but did have a decent outing in his last one giving up two runs in five innings. I think he will still give up some runs in this game but Scherzer will be dominant and that will keep the score low. Some trends to note. Under is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 Saturday games.

Back the Under. Good Luck Razor Ray.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joseph D'Amico
May 20 '17, 4:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Rockies vs Reds
Play on: Rockies +115 at betonline

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Saturday's FREE WINNER: Colorado Rockies.

Game 907.

1:10 pm pst.

Colorado owns the best record in the National League at 27-16, including a road mark of 14-6. Today, the Rockies give Antonio Senzatela the nod. The RH is 6-1 with an ERA of just, 3.31 on the season, winning his L3. Cincinnati is on a 7-game skid in which their pitching has been atrocious. The Reds send Tim Adelman to the bump. The RH is 2-2 with a 5.27 mark on the year. Overall, Cincy's pitching ranks 25th, donning a 4.67 Team ERA. Colorado is 5-1 their L6 games vs. RH starters, 4-1 their L5 games played vs. NL Central opponents, and 7-1 in Senzatela's L8 overall starts. Cincinnati is 0-5 their L5 games vs. RH starters, 0-4 their L4 games played vs. NL West foes, and 0-7 their L7 games played overall. Take the Rockies. Thank you.

 

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Mike Williams
May 20 '17, 7:15 PM in 7h
MLB | TEX vs DET
Play on: UNDER 8½ -120

1* on Rangers vs Tigers under 8½ -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd
May 20 '17, 4:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Yankees vs Rays
Play on: Rays +110 at BMaker

Free Pick on Rays +

I really like the value here with Tampa Bay as a home dog in this division matchup against the Yankees. The Rays defeated New York 5-4 on Friday and have now won 3 straight to get back to .500 on the season. This is going to seem like a great price to back the Yankees with Tanaka on the mound, but he's been far from elite in 2017. While he has a 5-2 record, he's got an ugly 5.80 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in his 8 starts and coming off a dreadful performance in his last outing.

I'll take my chances on the Rays being able to get to Tanaka early. At the same time, I look for Tampa Bay starter Matt Andriese to keep it rolling. Andriese is 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA in 8 starts and has posted a 2.08 ERA over his last 3 starts. He held the Yankees to just 1 run on 5 hits in a start at New York back in April this year. It's also worth noting that New York is just 1-3 and scoring a mere 3.2 runs/game in dome games this season. Take Tampa Bay!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Larry Wallace
May 20 '17, 4:05 PM in 4h
MLB | Red Sox vs A's
Play on: Red Sox -107 at BMaker

Taking the Red Sox in this game. Athletics have one of the worst offenses in the American League although they've hit better lately. They've taken the first 2 games of the 4 game series, so this is a big game for the Red Sox to win. Moreland has homered in each of the first two games of the series following a drought that dated back to April 23 while Dustin Pedroia has registered a hit in 14 of his 17 contests this month. Manaea also has lost his last two outings, including a setback at Seattle on Monday in which he surrendered four runs on two hits and five walks over five innings. It was the first start since April 26 for the 25-year-old from Indiana, who had been on the disabled list with a strained shoulder. Manaea was pounded last year in his first career turn against the Red Sox, yielding eight runs and 10 hits over 2 2/3 frames at Boston.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pure Lock
MLB | May 20, 2017
Blue Jays vs. Orioles
Orioles -145 at BMAKER

Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Saturday 5-20-17

Baltimore -145

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

R&R Totals
MLB | May 20, 2017
Blue Jays vs. Orioles
Total 9½ +110 at BETONLINE

R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Saturday 5-20-17

OVER 9 1/2 Toronto/Baltimore

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mikey Sports
MLB | May 20, 2017
Rangers vs. Tigers
Rangers +143 at BMAKER

Mikey Sports FREE MLB play Saturday 5-20-17

Texas +143

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Power Sports

Philadelphia vs. Pittsburgh
Pick: Philadelphia

The Phillies won here at PNC Park last night, 7-2, and have the better pitcher going today. Thus, they certainly appear to be an excellent value at 'plus money' Saturday afternoon. It's not like Pittsburgh is a good team anyway; they've now been outscored by 36 runs over the course of the year. That's a worse margin than Philadelphia despite having three more wins.

The Philly pitcher in question is Vincent Velasquez. When not facing Washington, he's been really good this year. Velasquez has an 0-3 TSR vs. the Nats (twice facing Max Scherzer), but otherwise is 2-2 including a win as a +160 dog over the Cubs. Save for one bad outing against Washington (victimized by the long ball), Velasquez has allowed 3 ER or fewer in four of his past five trips to the mound.

You might be surprised to hear that I'm giving the Phils the starting pitching edge here when the Bucs have Ivan Nova going. As impressive as he's been since coming over from the Yankees last year, Nova has started to predictably regress of late. His ERA and WHIP are 4.42 and 1.586 respectively, his L3 starts. He's allowed 26 hits in his last 18 1/3 IP. He figures to get little in the way of support this afternoon seeing as the Pirates finished yday's game w/ only three hits and for the year, rank 25th or lower in runs scored, batting average, OBP and slugging.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Last Call

Early Saturday's Bonus Play: Milwaukee + 180

 

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Jeff Allen Sports

Saturday's Free Selection is on Nashville/Anaheim Under

 

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Easy Money Sports

Lee's Free Saturday Selection

Oakland w/Manaea +105

 

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Teddy Davis
May 20 '17, 2:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Royals vs Twins
Play on: Royals +106 at betonline

The Royals are worth a look here after dropping game 1. They still had 11 hits yesterday, but only managed to score 3 runs of that.

Ian Kennedy is just way better than Mejia here. Kennedy has an ERA of 3.03 on the season in 6 six starts and he is still looking for his first win despite pitching well.

Mejia on the other hand has been awful with a 5.78 ERA in his 3 starts. In two of his three starts he failed to make it past the 3rd inning.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Essler

Tampa Bay +115

Tanaka has given up three or more runs in six of his eight starts this season, and the Rays hit him hard back in early April. So, they Rays have been hitting everyone hard, scoring five or more runs in six of their last seven games. New York's pen had another melt down last night, and has had more blown saves than actual saves on the road this season - and again without Chapman. The Rays used all but Jumbo Diaz and Chase Whitley out of the pen last night - the Rays games are 14-9 to the over at home this season (unusual) and they've played 10 of the last 11 to the over, and I don't think that changes this afternoon. Andriese throws a lot of pitches and only twice has made it through the 7th inning (too many walks) - so, I don't see that "over" trend changing today. The Rays are just hot, just like the Giants, but are at home and underdogs.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Larry Ness

Texas vs. Detroit
Pick: Detroit

There is no denying that the Rangers are currently MLB's hottest team, as last night's 5-3 win over the Tigers in Detroit gives Texas 10 consecutive wins. The Rangers were just 13-20 after a 5-1 loss at San Diego back on May 8 but Texas has averaged 6.4 runs over its last 10 games (all victories) while also getting some solid pitching. The Rangers go for 11 in a row tonight in Detroit, looking to stay within striking distance of the Astros, who own MLB's best record at 29-13, giving them a 6 1/2-game lead over Texas. The Tigers fell to 2-2 on their current six-game homestand and are a 5-7 over their last 12, leaving them 20-20 but just two games back of the first-place Twins in the AL Central.

Tonight's pitching matchup will feature A.J. Griffin (4-0, 3.15 ERA) and Justin Verlander (3-3, 4.47 ERA). Griffin failed to earn a win in his last start, when he was reached for four runs on seven hits in five innings against the A's. Texas won 6-4 with Griffin settling for a no-decision. That ended a string of four straight wins, a stretch in which he twice did not allow a run (four ERs allowed over 26 innings in that span, giving him a 1.38 ERA).

Verlander had a string of three straight quality starts come to an end last Sunday, when he was tagged for four runs on five hits and five walks in six innings by the Angels in Los Angeles. The former Cy Young Award winner and MVP is struggling a bit with his control, issuing 20 walks in his last five starts. His walks (25 in 48.1 IP) are part of why his WHIP is 1.43, compared to his career WHIP of 1.19.

Texas is a perfect 6-0 in Griffin's starts this season, giving him MLB's second-best moneyline mark at plus-$697. However, got an 8.53 ERA and 30 hits allowed in just 19 innings in his career vs the Tigers! Meanwhile, the veteran Verlander is 10-6 with a 2.98 ERA in 19 career starts against Texas (Tigers are 11-8 ). Texas is long overdue for a 'hiccup,' as is Griffin.